If you were expecting some master plan from me, I'm afraid you were sadly mistaken.
I suppose it's a postin' time.
Right. So at the end of yesterday, I said we shouldn't (immediately) No Lynch. This probably surprised people, especially when they know I have reasons to strongly suggest it's a good idea. (Neruzian.)
"Everyone could die, right?"
Theoretically, yes.
That, itself, is a change from my previous stance that "everyone except for mastin could die, since mastin has a free pass to lylo as our primary suspect."
Then I realized...I really don't. I honestly, truly...could die.
That itself wasn't enough, though.
What tipped me over the edge?
Realizing that it WASN'T anyone who would die. That the SMARTEST Serial Killer kill would actually be me.
"...what."
Yeah, well, think ahead to lylo.
There are three scenarios.
1: The Serial Killer 1V1s me. This is a fight they very well may lose. Sure, it's possible to enter this scenario and win (after all, before my current meta of getting NK'd every single game, I had the opposite type of meta
), but it's a huge risk.
2: The VT votes me, SK hammers. This situation would be ideal, but also incredibly unlikely. No player here would be that trigger-happy to attack me.
Or
3: Either the SK crossvotes with the VT, or nobody votes 'til a couple days before deadline. Either way, it's a Sexy Sedilla Situation.
Nothing wrong with that for a SK, right? I mean, I had to use every single last minute of my time in Sexy Sedilla before casting the hammer vote. No problem, right?
Wrong. 'Cause guess what: I eventually
Sexy Sedilla, even if it took me forever. Any SK familiar with that situation would realize that bringing me to lylo when I'm willing to pull multiple all-nighters to find the scum is quite frankly foolish. That's not all.
Because there's another reason beyond being nearly impossible to lynch which makes me a very bad choice for lylo: the exact same thing which is the main reason people think I'm the SK--forethought. I have the ability to see into the future and predict things.
...Including, say, who the SK would be if *player1* died. And how that is different from who the SK would be if *player2* died. Because I'm capable of doing good nightkill analysis, well, it is a slight double-sword, in that it proves that I could be the SK setting up the situations I describe...
...But it ALSO means I'm an incredible THREAT to the Serial Killer, since getting inside of scum's heads is something of a specialty of mine. And because I'm good at it, that makes me incredibly dangerous to the SK.
Sure, I *could* be wrong about my NK analysis (I did it on Day Eight), but the Serial Killer is taking a HUGE risk with this. They don't know if I'm right or wrong. (And I quite frankly don't intend to tell them, for obvious reasons.) If I'm right, then I basically have them nailed, and they're screwed.
So, both because I'm incredibly hard to lynch, and incredibly likely to nail the scum, I'm basically the person the SK LEAST wants in Lylo.
Does that mean we'll be lynching today?
Oh, heck no. I fully support a No Lynch.
Just not immediately.
What *I* want, is to *USE* today. Use every single minute of Day Nine to analyze, interrogate, etc. Try to figure out who the SK is today. Get all the work done now, rather than later or never. And after all of that, then the day can end. (Basically, we don't end the day before we're ready. And if we're not ready before deadline, well, then we'll have used the whole time since at deadline the default is a no-lynch.)
That way, I can die having scumhunted, instead of having died giving the town nothing to work with.
So, uh, yeah. Not some master strategy, a grand master plan to win the game.
Me wanting to die scumhunting.