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Post Post #3600 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:28 pm

Post by Gypyx »

UNVOTE:

i kinda need to stop overgaming myself tbh

will be thinking about all this
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Post Post #3601 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:29 pm

Post by Enchant »

In post 3597, Random Nurse wrote:
In post 3596, Lycanfire wrote: You've had a week since your post suggesting we look at Ranger and Geraintm's content

It's a fair question

Don't change the context. You asked me who's Scum—I answered.

And for the record I play as I want to play, and if I can, not how YOU want me to. I'm not on YOUR fucking clock. I worked 8 12-hour shifts in a row, had one day off to get my lawn chores done, and am working again for a stretch. I DON'T HAVE TIME to rip open this game and comb through flipped Scum's posts. That doesn't make me SCUM. It only PISSES ME OFF when you try to push me to put more time into this game when I can't. I play as I can, and as I want.
Don't mind if i counter this?


We play like WE want. Lycan wants to vote you out because that's how LYCAN wants to play. Lycan WANTS to vote you because you didn't manage to find scum in 7 days. If you want to play how YOU want. You can't supress everyone else from playing like they want.


Yes. Your claim about freedom suddenly sucks because not only you are free. Everyone else to.
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Post Post #3602 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:29 pm

Post by Lycanfire »

Frankly I can be right about your align and your job can also keep you away from the game.
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Post Post #3603 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:31 pm

Post by Gypyx »

VOTE: KayJayQueue
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Post Post #3604 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:31 pm

Post by Val89 »

Listen folks, I've spent the morning trying to write my case for scum!Kay, and even laying out just the D1 I've ended up with a fucking monster of a wall-post. I've saved it as a draft. I can post it if people want to see my work, but I am worried it'll get lost in the noise, so I'll try and put it to you in short hand:

Who do you associate Kay pushing most strongly on Day 1?
Who does Kay specifically avoid voting Day 1, even when asked directly 3 times, without ever giving reasons why?

Remind yourself that the state of the game at EoD was NotAScum was the leading wagon, eventually hammered by Gypyx to reveal a mislim, with scum!Dave as the leading alternative.

Can you find a way to tally those behaviours with this statement, and her subsequent behaviour in the last couple of posts before the flip at :
In post 623, KayJayQueue wrote: I don’t really have an opinion either way on Dave vs NAS, the person I wanted to lim today got to 5 votes at one point but then most people backed off the wagon so I doubt that’s going to happen.
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Post Post #3605 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:33 pm

Post by Random Nurse »

In post 3602, Lycanfire wrote: Frankly I can be right about your align and your job can also keep you away from the game.

And in this case you're wrong, you're barking up the wrong tree, and you will look rather stupid if you persuade the rest to mis-lim me today.
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Post Post #3606 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:35 pm

Post by Lycanfire »

I mean if you post it i'll read it can't say the rest for everyone else tbh
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Post Post #3607 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:35 pm

Post by Lycanfire »

In post 3605, Random Nurse wrote:
In post 3602, Lycanfire wrote: Frankly I can be right about your align and your job can also keep you away from the game.

And in this case you're wrong, you're barking up the wrong tree, and you will look rather stupid if you persuade the rest to mis-lim me today.
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Post Post #3608 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:35 pm

Post by Enchant »

In post 3606, Lycanfire wrote: I mean if you post it i'll read it can't say the rest for everyone else tbh
I suggest you to take this chance while you can.
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Post Post #3609 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:37 pm

Post by Lycanfire »

Hah
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Post Post #3610 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:38 pm

Post by Enchant »

In post 3609, Lycanfire wrote: Hah
Not Hah.

Think about our position again. If you want RM to be eliminated, Jay has to go first.
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Post Post #3611 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:39 pm

Post by Enchant »

So ya must hammer.
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Post Post #3612 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:40 pm

Post by Val89 »

Alrighty.

Don't open the spoiler tags, Enchant, if you want to keep your breakfast down.

Spoiler: WARNING. Herein lies Wallpost.
Day One
Early doors, and we have scum voting for scum already.
Spoiler: VC 1.05
In post 150, Alianna wrote:
1.05
Votecount 1.05


davesaz
(4): Titus,
Snow2697
,
geraintm
,
Hu Tao

Little Will o' Wisp (2): Gypyx, JacksonVirgo
Hu Tao
(2):
davesaz
,
NotAScum

Snow2697
(1): PenguinPower
Titus (1):
Naerys

JacksonVirgo
(1):
Thomith


Not Voting (4): Random Nurse, Oblivion, KayJayQueue, Little Will o' Wisp


This is supposed be an answer to why I think scum!Kay, so I'll leave a discussion as to the likelihood of scum!Titus-Dave-Gera pulling that little maneuverer as an exercise to the reader. Needless to say, one of the first 'proper' wagons of the game after the speed wagon is building on scumslot.

