Author Topic: Horse Race Betting Game (Read 11009 times)

Iron Will · « **Reply #120 on:** April 29, 2019, 07:26:46 am »

Oops I didn't know the challenge was over when I posted that. At the time, I was on like page 8 of the 10 pages of Most Recent Posts. Oh well, my fault!

Discord · « **Reply #121 on:** April 29, 2019, 06:21:10 pm »

Round 12 Valuations

$2 per share

Pinkie

$3 per share

Starlight

$5 per share

Derpy & Queen

$9 per share

Rarity & Rainbow

$10 per share

Grand Pear

$12 per share

Granny & Soarin

$15 per share

Coco

$18 per share

DJ

[close]

Current Investors:

Ms. Harshwhinny: Coco x50 (VALUE: $750)
Filthy Rich: Rarity x13; Soarin x11; Queen x5; Pinkie x5; $1 leftover (VALUE: $285)
Iron Will: $1 (VALUE: $1)
Princess Celestia: Rarity x14; $4 leftover (VALUE: $130)
Princess Luna: Queen x13; Pinkie x5; Soarin x2 (VALUE: $99)
Princess Cadence: Coco x59; $3 leftover (VALUE: $888)
Flurry Heart: Coco x4; $5 leftover (VALUE: $65)
Apple Dumpling: Pinkie x19; $1 leftover (VALUE: $39)
Suri Polomare: Coco x6; Soarin x2; $1 leftover (VALUE: $115)
Thorax: Derpy x33; $1 leftover (VALUE: $166)

Princess Cadance · « **Reply #122 on:** April 29, 2019, 06:29:32 pm »

YEAH! YOU GO GLENN COCO!

Thorax · « **Reply #123 on:** April 29, 2019, 06:37:43 pm »

Sell two Derpy and buy a rarity and a pinkie.

Princess Celestia · « **Reply #124 on:** April 29, 2019, 06:39:21 pm »

Sell all Rarity, reinvest in Max Granny.

Suri Polomare · « **Reply #125 on:** April 29, 2019, 09:27:14 pm »

Sell a soaring, buy two derpy

Filthy Rich · « **Reply #126 on:** April 30, 2019, 06:24:40 am »

Sell all Soarin, buy 9 Rainbow, 5 Starlight and 3 Granny

Iron Will · « **Reply #127 on:** April 30, 2019, 07:13:40 am »

Buy 1/2 share Pinkie

Suri Polomare · « **Reply #128 on:** April 30, 2019, 08:43:26 am »

Actually, sell those two Derpy and buy a rainbow.

Princess Cadance · « **Reply #129 on:** April 30, 2019, 03:59:49 pm »

Let's swap my stuff onto Grand Pear as Coco might not have topped out but I feel he'll pay off short term (aslo immunity results aren't looking like they'll change but who knows)

Flurry Heart · « **Reply #130 on:** April 30, 2019, 04:17:12 pm »

Quote from: Princess Cadance on April 30, 2019, 03:59:49 pm

Let's swap my stuff onto Grand Pear as Coco might not have topped out but I feel he'll pay off short term (aslo immunity results aren't looking like they'll change but who knows)

I'm going to do the same thing, because you've got more money than me.

Sell all Coco, buy all Grand Pear.

Thorax · « **Reply #131 on:** April 30, 2019, 04:20:29 pm »

Shift 15 of my derpy shares onto queen

Filthy Rich · « **Reply #132 on:** April 30, 2019, 04:30:41 pm »

Swap all my Pinkies onto Starlight.

Ms. Harshwhinny · « **Reply #133 on:** April 30, 2019, 05:32:36 pm »

Oops, missed the deadline. I would've switched to Granny probably.

Discord · « **Reply #134 on:** May 01, 2019, 08:43:09 pm »

Compared to how mostly on point my expectations have been, this game has been pretty unpredictable! It wouldn't seem that way from a results-oriented view.

