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Post Post #2825 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:16 pm

Post by Creature »

In post 2823, Bell wrote:Creature, are you cheerleading?
If this is cheerleading then the people at funerals must be toasting in happiness.
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Post Post #2826 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:17 pm

Post by Solstice »

In post 2817, Double the Trouble wrote:MT play misty for me :(
[am i not good enough (ノ﹏ヽ) ]
In post 2749, Bell wrote:
In post 2748, Double the Trouble wrote:Good morning villagers
@Murdercat, they're not scum. I read your old argument, I read their posts. I've read their reactions to pressure. Scum emulate their own town games and their own response to pressure because it's like what they normally would do. You pushing at Noraa town is scummy asf.
[Aha I found Bell's reasoning. My reading comprehension isn't so strong at the moment, bear with me. Okay so I was right that he finds Murder pushing at Noraabear!town scummy and that's basically it.]

[I suppose what I want to know is -- why? Why do you believe that is scummy for Murder to do, Bell? if it's possible to elaborate on, anyway]

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Post Post #2827 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:18 pm

Post by Double the Trouble »

In post 2826, Solstice wrote:[am i not good enough (ノ﹏ヽ) ]
it deeply saddens me that Misty isn't playing :(
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Post Post #2828 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:20 pm

Post by Toogeloo »

VOTE: Polar Bear Express
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Post Post #2829 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:21 pm

Post by Ircher »

This is probably gonna be a long post, so I've spoilered it in sections. I do expect you to read the post in its entirety at some point.

Spoiler: Posts 1951-1978
In post 1952, MURDERCAT wrote:
@Ircher
RE reads list
You have a lot of scum reads and scum leans, no? I count 8 people you seen actively worried about.
Yes, but it's Day 1. Things will become clearer on later days with more flips.
In post 1973, Double the Trouble wrote:Gloria apparently is not giving this game her attention at all and generally when a hydra partner is mostly missing, that slot is more likely to be scum than town.
I don't really agree. One of the reasons people hydra is so that they don't have to constantly post like they do alone. Also, Noraa has mentioned multiple times that Gloria hasn't been feeling well, so it makes sense that Gloria would be in the thread less often.
In post 1973, Double the Trouble wrote:Seriously, if I mapped out this slot's progression on me you would see some really strange red flags
I would like you to do this actually if you have the time. (Moreso for my benefit so that I don't have to wade through 100+ posts to find the relevant ones.)
In post 1973, Double the Trouble wrote:Not Known 15 - Kill
- I've seen townies who are just bad at the game
- I've also seen scum pretend to be these kind of players
- I would kill it regardless
Meh, I don't find reads that amount to "policy eliminate this slot" very useful.
In post 1978, Double the Trouble wrote:even the mastina read in 1817 kinda just feels agenda motivated
and their interactions with spiffeh about me are kinda bad :/
What do you mean by agenda driven here? Like, mastina is one of the biggest proponents of Battle Mage's execution. I think Battle Mage's scum read there is reactionary and OMGUSy in nature.


At this point in time, the day ended and the thread got locked. Since quoting locked threads isn't a possible and since using the PM button for quotes is ugly, I will be referencing post numbers in the remainder of this post and quoting text (with quote marks) as needed.

Spoiler: Pages 80-85
by Dr Easy Bake: "What TV personalities are you familiar with" --> I would like for you to give some reads rather than filling the thread with noise. I would tolerate the occasional noise post if the majority of your posts were content, but when it's all fluff and noise, I am a bit annoyed since I've been perpetually behind this game.

by Dr Easy Bake: "I guarantee you I’ll catch at least one scum based off of the D2 reactions to the D1 elimination and the NK." --> I'm gonna hold you to this. You better have something useful to say towards the beginning of D2.

by Dr Easy Bake: "Despite my feelings about Double they’re disgustingly obvtowning up and down the thread." --> Noted. I'm not sure what to make of this read.

