One world did it first. But the categories were wildly different because it was a wildly different game.

It's just changing with the times tbh, this format was introduced in Super Smash Bros when the show changed the format of FTC. I dunno about having 15 different conversations, it seemed like in SSB it was one convo per thread with different people interjecting different things. I think for inexperienced jurors it can help to have an idea of what you're asking about instead of FTC being an overwhelming experience. People will ultimately vote for what they care about regardless.

Not asking about cheesecake is like, an intended effect. Irrelevantly turning the FTC into dumb make the finalists do tricks hunts like post the best gifs, hottest guys, or endurance posting challenges is really annoying as a finalist. (certain people would violently disagree with me on this LOL )

Thank you for your confessional. It was my morning daily read. <3

Buy 30 shares DJ

We just need these parasprites

Thank you for continuing to share your thoughts and feelings. It's great to see the inner brain of a dj.

Another way Coco's idol could go would be if she played it on me, but creating that scenario on purpose seems pretty low EV.

Also she could really easily have two at which point I guess I can just go fuck myself.

  Too true.

If we imagine that every player in the merge is given a dollar value based on power rankings, in your opinion, whose stock has risen the most since the beginning of the merge?

Interesting. First merge boot that wasn't overplaying and wasn't just sitting down to die either. Also, everypony loves Trixie

I really thought Derpy was going to be the survivor of all the carnage and will become the power swing vote that gets picked up once the game starts going. Instead, Rarity gets her way and shifts power toward Rarity/Rainbow plus Apples. Queen benefits from this all. She's not going to be targetted yet and everypony's going to want to pick her up as a goat and swing vote. If Queen starts to pick up just a half-notch, she'll solidify herself as a number to people, but she's going to need to not become a threat at the same time. She needs to make one move around F5 to earn the win, but doesn't need to do much more. She'll be seen as a goat, but could easily pick up a lot of jury votes just because she's the underdog.

Soarin/DJ are in trouble and they're realizing it. Coco/Granny may have stayed with them, except Coco and Granny know they can't stick together and need to start killing each other. It's almost as if they're victims to Coco and Granny naturally separating...except neither DJ/Soarin have managed to be seen as the right partner to either Coco/Granny, and that is their downfall.

Rarity is separating from Rainbow by living with Coco, and this is huge. Rarity also has not become too paranoid yet. Rarity continues to be a target, but still hasn't been targetted. Rarity is building the resume here and just needs to maintain status quo and will probably get through. Soarin and DJ don't have enough ammo to get Rarity out anymore, so this fares well for Rarity.

Rainbow made the right moves here and is trying to protect the right people, except Rainbow had to backtrack and this could fare very very badly. Rainbow needs to do the right type of damage control here or else their stock will begin to plummet. Either way, Rainbow is using the right style of thinking and needs to keep going at it. But trusting Rarity too much could be the wrong move. Rainbow needs a new secret F2 partner right now.

Coco/Granny are beginning to think about their long term plans, and it looks like Soarin/DJ are not there. This isn't horrible for their chances...except they need to get rid of Chrysalis first because otherwise Rainbow/Rarity would have too much power later on. Additionally, they probably think Pear is in their pocket, when really he's in the Dash/Rarity trio. Pear is starting to become a huge power player because nopony knows where his true allegiance lies...and Soarin could use this as a huge weapon against Rainbow. If Soarin reveals that Rainbow almost went against Pear, then it buys Soarin one TC and it solidifies the Rarity/Pear/Coco/Granny foursome from WTA.

DJ needs to change this game up away from this possibility, or otherwise those four are going to hold the power until they cannibalize later.

Don't forget the original big moves maddie wanted to take out buffy who was not in the top tier of threats. Big moves would qualify for taking out grand pear

Don't worry, she's already slotted for CPP5 this round.

Derpy is keeping this game from going in any predictable fashion. So glad I picked Derpy in the draft.

I'll just give an update after next TC. The only notable thing in this tribal is Soarin goin OTTN. Soarin isn't the typical OTTN. But Soarin is overplaying at the moment and doing things that don't need to be done. Also people are starting to feel Soarin is not the best anymore. I don't think this necessarily dooms his chances, but he's doing more paranoia than Rarity at this time - but for good reason. Soarin should try to get Rarity on the defensive and watch that fall into pieces.

Sell 50 coco.

Buy 72 rainbow [$504]
Buy 34 DJ [$544]

Can't wait, have a good night's rest. You're great at confessionalizing.