In post 171, KayJayQueue wrote:
In post 170, Titus wrote: Right now, my initial callout is
Snow Naerys
geratim
and
Dave
.
Can you expand your reasoning for
Snow
and
Naerys
?

While that is happening, here is Kay, asking Titus for justification on the 2 of the 3 slots in that list that aren't the other known scum. I've looked, and I can't see any reason why she didn't just ask for all 3, certainly Titus just responds as if she had. It smells to me like Kay was hoping Titus would give something that others could latch on to that would direct that wagon away from scum - without accidently diverting it on to the other if the thread preferred her reasons for
Gera
. I think it was early enough in the game that in the rush to try and look like you were solving, you might not stop to consider (or care much) what that would look like at some unknown point in the future there had been several flips.


In post 334, KayJayQueue wrote: Well from what I saw, the reasons that people were sussing/voting her were things that I did as well. So if I agreed with the vote it would be like agreeing that I was in the same boat. Obviously, I don't agree with that assessment.
This reads overly defensive to me - nobody else had picked up on the similarities enough to care, but Kay thought the reasons people (at that point,
Willow
,
Thom
and Titus) were voting
Naerys
also applied to her and didn't want that wagon to go though either - for that reason. I can't really figure out what those reasons were - Titus said in it was because they looked like
Dave
partners, which surely can't be what Kay means else that would basically have been a scumslip - which points to extra sensitivity as to how her slot might be perceived to me.

So, she doesn't want
Naerys
, but she apparently doesn't want to join on
Dave
either. Even when directly asked. She doesn't give reasons why not though, and plays it off as a joke. Eventually, she was eventually called out on it and still didn't explain but just passively asks if he's to be the flip after all:

Spoiler: Won't join dave wagon because reasons
In post 446, KayJayQueue wrote:
In post 443, Hu Tao wrote:
In post 434, KayJayQueue wrote: Just because a wagon is big(ger) doesn’t make it the right move.

And I say this as someone who is still willing to vote Will’o. I’m just saying I don’t think that’s a great way to look at wagons.
Wanna vote dave?
Oh no is this the peer pressure my mom warned me about…
In post 457, KayJayQueue wrote:
In post 456, Hu Tao wrote: NaS can be vigged later. Every game has a vigilante these days, as you found out last game :lol:

Dave gives more info
Stop being logical :cry:
In post 608, KayJayQueue wrote:
In post 606, Hu Tao wrote:
In post 605, KayJayQueue wrote:
In post 604, JacksonVirgo wrote: I’m a lil shocked nobody is coming after my ass considering how little I’ve posted compared to usual
I’ll come after your ass

VOTE: JacksonVirgo
Why do you refuse to vote dave?
Is that still a thing? I don’t remember the VC, I thought the vote moved to NAS sorry.

If it matters, my vote on Jack is very unserious.

Are we flipping Dave today?
How many votes do we need on him to demand a claim? (I’m being serious with that question, is E-1 the usual “claim or die” slot?)



At this point here is the VC, updated from 1.16:

1.16 with vote changes
NotAScum (7): Thomith, Titus, PenguinPower, Naerys, geraintm, Random Nurse, davesaz
davesaz (3): Hu Tao, Snow2697, Little Will o' Wisp
PenguinPower (1): JacksonVirgo
JacksonVirgo (1): KayJayQueue

Not Voting (1): Oblivion

With 15 players alive, it takes 8 votes to secure an execution.


Up until that recent "very unserious" vote on JV, Kay had been pretty vocal driver on the NAS wagon, being first on it, and telling Oblivion that NAS would be her fantasy insta-flip. The last few vote changes have consolidated around NAS and Dave. In that context, her next comment is rather strange:

In post 623, KayJayQueue wrote: I don’t really have an opinion either way on Dave vs NAS, the person I wanted to lim today got to 5 votes at one point but then most people backed off the wagon so I doubt that’s going to happen.

The "person I wanted to lim today" can't be NAS, despite her saying so to Oblivion, since he's at E-1, I can only assume it was the other "politic answer" she then votes for - Willow.

I can't tally these actions with the statement that she doesn't "really have an opinion either way on Dave vs Nas". She was the first person to vote Nas, who is now in hammer range, she told oblivion she would chose NAS to flip if she had a free choice, she said "Finally, I’ve found my people lol" in when someone else finally votes Nas as well, and rejoins the wagon, and she pointily AVOIDS voting Dave, without giving reasons, when asked directly three times.

