Confessional Prompt 31: How do you decide who to take with you to the end and who to cut as the final juror?
I think that cutting Madame D. gives me my best final tribal council matchup. I also think Madame D. is the person here who is most likely to become a jury vote for me. Oracle probably votes for Gustave as a juror. Gustave might be an open vote to be picked up by the best finalist performance but I'm not considering voting Gustave out under any circumstances because we have our agreement to vote together this round.
Peter Whitman:
Madame D. > Richie
This is a vote I think I'm favored to win with Madame D. out of the way
Buckley:
Madame D. > Richie
Same as above
Young Writer:
Richie > Madame D.
Gotta hope Writer is a vote for me going into any matchup
Herman Blume
Richie?
Pretty big question mark to be honest. No idea what he's looking for in a finalist. I never betrayed him and when I voted for him he had given me the explicit OK to do so. Hoping he's in my column but he could just as easily go to Oracle or Gustave.
Duke:
Oracle > Madame D. > Gustave
Not a vote I expect that I can win
Royal Tenenbaum:
Richie > Madame D.
Same as Writer, if this isn't a vote I'm winning there's pretty much no way I'm winning FTC so let's be optimistic about this one
Margot Tenenbaum
Madame D.? > Richie
I'm not sure how much she's going to weigh her feeling of being burned by Madame D. but I have to assume I'm the favorite to win her vote if Madame D. is out of the picture
Suzy Bishop
Oracle > Gustave
I can hope that Suzy will understand why I lost trust in her and understand why I decided to cut her, but coming so close to the end and in such a brutal fashion I'm not counting on winning this vote
Discounting the final juror altogether, I can see a path to five jury votes for me with Madame D. out, and if I can pick up Madame D.'s vote then I have wiggle room if I lose one of the others.