Survivor: Wes Anderson

Previous Tribes => Camp Ivanhoe => Topic started by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 12:41:26 pm

Title: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 12:41:26 pm
I'll just make the thread first.

So my initial thought is one approach we can take is doing all 5 of the same numbers. eg 99999, 88888, 77777

There might be a more efficient way to approach it, but if there are duplicates of the same number we won't get confused if we think we have a number in the right spot.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 12:46:22 pm
Plus if we learn all the numbers sooner rather than later, we might be able to deduce them by the 15 digit rule.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 12:48:09 pm
Hmmm...so that method is at worst 15, but I feel it is unlikely to ever get a fast solve like a standard mastermind method, not sure how it stacks up against the math method either.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 12:49:38 pm
The thing about the math method is once you have 4 total hits, you know how far away the final one is.

Wait, question if the number is

12399

and we guessed 94444 what would be the result mods?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 12:49:52 pm
Hmmm...so that method is at worst 15, but I feel it is unlikely to ever get a fast solve like a standard mastermind method, not sure how it stacks up against the math method either.

I think it is imperative we do some test runs.

And it's possible it's less than 15 depending on what the numbers we get are. We'd only need 9 guesses at worst to figure out how many of each number there is and then it's just a matter of seeing which combinations of those numbers are fifteen digits away from the number we got.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 12:51:57 pm
Is anyone else around to help with this, I am fading quite fast and it requires at least 2 people to test any strategy
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 12:52:33 pm
I'm around for the next 2-3 hours if anyone wants to do testing with me. I will do my best to be mentally and physically present, but I do have my internship day and while I'm doing it I can't be on my phone.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Brendan on September 09, 2021, 12:53:55 pm
The thing about the math method is once you have 4 total hits, you know how far away the final one is.

Wait, question if the number is

12399

and we guessed 94444 what would be the result mods?

The response would be, "One number correct, not in the correct place."
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 12:54:53 pm
And if for the same thing we guessed

99944 or 99999
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 12:55:38 pm
I would assume in the first one, two numbers correct, not in the correct place.

The second would be two numbers correct, and in the correct place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 12:56:42 pm
So in the first one, the 4s or the 9s are correct just not in the right spot, eg 44xxx, x44xx, xxx99

the second one that implies 99xxx, x99xx, xx99x, or xxx99
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 12:57:22 pm
Probably, want to be extra sure before we trial it
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 12:57:32 pm
Oh I take that back. in the 1st one it could be 1 4 and 1 9 as well.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 12:58:41 pm
if it was 1 9 and 1 4 you would potentially also have 4xx9x, 4xxx9, x4x9x, x4xx9, xx49x, xx4x9 so in the end you have way more possibilities on 1 than you would on 2.

If I'm following the logic correct.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Brendan on September 09, 2021, 12:59:43 pm
And if for the same thing we guessed

99944 or 99999

First one would give you "two numbers correct, zero in the correct place"

Second one would give you "two numbers correct, two in the correct place"

So yes, what Oracle said.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:00:36 pm
And that would also mean for the 2nd guess, 9x9xx, 9xx9x, 9xxx9, x9x9x, x9xx9 or xx9x9 would also be possible.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:01:22 pm
So I think technically the first guess yields 9 possible results while the second guess yields 10 unless I am mistaken.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:01:40 pm
Coolio. I already generated and scrambled if you want to try. Might make some more for later runs.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:02:00 pm
Coolio. I already generated and scrambled if you want to try. Might make some more for later runs.

Let's do it, give me the fake number. Make sure it is off by 15 dials.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:02:17 pm
87826
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:02:48 pm
87826

Guess 1: 88888
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:03:24 pm
No numbers correct
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:03:36 pm
No numbers correct

Guess 2: 33333
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:04:07 pm
One correct, in the right place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:04:32 pm
One correct, in the right place

Guess 3: 55555
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:05:03 pm
None correct
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:05:24 pm
None correct

Guess 4: 00000
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:05:59 pm
None correct
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:06:50 pm
None correct

Guess 5: 22222
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:07:16 pm
None correct
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:07:41 pm
None correct

Guess 6: 99999
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:08:17 pm
None correct
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:08:53 pm
None correct

Guess 7: 66666
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:09:05 pm
2 correct, in the right place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:13:12 pm
2 correct, in the right place

Guess 8: 44444
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:13:28 pm
1 correct in the right place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:14:23 pm
Okay so now I could waste a turn trying to figure out if it's 1 or 7 for the last digit, but with 4 digits, I think it's time to start placing them. I probably could have done this last round and was debating it.

63641
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:15:12 pm
4 correct, 1 in the right place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:20:56 pm
4 correct, 1 in the right place

So this means the final number is 7, not 1. I also now know where some of the numbers aren't

My digits are 6 6 4 3 7

It's time to see if I can now place them 15 digits from the given number

the number is 87826

1st digit is 3 4 or 7
2nd digit is 6 4 or 7
3rd digit is 3 4 or 7
4th digit is 3 6 or 7
5th digit is 3 4 or 6

So it's time to start trying combinations

76463 which is 13 and cannot work
74366 which is 13 and cannot work
37466 which is 13 and cannot work
34766 which is 13 and cannot work
46376 which is 15

My next guess is 46376
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:21:59 pm
5 correct, 2 in the correct place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:24:34 pm
For the record I would normally take a lot more time to list out every possibility I can think of.

36476
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:25:00 pm
5 correct, 3 in the correct place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:27:22 pm
5 correct, 3 in the correct place

46376
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:28:17 pm
5 correct, 2 in the correct place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:28:49 pm
Oh my god I'd already guessed that. Pretty sure I'd have help if I was doing this haha.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:31:20 pm
Btw after you do get it, mind running one for me, I have an improvement on this I want to try, though we should also do a mastermind trial
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:32:48 pm
5 correct, 2 in the correct place

Well with my blunder I now now the 1st spot is 3 or 4 and the 3rd spot is 3 or 4.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:33:54 pm
5 correct, 2 in the correct place

Well with my blunder I now now the 1st spot is 3 or 4 and the 3rd spot is 3 or 4.
Ignore that. No I don't. Either the 1st spot is 3 or the 3rd spot is 4. That's what I know.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:36:19 pm
Since this is practice, I know the following is not correct but I'm trying it anyways

36467
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:37:29 pm
5 correct, 2 in the right place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:40:21 pm
34676
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:41:23 pm
5 correct, 1 in right place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:42:32 pm
I think something incorrect happened at some point. The numbers don't work out.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:43:37 pm
Could you tell me the answer? Let's pretend I give up so I can make you a series of numbers that you can try a strategy on.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:44:15 pm
Nope double checked
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:44:31 pm
answer was 66473
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:45:40 pm
answer was 66473

I see where my logic went wrong looking at this number now. Okay let me generate you a number. (this is why you don't want just 1 person doing all of this btw. We all are definitely going to need help.)
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:46:13 pm
Tell me when you've shuffled. I'll tell you my first 3 guesses since they won't change and we can do it quickly
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:47:53 pm
The safe displays 63197
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:48:08 pm
Guess 1: 11100

Guess 2: 22233

Guess 3: 44455
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:48:57 pm
Guess 1: 11100

Guess 2: 22233

Guess 3: 44455

Guess 1: 1 correct, not in correct place
Guess 2: 1 correct, not in correct place
Guess 3: 2 correct, not in correct place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:49:48 pm
Hold up sorry

for the 3rd guess, 2 are correct, 1 is in the correct place, 1 isn't.

