Mini 1875: Pine's Death Trap Post Game - Town win!


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Post Post #3800 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:13 pm

Post by mattblackguy »

RC the game is over and we won. If thinkbig is scum and was stupid enough to no kill to frame Sheep he still lost.
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Post Post #3801 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:13 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

I mean theoretically it doesn't change their endgame because our last night results are rendered useless.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #3802 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:16 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

I want time to sit and think. time to sit and think is a good thing for RCs. but RCs also need sleep and this RC is tired af so it wants to go to sleep and doesn't want to see a hammer.

please unvote.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #3803 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:17 pm

Post by mattblackguy »

wait RC let me break it down for you real quick. Don't go to sleep yet
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Post Post #3804 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:17 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

matt do you really think that you understand something here that I don't with regards to mechanics?
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #3805 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:18 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

just please. give me the benefit of the doubt. let me do my thing. let's win today and not somewhere down the line.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #3806 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:18 pm

Post by mattblackguy »

In post 3804, RadiantCowbells wrote:matt do you really think that you understand something here that I don't with regards to mechanics?
no I don't think. I know.
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Post Post #3807 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:18 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

I'm not saying that we don't lynch cooperative sheep but I am definitely saying that we sit here and do shit before we start voting.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #3808 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:19 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

please just whatever you are going to say I already know it. Maybe I just want the satisfaction of lynching scum again today.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #3809 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:19 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

I'm going to bed. I will be pissed if we lynch cooperative sheep before I get a chance to post and livid if we do so without getting to claim targets.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #3810 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:33 pm

Post by Fro99er »

I honestly thought scum would NK to frame me given MBG said he was gonna jail me.
"I officially announce Fro99er the king of guilties because this is the second time he has guiltied a slot I was really unsure about.
Heil King Froggo.
Ribbit ribbit." -Transcend
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Post Post #3811 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:53 pm

Post by mattblackguy »

Spoiler: Scum have a 0% chance of winning if they no kill last night
6 town vs 1 scum. Scum can't intentionally no kill because that's suicide. Let's say they no killed last night. What's the end goal here?

We lynch Sheep today and if he flips town then it's 5 town vs 1 scum. Scum no kill again.

We lynch town again tomorrow it's 4 town vs 1 scum. Scum no kill again.

We lynch town again it's 3 town vs 1 scum. No matter what scum does at this point they lose. They no kill and we lynch again and then at night it's Jailkeeper, and Tracker against the last mafia. I jail him, and we lynch him tomorrow.

So there we established that scum can't no kill twice more because they lose, but can they no kill once more and still have a chance at winning? Let's see.

If we lynch Sheep today and if he flips town then it's 5 town vs 1 scum. Scum no kill again.

We lynch town again and it's 4 town vs 1 scum. 2 town are confirmed PRs. 2 unconfirmed VT 1 scum. I jail one of the VT claims. You track another. If I die I confirm the VT I jailed, and you either confirm the other VT or you tracked the scum. If you die I confirm the VT claim I jailed. So it would be 3 town vs 1 scum during day with 2 confirmed town, and 1 unconfirmed town, and 1 scum. We lynch in those 2, and if we lynch town again I jail the only unconfirmed person left (the scum), and then lynch him tomorrow in 2 v 1.

There we established that scum can't win if they no kill again once more. But could scum have no killed last night and still have a chance of winning? Let's see.

Last night it was 6 town vs 1 scum. They no kill last night to try and frame the person being jailed.

We lynch Sheep and if he flips town then it's 5 v 1. 2 confirmed PR, 3 unconfirmed VT, 1 scum. I jail one of the 4 VT claims, RC tracks 1 of the 4 VT claims. If I die, I confirm 1 unconfirmed VT, and RC confirms 1 unconfirmed VT. During day it's 4 v 1. 3 confirmed town 1 uncofirmed town 1 scum. Lynch one of the unconfirmed. If it's a mislynch then it's 2 v 1 the next day with 2 confirmed VT, and 1 scum.