Round 13 Valuations

$2 per share

Starlight

$3 per share

Derpy & Queen

$7 per share

Rainbow

$8 per share

Rarity

$10 per share

Grand Pear

$12 per share

Soarin

$16 per share

DJ

$18 per share

Granny

$21 per share

Coco

[close]

Current Investors:

Ms. Harshwhinny: Coco x50 (VALUE: $1,050)
Filthy Rich: Rarity x13; Rainbow x9; Starlight x8; Queen x5; Granny x3; $2 leftover (VALUE: $254)
Iron Will: $0
Princess Celestia: Granny x10; $10 leftover (VALUE: $190)
Princess Luna: Queen x13; Soarin x2 (VALUE: $63)
Princess Cadence: Grand Pear x88; $8 leftover (VALUE: $888)
Flurry Heart: Grand Pear x6; $5 leftover (VALUE: $65)
Apple Dumpling: $1
Suri Polomare: Coco x6; Rainbow x1; Soarin x1; $2 leftover (VALUE: $147)
Thorax: Derpy x16; Queen x15; Rarity x1 (VALUE: $101)

Flurry Heart · « **Reply #135 on:** May 01, 2019, 09:36:33 pm »

I'm not the first one who's broke!

Though I should have just stuck to my gut and stayed with Coco. Following the crowd was a bad move.

Suri Polomare · « **Reply #136 on:** May 01, 2019, 10:06:20 pm »

Sell a Coco, buy a pear , rarity and 2x starlight.

Thorax · « **Reply #137 on:** May 01, 2019, 10:20:44 pm »

put the queen money back on derpy.

keeping the one rarity share though.

Princess Cadance · « **Reply #138 on:** May 01, 2019, 11:16:33 pm »

Put my money on granny

Filthy Rich · « **Reply #139 on:** May 02, 2019, 06:48:31 am »

All in on Derpy

Princess Luna · « **Reply #140 on:** May 02, 2019, 07:12:56 am »

My stocks will rise and you will rue the day you jipped my queen yet again >8C

Princess Celestia · « **Reply #141 on:** May 02, 2019, 07:17:54 am »

Sell all Granny, buy all Grand Pear.

Ms. Harshwhinny · « **Reply #142 on:** May 02, 2019, 01:04:14 pm »

Sell 50 coco.

Buy 72 rainbow [$504]
Buy 34 DJ [$544]

Iron Will · « **Reply #143 on:** May 02, 2019, 01:23:11 pm »

It's cool my half share purchase went through. Unfortunately I am now totally broke. Should've bought a 1/12th share of Granny instead.

Discord · « **Reply #144 on:** May 03, 2019, 06:21:13 pm »

Doing a full update when I get home

$3: Queen & Derpy
$5: Grand Pear
$7: Rarity & Rainbow
$12: Soarin
$17: Granny
$21: DJ
$25: Coco

Discord · « **Reply #145 on:** May 03, 2019, 08:58:28 pm »

Round 14 Valuations

$3 per share

Queen & Derpy

$5 per share

Grand Pear

$7 per share

Rarity & Rainbow

$12 per share

Soarin

$17 per share

Granny

$21 per share

DJ

$25 per share

Coco

[close]

Current Investors:

Ms. Harshwhinny: Rainbow x72; DJ x34; $2 leftover (VALUE: $1,220)
Filthy Rich: Derpy x84; $2 leftover (VALUE: $254)
Iron Will: $0
Princess Celestia: Grand Pear x19 (VALUE: $95)
Princess Luna: Queen x13; Soarin x2 (VALUE: $63)
Princess Cadence: Granny x49; $6 leftover (VALUE: $839)
Flurry Heart: Grand Pear x6; $5 leftover (VALUE: $35)
Apple Dumpling: $1
Suri Polomare: Coco x5; Grand Pear x1; Rainbow x1; Rarity x1; Soarin x1; $1 leftover (VALUE: $157)
Thorax: Derpy x31; Rarity x1 (VALUE: $100)

Princess Luna · « **Reply #146 on:** May 04, 2019, 02:54:12 am »

Sell Soarin and buy more Queen >8C

Flurry Heart · « **Reply #147 on:** May 04, 2019, 05:35:22 am »

My stocks!

Princess Celestia · « **Reply #148 on:** May 04, 2019, 06:58:43 am »

Sell all, buy 2 coco 2 DJ.

Ms. Harshwhinny · « **Reply #149 on:** May 04, 2019, 01:27:19 pm »

Sell all 34 DJ, buy 28 Coco.