My bad.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:50:14 pm
Guess 4: 77766
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:50:44 pm
Guess 4: 77766

Nothing.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 01:53:08 pm
Guess 5: 11111

Guess 6: 33333

Guess 7: 44444
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:53:51 pm
Guess 5: 11111

Guess 6: 33333

Guess 7: 44444


Guess 5: nothing
Guess 6: nothing
Guess 7: 2 correct, in the correct place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 01:58:45 pm
Also I'm now realizing when I had 5 correct, 3 in place I could have just kept swapping pairs of numbers and I feel dumb.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 02:00:52 pm
Are you sure it's 15 off using the most efficient paths?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 02:02:05 pm
Are you sure it's 15 off using the most efficient paths?

I believe so yes. I've written it out and the numbers seem to work.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 02:02:51 pm
Nvm

Guess 8: 94042
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 02:03:07 pm
Nvm

Guess 8: 94042
and just like magic you have the number in 8 guesses.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 02:04:00 pm
Not like magic, the method both makes it clear teh numbers are and which 2/3 places they are in, that was the only one that also was off by 15
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 02:04:31 pm
Not like magic, the method both makes it clear teh numbers are and which 2/3 places they are in, that was the only one that also was off by 15

It appears your method is much more efficient than mine. I'd be willing to try again if you want to be sure it wasn't a fluke?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 02:05:23 pm
I wanna go one more time with it to prove it's not a fluke, and someone can try Sam's and someone can play mastermind tomorrow. Mastermind might be stronger tbh
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 02:08:00 pm
I wanna go one more time with it to prove it's not a fluke, and someone can try Sam's and someone can play mastermind tomorrow. Mastermind might be stronger tbh

I definitely want to see how sam's method works out and if it gets us there faster. This was just the first thing that popped into my mind, but you've improved upon it which is super impressive.

The safe displays 81256
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 02:08:22 pm
Guess 1: 11100

Guess 2: 22233

Guess 3: 44455
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 02:09:35 pm
Guess 1: 11100

Guess 2: 22233

Guess 3: 44455


Guess 1: 2 correct, none in right spot
Guess 2: nothing
Guess 3: 1 correct, in correct spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 02:10:14 pm
Guess 4: 77766
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 02:11:00 pm
Guess 4: 77766

1 correct, none in right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 02:12:12 pm
Guess 5: 11111

Guess 6: 44444

Guess 7: 77777
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 02:12:56 pm
Guess 5: 11111

Guess 6: 44444

Guess 7: 77777

Guess 5: 1 correct, in correct spot
Guess 6: 1 correct, in correct spot
Guess 7: nothing
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 02:16:36 pm
Guess 8: 40618
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 02:17:41 pm
Guess 8: 40618

5 correct, none in the correct spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 02:18:59 pm
Guess 9: 64081
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 02:19:18 pm
Guess 9: 64081

Ding ding ding. 9 guesses.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 02:21:00 pm
Cool so it's consistent around 8 or 9 guesses I think. 7 that tell you everything you need to know, and then there's only a few combos out from there. I am curious if mastermind can consistently get 5, but this would be a very fast time wise solve at least.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 02:22:14 pm
I suppose you could get really lucky in the early guesses (the best I think can reasonably happen is 2 2 corrects and a 1 correct), in which case you can probably get it down to 6 guesses with some luck.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 02:23:59 pm
Cool so it's consistent around 8 or 9 guesses I think. 7 that tell you everything you need to know, and then there's only a few combos out from there. I am curious if mastermind can consistently get 5, but this would be a very fast time wise solve at least.

So to confirm, your first three guesses are always 11100, 22233, 44455, then your next 1 guess is 77766, and your final 3 guesses are all the same number, 2 of which appear to deal with two of the numbers you've already tested and then the other one based on whether 77766 results you anything or not and if not then one of the two remainders and then it's just a matter of slotting after?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 02:31:27 pm
The way I picutre it is.

Phase 1: Basic Probing
Phase 2: Clarifying
Phase 3: Guessing

Phase 1 you just guess combinations of two numbers like XXXYY that are each different than each other until you've identified 4 number slots and you've covered 8/10 numbers.
Phase 2 you guess 3/4 XXXXXs that gave you numbers in the first phase. This will tell you 4 numbers and whether they are in the first 3 or last 3 slots.
Phase 3 you just use the restriction of clicks and the positions to put together a number that fulfils all the information, of which there should only be a handful.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Richie Tenenbaum on September 09, 2021, 02:31:46 pm
You guys are troopers, thanks for testing these strategies out.  I think this strategy that is consistent in the 8 or 9 guess range is going to be the best bet, barring some test runs of Sam's strategy.  Mastermind might be capable of producing faster solves with some early guess luck but not with that kind of reliability, and we already know we win the digit sum tiebreaker.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 02:36:15 pm
Good. I'm mostly freeish tomorrow to help test strategies, of course I do believe I tend to wake late compared to the rest of you.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 02:44:36 pm
Good. I'm mostly freeish tomorrow to help test strategies, of course I do believe I tend to wake late compared to the rest of you.

I wouldn't mind trying against a number you have, but if you have to go to bed that's totally fine!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Richie Tenenbaum on September 09, 2021, 02:52:27 pm
Oracle I'll run a number for you to practice on give me a second
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 02:52:45 pm
Oracle I'll run a number for you to practice on give me a second

No rush. I'm probably going to be up another hour yet.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Richie Tenenbaum on September 09, 2021, 02:54:26 pm
The safe shows:

57984
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 03:00:24 pm
The safe shows:

57984

Guess 1: 11100

Guess 2: 22233

Guess 3: 44455
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Richie Tenenbaum on September 09, 2021, 03:02:26 pm
1: 3 correct, 0 in correct spot
2: 1 correct, 1 in correct spot
3: 0 correct
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 03:04:34 pm
1: 3 correct, 0 in correct spot
2: 1 correct, 1 in correct spot
3: 0 correct

I could just follow the plan, or since this is practice I could try something a little unorthodox.

Guess 4: 88899
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Richie Tenenbaum on September 09, 2021, 03:05:30 pm
4: 0 correct
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 03:06:04 pm
4: 0 correct

Guess 5: 22222

Guess 6: 77777
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Richie Tenenbaum on September 09, 2021, 03:07:02 pm
5: 1 correct, 1 in correct spot
6: 0 correct
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 03:10:43 pm
So for the record in this case, I really didn't need to guess 22222, that's good to know for me. That's 1 wasted guess. I already knew where the 2 was.

Guess 7: 20611
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Richie Tenenbaum on September 09, 2021, 03:11:46 pm
Bingo
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 03:11:59 pm
So in theory I could have done that in 6 guesses.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Richie Tenenbaum on September 09, 2021, 03:13:11 pm
So obviously we're throwing out multiple guesses to speed up our testing but in the real deal we'll get one at a time.  If we get a lucky spread like this number we can reduce the number of probing guesses needed.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 03:14:30 pm
Yeah either way we seem to be in a 6-9ish solve range.

I'm interested to see how Sam's method works for this, but at the least we have a solid strategy pending ridiculously lucky guesses.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 03:19:11 pm
Also communication after each guess is going to be absolutely key, because if I had someone helping me they could have let me know that 22222 was a bad guess. So before we post we should at least have 1 person look over the guess and make sure we don't already know the information.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: M. Gustave on September 09, 2021, 04:48:20 pm
you're all wonderful, and i think i actually understand this method and could fill in as a guesser if wanted/needed. do we still want to test sam's method?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Herman Blume on September 09, 2021, 06:27:10 pm
The method that has been workshopped the most in this thread seems solid, but we should definitely try Sam's method if there is time just because it's so different.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Duke on September 09, 2021, 06:59:17 pm
Still trying to figure things out but I *think* you've landed on a winner here. My one concern with Writer's method is the possibility of three numbers being the same, when that number is one of the ones you only use twice in your tests.