If RC dies, I confirm 1 unconfirmed VT. During day it's 4 v 1. 2 confirmed town 2 unconfirmed town 1 scum. We lynch in unconfirmed. If it's a mislynch. Then next day it will be 2 confirmed VT vs 1 scum. (I jail one of the unconfirmed VT, and confirm them if I die)

There I established that if scum wanted to win then they could not no kill at any time. If they did no kill at any time they put themselves in auto-loss. And it doesn't really matter who we lynch because we won.
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Post Post #3812 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:58 pm

Post by mattblackguy »

Why would scum take an action that put their chances of winning from ≤20% to 0%? And even if scum was dumb enough to do that. They still lose.
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Post Post #3813 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:59 pm

Post by mattblackguy »

TLDR - We won
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Post Post #3814 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:28 pm

Post by Fro99er »

So do you think i'm town now?
"I officially announce Fro99er the king of guilties because this is the second time he has guiltied a slot I was really unsure about.
Heil King Froggo.
Ribbit ribbit." -Transcend
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Post Post #3815 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:29 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

I think Grendel is town. everyone else can die.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #3816 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:31 pm

Post by mattblackguy »

Can we just end the game...
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Post Post #3817 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:32 pm

Post by mattblackguy »

I already told you how we won. Just finish it.
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Post Post #3818 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:42 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

I would like to jail Coop and lynch outside of him today.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #3819 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:43 pm

Post by Fro99er »

In post 3814, Fro99er wrote:So do you think i'm town now?
In post 3816, mattblackguy wrote:Can we just end the game...
I'll take that as reluctantly admitting yes
"I officially announce Fro99er the king of guilties because this is the second time he has guiltied a slot I was really unsure about.
Heil King Froggo.
Ribbit ribbit." -Transcend
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Post Post #3820 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:45 pm

Post by Fro99er »

In post 3818, RadiantCowbells wrote:I would like to jail Coop and lynch outside of him today.
This makes sense actually

VOTE: ThinkBig
"I officially announce Fro99er the king of guilties because this is the second time he has guiltied a slot I was really unsure about.
Heil King Froggo.
Ribbit ribbit." -Transcend
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Post Post #3821 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:47 pm

Post by mattblackguy »

In post 3819, Fro99er wrote:
In post 3814, Fro99er wrote:So do you think i'm town now?
In post 3816, mattblackguy wrote:Can we just end the game...
I'll take that as reluctantly admitting yes
If Sheep is scum then everyone else is Town. I can tell you're very smart
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Post Post #3822 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:48 pm

Post by mattblackguy »

So let me get this straight u guys want to lynch town today and then jail caught scum again instead of lynching and ending the game.

Am I the only person in this game that can do basic math?
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Post Post #3823 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:52 pm

Post by Fro99er »

In post 3822, mattblackguy wrote:So let me get this straight u guys want to lynch town today and then jail caught scum again instead of lynching and ending the game.

Am I the only person in this game that can do basic math?
No.

I actually have a Ph.D. In math.

It's possible scum no-killed because I planted it in their mind. If they did then sheep isn't confscum.

If we lynch outside of sheep, and you jail sheep again and we get yet another no-kill we can be 100% certain its sheep barring yet another no kill gambit. But you're right. At some point the no-kill gambits don't work. Doesn't mean they didn't try one. Either way, we win.

(Occam's razor says you're right tho)

VOTE: Sheep

Doesn't really matter
"I officially announce Fro99er the king of guilties because this is the second time he has guiltied a slot I was really unsure about.
Heil King Froggo.
Ribbit ribbit." -Transcend
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Post Post #3824 (ISO) » Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:53 pm

Post by Fro99er »

That's L-1
"I officially announce Fro99er the king of guilties because this is the second time he has guiltied a slot I was really unsure about.
Heil King Froggo.
Ribbit ribbit." -Transcend

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