by Solstice: "The last time i saw the "out of left field SvS take early D1, it was from scum. And I disagree with the reads, and i saw a lot of people suspecting Ircher. so good enough for me" --> Correct me if I'm wrong, but this sounds to me like "I saw scum do it once before, so scum must be the main ones who did this stuff." The rest of your read on me aside from the left field part sounds to me like just mindless sheeping of others. That isn't in itself a scum tell (not by a long shot), but it does make me wonder about the way you are approaching this game.

by Solstice: "At this rate, I'm going to continue to null/SL right up until he's abt to be eliminated, where he'll do something emotional or otherwise towny, ill change my mind, then he'll die." --> This feels a little off and definitely a lazy way to approach the Battle Mage read.

by Solstice: "[I think I should make my homework getting a real read on BM/Ircher and probably Double.]" --> Hold up, I thought you already had a read on me? What do you mean by you are going to get a "real read" on me?

by Battle Mage: "surprised you have me as "maybe scum", when the reasons for my wagon generally go back to "I sheep mastina" and you recognise her takes are bad. You haven't given a reason for that read which I can recall as yet." --> Eh, "maybe scum" probably wasn't the proper wording back then. "Null with some scum equity" would be a more apt description (mainly the fact that your activity did have some issues like you posting so many times while V/LA. Not that I necessarily blame you for that, but it did hurt your credibility a little bit.)

by Polar Bear Express: "We are not scum MC and I’m not liking you trying to drive a miselim on us." --> This may be confirmation bias creeping in, but honestly, I think Murder's push on your slot is rather awful. It seems to me that he's pushing your slot because he thinks he can get away with it rather than on any true merit of scum. One post is hardly a case or even compelling evidence, especially when it's mostly based on a tone read. (Granted, is probably one of Polar Bear's worst poss.)

by Polar Bear Express: "This is what Murderkitty is trying to kill us over? When did not wanting to possibly risk miseliming a TPR get considered scummy?" --> I'm pretty sure it's a tonal read and not really based on the actual content of the post.

by MURDERCAT: "Pretty sure you have to explicitly ask Titus this to get an answer. Or maybe Pooky knows?" --> (The question was more to the thread at large than at the moderator as everyone was assuming the mod chose them, but I guess in the end, I should've directed it to the moderator.)

by MURDERCAT: "Do you think that BM, Ircher, and DT are all scum then?" --> Obviously not if you were reading her posts...

by mastina: "Rare is the day that someone says my logic is fundamentally flawed, and then they accurately point out logical reasons that my logic is actually flawed--and when they actually do so, I will fully acknowledge them by owning up to having made a bad argument and listen to their point because of their genuinely good take." -->
@mastina:
I think a general flaw in your way of playing is that you see and express a lot things in black and white with an overwhelming degree of confidence. I feel your reads accuracy as well as your credibility would increase greatly if you took the time to consider the null and alternative hypotheses that do not align with your own alternative hypothesis, and weigh each of them carefully by their likelihood.

Like in this particular context, you decided ahead of time that Battle Mage was scum based on an initial impression and then went to great efforts to find evidence to support your case. I see very little evidence that you ever stopped and asked yourself, "Could this had come from town!Battle Mage?" Instead, you let yourself be overwhelmed by confirmation bias, and well... we saw how this particular instance turned out.

by mastina: "Ever since I had the pleasure of playing with Fonz in that game, I have taken this to heart, and yes, it remains true to this day, and anecdotally I've noticed I follow it myself. (Where as scum when V/LA I use it as an excuse to not be around but as town when V/LA I still try to give something.)" --> While this might be a general trend, you can't just flat out ignore the alternative possibilities and the instances when town does this stuff.

by Polar Bear Express: "I've decided to bow down to all of Gloria's reads, look from a different perspective, and see what comes of it bc I've been really over the top this game :/" --> Uh, we would still like for you to form your own reads, even if you defer a bit more to Gloria's reads.

by Double the Trouble: "did you just defend battle mage for softing PR but not even read the arguements for why he was being pushed?" --> Yes, she did, but I think that post was a townie one from her.