I'm not actually even sure that trips it up though, it's just a concern. Also quite a bit of an edge case and not one I'd expect them to go for.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Sam Shakusky on September 09, 2021, 08:31:19 pm
I don't think my method is better than what you guys have right now, but if someone's around I'd love to try a practice with it.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Sam Shakusky on September 09, 2021, 09:08:20 pm
Alright I did a test with YW's and Richie's in this thread.

It also got Richie's in 6 guesses:
68095
46873
79106
35762
57984
20611

And Young Writers is a coin flip between 9 and 10 guesses:
98937
76715
09048
65604
87826
21260
43482
10159
46673 OR 66473
The other
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 09, 2021, 09:13:17 pm
I can help for a bit now, if you still need it
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Sam Shakusky on September 09, 2021, 09:19:55 pm
Okay! Give me a shuffled codes so I can run through guesses.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 09, 2021, 09:22:25 pm
75262
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Sam Shakusky on September 09, 2021, 09:22:53 pm
Guess 1: 86373
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 09, 2021, 09:24:03 pm
1 right, wrong spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Sam Shakusky on September 09, 2021, 09:24:25 pm
Guess 2: 64151
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 09, 2021, 09:25:32 pm
0 right
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Sam Shakusky on September 09, 2021, 09:26:26 pm
Guess 3: 97484
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 09, 2021, 09:26:50 pm
2 right, wrong spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Sam Shakusky on September 09, 2021, 09:27:19 pm
Guess 4: 53040
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 09, 2021, 09:28:34 pm
0 right
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Sam Shakusky on September 09, 2021, 09:28:58 pm
Guess 5: 75262
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 09, 2021, 09:29:46 pm
2 right, 1 right spot, 1 not
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Sam Shakusky on September 09, 2021, 09:31:46 pm
Guess 6:19606
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 09, 2021, 09:33:30 pm
1 right, wrong spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Sam Shakusky on September 09, 2021, 09:36:58 pm
Guess: 41939
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 09, 2021, 09:37:59 pm
1 right, right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Sam Shakusky on September 09, 2021, 09:40:08 pm
Gahh I'm lost in numbers.
Let's just go with Oracle's
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 09, 2021, 09:42:42 pm
I suppose 28229 can be tricky :I
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Sam Shakusky on September 09, 2021, 09:47:41 pm
I mistook my notes then; At some point I convinced myself there had to be a 7 which meant there couldn't be an 8.

Oracle's strat  has the huge benefit of simplicity, so I think we should be using that now.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 09, 2021, 10:56:14 pm
I mistook my notes then; At some point I convinced myself there had to be a 7 which meant there couldn't be an 8.

Oracle's strat  has the huge benefit of simplicity, so I think we should be using that now.

I mean I can’t take all the credit, Young Writer really cut the number of turns by nearly 1/2 to 1/3. I appreciate the sentiment though!

I guess if you don’t want to try it again with perhaps another number then we can start thinking about when to start cracking this safe!

I have to start getting ready for my thing though. Ill check in as soon as I can. Ideally if young writer or anyone else who feels confident wants to start that might be best.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 09, 2021, 11:04:19 pm
I'm here, but I feel more as moral support. I can try my best though. This is definitely not my strongsuit.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 11:33:22 pm
I wouldn't mind trying the sam method once more, adapted oracle method can also get bodied by there being 3 of one number
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 11:34:03 pm
Also with the spreadsheet we can avoid getting lost
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 11:40:01 pm
We should likely avoid mastermind as it just gets bodied by even a single repeat which has a decent chance of occuring.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 09, 2021, 11:42:59 pm
Actually I do have an idea that might make sam's method more consistent, anyone around to help me try in like 15 or so?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 09, 2021, 11:58:08 pm
I can try my best to help! I'll be here!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 12:04:42 am
So long as you can generate a number, shuffle it by 15 and give accurate responses to guesses you are good.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 12:05:50 am
Yes that sounds good!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 12:08:13 am
Wonderful, just give me a shuffled number and we should be good!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 12:10:03 am
Ok! The shuffled number is 67356
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 12:11:15 am
90689
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 12:16:14 am
What's are the correct and in the right place numbers?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 12:16:59 am
Well I mean what's the response to the guess, specific numbers being in the right place is not what I mean to ask for.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 12:18:07 am
Sorry! I had to step out for a moment.

No numbers correct.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 12:21:26 am
34023
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 12:21:59 am
Two numbers correct, both in wrong spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 12:22:16 am
Oops sorry, 3 numbers correct, all wrong spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 12:23:24 am
Oh my god I am a mess.

In the first number you guessed 90689 -- 1 number right, correct spot
34023 -- 3 numbers right, 0 correct spots
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 12:26:13 am
I can also create a new number for you if this has derailed the process too much!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 12:27:16 am
23712
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 12:27:38 am
No need to make a new number
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 12:31:01 am
2 correct numbers, both wrong spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 12:33:15 am
12801
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 12:35:59 am
3 numbers correct, 1 in right spot, 2 in wrong spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 12:40:14 am
10238
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 12:41:48 am
Ugh, just realized it's impossible for that to be correct
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 12:42:38 am
Do you want to do a different guess?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 12:43:27 am
Yeah, I'd do
10230

instead
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 12:44:22 am
3 numbers correct, all in right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 12:50:54 am
10533
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 12:52:02 am
2 numbers correct, both in the right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 12:58:48 am
10140
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 01:00:30 am
3 numbers correct, 2 in right spot, 1 in wrong spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:03:24 am
I give up on this one. BUT don't reveal it. Instead let's use the other method on this number.

Guess 1: 11100
Guess 2: 22233
Guess 3: 44455
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 01:05:07 am
Guess 1: 2 numbers correct, 1 in right spot
Guess 2: 1 number correct, 1 in right spot
Guess 3: 2 numbers correct, 1 in right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:06:15 am
Guess 4: 11111
Guess 5: 44444
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 01:06:56 am
Guess 4: 1 number correct, 1 in right spot
Guess 5: 1 number correct, 1 in right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:15:15 am
It is indeed 15 off, right?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:15:55 am
Just an fyi I don’t think guess 4 or 5 helped you so I probably would have just started slotting things to the original safe number after guess 3.

On a quick break but not here for long.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 01:17:15 am
I do believe that it's 15 off! Should I reveal the number? I don't have complete confidence in myself lol.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:17:23 am
Oh wait you confirmed only 1 1 and 1 4. Nvm ignore me.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:18:28 am
I think I know what it is but if it is you didn't shuffle with the most efficient route.

Is it 10245?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:19:07 am
A possible guess that I think works is 12045.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 01:19:48 am
Yes it's 10245!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:20:15 am
Yeah you shuffled it incorrectly. the 0 is only 3 off, not 7.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:20:56 am
Yeah you shuffled it incorrectly. the 0 is only 3 off, not 7.
would my solution have worked if the 2 and 0 switched?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 01:21:35 am
Oh whoops! I didn't realize that it could go backwards lol.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:22:15 am
Im going to make myself available for you young writer. Do you want to try your modified sam method again?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:23:04 am
Yeah you shuffled it incorrectly. the 0 is only 3 off, not 7.
would my solution have worked if the 2 and 0 switched?

