Hoorayyyy thanks for visiting! You're my favorite hos.
The two large groups are:
The Four Horsemen (Richie, Oracle, AA and M. Gustave) group PM initiated by M. Gustave with encouragement from yours truly
The Society of the Crossed Keys (Richie, Oracle, Suzy, Herman, Writer) group PM initiated by Suzy with encouragement from yours truly
My most trusted ally is Writer because we're now obligated by the mechanics of the Zissou rings to never vote against each other before F4. We're not telling anyone about the rings ever. Suzy is equally trusted as my first and number one ally.
Richie, Writer, Suzy is a trio chat I started called the Wes Fanderson Club. We're super tight and we all agree people with a passion for the theme should be prioritized. No one else knows this trio exists as far as I know.
AA is only a hair behind those two right now. I have a feeling he's making plays without informing me (voting Duke to hedge against idol possibility, maybe he took some of the auction items) but at the time the Horsemen came together I managed to convince him we needed to inform Writer and prioritize our three person alliance with him and he agreed. Since then he's gone on to also share with us that he made a three person chat with Suzy and Oracle, while Writer and I shared the existence of the Crossed Keys with him.
Richie, Writer, AA is a trio chat I started that is spy themed and we share a great deal of information among us there including all other group chats (so far) except the trio with Suzy.
Oracle is a step below AA. I may be doing him a disservice because he is sharing a lot of info with me and we're the only two in both of the above group chats, but I know he's close to Duke as well and I believe he's probably got a better handle on M. Gustave than I do so I see him as a mid game threat. I suspect that Oracle has one or more group chats I don't know about.
M. Gustave and Herman I have decently good private communications with and belong to a larger alliance with both. Right now I think I could rely on them in a swap situation but they're lower tier connections compared to the above.
Duke is a decent fellow and probably won't die before a swap so I'm slowly but surely continuing to relationship build on this front.
Sam would be my preferred elimination if we go to tribal again. I think he has items from the auction, he's outside my overlapping alliance numbers and he's we don't have great communication. But he's a professed survivor and big brother fan so I think he could be a strategic threat later in the game if not knocked off now.