Stock Market

[Sothis]

Roll up, roll up! Buy your player stocks here! This is a simple game anybody (spectators, eliminated players, even mods) can play in.
Each round, I will update the prices in the stock market to reflect the win equity I believe each player has. You may then place an order to buy any combination of player stock at those prices - for example, if Ashe cost $5 and Alois cost $4, you could place an order to buy 2 Ashe stock for $10 and 3 Alois stock for $12. Likewise, you can sell any amount of stock you own at the listed prices to convert it back into dollars (and you can use these dollars to buy stock on the same turn, or leave them in reserve).

If someone is eliminated, their stock price immediately drops to zero. At any time, the stock prices of all players will add up to $100, so on average prices will increase as more players are eliminated. At the end of the game, each stock you own of the winning player will be worth 1 point, and everything else will be worth nothing - most points wins!

Everyone starts with $200 - you can enter the game at any time and start with this amount, so don't worry if you've missed some rounds.
The opening stock market will be posted below shortly (followed by some general thoughts on the pricing for each player).

[Rodrigue]

How much for a share of Rhea

[Gatekeeper]

Would it be smart to put all my stock into Gatekeeper?
Barring that, could I put $100 into Ralphael

[Sothis]

First stock market! I can list names if people need em but I figure this might be a good exercise for actually learning how to tell FE characters apart

[Sothis]

How much for a share of Rhea

Rhea is priceless

Would it be smart to put all my stock into Gatekeeper?
Barring that, could I put $100 into Ralphael

Gatekeeper is also priceless

[Sothis]

Mere mortals such as I cannot put a price on such incredible beings as mods and spectators

[Gatekeeper]

Can I put a price on myself?

[Sothis]

Some quick(ish) thoughts on why the prices are what they are:

Spoiler

Shamir is clearly the favourite right now, at least fmpov. Has an idol, good connections, a useful support link, and a big shield in Raphael.
Yuri seemed like they made the best bonds on their old tribe, and their old tribe felt like the best socially of the three, so that's saying something. They've also got the shield in Raphael and are probably going to end up closer with him than Shamir is. Mercedes was also (along with Dimitri) at the top of their old tribe socially, has a support link, and has significant power from the Dancer advantage right now.
Dimitri and Petra are both surprisingly high up for gimmick players! But I think they've both managed to make the gimmicks work to their advantage and were, again, both at the top of their old tribes socially. Felix was up there too, and I think all three of them will be able to integrate well here.
Raphael and Dorothea are both just above average for very different reasons - Raphael feels like the 'big player' of the game who everyone is going to use as a shield, but if he does make it to the end I could absolutely see him winning, and he has solid connections to do so. Dorothea on the other hand is much more lowkey, flying significantly under the radar on her old tribe but never in a particularly bad spot despite it. I think Dorothea also had a very good swap tribe here in terms of activity buffers.
Caspar feels like a solid player, but I think on red tribe in particular here he's in danger, just because of a general lack of buffers and the fact that people know about his support link to Mercedes. Ashe is in a fine spot right now but I think he's had difficulty making the same connections that the players above him have, while Lorenz and Alois both fall into similar categories of 'potentially great players who I could easily see blowing themselves up'.
I think Hapi did quite poorly on the social side of things on her last tribe - I don't see her going anytime soon because Hubert and Annette seem like the immediate targets on that tribe, but with the 'big player' look of being a tribe leader, I don't see Hapi doing well in the long run. Claude feels like someone who could do well, but it seems like their activity has been relatively low up to this point and I think there's some chance they get ousted immediately on their current tribe. I think Edelgard is lacking a bit on the social front given how things went down on Eagles, but they'd probably be the person I'd be least surprised to go up in future given Eagles were the most active of the three tribes.
We haven't had much of a chance to see how Annette is doing, but I suspect their activity level might be too low to keep them alive except that they have a buffer in Hubert right now. Lysithea pulled off a surprise comeback last time, but they still seemed to be toward the bottom of the tribe, and I wouldn't be too surprised if that continues in the long run.
Flayn managed to pull off a solid comeback the first time around, but I don't think it'll be enough to keep them alive on their new tribe, as it seems to be the most dangerous of the lot. Hubert staying alive will require immunity wins in my view, given that the leaders already discussed booting him while drafting the tribes.

[close]

[Sothis]

Can I put a price on myself?

...sure? But you'll have to sell them on the black market, we're a reputable store and don't deal in gatekeepers

[Rhea]

10 Caspar, 22 Claude, 20 Annette

[Rhea]

How much for a share of Rhea

at least take me to dinner first

[Gatekeeper]

Total:
$102 Raphael // 17
$20 Claude
$20 Caspar
$10 Alois

$50 Rhea

Total:
$200

[Gatekeeper]

actually hang on, let me round these to numbers

[Rodrigue]

I don't know which one is which I just want to split my money evenly between the people on my fantasy team

[Sothis]

Current stock holdings:

Rhea: 10 Caspar, 22 Claude, 20 Annette, $2

Gatekeeper: 17 Raphael, 5 Claude, 4 Caspar, 2 Alois, $48

Rodrigue: 10 Alois, 10 Ashe, 10 Caspar, 16 Annette, $1

[Sothis]

New prices!

[Sothis]

Current stock holdings:

Rhea: 10 Caspar, 22 Claude, $2 (Total Value: $152)

Gatekeeper: 17 Raphael, 5 Claude, 4 Caspar, 2 Alois, $48 (Total Value: $201)

Rodrigue: 10 Alois, 10 Ashe, 10 Caspar, $1 (Total Value: $151)

[Gatekeeper]

hm, so, i'm not really reading the game just because work and shit, but like, hear me out:

what if i buy like 5 more on claude, and four on ashe