Yes it would have, that was 15 off.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:23:36 am
I would like to try the modified sam method once more it's unclear if it was the shuffle or the method that had me off the right path.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:23:54 am
Give me 3 minutes.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:24:20 am
No problem I need to make lunch, it will be quick
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:26:17 am
Display on safe us 74208.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:32:21 am
Oh whoops! I didn't realize that it could go backwards lol.
This challenge can be very confusing to understand how all the rules work. Don’t worry, it’s just great you are helping because the more people who understand the better we can work together when we go to solve this for real.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:33:50 am
I am ready
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:34:09 am
Display on safe us 74208.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:34:40 am
Guess 1: 07531
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:35:47 am
Guess 1: 07531

2 correct, 0 in right place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:37:18 am
41975
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 01:37:42 am
Oh whoops! I didn't realize that it could go backwards lol.
This challenge can be very confusing to understand how all the rules work. Don’t worry, it’s just great you are helping because the more people who understand the better we can work together when we go to solve this for real.

I'm going to be following along you and Writer to see how it'd go!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:38:11 am
41975
1 correct, 0 in right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:40:46 am
Guess 3: 18642
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:41:33 am
Guess 3: 18642
3 correct, 1 in right spot.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:48:01 am
Guess 4: 16364
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:48:37 am
Guess 4: 16364

4 correct, 1 in right spot.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:52:47 am
Guess 5: 14634
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:53:48 am
Guess 5: 14634
3 correct, 0 in right place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:55:33 am
OMG I'm a fool.... I knew 4 was impossible on both of those previous guesses....
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 01:58:43 am
36133
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 01:59:43 am
36133
3 correct, 2 in right spot.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:07:20 am
Guess 7: 68163
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 02:08:10 am
Guess 7: 68163
5 correct, 3 in right spot.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:12:01 am
Guess 8: 38166
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 02:12:36 am
Got it.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:14:31 am
Hmmm frankly...all the pieces to get it were definitely there earlier. I think without the blunder with the 4s, and realizing there HAD to be 2 6s earlier. Getting that in 6 was probable.

Also modified oracle guesses would require at least 7 to get it.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:15:33 am
I think I want to try modified sam (which to be clear is just go +3, -3 and then one other one depending on the digits that you know are in/out and then start guessing sums with 15.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 02:15:57 am
I can run again in 15 mins but I need to go right now, supervisor has been around checking.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 02:16:30 am
If anyone else can help run, would be appreciated.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 02:17:48 am
I'm here and can try to help running again. I was following the previous run a bit so my shuffling should be better.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 02:18:22 am
I know that my run may be faulty though, so I'm okay if you'd rather wait for Oracle to come back.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:21:49 am
if you mess up we can just do another run with Oracle. So let's do it
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 02:22:46 am
okay! Shuffled number 55409!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:23:46 am
Guess 1: 88732
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 02:25:24 am
lol maybe the shuffling was too easy!

4 numbers correct, 2 in right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:27:27 am
27832
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 02:29:39 am
4 numbers correct, 1 in right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:33:10 am
Guess 3: 28713
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 02:34:39 am
4 numbers correct, 1 in right place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:40:22 am
Guess 4: 02738
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 02:41:04 am
5 numbers correct, 2 in the right place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:49:58 am
Guess 5: 03782
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:50:26 am
Sorry it is very hard to think through everything but I think this is a good guess
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 02:50:56 am
Guess 5: 03782

You got it!!!!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 02:51:30 am
I am so impressed!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Herman Blume on September 10, 2021, 02:53:34 am
When do you think we'll try actually cracking the safe? I want to make sure to be around for that as we debate our next guesses etc.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:54:34 am
It's mostly logical deduction. The skill ceiling is much higher (and it's just a modified mastermind method combined with some of sam's method) but it's still far better than the modified oracle method. I'll be busy for a couple hours but I should be free at least an hour and a half before deadline to try again.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:54:52 am
Try on the actual safe to be clear.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:55:15 am
If we are decided on a method we can put in the first guess now of course.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 02:56:29 am
Should at least wait for Oracle to get back though.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 02:57:30 am
The amount of time it takes someone to do this is going to be significantly less than the time we have spent perfecting these methods.

Young Writer, I don’t really understand sam’s method like you do and since you are pretty well versed on those do you have one you believe will likely yield the correct result faster? I know its a slight crapshoot depending on the numbers present, but still you have the best feel at this time fmpov.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 02:59:12 am
We should definitely wait for Oracle and maybe some others to trickle in.

I unfortunately have something from 6:30-7:30 EST so I may not be around right as the challenge starts.
I'm happy to continue helping others practice and what not though until that time. I don't know how helpful I will actually be for the challenge though.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 03:02:05 am
I mean, I only use Sam's method until there's sufficient knowledge of digits to use the mastermind. It appears to have a better result than any of the others (and even botching it earlier was still likely as good as better as the other method). So I'd reccomend it, though It's likely I need to be around over any discussion using it.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 03:03:41 am
What if we practice on the real numbers? I'll ask the mods for the other team's code so I can test y'all :P

What if we do test on the given number, but the hidden/starting number is 15 clicks away not necessarily the real code? Would that not help on deciding the optimal first 1 or 2 guesses?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 03:03:51 am
I mean, I only use Sam's method until there's sufficient knowledge of digits to use the mastermind. It appears to have a better result than any of the others (and even botching it earlier was still likely as good as better as the other method). So I'd reccomend it, though It's likely I need to be around over any discussion using it.
So here is my next suggestion. I want us to practice communication on this together. If suzy generates a number, and you use sam’s method perhaps I can pipe in to see if two people doing it is more or less confusing?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 03:04:43 am
Or anyone could generate a number for us or offer input etc.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 03:06:18 am
I unfortunately need to leave so that isn't feasible
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 03:07:16 am
I unfortunately need to leave so that isn't feasible
oh no, I hope everything is okay.

Are you going to be back?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 03:16:09 am
I might try to learn sam’s method soon and see if I can understand how YW did it.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 03:19:23 am
I'm kind of tempted to calculate every possiblity of 15 moves from what we were given
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 03:22:52 am
I mean if you want to I don’t think it’s a horrible idea but be really careful because even missing a couple (and there has to be thousands) could be bad.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 03:25:09 am
Err actually it might not be more than a couple hundred. Thousands might be an exaggeration.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 03:25:18 am
I mean I just have to not miss the real one .-.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 03:25:46 am
Oh I simply have meetings to attend I should be back in around 3ish hours, maybe less.

Here are the basic principles of what I guess.

1. First Guess every number +3 and then every number -3, this is a possible combination and feels likely at least one will pop up. If one of these results gives over 4 numbers, then you just move them around while making valid combinations and slotting in a fifth number.

2. Next think go for a group you think has the remaining numbers, if very few of the +3/-3 appear, then you know that there need to be a good number of +/- 4s or 5s, since the only combos that add up to 5 are 4/1,3/2 and 5/0 and the lack of 3s means the only high numbers can be 4s and 5s. You should only need to guess one of these, maybe 2. Always go for the one with the most different digits.

3. From these the number correct will tell you the digits, and the in the right place will tell you the rough composition of the sum so far. Then you just start shuffling around with a guess on what you think happened but be careful to not have contradictory ideas (i.e if you know 3 of the first guess are in there, don't guess 4 of those numbers).

