In this thread I'm going to think about the future and explore lots of hypothetical scenarios.
I think self-awareness is the single most important skill in survivor. You have to know where you're at, otherwise any planning becomes difficult.
Right now I think the logical idea is that Penelope and Quentin go home and we get to merge at 12. I don't think either tribe has enough of a challenge advantage to predict us winning an above average amount of challenges although it's certainly possible.
Assuming the above occurs, we merge with the following roster:
Lucifer (me)
Hercule
Judy
Jake
Lennie
Nick
Pikachu
Scruff
Leon
Grouch
Rust
Cheddar
I think that's a good merge roster for me, based on the relationship chart that's in my head. At that point I think a likely breakdown is that Me/Jake/Grouch/Scruff/Lennie/Judy/Hercule/Leon form a majority alliance and it puts us in a strong position. Following that, I think there's some variance based on where Cheddar sits. I don't have a good read on his position in the game right now. The ideal scenario for me is that Rust goes home round 1 of merge. Then I'd presume the next likeliest outcome may be that Nick and Pikachu go next. That's rough for me because I think I have connections with them that nobody else does, but at the same time it could hypothetically be OK? And I do think it's somewhat likely based on what's happening in the game right now. That'd leave a group of 9 composed of the 99 and 27th exclusively.
Next in this thought exercise, I'd hope to form a smaller majority with Grouch/Cheddar/Scruff/Jake to take out Leon. This is already far off so it's hard to plan things out and justify it. But I see the four of us being particularly wary of Hercule/Judy/Lennie/Leon and the solid four they've presumably put together after being on the SVU and going through those votes together. Cheddar has already voted Leon and neither Jake/Grouch/Scruff are as close to him as the others in that group in my thought exercise. That gives our five a nice group lead. Afterwards I could see us going after Judy to solidify our dominance at the top of the tribe? Then like why not eliminate all of that side. Lennie and then Hercule(important order) can go next.
Then me/Grouch/Cheddar vote out Jake and Scruff. Then there's your final three, but if it's not a final three, I win individual immunity and at the cost of my heart, betray Grouch and vote them out. It goes to an FTC and I win the vote 8-2.
Yep I just wasted ten minutes thinking about this. But it sounds cool and somewhat feasible except for the fact that I forgot we merge at 11, not 12, that Judy has an idol and Pikachu's going to win the first three merge immunities in a row starting at F11 (he will finally lose and get voted out at F8 thanks to another power outage though) But if this boot order is right, you can come see me after the game when I've started my psychic business with the million dollars.
Topic: Predictions and Planning (Read 295 times)