I think soarin made a huge mistake here. Rarity being the target will either come back against him hard and fast or rarity's paranoia will lead to a beautiful one episode trainwreck narrative arc.

Who's the biggest threat to your immediate survival? How do you feel about your resume so far?

Oops, missed the deadline. I would've switched to Granny probably.

After that tribal, how quiet and settled or loud and chaotic is the evil deep within your soul? within others souls?

I made ratings at the challenge, and then that went all out the window overnight. Also, please remember that I'm using play style analysis mostly instead of confessional depth rankings.

Ghost of Trixie made a strong showing tonight. Definitely made the biggest rise in the rankings. Ghost of Trixie was compared to Pinkie in a good way. Just on the brink of OTTP. Also, it's OTT because it caused players to overplay.

Coco and DJ take the backseat to everypony and quietly build their empire while all the peons fight over who gets to be the one to die first. While their resumes are minor at this point, they're so well positioned in this game and know it. Well, moreso Coco. Coco also got the idol. DJ thinks he's playing this horrible game, but we the specs know he's been doing so well staying above the fray and maintaining connections and now it shows. DJ keeps making strong friendships, but also, it means that others know that he's keeping options open but also isn't a threat. Looking back it, I think DJ should be MORP. If DJ was the one guiding the ship and creating the alliance, he'd get the CPP. Instead, he's still biding time until the grand alliance is created. Coco is doing the same. Granny's doing the same thing as Coco and DJ except Granny has different connections and is known for being more of a threat too. Interesting that all these MOR ratings are the ones doing the best.

Grand Pear still has great connections that are being used to full potential. Grand Pear, however, is connected to Rainbow/Rarity which are a dying pair. Grand Pear can easily survive if they're taken out though. Grand Pear quietly can rebuild relationships and go far. He's going to be forced to pick soon though, and that might be his undoing. He's been able to stay above the fray, but if Soarin can get Rarity on the radar, Grand Pear needs to deftly handle that vote to manage everything.

Soarin was the key in this merge. Soarin wanted to learn about that Flutter vote and did the right investigation, however, he was a little bit too forthcoming in it. He closed a connection that he could've used. He's not against it, but he's also not kept the illusion of it. Soarin along with Flim Flam really started to build an alliance with DJ and started to add in the additional players. Soarin was also quite the instigator this time around. Soarin is thinking about the end and kinda needs to be more aggressive because otherwise he'll be left out because he doesn't know people as well as others. At least Soarin is making a good impression. Flim Flam dying could be the best and worst thing for Soarin though. Soarin needs to play it chill next round while still maintaining a presence. Playing too hard next round will cause Soarin to become a threat. Playing it too cool next round will cause Soarin to be even more distant to players who already have stronger bonds with other players. Soarin could easily transform Flim's relationships into new allies just by being himself. If he does this, he could launch himself into the finals.

Rainbow/Rarity played a key moment too slowly. This was more due to being offline than being intentionally off. Rarity was super paranoid and cold, and Soarin is going to take advantage of this. Rarity was supposed to be less of a threat than Rainbow, but because of Rarity's actions, Soarin is going to pull off Rarity first to weaken Rainbow. Also, this might be the right move for Soarin. Rarity also got tied into the Pinkie/Rarity narrative by Flim, which is very bad SPV. Rainbow was too controlling this round and this could've been sure disaster. However, Pinkie forced everything else into the open, which let Rainbow take a bit more backseat to the action. Rainbow's connections are weakening and others are taking full advantage in this merge of being more social than Rainbow is. Rainbow needs to make a better impression stat or else he's a quick goner. Also Rainbow needed to have killed Granny, and Rarity needed to have killed Coco. Having both around still makes this a much more uphill battle for this pair. Letting Pinkie and Queen go off into the sunset to die alone could be real bad for them. They abandoned that alliance and having too many connections may mean that others band to get them out first. And Queen and/or Pinkie be vocal about this could be very very bad. Both could rebound strongly from this vote because of their frank honesty.

Derpy benefitted from this all. Derpy was a sure vote this time around. But Flim had other plans and now Derpy, even having been in the minority, can rebound quickly. Derpy isn't strongly with Queen/Starlight/Pinkie as I think. Derpy also is strangely re-endearing herself to Granny and DJ, which means very good things. Derpy didn't do anything differently either. So being terribly honest and vulnerable has caused Derpy gain trust points? But also by being chaotic? But by being openly chaotic? But I think it proved that Derpy feels alone and will do anything to not feel alone. DJ and Granny, if smart, will do something about this.