It's not super well defined but that's the jist.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 03:26:30 am
I will be here to generate numbers! I think I can confidently do it without messing up now.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 03:31:54 am
For dog poops and giggles someone give me a scrambler and ill see if I can make heads or dog tails of it.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 03:34:15 am
For dog poops and giggles someone give me a scrambler and ill see if I can make heads or dog tails of it.

Okay! Shuffled number is 63470
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 03:35:13 am
For dog poops and giggles someone give me a scrambler and ill see if I can make heads or dog tails of it.

Okay! Shuffled number is 63470

Okay so working through this verbally, my first guess should be +3

1: 96703
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 03:37:13 am
2 correct numbers, 1 in right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 03:43:24 am
Then per the instructions since I didn’t get 4 correct back I should guess the next as -3

2: 30147
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 03:45:25 am
2 correct numbers, 0 correct spots
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 03:50:25 am
This is where things about YW and sam’s method that start not to make sense to me.

So based on the info I’m guessing that two of 7 0 3 are the right numbers but thats a dangerous assumption. 9 and 6 and 4 and 1 all feel like they could be wrong but I’m worried maybe swapping one for another might have caused something.

Does anyone who isn’t suzy know where I would want to go next with my thinking?

Would 35708 be a decent next guess? I’m pretty sure that’s 15 but I know its not the only.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 03:51:51 am
Do a +4 or a 5 whichever has fewer digits in common
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 03:52:32 am
Or a -4
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 03:54:51 am
Do a +4 or a 5 whichever has fewer digits in common
Okay so then if i do +5

3: 18925 I think has the most unique with only 1. That’s a guess fyi Suzy.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 03:55:48 am
I'm halfway done with the easier part:P
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 04:00:10 am
3: 18925

In case this was missed.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 04:00:49 am
Do a +4 or a 5 whichever has fewer digits in common
Okay so then if i do +5

3: 18925 I think has the most unique with only 1. That’s a guess fyi Suzy.

18925
3 numbers correct, 2 in right spot, 1 in wrong spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 04:01:19 am
Do a +4 or a 5 whichever has fewer digits in common
Okay so then if i do +5

3: 18925 I think has the most unique with only 1. That’s a guess fyi Suzy.

18925
3 numbers correct, 2 in right spot, 1 in wrong spot

Fascinating let me stew on this a bit.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 04:04:27 am
Gonna spoiler thoughts
Spoiler
so ya gotta start assembling and note 2 slots are +5 and one is +3, so the remaining 2 are either 1 1 or 2 0
[close]
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 04:05:04 am
Okay about to go grab food, this is where i am at:

Number: 63470
1: 96703 (2 correct, 1 right spot) +3
2: 30147 (2 correct, 0 right spot)-3
3: 18925 (3 correct, 2 right spot) +5

I will be back in a few mins but if anyone can help me work through the logic I would appreciate it.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 04:09:19 am
Got it so the other two have to be off either 1/1 (+ or -) or 2/0 (+ or -)

Okay I’m going to eat for a few mins and then see if anything pops out at me.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 04:20:59 am
Okay I’m back and thinking.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 04:30:00 am
Okay so working through the earlier logic thanks to YW, I would thusly know

63470 is 0 away obviously
85692 is +2 away
41258 is -2 away
74581 is +1 away
52369 is -1 away

these are the only remaining possibilities. I don't personally think I know enough information (or at least I feel too stupid to recognize what the obvious answer is), but if I want to get anywhere I need to give another guess and then someone can talk me through maybe how I could have gotten here without this guess:

4: 14930 is 15 digits away let's try it.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 04:32:16 am
2 numbers correct, 1 in right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 04:35:51 am
5: 15820
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 04:40:23 am
2 correct, 1 in right place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 04:46:57 am
I'm getting kind of frustrated. It's no one's fault this is just where my brain fails me and I know the answer is probably staring me in the face. It would help if anyone would communicate with me during this part.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 04:49:11 am
1: 96703 (2 correct, 1 right spot) +3
2: 30147 (2 correct, 0 right spot)-3
3: 18925 (3 correct, 2 right spot) +5
4. 14930 (2 correct, 1 right spot)
5. 15820 (2 correct 1 right spot)

63470 is 0 away
85692 is +2 away
41258 is -2 away
74581 is +1 away
52369 is -1 away

This is what I have so far. Sorry if I seem frustrated. Ear droop.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 04:50:38 am
Not sure where Writer went!! I'm sorry you're frustrated :( this puzzle goes way over my head.
I may have also scrambled incorrectly so we can stop and try a different one if you'd like!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 04:51:07 am
Alright fuck it. I'm just gonna get the number and someone smarter than me can figure this out.

6: 85692
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 04:52:24 am
2 numbers right, no correct spots.

This is making me feel like something went wrong on my end
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Duke on September 10, 2021, 04:53:38 am
2 numbers right, no correct spots.

This is making me feel like something went wrong on my end

DM me the correct number and I'll double check?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 04:58:31 am
2 numbers right, no correct spots.

This is making me feel like something went wrong on my end

Nah I'm just such a dunce when it comes to stuff beyond the method I posted because that was easy for me haha. Sam and YW are much smarter than me and have a better logic oriented brain than I do.

So now I know it's not 2/0 and it has to be 5 5 3 1 1 for the total difference in the numbers.

74581 is +1 away
52369 is -1 away

1: 96703 (2 correct, 1 right spot) +3
2: 30147 (2 correct, 0 right spot)-3
3: 18925 (3 correct, 2 right spot) +5
4. 14930 (2 correct, 1 right spot)
5. 15820 (2 correct 1 right spot)
6: 85692 (2 correct, 0 right spot) +2

I will say there's something odd about 3 and 6. 3 were correct for 18925 and only 2 85692 meaning that likely 1 is in the final solution somewhere it also means only 2 of 8 5 9 2 are correct.

7: 12983
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 04:58:58 am
2 numbers right, no correct spots.

This is making me feel like something went wrong on my end

DM me the correct number and I'll double check?

I dmed you the number. Thanks for checking :)
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 05:00:48 am
2 numbers right, no correct spots.

This is making me feel like something went wrong on my end

Nah I'm just such a dunce when it comes to stuff beyond the method I posted because that was easy for me haha. Sam and YW are much smarter than me and have a better logic oriented brain than I do.

So now I know it's not 2/0 and it has to be 5 5 3 1 1 for the total difference in the numbers.

74581 is +1 away
52369 is -1 away

1: 96703 (2 correct, 1 right spot) +3
2: 30147 (2 correct, 0 right spot)-3
3: 18925 (3 correct, 2 right spot) +5
4. 14930 (2 correct, 1 right spot)
5. 15820 (2 correct 1 right spot)
6: 85692 (2 correct, 0 right spot) +2

I will say there's something odd about 3 and 6. 3 were correct for 18925 and only 2 85692 meaning that likely 1 is in the final solution somewhere it also means only 2 of 8 5 9 2 are correct.

7: 12983

Honestly it's so hard for me to follow the logic behind any of this so I can't really give feedback in that direction.
for 12983, 3 numbers correct, 1 in right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 05:02:21 am
8: 98981
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 05:03:22 am
3 correct numbers, 1 correct spot


Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 05:04:25 am
9: 18769
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 05:05:08 am
9. 4 correct numbers, 3 in the right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 05:06:02 am
Oh god, Duke just got back to me and it seems I've shifted the number by 16 so I think you've gotten as close as possible! Maths is really not my thing and I apologize!!!!!!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:07:05 am
I think you missed directives about digits, your foruth guess was known to be way off because of your second guess. I think I'll try a run with the method and state my thinking out loud to make it easier to parse.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:07:21 am
Oh...Suzy shifted it too much...that also explains it.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 05:07:38 am
10: 18781
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 05:08:24 am
I think you missed directives about digits, your foruth guess was known to be way off because of your second guess. I think I'll try a run with the method and state my thinking out loud to make it easier to parse.