At bottom of page 85.


Spoiler: Pages 86-90.4
by Polar Bear Express: "Some moments I'm thinking I want to defend BM bc he just has to be town
Some moments I'm thinking I should vote BM bc he just has to be scum" This indecisiveness with regards to Battle Mage actually seems really strange. Double the Trouble's post right after sums up my impression of this post very accurately.

by mastina: "And yet, people never cease to be surprised that I'm making reasonable and rational points in my cases." --> Perhaps this is the case because your points have a habit of being overblown and expressed with too much confidence.

by mastina: "No. When you claim to have done an action you've never done before as town or scum, there is, very likely, an alignment-indicative reason for having done it for the first time." --> Is there actually any evidence in support of this? I don't think there is.

by MURDERCAT: "BM I think you basically have to go at some point this game for multiple reasons." --> No, that's not how it works. Either you believe BM is scum and has to go, or you think he is town and let him live. If you think he is town, there is very little reason for you to think that we (the town) should eliminate him. Eliminating scum is
almost always
better than any alternative.

by Polar Bear Express: "Like you've kinda been like 'BM is scummy. Let's lim Noraa today' In translation, 'I agree with consensus but I think we ought to not go with it' I don't think u've been indecisive or conflicted. I think you've been derailing in a very sneaky way." --> I get this impression too. Hence, MURDERCAT remains one of my top scumreads as of rn.

by mastina: "The idea that I have bias in my reads is a scum narrative. (It is an argument almost exclusively made by scum." --> Except it's true. It's quite clear to me that ever since BM posted his first post, you have been biased against him this entire game. An unbiased person would weigh the alternative hypotheses against one's hypothesis and at least attempt to address/acknowledge some of the counterarguments to their case. You have done no such thing towards BM, at least as far as I can tell. (Also, tbf, you aren't the only one guilty of this. Double Trouble also decided upon seeing BM's first post that BM was scum, and nothing was gonna change that for them.)

by mastina: "Yup, and which alignment do you think will contribute less when under this sort of pressure?" --> That's a loaded question. While it wasn't a point in Battle Mage's favor, it wasn't really a point against him because the first several pages also have a lot of noise. In addition, I have very little experience with Battle Mage, so I am wary of making a definitive conclusion too early; that is, the way he posted might just be his style. (And it seems it is.)

At start of post on page 91.

Spoiler: Pages 90.4-96
by mastina: "While the majority of my content is outlining why you are scum, my posts are not exclusively about your scumness" --> This is false. Your last 10 posts have been exactly you outlining your case again and again.

by Netflix and Chill: "I'm fine with the BM elimination if only for the Fonz quote. My other head feels better about this elimination than I do, but I think Mastina is town this game and am willing to trust her on this. Also, BM already claimed VT and running up another slot that may or may not be a town PR seems silly. And I think stalling to use up the full deadline is apathy-inducing and runs the risk of town getting stuck with poor compromise options which are likely to land on miselimination options due to lack of scum cooperation and is also silly." --> I actually don't like this post at all. 1) The Fonz quote, while it may contain a sliver of truth, ultimately isn't something that should be relied olone. There are just too many alternative explanations. 2) Deferring to mastina here just because you think she is town is actually bad, in part because it's obvious (to everyone except her) that her read on Battle Mage is biased. She can be town and yet have terrible reads/terrible cases. 3) The BM claimed VT thing is just pure nonsense. Sure, we probably don't want to force several slots to claim, but it is ridiculous to force town to only run up one slot and eliminate them if they are VT. That's just not something that happens in practice. 4) No one said anything about stalling to the deadline. I'm encouraging people not to rush and be hasty in making decisions; that's not equivalent to stalling.

Page 92 --> Mostly fluff with a twinge of MURDERCAT continuing to make comments that don't advance the game.

Page 93 --> More fluff and a nice comment from pichu.

Page 94 --> Even more fluff.

Page 95 --> Also pure fluff.

