Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 2:01 am
For town to win it still relies on getting a crosskill. I've been thinking this for awhile now that Boon is wolf and is against a no lynch 'cause a no lynch helps town more than it does wolves.
In post 6270, Thor665 wrote:In post 6256, T S O wrote:Mafia would have had a 2/3 chance of shooting a Wolf - now Wolf has a 1/3 chance of shooting Mafia.
It's worse than it was.
Except you're forgetting the wolf shot in the above.
In post 6273, Nero Cain wrote:I'm going to go watch a movie and be back later but just quickly I think exactly one of Boon/Thor is scum and my guess is Boon.
Leaving the other 2 scum in TSO/Pine/Slandaar. Both Pine and TSO are pretty scummy but if TSO were scum he'd be mafia so we aren't going to lynch him.
My preferred lynch list is Boon or no lynch.
In post 6235, T S O wrote:In post 4199, Thor665 wrote:In post 2532, Thor665 wrote:Hey, GM, I'm keeping you in mind.
Crumb.
Not that this should come as a shock since besides claiming VT when being a scum PR - the only thing I ever lie about in claims is alignment.
I was thinking about this.
It makes perfect sense for Thor to be an Odd-Night Roleblocker with this claim as scum. He quite probably -did- block goodmorning with this. It's a clever claim because if someone had used their PR on him, it would seem like he was telling the truth, yet blocking goodmorning had scum motivation because gm was sure he was scum.
And, as well as that, it ties in brilliantly with the set-up - because reinoe, flipped Mafia, was an Even-Night Roleblocker.
In post 6185, Thor665 wrote:It's called percentages - when 7 people (1/3 of all voters) are voting someone (an 8th player who is not Mafia) - then, yes, I would expect Mafia to be on that wagon.
So...do you not do wagon analysis or do you do it in some alternate way? Becausse I'm pretty sure my way is the "standard" way or at least close to it. What's your method?
In post 6185, Thor665 wrote:Yes I did? This is empty.
In post 6185, Thor665 wrote:Yeah - totally a story change...
In post 6185, Thor665 wrote:Scum either shot for town, which was bad play.
Or they shot for scum by shooting fairly town looking slots, which was bad play.
Ergo - scum is playing badly - which is what I somewhat implied when I called them "lackwits" which is not meant as a compliment of their play.
No matter which way you approach it - scum shot dumb last night.
In post 6185, Thor665 wrote:Well - I have called Boon scum, so he's certainly a slot I'm eyeing. Also, Flubber shows that bussing was happening, so I'm not sure why you have a question mark behind it (again, unless you meant wolves - but then what bussing are you talking about even on a theoretical level?)?
In post 6185, Thor665 wrote:
You say this like it's owning my face on some point - what point do you think you're owning me on? Calling Pine scum? I've been doing that for a few days now - both real and game, so...?
I don't feel like we're talking with each other here - I feel like I've missed an entire sub conversation/debate of which this is a crowning culmination post to - clarify?
In post 6186, Thor665 wrote:Or is it you're trying to sell me that Josh is Mafia?
Nah - I find that unlikely, his play works fine for Wolf and, in my opinion, moreso than Mafia.
In post 6192, Thor665 wrote:@Slandaar - in and amongst your derp debate, talk to me about why you think Pine is Mafia and not Wolf. I am very much of the opposite opinion.
In post 6263, Pine wrote:I'm not Mafia (still VT). I was trying to draw out a Mafia soft-counterclaim while gauging potential Wolf bloodthirstiness
In post 6271, Boonskiies wrote:Have TSO/Slandaar/Nero claimed? I think it may be beneficial if they did.
In post 6273, Nero Cain wrote:I'm going to go watch a movie and be back later but just quickly I think exactly one of Boon/Thor is scum and my guess is Boon.
In post 6273, Nero Cain wrote:if TSO were scum he'd be mafia
In post 6273, Nero Cain wrote:My preferred lynch list is Boon or no lynch.
In post 6274, Boonskiies wrote:No lynching leaves this game way up to chance. We aren't no lynching. It's Thor or Pine.
In post 6277, T S O wrote:In post 6270, Thor665 wrote:In post 6256, T S O wrote:Mafia would have had a 2/3 chance of shooting a Wolf - now Wolf has a 1/3 chance of shooting Mafia.
It's worse than it was.
Except you're forgetting the wolf shot in the above.
What?
[smip]
What exactly am I missing here ...?
In post 6283, T S O wrote:In post 6235, T S O wrote:In post 4199, Thor665 wrote:In post 2532, Thor665 wrote:Hey, GM, I'm keeping you in mind.
Crumb.
Not that this should come as a shock since besides claiming VT when being a scum PR - the only thing I ever lie about in claims is alignment.
I was thinking about this.
It makes perfect sense for Thor to be an Odd-Night Roleblocker with this claim as scum. He quite probably -did- block goodmorning with this. It's a clever claim because if someone had used their PR on him, it would seem like he was telling the truth, yet blocking goodmorning had scum motivation because gm was sure he was scum.
And, as well as that, it ties in brilliantly with the set-up - because reinoe, flipped Mafia, was an Even-Night Roleblocker.
Can we discuss this? Because I want to.
In post 6284, Slandaar wrote:What I will say about this is it is somewhat what I suspected. Mafia can't actually claim and stick to their claim of mafia today. I need to think about it though.
Will be back tomorrow with lots of time.
In post 6285, Thor665 wrote:[quote="In .
In post 6273, Nero Cain wrote:I'm going to go watch a movie and be back later but just quickly I think exactly one of Boon/Thor is scum and my guess is Boon.
?
Well I think Boon is scum. The way he's pushing to lynch ALMOST anyone and is against a no lynch (which I think actually greatly benefits town) looks like scum that's about to win and a no lynch hurts them.
So why did/do I think no lynch is a good viable option? Town can't win unless we get a crosskill and a nl gives mafia a slightly larger chance of hitting wolf than town. If we lynch town or mafia its a wolf win and town would also have a better chance of getting shit right.
In post 5973, T S O wrote:TSO: VT Neighbour
Pine: VT
Nero: VT Neighbour
Thor: 1-shot JK Neighbour
Slandaar: ??
Boonskiies: 2-shot BP Neighbour
In post 6286, Nero Cain wrote:You think we have 4 town prs?
In post 6286, Nero Cain wrote:The way that scripten tried to play mediator between me and TSO makes me think non wolf and the non wolf scum faction is mafia.
In post 6285, Thor665 wrote:In post 6274, Boonskiies wrote:No lynching leaves this game way up to chance. We aren't no lynching. It's Thor or Pine.
Why is it Thor or Pine? I keep asking you this and I don't feel like you're answering.