Micro 995: Secret Jesters

[The Handler]

ignored Hazel ** sorry

[The Handler]

So now, let's assume Raymond is scum. This would make Swedes and Cha Cha jesters. It matches Cha Cha's play pretty damn well. Swedes on the other hand is very much playing to his wincon of "well if I'm going to lose, I'm going to vote town to try to get elimmed" is actually a pretty good strategy there for a jester if he believes Raymond is a jester. The vote by Swedes is also a pretty good vote if he's mafia as if I'm hammered mafia wins the game. The one way the vote by Swedes doesn't work is town. Therefore the Swedes fake claiming jester as town really holds no weight. This means the only fake claiming jester that could be town is Cha Cha which is ha ha hilarious and just no.

This means there would be a scum in Grace and Hazel. I doubt Raymond spends his time as mafia bussing Grace most of the time, so ergo it's probably Hazel. This also matches Hazel's ISO. Beyond the fact that Raymond dropped a long ignored townread on Hazel. In post 263, Hazel did notice the mechanical paragraph I posted above. He's dead set in the townread of me because he knows I can obvTown and if he didn't he'd be scum claiming. The wording of 481 is weird. He specifically goes out of his way to use uninformed rather than mafia or jester. When wording is forced/weird like this it's almost certainly the opposite.

Then without any reasoning, in 530 he turns his townread to Grace and comes after me. This is directly after locking me as hard town. The closest bit is in 474 where a response about Grace makes less sure on Handler. Let's see what changed between the lock town in 263 and 474 to start this switch. 466 I started mentioning a sus on Hazel. Then read started degrading...That can't be a coincidence.

Jesters want to be elimmed. They'd be happy I'd suspected them if they were jester.

[The Handler]

Ergo, in conclusion, much as out of Grace and Hazel I'm pretty sure Hazel is the scum of the two, the 100% better play is to elim in the Jester pool until we get the flip. Then we can see which of Grace/Hazel (or if you still think I am scum) me that player fits with.

[The Handler]

Now worst case scenario Raymond is Jester. Then we have a 50/50 shot of hitting scum in Swedes/Cha Cha and a (if Sissy's point of view) 33% chance of hitting scum in Grace/Hazel/me. (I know I'm town so it's 50/50 for me. The odds are much more likely that the Raymond read is right with mechanics than my Hazel read even though my Hazel read is probably more right by gut. Ergo I think Raymond should be elimmed.

[Grace Hargreeves]

Pretty sure people are voting me last I checked, not Hazel? Did I miss something while I was doing Handler things?

Nope it's just been a long day.

[The Handler]

Then come vote Raymond with me You know you want to after reading my shiny case right?

[Grace Hargreeves]

We all seem to be assuming there's 1 scum in the VT claims and one in the Jesters. What if its actually two scum in the Jester claims and a Jester claimed Town?

I think it's not likely, since I don't read either of the Town claims as Jesters.

[Grace Hargreeves]

VOTE: Raymond

[The Handler]

We all seem to be assuming there's 1 scum in the VT claims and one in the Jesters. What if its actually two scum in the Jester claims and a Jester claimed Town?

I think it's not likely, since I don't read either of the Town claims as Jesters.

In that case, then it's even better to yeet in the jester claims as more odds of mafia no?
If you think I'm wrong you should still be voting in the Jester claims imho.

[The Handler]

Now IF you think I'm scum, then odds are at least one of the VT claims are true and what I'm saying is correct.
IF you think I'm jester, then you don't want to elim me and likely more mafia in the jester claims and what I am saying is correct.
If you think I'm VT, then what I'm saying is correct.

No matter how you read me, I'm telling the truth here.

If you're jester and in the jester claims you want me to be telling the truth.
If you're town and in the town claims, you want me to be telling the truth.
If you're jester in the town claims you want me to be telling the truth as more room for elims.
If you're town in the jester claims << This sucks but is unlikely.
If you're mafia in the town claims you like it as less odds to hit your buddy.
If you're mafia in the jester claims << Sucks to be you but not my problem.

LOL Pretty much you only hate my plan if you're mafia.

[Jingle]

Vote Count 3.2

The Handler (0): Raymond Chestnut, Hazel Rofa,
Raymond Chestnut (0): The Handler, Grace Hargreeves,
Sissy Cooper (0):
Grace Hargreeves (0):
Hazel Rofa (0):
Cha Cha (0):
The Swedes (0):


Not Voting (7): Cha Cha, Sissy Cooper, The Swedes,

With 7 alive, it takes 4 votes to eliminate!

Deadline? There is no Deadline!

[Sissy Cooper]

Tbh I thought swedes would drop the jester claim

Gotta reprocess a lot of solve now

[The Handler]

Cool

If you got questions I will pop on as I can but I am handling my eyeballs stuck to my favorite Twitch stream.

[Cha Cha]

wtf happened

you animals

[The Handler]

We all seem to be assuming there's 1 scum in the VT claims and one in the Jesters. What if its actually two scum in the Jester claims and a Jester claimed Town?

I think it's not likely, since I don't read either of the Town claims as Jesters.

Before I forget >> Grace is likely scum if Hazel isn’t. If Grace was town Grace would say “either of the OTHER town claims”. This post implies two town claims when there would be three. It’s not enough to make me question Hazel over Grace but it’s weird.

[The Handler]

wtf happened

you animals

Things and stuff.

[Cha Cha]

can you give me a tldr

[Cha Cha]

I’M NOT TOWN, PLZ KILL ME, THANKS.

wow i cant believe this worked fml

[Sissy Cooper]

So you're holding jester claim cha cha?

[Sissy Cooper]

You should help us decide between ray and swedes then, bearing in mind that if we do not hit the scum in those 2 we all run into some problems?

[The Swedes]

VOTE: Raymond

It's obviously raymond who's the scum, they have the option again to vote for them self but this time its E-1

[Hazel Rofa]

VOTE: Raymond

What now?

[Hazel Rofa]

Also I'm sorry Cha Cha, you did play a good game

[Hazel Rofa]

We all seem to be assuming there's 1 scum in the VT claims and one in the Jesters. What if its actually two scum in the Jester claims and a Jester claimed Town?

I think it's not likely, since I don't read either of the Town claims as Jesters.

Before I forget >> Grace is likely scum if Hazel isn’t. If Grace was town Grace would say “either of the OTHER town claims”. This post implies two town claims when there would be three. It’s not enough to make me question Hazel over Grace but it’s weird.

This would be the obvious shift if you did manage to elimiate me

But that reason is just so bogus.

You are also missing the fact that I explained why my read between you and grace flipped.

Ohwait.... You wouldn't want to put that in your case against me.

Carry on then

[Sissy Cooper]

Also I'm sorry Cha Cha, you did play a good game

I'm confused, did we lose? Was raymond town pretending to be jester?