I don't blame her, its' a tricky spot to be in if she is scum - the flip she had been trying to bring about is now about to be revealed as a mislim, and the credible alternative is her partner. I can only make it make sense by assuming she really does have skin the game - she's pushed one wagon, deliberately avoided another despite being asked to join it, but publicly says she doesn't care, and now tries, with someone she had been pushing at E-1 and a few hours left on the clock, to russle up a wagon on a third party - Willow.
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Post Post #3613 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:42 pm

Post by Lycanfire »

I don't think I follow the problem you're outlining

I have confidence in a random nurse elimination today

People need to get the confidence in it / read the damn thread / work out every other last suspicion first, and whatever their hangup is another elimination isn't the only solution.
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Post Post #3614 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:43 pm

Post by Enchant »

In post 3613, Lycanfire wrote: I don't think I follow the problem you're outlining

I have confidence in a random nurse elimination today

People need to get the confidence in it / read the damn thread / work out every other last suspicion first, and whatever their hangup is another elimination isn't the only solution.
Do it! Do it, do it, do it, do it!
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Post Post #3615 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:46 pm

Post by Val89 »

Here, you can have this also.
In post 3526, KayJayQueue wrote: I often find it counterproductive for rep-ins to read the last few pages of a game, decide they think someone is scum, vote them, and then read the game from the beginning with the outlook that someone is scum already and trying to validate that vote/read instead of just starting from the beginning and developing reads as the game progresses.
This is a misrepresentation of my approach here - perhaps not even deliberate, but I have to ask myself how many times Kay has done what she says here, or seen it done, to qualify as "often" - I wager if pushed, she can offer no actual examples of games this has happened and that line was simply a thinly veiled attempt to discredit a slot she was prewarned might push her. I think was clear in my I had seen something that had given me a light scumping, enough to justify what was not much more than the late-joiners equivalent of an RVS vote, a place to park and maybe provoke a bit of discussion on the front-end in order to give me an idea on what the issues involved in the game were that I should give an eye on - as I went back to the beginning with fresh eyes. To say I decided "someone is scum already and trying to validate that" is off the mark.

Going back and reading forward, I did have the benefit of 6 green and 2 red flips and was able to mentally picture those names and posts in the appropriate colour as I read. I made notes of the post numbers that I thought had something interesting re: the unsorted slots, and - while I accept there might have been an element of unconscious confbiasing, I wasn't specifically looking only to find evidence of scum!Kay, I found good proportion of my scribbles were scumpings about Kay.

A lot of this stuff might well have some townie process behind it, but it seems to me to coincidentally benefit a Kay-Ranger-Gera scumteam; not 100% of the time, but so often I don't think I can justifiably consider it as co-incidence. I am aware I am talking in broad terms without giving any examples, but the other part of it is I just don't see who
else
it could be at this point.

TLDR: Kay-Ranger-Gera explains a lot of the odd stuff that pinged me, particulary D1, more often that I can consider mere co-incidence; and PoE.
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Post Post #3616 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:48 pm

Post by Lycanfire »

Thicc post

Kay was pretty transparent about wanting willow d1 iirc

Instaflip comment vs not having a preference post would be an inconsistency, I'll need to take a look at that.

I'm not trying to gotcha with this comment but why is my pred coloured green? Other than the obvious if-3-scum-then-its-a-given
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Post Post #3617 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:51 pm

Post by Enchant »

I am soooooooooo disapointed.
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Post Post #3618 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:52 pm

Post by Enchant »

Lycan i wish to ask question to you.


Who you townrear
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Post Post #3619 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:52 pm

Post by Val89 »

In post 3613, Lycanfire wrote: I don't think I follow the problem you're outlining
Let me try and put it to you this way then. You REALLY want Random Nurse, and you've been pushing all day. I've been asking you to vote Kay, and you don't want you.

If you were to swerve off a joke-vote Gypyx now, and in your absence RN went E-1 with Kay as an alternative, what on earth would you come back to the thread and tell us you don't have strong opinions on RN v Kay and try and rustle up a vote on Enchant instead?
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Post Post #3620 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:52 pm

Post by Lycanfire »

Honestly, you're all in my town rear view mirror
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Post Post #3621 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:54 pm

Post by Lycanfire »

The not-following-problem comment was a reply to enchant but maybe sleep deprivation is kicking in
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Post Post #3622 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:55 pm

Post by Lycanfire »

But yes analogy to kay eod1 i'll read it tomorrow
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Post Post #3623 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:55 pm

Post by Lycanfire »

(Today)
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Post Post #3624 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2024 9:56 pm

Post by Val89 »

In post 3616, Lycanfire wrote: I'm not trying to gotcha with this comment but why is my pred coloured green?
I was colouring the known flips. If I have done one that shouldn't be, it's a mistake.

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