Oh my goodness if you do this I will give you a hand lick. A visual guide with your thoughts would be so helpful because my brain is so fried. I'm running on very little sleep at the moment.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:08:48 am
Still I am around and able to tag team for a bit
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 05:09:48 am
Still I am around and able to tag team for a bit
If this isn't a solvable number I'm totally down to start with a new one and tag team with you. I have to go back to my internship in a few but I've figured out a way to sneak peaks on my phone and give brief responses and thoughts.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 05:11:14 am
Is anyone else around to run practice numbers? I do not trust my counting skills at all. Duke?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:11:39 am
I mean it's probably best to just scrap it? We don't have a good idea on the effectiveness of the method
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 05:13:45 am
I mean it's probably best to just scrap it? We don't have a good idea on the effectiveness of the method

Scrap what? I can try my best to provide a number if someone else is not available and you both wanted to practice together.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:14:16 am
Like, provide a new scrambled number since the last attempt got far but because it was scrambled 16
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:14:35 am
Just have someone double check the scramble and it should be good.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:20:49 am
But I'm ready to start whenever
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 05:21:49 am
So ideally I want to test collab once on each method and then just pick the one we feel more confident about. But that requires two numbers to be generated.

But yeah either way we can just start whenever. I am not sure how helpful I will be on the sam method though :(
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 05:23:39 am
ok! seems like duke is still active so I will run the numbers by him
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:29:11 am
Is Anthony still around to check?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 05:30:06 am
I'm kind of busy with the combo thing :I
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 05:30:29 am
if anyone is around to check my number, please make yourself known!!!
I even messaged the mods. Let see if they respond!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:30:58 am
I'm kind of busy with the combo thing :I

You just need to check 1 shuffle, not run everything else
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 05:32:31 am
Er... I suppose I have time
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:32:47 am
Anyway I will be back in like 10 minutes.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 05:36:57 am
Okay I got a mod to check it for me lol.

Shuffled number:
31696
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 05:38:25 am
I will wait for YW to get back to start sam method and his thoughts on it.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:41:12 am
First is always +3 so i can do this on mobile.
64929
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 05:48:13 am
1. 64929
no correct numbers
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:54:17 am
Okay back. So this is actually a GREAT piece of information. No correct numbers is third to 4 correct and 5 correct. It also means I should shy away from guesses with any more than 1 of those numbers in the future.

-3 is 08363 which only overlaps with six. So

Guess 2: 08363
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 05:55:09 am
Okay so that was incredible information to get on the first guess.

So normally you would do -3 here, but for the 4th column would you start trying the +\-4 and 5 here?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:56:30 am
+4/-4 isn't a bad idea from a digit perspective, but I prefer to have full info on 3 apart before going there.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 05:56:45 am
Are you guys set with Writers's guess 2?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 05:57:11 am
+4/-4 isn't a bad idea from a digit perspective, but I prefer to have full info on 3 apart before going there.
okay. I just thought maybe guessing a non 6 number would be more useful since we know it’s dead.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:57:11 am
5 also has a 6 in it so it's no better than going -3 but also doesn't give full ideas on -3
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:58:10 am
I think we stick with it, but +4 or -4 could easily be guess 3.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 05:58:29 am
Are you guys set with Writers's guess 2?
I’m letting yw drive right now and explain his method. So yes.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 05:58:53 am
for 08363
2 correct numbers, 1 right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 05:59:04 am
+4 would be 75030 ftr
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 05:59:41 am
+4 would be 75030 ftr
got it so that might be the useful guess now.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 06:01:16 am
just to clarify is that your guess?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:01:43 am
Mhm, as we know there's only one 3.

-4 is 97252 which still has 75 and 2 being checked but has a 9 which we know can't be in it
+5 is 86141 which is just a bad one

And not yet Suzy
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:03:52 am
I think -4 might be a better probe to be honest, +4 would be good if neither was in the right place since 030 is in it, but since 1 is in the right spot it's just asking for dissapointment
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 06:04:05 am
We don’t know there is only 1 3? There could be none or there could be 2 but one is poorly placed.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:06:34 am
Yes, but what I mean is that guess moves ALL of the numbers that we have from the previous one, and we know that one of them is in the right place, I'd rather just test out completely different numbers and figure out that in guess 4.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 06:07:03 am
Um, I'm prolly not finishing the entire list :I

On the bright side, I may finish all the possible numbers that start with 7 at the very least. :P
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:08:19 am
WAIT, nevermind 2 is out and so is 9, so -4 is just a bad guess.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 06:09:04 am
Yeah lets just do +4 I don’t see a better move
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:09:45 am
Guess 3: 75030

Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 06:11:28 am
3. 75030
2 correct, 1 in right place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 06:13:04 am
we also only have 2 hours for the actual challenge, just a heads up because I didn't notice that until now
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:14:14 am
Okay we have a 4 and 3 so that's 7, the remaining 3 only add up to 8, so that means we also have one of the 5 and the -4 without guessing that since you can't just combine 3 2s to get 8 and all other 3s are out
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:15:32 am
Yeah we should start after this practice tbh
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 06:16:31 am
Yeah we should start after this practice tbh

Agreed. This is where I’m stumped with this method to be honest. I think we should maybe have switched tactics to knock out the numbers.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:17:30 am
Yeah we should start after this practice tbh

Agreed. This is where I’m stumped with this method to be honest. I think we should maybe have switched tactics to knock out the numbers.

No this is where you hypothesize and move through it, there should be enough information to get a decent guess in.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 06:23:42 am
Well, I didn't get to do all of the specific numbers, but I did get to get all of the combos of moves, should I put that here/somewhere?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 06:23:48 am
One of the +5 is 8 or 1 if a 5 exists. So perhaps our next guess includes one of those?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:24:29 am
So now we think about what might work from previous one, and combining with the -4 (97252) and 5 (86141)

We know the only numbers we can grab possibly are the 7581 and that whatever we take has to hold the same position, we also need to combine this with keeping one of the ones from the -3 and +4 guesses staying the same. From those 3 there are only a finite number of combos to get to 15 that don't also use a forbidden number or would  have given a different result when guessed.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 06:24:48 am
Well, I didn't get to do all of the specific numbers, but I did get to get all of the combos of moves, should I put that here/somewhere?

But, they aren't directional, so if they don't have a 5 or a 0, then there's 32 combos of ups and downs for it
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:25:15 am
Well, I didn't get to do all of the specific numbers, but I did get to get all of the combos of moves, should I put that here/somewhere?