Pinkie/Queen were dead in the water. They still are...unless they bus Rarity and Rainbow very quickly. Queen is worse off because Coco sniffed out her true colors and Queen didn't let Pinkie die. Pinkie can still pawn all of the blame on Starlight and timezones. Pinkie's honesty could do her favors here if she can get to the key people, stay active, and convince them that it never was her. If Pinkie had 25% more activity, I think most of the issues and concerns would not be as much of an issue. I think that shows how great Pinkie makes such a strong good impression on people in such a short time. Pinkie needs to take a breath and go back to how she was in Castle of Friendship. That viewpoint was what earned her allies. Being that open with people will get her allies again. And if DJ/Coco/Granny want to kill Rarity or Rainbow next, they would need Queen/Pinkie to do it. I don't think Queen/Pinkie could finagle a way to the finals, though at this point. Maybe Pinkie?

Starlight played too much this round. Starlight gets along well with people. Starlight didn't need Pinkie/Queen as a number. Starlight was in a good position to infiltrate alliances and just be cute and be a number. However, Starlight played the instigator and got caught. I don't think Starlight did anything intentional either, but I believe Starlight misinterpreted something said at some point, spread it around, and then all this started. Starlight is sticking too strongly to Carousel and would've been welcomed with open arms by some players. Starlight trying to become a strong twosome with Flim Flam due to connection with Buried - that would've been a killer duo. Both play similarly but Starlight's not playing well on her back heels and is too defensive. If Starlight makes a sharp 180, I'll be impressed. Starlight has it within her too. She just needs to find an alliance and be the seventh wheel in it. It's not a good position to be in to be at the bottom of a totem pole, but I think Starlight has the chops to build higher and higher and swinging back and forth to another alliance to rise up the ranks.

idfk who to trus anymore. i just causin chaos at dis point an hoep i cum out da utter end.

Language. For shame. Won't anypony think of the children?

Also. Why pinkie and rarity?

Keep up the great confessional work! I would've asked questions, but you've answered them all already.

Errr....maybe, any group chats that are active for you right now?

Starlight's fake idol quote is actually kinda bad. If you're going to fake that it is limited, she should've done one later instead of one earlier. If Queen ever reveals that it's for merge or F8, then people may try to vote out Starlight at F9 so that it never gets used. Plus F8 is a weird number. Instead Starlight should've said F6. That way people intentionally target Starlight at F7 and then Starlight can actually use it. And F6 is a logical time to have a time limited idol. Either way, it's probably going to be used tonight anyway. Or, at least, it is in Starlight's best interests to probably use it now, unless she can finagle a good alliance here.

Thank you for this insight. Very helpful.

If any past tribe (yours or anypony else's) is the one that created the overall narrative in the game, which one is it?

So there seems to be coco and followers and rainbow dash and followers? With derpy and starlight on the far outs.

Coco: granny, DJ, flim, soarin (by proxy)
Rd: rarity, grand, pinkie, queen

So everypony bands together to vote out one of the outcasts instead of making a big move and next tribal is huge?

Also coco getting the idol.

Who's in yer current trust cluster?

I appreciate the players eliminating in alphabetical order to help me not have to reorder.

Derpy is the player that is trying to meddle the most in other tribe's votes. Derpy is losing the focus here. In a way, Derpy is both playing too hard and too slow. Derpy hasn't adjusted to the flow of the game with that last phase. Derpy was starting to be out of the loop and was saved by the swap and never having to go to tribal. Instead of trying to gain new social connections, Derpy solidified what she already had, which would be great in a normal situation if she was part of an impending majority alliance. However, that's not the case. Derpy took stock in what she had and assumed incorrectly. And now Derpy is acting from a place of power when she shouldn't. Derpy seemed to change after Daddy died and things haven't been the same since. Derpy could be the new Trixie and play chaos, and if Derpy somehow manages to last more than 2 tribals, this could be very interesting.

Starlight tried to throw the challenge, and that would have been fun. Again, Starlight is playing similarly to Derpy. Starlight is believing that there will be an anti-Apple alliance. Starlight, however, manages to get on people's good sides just by being pretty cool. Starlight needs to really just be open minded at the merge and utilize the relationships created during last phase into this merge. If anypony's going to make this game go in a different pathway than where it seems to be headed, it's likely going to be because of Starlight.

