When I gave Rarity that boost, it's because I was expecting her to have a strong chance of sitting next to Coco at the end, and a small chance of winning if she played an active part in the last few rounds. This round didn't make me super optimistic about those chances now! Soarin making it to the end is the least likely of anypony right now, and Grand Pear
winning at the end is even less likely, even though I'm sure he'll be there. Queen and Rarity could easily be rising more in the future if threats keep going out, but even then the final four firemaking twist makes it tough to ensure an F3 of Pear/Queen/Rarity, which I see as the only scenario where any of those three win. If it does happen, Queen and Rarity obviously stand a better chance. I could be wrong, but I think only one of DJ/Soarin/Coco/Granny will be at the end, and I think all the other three people in that group are likely to vote for whichever of them makes it there, and none of them have had poor social games. Unless one of Pear/Queen/Rarity gives a powerful jury speech and the other finalists bomb. DJ is more likely to be taken out as a threat, but I think he's also the person from the threat group that has the best potential of working Queen to her advantage. Granny gets there as a product of the DJ/Coco war and on the good graces of Grand Pear. And right now it's just Coco's game to lose.
Round 16 Valuations
$4 per shareGrand Pear
$5 per shareSoarin
$8 per share Queen & Rarity
$15 per share DJ & Granny
$45 per shareCoco
Current Investors:- Ms. Harshwhinny: Queen x118; Coco x28 (VALUE: $2,204)
- Filthy Rich: $2
- Iron Will: $0
- Princess Celestia: Granny x4; Coco x2; $9 leftover (VALUE: $159)
- Princess Luna: Queen x21 (VALUE: $168)
- Princess Cadence: Queen x183; $2 leftover (VALUE: $1,466)
- Flurry Heart: Grand Pear x6; Queen x1 (VALUE: $32)
- Apple Dumpling: $1
- Suri Polomare: Coco x5; Grand Pear x4; Rarity x1; Soarin x1 (VALUE: $254)
- Thorax: Queen x2; Grand Pear x1; $1 leftover (VALUE: $21)