Princess Cadance · « **Reply #150 on:** May 04, 2019, 01:28:02 pm »

Let's move my money onto DJ

Discord · « **Reply #151 on:** May 05, 2019, 06:45:36 pm »

Round 15 Valuations

$3 per share

Grand Pear

$5 per share

Queen

$8 per share

Rainbow

$10 per share

Granny & Soarin

$14 per share

Rarity

$23 per share

DJ

$27 per share

Coco

[close]

Current Investors:

Ms. Harshwhinny: Rainbow x72; Coco x28; $16 leftover
Filthy Rich: $2
Iron Will: $0
Princess Celestia: Coco x2; DJ x2; $3 leftover
Princess Luna: Queen x21
Princess Cadence: DJ x39; $20 leftover
Flurry Heart: Grand Pear x6; $5 leftover
Apple Dumpling: $1
Suri Polomare: Coco x5; Grand Pear x1; Rainbow x1; Rarity x1; Soarin x1; $1 leftover
Thorax: Rarity x1

Thorax · « **Reply #152 on:** May 05, 2019, 06:48:25 pm »

Sell rarity. (I don't expect that value to last)

I'll figure out what I want to buy closer to deadline for trades.

Filthy Rich · « **Reply #153 on:** May 05, 2019, 09:11:25 pm »

I shouldn't have gone all in on Derpy, but she was my only chance to catch up.

Buy 1/5th share of Granny, if I can do that.

Thorax · « **Reply #154 on:** May 06, 2019, 05:27:07 am »

Purchase two queen and 1 pear.

Princess Cadance · « **Reply #155 on:** May 06, 2019, 09:54:33 am »

Sure let's put all my money on queen

Suri Polomare · « **Reply #156 on:** May 06, 2019, 10:10:04 am »

Sell rainbow, buy three pairs.

Suri Polomare · « **Reply #157 on:** May 06, 2019, 10:10:23 am »

Pear, obvs

Iron Will · « **Reply #158 on:** May 06, 2019, 11:27:49 am »

Take out a loan and buy a share of Granny

Iron Will · « **Reply #159 on:** May 06, 2019, 11:57:52 am »

Ooh catching up with the game and Queen might be a good play right now. Both Coco and Granny talking about wanting to work with QC. What a comeback, potentially...

Discord · « **Reply #160 on:** May 06, 2019, 12:09:59 pm »

But can she WIN

Suri Polomare · « **Reply #161 on:** May 06, 2019, 12:11:34 pm »

I mean based on evidence, unlikely.

Iron Will · « **Reply #162 on:** May 06, 2019, 12:45:09 pm »

Quote from: Discord on May 06, 2019, 12:09:59 pm

But can she WIN

i think if she can make it to the end, she can win

pinkie and starlight probably would vote her and others are coming round. Ill have to go look at what items she has because i feel like it's a lot.

Ms. Harshwhinny · « **Reply #163 on:** May 06, 2019, 12:56:24 pm »

Sell all rainbow. Buy 118 queen.

Princess Luna · « **Reply #164 on:** May 06, 2019, 12:59:30 pm »

ive been having this argument with Discord literally every round :sob:

Flurry Heart · « **Reply #165 on:** May 06, 2019, 03:07:38 pm »

Buy 1 Queen.

Princess Celestia · « **Reply #166 on:** May 06, 2019, 04:00:32 pm »

Sell 2 DJ, buy 4 Granny

Discord · « **Reply #167 on:** May 07, 2019, 06:31:47 pm »

Cutting off trades for this round now

Discord · « **Reply #168 on:** May 09, 2019, 05:35:23 pm »

When I gave Rarity that boost, it's because I was expecting her to have a strong chance of sitting next to Coco at the end, and a small chance of winning if she played an active part in the last few rounds. This round didn't make me super optimistic about those chances now! Soarin making it to the end is the least likely of anypony right now, and Grand Pear winning at the end is even less likely, even though I'm sure he'll be there. Queen and Rarity could easily be rising more in the future if threats keep going out, but even then the final four firemaking twist makes it tough to ensure an F3 of Pear/Queen/Rarity, which I see as the only scenario where any of those three win. If it does happen, Queen and Rarity obviously stand a better chance. I could be wrong, but I think only one of DJ/Soarin/Coco/Granny will be at the end, and I think all the other three people in that group are likely to vote for whichever of them makes it there, and none of them have had poor social games. Unless one of Pear/Queen/Rarity gives a powerful jury speech and the other finalists bomb. DJ is more likely to be taken out as a threat, but I think he's also the person from the threat group that has the best potential of working Queen to her advantage. Granny gets there as a product of the DJ/Coco war and on the good graces of Grand Pear. And right now it's just Coco's game to lose.

