Petra has agreed we should push one of Edie and Raphael but I suggested we switch it to Shamir last second tomorrow. We will warn and bring people in slowly, first with Caspar. Sometime tomorrow, I'll ask Ashe to be near his computer about an hour before TC ends... The goal is to vote out Shamir without it getting back to her but I'm willing to drop this plan if it might put me in danger.
I feel like in my history of playing games, gambits like this rarely work out, but if it does, this would be the game changing move. Taking out Shamir and potentially wasting Edelgard's immunity idol (assuming she uses it, which tbh I don't know if she will, she seems paranoid but not truly panic'd). If the idols weren't a thing, I think Dorothea would be my pick to win, especially since it looks like Petra/Doro/Ashe is a fairly solid threesome with Caspar still being a bit of a wild card. But I wonder if they manage to do this...
Petra/Doro/Ashe/Caspar - Shamir
Shamir/Edel/Raphael/Lorenz- Petra
If the four of them agree to blindside Shamir, they could probably get Lorenz to jump on board with it. That honestly wouldn't even be that bad for him since it seems there are more in that group who are willing to take him to the end than the others (or well I guess Caspar and maybe Ashe). But seeing how Ashe folded so quickly last tie and Caspar is the one trying to push the Edelgard vote, I don't know if the two of them will be willing to vote for Shamir. Fingers crossed though.