Yes after the practice is done so it's easily accessible
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:29:49 am
I think I have a guess

after a lot of trial and error

05188 is 15 off, it has the 0 from the -3 in the same spot, the 5 from the +4 in the same spot, takes the 1 from the +5, and implies the 8 was in the wrong position from teh -3 and the 0 was in the wrong place in the -4.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:31:30 am
Any objection Oracle?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:32:07 am
Ftr this was after trying a lot with 3s and 8s which did not work at all
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:32:20 am
and 3 and 7
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:34:22 am
Gonna do that officially at 35
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:35:15 am
Guess 4: 05188
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 06:35:42 am
4. 05188
5 numbers correct, 0 right places
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 06:35:48 am
Any objection Oracle?
none sorry something came up at the internship I had to deal with.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:39:20 am
So this means that none of those were the right placements, and the 8s only have 2 possible places, so the 8 in spot 2 is likely correct. Similarly the 0 in the center makes sense and matches up with previous events, so then we have 880 (since the other 8 has to go in first slot if that's true) and 1 is 2 away from 9 and 5 is 1 away from 6 to give a 15.

So

Guess 5: 88015
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:40:02 am
I feel it has to be that or one with the 5 and 0 transposed
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 06:41:09 am
5 numbers correct, 1 in right spot
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 06:42:45 am
4. 05188
5 numbers correct, 0 right places

Ms. Bishop, shouldn't this be 1 right?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:43:38 am
oooh, tricky....

I think 18850 is the only one left then?

Guess 6: 18850

assuming Anthony's addendum isn't correct
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:45:13 am
If it is I need to rethink a lot but it's clear in much fewer guesses this was effective
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 06:47:45 am
It is not 18550.

I actually need to take the train home now and won’t be available much afterwards.

Should I just reveal the number? I got it checked though so it should be right.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:48:13 am
Yeah please do I'm sure it's not far away
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 06:48:21 am
18550 is 0 numbers in correct place
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 06:48:41 am
The original number was 58081.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:49:38 am
Yeah, Anthony was right, you said 0 when there was 1 in the right place.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:50:24 am
Still I'm very confident in this method to do better on average that the simple method. I'm willing to start the challenge whenever, but would like to do it very soon since we need to finish by 7:30 apparently
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 06:53:29 am
Still I'm very confident in this method to do better on average that the simple method. I'm willing to start the challenge whenever, but would like to do it very soon since we need to finish by 7:30 apparently
I’ll be here to talk it out but I doubt I’m going to be able to contribute much. This method kind of goes over my head. I’ll be here though.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:54:32 am
Still I'm very confident in this method to do better on average that the simple method. I'm willing to start the challenge whenever, but would like to do it very soon since we need to finish by 7:30 apparently
I’ll be here to talk it out but I doubt I’m going to be able to contribute much. This method kind of goes over my head. I’ll be here though.

I mean I can do the high level calcs in my notebook, I just need someone to check that I don't put in an impossible number or too many for it to be a possible combo
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:55:04 am
Also anthony any info you got would be helpful
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 06:55:43 am
Still I'm very confident in this method to do better on average that the simple method. I'm willing to start the challenge whenever, but would like to do it very soon since we need to finish by 7:30 apparently
I’ll be here to talk it out but I doubt I’m going to be able to contribute much. This method kind of goes over my head. I’ll be here though.

I mean I can do the high level calcs in my notebook, I just need someone to check that I don't put in an impossible number or too many for it to be a possible combo
sure I’ll do what I can from mobile to help verify!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:56:04 am
Still Oracle you good for me to do the +3 at XX:00
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 06:56:15 am
Yeah, Anthony was right, you said 0 when there was 1 in the right place.

I feel like I’m blind lol. I still don’t see which one is in the right place!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 06:56:49 am
The fourth position 8 was in 05188
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Suzy Bishop on September 10, 2021, 06:57:41 am
Ah I just completely missed that! Sorry!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:00:02 am
Anyway, the actual shuffled number is 76174

So the +3 guess is 09407
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 07:01:06 am
All of the possible absolute values of shuffles

00555 01455 01545 01554 02355 02445 02454 02535 02544 02553 03255 03345 03354 03435 03444 03453 03525 03534 03543 03552  04155 04245 04254 04335 04344 04353 04425 04434 04443 04452 04515 04524 04533 04542 04551 05055 05145 05154 05235 05244 05253 05325 05334 05343 05352 05415 05424 05433 05442 05451 05505 05514 05523 05532 05541 05550 10455 10545 10554 11355 11445 11454 11535 11544 11553 12255 12345 12354 12435 12444 12453 12525 12534 12543 12552 13155 13245 13254 13335 13344 13353 13425 13434 13443 13452 13515 13524 13533 13542 13551 14055 14145 14154 14235 14244 14253 14325 14334 14343 14352 14415 14424 14433 14442 14451 14505 14514 14523 14532 14541 14550 15045 15054 15135 15144 15153 15225 15234 15243 15252 15315 15324 15333 15342 15351 15405 15414 15423 15432 15441 15450 15504 15513 15522 15531 15540 20355 20445 20454 20535 20544 20553 21255 21345 21354 21435 21444 21453 21525 21534 21543 21552 22155 22245 22254 22335 22344 22353 22425 22434 22443 22452 22515 22524 22533 22542 22551 23055 23145 23154 23235 23244 23253 23325 23334 23343 23352 23415 23424 23433 23442 23451 23505 23514 23523 23532 23541 23550 24045 24054 24135 24144 24153 24225 24234 24243 24252 24315 24324 24333 24342 24351 24405 24414 24423 24432 24441 24450 25035 25044 25053 25125 25134 25143 25152 25215 25224 25233 25242 25251 25305 25314 25323 25332 25341 25350 25404 25413 25422 25431 25440 25503 25512 25521 25530 30255 30345 30354 30435 30444 30453 30525 30534 30543 30552 31155 31245 31254 31335 31344 31353 31425 31434 31443 31452 31515 31524 31533 31542 31551 32055 32145 32154 32235 32244 32253 32325 32334 32343 32352 32415 32424 32433 32442 32451 32505 32514 32523 32532 32541 32550 33045 33054 33135 33144 33153 33225 33234 33243 33252 33315 33324 33333 33342 33351 33405 33414 33423 33432 33441 33450 33504 33513 33522 33531 33540 34035 34044 34053 34125 34134 34143 34152 34215 34224 34233 34242 34251 34305 34314 34323 34332 34341 34350 34404 34413 34422 34431 34440 34503 34512 34521 34530 35025 35034 35043 35052 35115 35124 35133 35142 35151 35205 35214 32523 35232 35241 35250 35304 35313 35322 35331 35340 35403 35412 35421 35430 35502 35511 35520 40155 40245 40254 40353 40344 40353 40425 40434 40443 40452 40515 40524 40533 40542 40551 41055 41145 41154 41235 41244 41253 41325 41334 41343 41352 41415 41424 41433 41442 41451 41505 41514 41523 41532 41541 41550 42045 42054 42135 42144 42153 42225 42234 42243 42252 42315 42324 42333 42342 42351 42405 42414 42423 42432 42441 42450 42504 42513 42522 42531 42540 43035 43044 43053 43125 43134 43143 43152 43215 43224 43233 43242 43251 43305 43314 43323 43332 43341 43350 43404 43413 43422 43431 43440 43503 43512 43521 43530 44025 44034 44043 44052 44115 44124 44133 44142 44151 44205 44214 44223 44232 44241 44250 44304 44313 44322 44331 44340 44403 44412 44421 44430 44502 44511 44520 45015 45024 45033 45042 45051 45105 45114 45123 45132 45141 45150 45204 45213 45222 45231 45240 45303 45312 45321 45330 45402 45411 45420 45501 45510 50055 50145 50154 50235 50244 50253 50325 50334 50343 50352 50415 50424 50433 50442 50451 50505 50514 50523 50532 50541 50550 51045 51054 51135 51144 51153 51225 51234 51243 51252 51315 51324 51333 51342 51351 51405 51414 51423 51432 51441 51450 51504 51513 51522 51531 51540 52035 52044 52053 52125 52134 52143 52152 52215 52224 52233 52242 52251 52305 52314 52323 52332 52341 52350 52404 52413 52422 52431 52440 52503 52512 52521 52530 53025 53034 53043 53052 53115 53124 53133 53142 53151 53205 53214 53223 53232 53241 53250 53304 53313 53322 53331 53340 53403 53412 53421 53430 53502 53511 53520 54015 54024 54033 54042 54051 54105 54114 54123 54132 54141 54150 54204 54213 54222 54231 54240 54303 54312 54321 54330 54402 54411 54420 54501 54510 55005 55014 55023 55032 55041 55050 55104 55113 55122 55131 55140 55203 55212 55221 55230 55302 55311 55320 55401 55410 55500
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 07:02:37 am
01455 can apply to:

