I haven't had time to finish my analysis, so I'm going to post what I've got and finish as soon as I get a chance.
White (replacing Ms Piggy, Jack)
Ms. Piggy did a lot of vote hopping with very little explanation behind any of them, and then hammered SSF. Jack replaces. The first part of his first post I find interesting.
Jack wrote:On reading the setup,
I would say obviously the mafia will pick roleblocker and doc. No way they choose cop
.
Mert seems pro town, calling for a claim that early seems bold for scum. Oh wait he died so this is right.
Patricks vote on him for it being too early seems a bit like an obvious town post ie slightly scummy.
He says here that Patrick is scummy for making an obvious town post. I would definitely categorize the rest of Jack's post here (bolded parts) as "obvious town statements" which is ironic.
Says xyzzy's play seems poor and he can see why SSF got lynched, but doesn't give his reasoning behind either opinion, just refers to a couple of posts. Thinks dylan's scummy. A couple of posts later says he did some reading and changed his mind, but doesn't share his reasons or what he found. Votes mneme, unvotes and votes Thin_Man, saying he thinks Thin_Man is trying to save dylan. Makes a case against mneme, sticks to it.
White replaces in. Votes xyzzy right off, FOS's JDodge for lurking. Presents solid arguments against both xyzzy and Thin_Man. Thinks Guardian's breakdown of my case was the cat's pajamas. Tries to get JDodge to give his thoughts on the game.
Conclusion: Ms. Piggy and Jack did some things that could definitely be scum tells, but Jack's stance on the mneme wagon felt legitimate and White's play has felt pro-Town.
Probably Town
.
Jdodge
- Back and forth between him and xyzzy. Votes SSF for being afraid of drawing suspicion. Hammers mneme. Other than that, practically no content. The hammer came out of left field. It didn't seem like people were all that sure about mneme. His odd stab at Shanba was my only reason for thinking he was scum, and regardless of what has been suggested, I expected conversation to continue and mneme to claim or at least provide a defense.
Regardless of his abrupt hammer, he was this lurky and unhelpful in another game I'm in and he came up Town.
Probably Town
.
Patrick
- Votes mert for telling xyzzy to claim. Agrees that SSF's mindset is scummy, but keeps vote on mert. Claims schiz and SSF's votes on mert are scummy.
Patrick wrote: You hammered him without a claim. Just wow. I really hope you are not protown after that.
If SSF is protown and I'm dead overnight, obviously look heavily at Ms Piggy. I know it pretty much goes without saying. FoS: Ms Piggy
This is one of those things Jack pointed out as an "obvious town statement". I agree. It feels contrived.
Casts suspicion on Shanba, Honory Hitchhiker and Dylan; votes Dylan. Wavers on Dylan, says he'll unvote if Dylan gets close to a lynch. Defends his twilight statement. Defends against mneme, who accused him of lurking, questions mneme's scum list. Asks Shanba about her HH hunch. Gives a wishy washy stance on Jack. Says something seems odd in Shanba & Thin_Man's interaction but doesn't go into it.
I found this statement odd:
Patrick wrote:Don't see the Rishi suspicion. Obv didn't like his suspicions of me (which were backtracked on).
You think Rishi backtraced, but don't see the Rishi suspicion?
Next post, says he doesn't think Shanba's explanation of his lie was scummy, votes mneme. Unvotes, tells mneme to claim. Says he thinks last 2 mneme votes were bussing and that Jack/White is Town. Votes me. Says my reasoning for voting mneme is not bad but could've been bussing. Says mneme was wishy washy on Dylan but then looks back and says mneme was wishy washy on many players. For all this talk about wishy washiness, he's doing a lot of it himself. All in all,
Probably Scum
.
Thin Man (replacing Honary Hitchhiker)
- Thin Man (replacing Honary Hitchhiker) – HH’s first few posts seemed scummy to me. He calls out Mert for vote hopping, but the second Mert defends himself, HH backs way off and says “Sorry, didn’t know”. His argument still stands – Mert was vote hopping without giving reasons. HH’s reaction to Mert’s defense looked like HH was trying to avoid being in the spotlight/avoid suspicion at all costs. Really wishy washy about xyzzy in his next post. Votes xyzzy, hasn’t given any concrete reasons. Again gives some textbook wishy washiness:
HH wrote:I'm pretty content with my vote on xyzzy however I have some doubts on him actually being scum instead just a townie making some scummy plays. Reason being on my vote is that xyzzy claming certain people as scum which is fine but not explaining much for his actions and there isn't really evidence on how they are indeed scum. This vote might change as the game goes on.