Round 16 Valuations

$4 per share

Grand Pear

$5 per share

Soarin

$8 per share

Queen & Rarity

$15 per share

DJ & Granny

$45 per share

Coco

[close]

Current Investors:

Ms. Harshwhinny: Queen x118; Coco x28 (VALUE: $2,204)
Filthy Rich: $2
Iron Will: $0
Princess Celestia: Granny x4; Coco x2; $9 leftover (VALUE: $159)
Princess Luna: Queen x21 (VALUE: $168)
Princess Cadence: Queen x183; $2 leftover (VALUE: $1,466)
Flurry Heart: Grand Pear x6; Queen x1 (VALUE: $32)
Apple Dumpling: $1
Suri Polomare: Coco x5; Grand Pear x4; Rarity x1; Soarin x1 (VALUE: $254)
Thorax: Queen x2; Grand Pear x1; $1 leftover (VALUE: $21)

Thorax · « **Reply #169 on:** May 09, 2019, 05:45:07 pm »

Sell a queen to buy a rarity

Princess Celestia · « **Reply #170 on:** May 09, 2019, 06:26:19 pm »

Swap Granny to get a DJ.

Flurry Heart · « **Reply #171 on:** May 09, 2019, 07:36:09 pm »

Swap everything over to Queen.

Suri Polomare · « **Reply #172 on:** May 09, 2019, 09:50:20 pm »

Sell two grand pear to get a rarity.

Ms. Harshwhinny · « **Reply #173 on:** May 10, 2019, 05:40:40 am »

Sell all coco until I can read up later.

Iron Will · « **Reply #174 on:** May 10, 2019, 01:02:44 pm »

I took out a loan last round and bought 1 share of Granny for $10. Granny shares are now $15. Depending on the interest rate of the loan, I may be able to sell that share and have my ledger in the black. But I think I will let my Granny share ride.

Discord · « **Reply #175 on:** May 10, 2019, 03:11:39 pm »

You haven’t accounted for interest payments and service fees

Ms. Harshwhinny · « **Reply #176 on:** May 12, 2019, 06:23:01 pm »

Quote from: Ms. Harshwhinny on May 10, 2019, 05:40:40 am

Sell all coco until I can read up later.

I forgot to reinvest. Probably would've been dj

Discord · « **Reply #177 on:** May 13, 2019, 01:36:14 pm »

3 more people go bankrupt AKA Coco always gets what she wants AKA I told you so

Round 17 Valuations

$5 per share

Grand Pear

$8 per share

Rarity

$10 per share

Soarin

$15 per share

Granny

$22 per share

DJ

$40 per share

Coco

[close]

Current Investors:

Ms. Harshwhinny: $1,260 leftover
Filthy Rich: $2
Iron Will: $0
Princess Celestia: Granny x3; Coco x2; DJ x1; $9 leftover (VALUE: $156)
Princess Luna: $0
Princess Cadence: $2 leftover
Flurry Heart: $0
Apple Dumpling: $1
Suri Polomare: Coco x5; Grand Pear x2; Rarity x2; Soarin x1 (VALUE: $236)
Thorax: Rarity x1; Grand Pear x1; $1 leftover (VALUE: $14)

Princess Celestia · « **Reply #178 on:** May 13, 2019, 01:37:58 pm »

Sell 1 Granny, buy 1 DJ.

Iron Will · « **Reply #179 on:** May 13, 2019, 02:17:41 pm »

Harshwinny can just not buy stock anymore and win. too bad I repeatedly missed deadlines and suffered for it.

I will now sell my Granny share for $15, pay off interest and fees, and buy a $10 Soarin share with the remaining funds