75529
75729
77529
77729
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:03:33 am
If no one objects by XX:10 I'm gonna submit the first guess.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 07:04:02 am
Of course, most of them have 8/16/32 :I
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 07:04:50 am
Anyway, the actual shuffled number is 76174

So the +3 guess is 09407
this is the agreed upon method after review. On average you did get a quicker solution than the other.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 07:05:32 am
Imagine the combo is 09407. :P
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:06:14 am
That would be a rather poor shuffle....
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:07:25 am
Going ahead now with Oracle's support.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Herman Blume on September 10, 2021, 07:08:27 am
Go for it I think you guys put a great plan together
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 07:09:44 am
I really wish that was nothing would have been an amazing start.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:10:16 am
-3 is 43841, which I think is still a fine guess with mostly different numbers, even with the double 4s
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 07:11:06 am
-3 is 43841, which I think is still a fine guess with mostly different numbers, even with the double 4s
I trust you. At the very least we would be within 3 places if a diff of 3 exists at all.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:13:43 am
Booyah! We got this baby!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Herman Blume on September 10, 2021, 07:14:34 am
That was a really great number!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Herman Blume on September 10, 2021, 07:14:59 am
So no 0, 7, or 9 correct?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:15:20 am
Okay so we know the correct number from the first one was the 4.  So we can write off 0, 9 and 7. We also know there should only be one new number slotted in. Combine that with the 15 math and I think we got this easily.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 07:15:28 am
Booyah! We got this baby!
haha this is already a better start than I was hoping for

15-6 is 9. So 5 4 0, 5 2 2 are the only possibilities right?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 07:16:18 am
Oh wait also 1 4 4
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:16:40 am
Booyah! We got this baby!
haha this is already a better start than I was hoping for

15-6 is 9. So 5 4 0, 5 2 2 are the only possibilities right?

Not quite 4 4 1 also works
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Richie Tenenbaum on September 10, 2021, 07:17:52 am
You guys are absolutely killing it
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:19:36 am
So now we start to solve, we don't need another probe but for reference

+4 is 10518
-4  is 32730
5   is 21629
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:20:27 am
I also think it's highly likely the 4 is one of the ones in the right place on that second guess
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:22:56 am
A bit of a guess but I think 48531 works, eliminating one of the 4s from the guess
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 07:24:07 am
A bit of a guess but I think 48531 works, eliminating one of the 4s from the guess
checking but itll take me a sec on mobile
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:24:28 am
No I think the math is off on that one it's 16 not 15?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 07:24:58 am
No I think the math is off on that one it's 16 not 15?
I was just about to say that.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:25:28 am
48831 does work but I am curious if it probes well?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 07:27:07 am
48831 does work but I am curious if it probes well?
no. Its 3 3s i think?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:27:56 am
Oh you are right, thanks for the save there
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:29:46 am
What about 43218?

Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 07:30:00 am
Correct me if I'm wrong, but since the sum of the fake codes digits are odd and we're adding/subtracting an odd number from the digits, wouldn't the sum of the code be even?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:30:36 am
I think thats a difference of 2 3s 2 4s and 1, and 2 is not forbidden.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:31:33 am
Correct me if I'm wrong, but since the sum of the fake codes digits are odd and we're adding/subtracting an odd number from the digits, wouldn't the sum of the code be even?

I think so but not thinking so much about that, mostly just individual combos, but that is a nice quick check for if anything is 16 off.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 07:32:27 am
What about 43218?


3 3 1 4 4 im pretty sure works?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 07:32:46 am
33144 is one of the combos, so it should be 15
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:32:57 am
Cool I'm gonna guess it then
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 07:33:28 am
Wait no!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:33:48 am
What's the issue Oracle?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 07:34:08 am
3+3=6
4+4=8
6+8=14
14+1=15?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 07:34:33 am
Nvm it’s good sorry i miscounted the first you are good to post it.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:35:33 am
I feel happy whenever we have to have a long discussion tbh....
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:36:45 am
Prayers for it to be correct, that'd be hilarious that we do our best on the one that counts
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 07:38:23 am
I know, it feels casual compared to "betrayal?", "to-a-second timing" and "QUICKLY GET THE NUMBERS"
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 07:38:55 am
Prayers for it to be correct, that'd be hilarious that we do our best on the one that counts

:0
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:39:09 am
OMG OMG I THINK WE JUST CRUSHED IT!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 07:39:27 am
Holy fucking shit that was our best run ever.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:39:35 am
WE ARE THE ALMIGHTY! DO NOT TRIFLE WITH CAMP IVANHOE!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Richie Tenenbaum on September 10, 2021, 07:40:12 am
Oh my god dudes that is insane

And we have the tiebreaker!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Herman Blume on September 10, 2021, 07:41:06 am
Hahaha holy shit 3 guesses. You guys crushed it!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 07:41:45 am
Huge mood swing from: "I just did a whole bunch of work for nothing" to "amazing score!" :D
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 07:44:26 am
Anyway, I must go get dinner. I will check in afterwards. ALso sorry to those of you waiting on messages...ever since the challenge started my main time here was trying to help us win and well *looks at the score* I hope it was enough.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 07:46:20 am
If they fucking get 1 or 2 can we just mass quit?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Sam Shakusky on September 10, 2021, 07:57:07 am
Just read through this; three guesses is absolutely insane!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: M. Gustave on September 10, 2021, 08:16:21 am
one word: wow. you're all just amazing, what can i say? the other tribe will try to console themselves and say it was all luck, but no... only some luck.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 08:32:03 am
Oh god, they must hate us.. Curious what they did
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Anthony Adams on September 10, 2021, 08:33:50 am
Yeah, was 4 great by our methods?
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 08:34:49 am
Yeah, was 4 great by our methods?
I think our best prior in theory was five.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Young Writer on September 10, 2021, 08:41:44 am
Yeah, 4 was theoretically possible with a good roll, but required some luck. We got insane luck, but we also had a tiebreaker win.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Oracle on September 10, 2021, 08:43:17 am
Yeah, 4 was theoretically possible with a good roll, but required some luck. We got insane luck, but we also had a tiebreaker win.

I just want to say Young Writer you are incredible. Everyone should give him mega kudos for this.
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Duke on September 10, 2021, 08:48:53 am
Congrats, and well done! That was insane
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: Duke on September 10, 2021, 08:49:22 am
I've got a busy morning tomorrow so going to get some sleep now, but will reply to everyone in the afternoon!
Title: Re: Challenge 4 strategy discussion
Post by: M. Gustave on September 10, 2021, 08:50:12 am
he's the young writer
master cracker of safe codes
bow before your god