Page 96 --> More fluff.

At the bottom of page 96.


Also just a note: I saw the flips and have read some of the surrounding context.
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Post Post #2830 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:25 pm

Post by Bell »

He slow rolled his read of noraa to today. It's like watching someone preparing for the batting box in the deck circle. He's lining it up.
You could argue it's trejectory instead but iso him halfway at the end of the day and tell me you don't see it.
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Post Post #2831 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:26 pm

Post by Ircher »

VOTE: MURDERCAT
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Post Post #2832 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:30 pm

Post by Morning Tweet »

[@Ircher, My read on you D1 could be summed up as "Opposes townreads on people i think are town and also I tend to disagree with the stuff i have read from". After a certain point i stopped reading your posts though, so i couldn't good faith call my read on you a scumread. that's what i meant by "get a real read"]

[what is the primary cause for you behind putting this much effort into a game? I've never seen you make posts this big before, at least I do not believe so]
Bell wrote:He slow rolled his read of noraa to today. It's like watching someone preparing for the batting box in the deck circle. He's lining it up.
You could argue it's trejectory instead but iso him halfway at the end of the day and tell me you don't see it.
[I see. I will definitely think about this when i got time to review. it also is certainly possible that scum!Murdercat is trying to mirror that D1 confidence he had in his reads during Death Scroll (like, they were wrong but he was very sure of them so it came off as towny).]

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Post Post #2833 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:30 pm

Post by Solstice »

In post 2832, Morning Tweet wrote:[@Ircher, My read on you D1 could be summed up as "Opposes townreads on people i think are town and also I tend to disagree with the stuff i have read from". After a certain point i stopped reading your posts though, so i couldn't good faith call my read on you a scumread. that's what i meant by "get a real read"]

[what is the primary cause for you behind putting this much effort into a game? I've never seen you make posts this big before, at least I do not believe so]
Bell wrote:He slow rolled his read of noraa to today. It's like watching someone preparing for the batting box in the deck circle. He's lining it up.
You could argue it's trejectory instead but iso him halfway at the end of the day and tell me you don't see it.
[I see. I will definitely think about this when i got time to review. it also is certainly possible that scum!Murdercat is trying to mirror that D1 confidence he had in his reads during Death Scroll (like, they were wrong but he was very sure of them so it came off as towny).]

~Morning
[Dammit]

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Post Post #2834 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:31 pm

Post by Creature »

Can anyone read Morning Tweet here?
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Post Post #2835 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:32 pm

Post by Creature »

Maybe I'd lean them town but I want to make sure they can't replicate posts like these easily as scum.
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Post Post #2836 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:32 pm

Post by PookyTheMagicalBear »

*flops ears*

you wouldn't be scum here would you tweetie?
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Post Post #2837 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:32 pm

Post by Creature »

Mistyx is still underwhelming but maybe that can be explained by mafiascum's nature of making otherwise active MU users become slanky here.
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Post Post #2838 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:41 pm

Post by Solstice »

In post 2836, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:*flops ears*

you wouldn't be scum here would you tweetie?
[course not! And i'm planning on high efforting so long as i get ear flops as reward if i get scum right. deal? pleaaaaase]

[ill do it anyway even if you dont but it'd be niiceee]

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Post Post #2839 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:44 pm

Post by Solstice »

In post 2789, Bell wrote:
In post 2779, Solstice wrote:hello i have had a very busy week and have not caught up with thread but mt has been helping me sort of keep up

bell, do you think there's a distinct difference in how MC read noraa in the other game as opposed to this one? not in terms of conclusion but in terms of process

~mist
Yes, now that I think about it, the process is different here. But he was more laid back there the context to this game is different so I would expect a different method. For example, Murder just try harded and I don't think I saw a single try hard case in our last game together.
so if you're expecting a different method do you still think it's scummy?