Thin_Man replaces in. As has been pointed out, Thin_Man immediately votes mneme after replacing in.
ThinMan wrote:Ok.
I agree with Jack regarding pretty much everything he posted regarding mneme, so I won't repeat that.
Re: Pat, twilight. Talking in twilight more common. I think the point about whether patrick is more likely to vent his frustration either way is weak. One thing I do dislike about it, though, is the fact it feels to me a little boilerplate, like a 'required townie response', just in the tone. That's just a feeling though.
@Shanba: You were fairly promising when you joined the site. Since then, though, you seem to have really dropped into mediocrity. It's a pity.
@Jdodge: Are you playing anything like you normally do as scum in this game? (genuine question)
Xyzzy wrote:I'm a little suspicious of JDodge, simply because he's usually active as town. But I've been wrong before.... *ahem*
Do you consider yourself stupid, then?
I was suspicious of Shanba when I replaced in (though to be far I was suspcious of nearly everyone when I replaced in, though I tend to remember my suspicions of experienced players more, for some reason). Seteals points are actually quite good, but there's something to shanba which I don't quite want to lynch yet. I would prefer Mneme at present, still by quite a way, though. That said, I'm also beginning to get annoyed by my lack of opinions regarding other people in the game. I can conclusively say my opinions regarding a few people in the game, but there are a lot that I can't, either because they just haven't been around enough for me to be happy reading them or simply because I just ain't done it yet. I'll try and remedy the second half.
The sentence about Shanba is weird, I guess just in how wishy washy it is. Says he was suspicious of Shanba but gives no reason why, and then distracts from it by saying he was suspicious of everyone. I found it interesting that he said he was getting annoyed with his lack of opinions regarding the people in the game. I want to see this as a Town tell, but WIFOM kicks in since I think Thin_Man is experienced enough at this game that anything that seems Town could be him trying to look Town.
Says xyzzy is worthy of a bandwagon, and he’ll likely join it shortly. Instead, votes JDodge (after being told mneme would've been deadline lynched without the hammer).
Conclusion: Could go either way. HH was pretty scummy, but Thin_Man's play I could see coming from either scum or Town. I know he's an experienced player, so that could be a lot of why it's tough for me to get a read on him (combined with the fact that he hasn't posted much content). So I guess I'm gonna say
Neutral
.
Guardian (replacing schismatized)
– I still find schismatized's play extremely scummy.
schismatized wrote:@Patrick: To clarify, I was more suspicious of xyzzy when i voted for mert, but i didnt and still dont think we have had enough discussion to end the day. Given that, i just voted for the next scummy person in my mind.
Then says to dylan:
schiz wrote: If you think hes scum then vote for him. Asking someones permission looks like a setup for if he turns up town after lynch. You could easily say, "well xxxxx told me to vote for him."
Obvious double standard. Made a big deal about dylan's hesitation, but though he was most suspicious of xyzzy, he voted mert. His reason for everything he did was because he didn't think there had been enough discussion to lynch someone, but then he let SSF be lynched on a faster wagon than anyone else's was.
Guardian replaces. Like Thin_Man, votes mneme right off. Asks players for content. Congratulates the “doc/rb/other”.
Guardian wrote:Also, her first reason for finding me suspicious -- "hasn't done much lately" -- she basically admitted was a bullshit reason for finding me suspicious.
This is not accurate. At the time I posted that, Guardian had not posted much since the beginning of the new day. In my experience, he is much more outspoken than that. It seemed like he started lying low once suspicion was raised over his congratulating the doc/RB/other. The only thing I have said is that I can understand him being more quiet since his main suspect (xyzzy) is totally absent, therefore giving him little content to dissect. That hardly amounts to “admitting it’s a bullshit reason.”
To answer Patrick's question - no one ever refuted my schizmatized suspicions and I think they are very solid. This led to me assuming others agreed until Rishi's post which made me realize I was wrong.
Guardian, like Thin_Man I am mostly suspicious of because of the actions of their predecessors. Therefore, he also will be listed as
Neutral
for now, but more likely to be scum than some of the other players.
Shanba
– Like schiz, he unvoted xyzzy and said it was too early for a lynch, voted SSF and let that lynch happen. Says he didn’t remove SSF vote before hammer because he forgot about the game. I was very suspicious of Shanba when I first replaced in, but his defense/explanations have been good. Presented a decent case on mneme which he didn't back down from, and his admittance and explanation of the lie when it was unlikely anyone would’ve noticed all felt very Town to me. This combined with mneme jumping on it makes it likely he’s
Probably Town
.
I just need to reread xyzzy and Rishi. I'll get to it asap.