NCAA Tournament Challenge 2010

ISO · Post Post #0 (ISO) » Wed Mar 10, 2010 12:31 pm

As usual, started a group on ESPN.

http://games.espn.go.com/tcmen/group?groupID=13534

Group Name: mafiascum.net
Password: upseteveryone

Selection Sunday is this Sunday, bracket needs to be filled out between then and next Thursday.

One bracket per user for this group, please. You can create up to 10 on ESPN and enter them in other groups (or just have them for extra chances at the prizes).

creampuffeater · Post Post #1 (ISO) » Wed Mar 10, 2010 12:55 pm

WOOOOO I am ready to lose once again this year

ISO · Post Post #2 (ISO) » Sun Mar 14, 2010 3:54 am

Yahoo group also set up by yabbaguy. Click Here, then type in 58492 for the Group ID, and WIFOM for the password.

Group Link

yabbaguy · Post Post #3 (ISO) » Sun Mar 14, 2010 10:16 am

I got second last year on another forum merely based on a crapshoot. As false as fallacies are, it's fun to think you're bound for first this year.

I bet you I'll win anyway.

pickemgenius · Post Post #4 (ISO) » Sun Mar 14, 2010 10:33 am

TIME TO DEFEND MY TITLE.

jmj3000 · Post Post #5 (ISO) » Sun Mar 14, 2010 11:06 am

The brackets need to be announced

xRECKONERx · Post Post #6 (ISO) » Sun Mar 14, 2010 11:21 am

/in on yahoo

jmj3000 · Post Post #7 (ISO) » Sun Mar 14, 2010 11:40 am

/in on both lol

jmj3000 · Post Post #8 (ISO) » Sun Mar 14, 2010 11:51 am

Does anyone know who the 16 seed in the South bracket is?

Fuzzyman · Post Post #9 (ISO) » Sun Mar 14, 2010 12:04 pm

/In for yahoo.

bouncy.bouncy · Post Post #10 (ISO) » Sun Mar 14, 2010 12:14 pm

jmj3000 wrote:Does anyone know who the 16 seed in the South bracket is?

Play-in game Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Winthrop

jmj3000 · Post Post #11 (ISO) » Sun Mar 14, 2010 12:23 pm

I am disappointed to not see UGA, but I guess GT is fine

Trojan Horse · Post Post #12 (ISO) » Sun Mar 14, 2010 5:26 pm

Jeff Eisenberg put together a list of do's and don'ts for filling out a March Madness bracket. One comment in particular was pretty amusing:

Jeff Eisenberg wrote:DON'T: Put all four No. 1 seeds in your Final Four. It has only happened in 2008, and this year's No. 1s aren't juggernauts like Kansas, Memphis, UCLA and North Carolina were that season. Plus, if you don't take some risks, you'll wind up losing your bracket contest to the mail clerk who did.

Ah, now that brings back some fond memories...

Haven't looked at the bracket yet, but it's likely that I will pick all four #1 seeds again. Hey, it worked before...

Kmd4390 · Post Post #13 (ISO) » Sun Mar 14, 2010 7:05 pm

Kind of annoying that (on ESPN) I have to click a team 20 times before it actually picks them...

Sudo_Nym · Post Post #14 (ISO) » Sun Mar 14, 2010 7:33 pm

Brackets filled out on both. Booyah!

yabbaguy · Post Post #15 (ISO) » Tue Mar 16, 2010 4:20 pm

Bump. Time's running out to fill 'em out. You might as well fill out the max number of brackets for each website if you want to at least give the cash contests a whirl (because obviously your bracket is going to be awesome and dominate the world.)

(PS: Yahoo!'s offering $1M for a perfect bracket. You never know, you might have the one.)

pickemgenius · Post Post #16 (ISO) » Tue Mar 16, 2010 5:15 pm

Sobe is handing out 9mill and sportsbook is handing out 13mill for perfect brackets ^_^

Trojan Horse · Post Post #17 (ISO) » Wed Mar 17, 2010 7:39 am

They could hand out $1B and still be perfectly safe. No way is anyone ever going to have a perfect bracket. Way too many games.

yabbaguy · Post Post #18 (ISO) » Wed Mar 17, 2010 2:03 pm

On the other hand, if one guy enters to all those contests and is perfect... just quit your job and wait for those annuities to pour in.

yawetag · Post Post #19 (ISO) » Thu Mar 18, 2010 1:07 am

Trojan Horse wrote:They could hand out $1B and still be perfectly safe. No way is anyone ever going to have a perfect bracket. Way too many games.

We can get an Actuary figure out the odds. I'm willing to bet a $1B prize would be a bit high and no insurance company would take the chance.

Hint: It's not as simple as 63². It's better than that.

bouncy.bouncy · Post Post #20 (ISO) » Thu Mar 18, 2010 4:04 am

yawetag wrote:
Trojan Horse wrote:They could hand out $1B and still be perfectly safe. No way is anyone ever going to have a perfect bracket. Way too many games.
We can get an Actuary figure out the odds. I'm willing to bet a $1B prize would be a bit high and no insurance company would take the chance.

Hint: It's not as simple as 63². It's better than that.

2^63?

yawetag · Post Post #21 (ISO) » Thu Mar 18, 2010 5:38 am

bouncy.bouncy wrote:2^63?

That's what I meant. The fact still remains that it's better odds than that.

diginova · Post Post #22 (ISO) » Thu Mar 18, 2010 5:49 am

Well, you can remove all the 1v16, 2v15 and almost guarantee removing 3v14.
That would cut it down by a couple orders of magnitude.

I mean, if no upsets occured, there would only be 2³ possibilities! Those are odds I want.

Sudo_Nym · Post Post #23 (ISO) » Thu Mar 18, 2010 8:19 am

Well, assuming all the matchups are decided by random chance, then the odds that your picks are correct are (.5^32)(.5^16)(.5^8)(.5^4)(.5^2)(.5), or about .000000000000000108%

Best of luck with that.

pickemgenius · Post Post #24 (ISO) » Thu Mar 18, 2010 9:07 am

Sudo I approve of your Final 4