Reasons I would or wouldn't want various people around
Vincent:
+has a relationship with me
+is not so connected to bill, and bill might want him out in the future
+tying in with that, i think he can be portrayed as having too many connections making him a possible target in the future
-connection to rob? but this might not be very strong
Rob:
actually this might not be a viable vote here so i don't need to consider it much
Paulie:
-supposedly is well-connected
+but this is the perception which raises his profile
-i feel the least confident about my connection here
-is probably close with rob
Shin:
+would be close to me, especially if vincent goes away in a way where i don't seem responsible
-but, that is pretty visible, especially if vincent goes away
+has no connection to rob or paulie (or ventriloquist, unsure about with carmine)
but, there's also considerations of what the vote itself does to relationships.
Shin would be an easy vote for keeping everyone else happy
other ones are trickier
thinking....