Setael wrote:Analysis of the shift from Jedo to Power:
Post 163 I put Jedo at L-1 and the wagon was Quaroath, Doombunny9, Packbat, Nachomamma8, Twistedspoon, me.
Nacho is the first to unvote, saying he still thinks Jedo is scum, but wants to wagon Power.
Both of these are information. Anyone reading the thread can find this out.
Nachomamma8 wrote:And, for the grand finale:
Unvote, Vote: Powerrox
I'm still getting a fairly strong scumread from Jedi, but I can't in good consciousness let Powerlurker coast through this >.>
Seacore votes Power, sheeping Nacho and saying he'd have posted the same thing if Nacho hadn't first. If Jedo is scum, this vote looks really bad as an attempt at momentum for the Power wagon and shifting attention away from Jedo. Well, this combined with Seacore's previous defense/sketchy stance on Jedo's slot.
Then AV, Doombunny and Krypt all vote Power.
Information, again.
Doombunny's move from Jedo to Power is the most cautious - he first posts that he thinks the case is good but wants to hear from both Jedo and Power before he thinks about switching his vote, and he asks Seacore about his vote. When he votes Power a bit later he says it's for Power's omgus Nacho vote and then he says "I was beginning to have to have second thoughts on Jedo anyway assuming what he said about playing to his meta is true."
Information
I don't like this - that first of all he feels he needs to give a reason for unvoting Jedo (I think scum who are bussing would be more likely to do this) and second that it's such a weak reason and he's just assuming about the meta.
First piece of real analysis.
So then Quaroth puts him at L-1, giving a vague reason about him giving little content. He mentions Jedo in this post, but just to accuse him of defending Krypt.
Information
Then Packbat unvotes.
Packbat wrote:
In any case, based on his recent posting, I've decided to
UNVOTE: Jedo the Jedi
...because from the way he's approaching it, he really does seem sincere. Comments on the rest when I finally get to the reread.
Don't like this either. Scum can certainly seem sincere.
Doesn't say Packbat is wrong, just that the reasoning doesn't appeal to her.
So basically, Nacho is the only one who moved from Jedo to Power that I don't find suspicious.
Nice analysis.
So then after the watcher claim, none of the Jedo voters go back to Jedo. Doombunny votes Quaroth saying he's choosing between Pack and Quar for posting few opinions or new info. Doesn't mention Jedo at all. Based on his post when switching, Doom would've been the most likely to re-vote Jedo after the watcher claim. Not mentioning Jedo at all here is suspect.
Information.
Quaroth staying on the Power wagon and not mentioning Jedo is even more suspect, since he supposedly still found Jedo really scummy when he voted Power. Quaroth could've been bussing Jedo and doesn't want to switch back for fear of getting late-day momentum on a wagon he never really wanted to be successful.
Information.
Jedo's my #1 scum read. I think it's very likely that at least one of the Jedo to Power swingers is a scum buddy, and other Power voters could also be buddies who wanted to push the Power wagon to get the pressure off Jedo. (Obviously I'm looking at Seacore here.) Granted, this is all speculation until Jedo flips.
FOS like 5 different people?
I will bake cookies for anyone who votes Jedo. Easter shaped sugar cookies. Bunnies and eggs and such.
I'm willing to vote Quaroth to avoid no lynch, but no one will get cookies in that case.