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Post Post #2840 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:46 pm

Post by PookyTheMagicalBear »

tweetie i will give you soooooooooo many ear flops if you catch the baddies.
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Post Post #2841 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:50 pm

Post by Flavor Leaf »

tweet tweet
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Post Post #2842 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:53 pm

Post by Creature »

I'm really annoyed at the current gamestate apathy.
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Post Post #2843 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:54 pm

Post by Creature »

Let's try to push something new:

VOTE: mastina
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Post Post #2844 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:55 pm

Post by Double the Trouble »

In post 2842, Creature wrote:I'm really annoyed at the current gamestate apathy.
just because im sitting back and watching does not mean i'm apathetic mister charizard
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Post Post #2845 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:57 pm

Post by Bell »

In post 2839, Solstice wrote:
In post 2789, Bell wrote:
In post 2779, Solstice wrote:hello i have had a very busy week and have not caught up with thread but mt has been helping me sort of keep up

bell, do you think there's a distinct difference in how MC read noraa in the other game as opposed to this one? not in terms of conclusion but in terms of process

~mist
Yes, now that I think about it, the process is different here. But he was more laid back there the context to this game is different so I would expect a different method. For example, Murder just try harded and I don't think I saw a single try hard case in our last game together.
so if you're expecting a different method do you still think it's scummy?

~mist
Yes.

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Post Post #2846 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 3:58 pm

Post by Creature »

In post 2844, Double the Trouble wrote:
In post 2842, Creature wrote:I'm really annoyed at the current gamestate apathy.
just because im sitting back and watching does not mean i'm apathetic mister charizard
Watching but not acting?
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Post Post #2847 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 4:00 pm

Post by Creature »

Double the Trouble - 498
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Bell - 113
Spiffeh - 111
mastina - 106
Creature - 106
Solstice - 89
Dunnstral - 65
Toogeloo - 48
Ircher - 36
Dr Easy Bake - 25
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Post Post #2848 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 4:01 pm

Post by Creature »

In post 2846, Creature wrote:
In post 2844, Double the Trouble wrote:
In post 2842, Creature wrote:I'm really annoyed at the current gamestate apathy.
just because im sitting back and watching does not mean i'm apathetic mister charizard
Watching but not acting?
Alisae pls
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Post Post #2849 (ISO) » Sat Dec 12, 2020 4:03 pm

Post by Polar Bear Express »

In post 2836, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:*flops ears*

you wouldn't be scum here would you tweetie?
In post 2668, Solstice wrote:[He probably won't even flip scum, that's what's more aggravating than anything else. Here's good old Jigsaw BM arguing with me over bullshit. God damn it dude.]

[Does he even pull this shit on me as scum? Not believing I'm dumb enough to suspect him? I don't know but that's definitely a look I am quite familiar with from my experience with town!BM.]

[Pedit: I guess it's convenient but it's so, so familiar. Again this is why I shouldnt play while pissed, cause yeah I suppose there is scum motivation behind strongly voting for the only other counterwagon. I kinda forgot about that]

~Morning
In post 2674, Solstice wrote:[You're never going to catch me as scum cause i'll just make sure not to step on your toes ever, lol. You've scumread me in every single game we've ever played as soon as I start going against you. It is.. so familiar. I almost forgot what it feels like]

[pedit: I do want to clarify I don't feel you're intentionally personally attacking me, I just am taking it personal a bit because I tried very hard to be objective with that post and you hand-waved it pretty much for no reason other than because I disagree with you.]

[Like -- in what world is ignoring everything mastina says a smarter me? I feel bad for the "I'm ignoring mastina" comment. You said I was smart and everyone should sheep that stance. That's bs, dude.]

[You can clarify that it's not the act of reading into what mastina says, and you are actually scumreading me for some "Morning misinterprets everything I say and bends it to make me scum here!" bull,
but you gotta actually show me where I do that.
]

~Morning
@Pooky, does this sound like scum!MT to you?
Purchase a ticket aboard the Polar Bear Express and see millions of different kinds of polar bears. For example the nancy unicorn polar bears and the noraa ultrafloofy polar bears.

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