Flim Flam has benefitted most the most from this swap, from certain doom to building more allies. Flim Flam however is just being Flim Flam. I think everytime Flim Flam gains allies, half of it is Flim Flam knows how to manage information dissemination really well, half of it is Flim Flam is capitalizing on not being shady like Starlight/Derpy or Queen/Flutter. In other words, Flim is the anti-Trixie. Flim Flam can now be a true swing vote with Buried gone as well. Flim has the opportunity to make magic in the first tribal of the merge, and I cannot wait to see what happens next. If Flim goes all in witih Soarin/DJ, this is a huge swing vote alliance. If Flim rejoins with Pear, then Flim becomes more of a number for a larger alliance and will hide in the shadows.

Coco earned immunity and went from next vote out to playing a precarious precipice of doom. Coco now has a fake alliance and I wonder if Coco is going to reach out to DJ/Soarin or if Coco is going to try to rebuild with past Apples and see how things go. If Coco burns the bridge with Pinkie/Queen/Rarity, this could be interesting then Coco could be the lighting rod and Coco's going to need to play in a different way than Coco has intended. Coco wanted to UTR until later, but Coco might now have to be in the limelight and I don't know what will happen then.

DJ/Soarin naturally came together and it's friendship, it's magic, it's beautiful. They're peaking at the right time, people are going to want to connect with them. Their styles are well suited for this merge, and they're in the right position. The best part for the duo is that while it was not intentional, it seems that Soarin took more of the initiative to set things up instead of DJ. Soarin was in the better position to do so just because of the losses he's experienced. Too much from DJ and then DJ becomes seen as a power player and becomes somepony to take out. Instead Starlight/Derpy don't know of the underground alliance made.

Granny wasn't really in danger. Buried somehow became a threat because of the double vote and that was a remnant from last vote. Buried being the vote was the wrong move. Granny's more of a social threat and continues to have connections that she will barter in the future. I do not think Rainbow will benefit from this move. I do think it benefits Pear though. Pear is in amazing position because Pear has strong connections and has done very little to throw anypony under the bus. Rainbow, instead, has done this thoroughly. Rainbow is in a bad position at merge here because everypony thinks Flutter was sacrificed by Rainbow, instead of Rarity. Additionally, Rainbow has been seen more of a ringleader. Good for now though, just because Rainbow is probably going to be in the majority just because of the allies still alive. Rainbow is seen as a decision maker, and also has an idol clue. Rainbow will be the huge merge target, but because of having enough allies will survive until everypony realizes that Rainbow has too big of a resume and needs to be taken out before jury. Rainbow needs to learn to take a back seat and let Rarity go paranoid in the merge and make the moves that are necessary. If Rainbow isn't UTR in merge episode, it's going to be a huge climb to the finals.

Queen/Pinkie are very easily a strong pair. Both are connected to Rarity/Rainbow, but I don't think that they're going to connect as much at merge because Rarity and Rainbow are too well connected. If Queen and Pinkie start to realize that, they could make some damage. Queen has done well to really slow down the play and remove herself from Trixie and the Carousels. Unfortunately, she hasn't met enough people to convince them that that she's really separated from them. Right now her position there will be lower because she hasn't had the time to undo Trixie's damage. However, in the merge, I think she could easily move in the right direction...however...Pinkie has done little to really help this out. Pinkie telling Coco that she's in the outs was premature. Pinkie is playing some game, and unfortunately, we don't know the full extent. Pinkie is not in a good position because of that statement. Pinkie, if she can stand out in the merge with Rarity or Rainbow, could get back into good graces. However, if Pinkie is a bit slow and absent, I don't think Pinkie can recover. Pinkie's unfortunate weakness in the game is her not being around at key moments, her strength is her personality and her honesty. I'm glad to see that the redemption winner made the merge too without being at risk of being voted. What's interesting here is that by not having to use the redemption idol, Applejack's cutie map will continue to confuse people, even though it could easily be surmised that Pinkie has it. However, the cutie map didn't mention the limitations of idols. Starlight's is limited to 2 tribals, Pinkie's is gone, and Rainbow never got it. So idols become a spectre of a threat that isn't there. Items in this game are threatening more by their potential than their actual use.

Sell all soarin buy all flim flam

How big is that ax

After sharing what's on the plus and minus side, what's on the square root or multiplication side?

Quote from: Twilight Sparkle on April 22, 2019, 05:18:18 pm

Quote from: Thorax

Why are all my game talk things with other ponies centered around Trixie?
That just makes everything annoying to bring up information.

Ghost of Trixie returns!

Ghost of Trixie OTT2

OTT3 after queen mentioned her

I’ve greatly enjoyed your confessional!!!!