Like, here's the thing, with moves like these that involve a lot of lying and secrecy and finagling. You really have to think through "who benefits the most from this?" Because these types of moves almost always only benefit one person, and unless you have a plan for that, you're usually playing into that one person's game.
I mean, Herman doesn't gain from this. In my eyes, it is impossible for Herman to win from this juncture. If Herman wanted the slightest chance at winning, he'd have to completely change things up and not just continue voting and talking with the people he's been doing so all game. This choice further insulates him and while it may mean he makes FTC, it solidifies his loss there.
The way Oracle went about this pretty much guarantees that closest friends he had outside of that group are almost permanently alienated from him. Does Oracle think he has the best connections in the lot of Suzy/Herman/Writer/Richie? Because that's the only way he doesn't get taken out before FTC. And honestly, I don't see it. Oracle is worried about the wrong threats.
Writer obviously will go with whatever to ensure his survival. But like, barring a challenge streak, Writer's time in this game is limited.
Suzy has played such a good game that this move would probably do the *least* damage to hers, but the problem is in the end that the Madame target alienates Duke/Me/Royal/Gustave to such a degree that you're basically guaranteeing we'll be going down next. That means you have to be sure you can survive amongst the clusterfuck of Oracle/Richie/Writer.
Based on what I'm hearing, Richie probably has the most to benefit from all of this. And honestly, well played to him. But I think the rest are just acting as his pawns currently.
