Open 52 - Texas Justice Mafia (Game Over!), before 523

[PJ.]

Vote:Schism

For spelling my name wrong and for being a moron.

[PJ.]

I'm all for IH's Idea, we should lynch Schism though.

[PJ.]

Unvote:Vote:Oman

Fake cop claims are bad, you might out the real cop =D

[PJ.]

Because this game is a very strange one sammich. It's one where night is much easier to win in then day.Mafia gets one kill, town gets 8 if we lynch town, 9 if we no lynch or hit mafia.

[PJ.]

EBWOP: 3 scum and 9 vig shots so that means 33.3 percent of the shots have to be correct. 25% of the game is scum. If we randomize it via random.org or something the odds will less tampered since Mod(no offense) could have put the mafia all in a row on the player list. If we follow IH's "shoot down" play if mafia is lined up we lose.

Oh by the way..if we lynch town today we would need 40%(rounded) of our shots to hit. The odds are better if all townies are alive. Oh and if we lynch mafia we would only need 20%(rounded) of our shots to hit.

If I knew better math I would do the odds for 9 bullets hitting a specific 3 people out of twelve but I believe it is around 70%. if we only have 8 town it's around 50. If we have 9 town and 2 scum the chances are like 80%. The numbers in this paragraph are estimates. All numbers that are not in this paragraph are correct and if it is rounded it was within 1 or 2 of the nearest ten.

[PJ.]

It's not 50/50, I just told everyone the damn odds.

Unvote: Vote Ua

You completely distorted facts.

[PJ.]

EBWOP: 3 scum and 9 vig shots so that means 33.3% of the shots have to be correct. 25% of the game is scum. If we randomize it via random.org or something the odds will less tampered since Mod(no offense) could have put the mafia all in a row on the player list. If we follow IH's "shoot down" play if mafia is lined up we lose.

Oh by the way..if we lynch town today we would need 40%(rounded) of our shots to hit. The odds are better if all townies are alive. Oh and if we lynch mafia we would only need 20%(rounded) of our shots to hit.

If I knew better math I would do the odds for 9 bullets hitting a specific 3 people out of twelve but I believe it is around 70%. if we only have 8 town it's around 50. If we have 9 town and 2 scum the chances are like 80%. The numbers in this paragraph are estimates. All numbers that are not in this paragraph are correct and if it is rounded it was within 1 or 2 of the nearest ten.

Did anyone fucking read this post?

[PJ.]

I think our vote should be UA or Sammich or Gorgon for ignoring a post about odds then asking about odds.

[PJ.]

Do you really want me to do the math to come up with the real odds of 3 players be consecutive to each other? The odds in favor of the town. but if you want I'll tell you how in favor of the town they are. It's not 50/50, like Jdog said. You simply said it either works or it doesn't, which is a logical fallacy.

My post was not strictly based on town to scum ratio. It's simply the chances of town shooting all the scum.

Idea. We No lynch, but we each declare a night target. The post shouldn't contain anything more then a declaring of a night target. List should be randomized or in order from least scummy to most scummy. So Me to UA.

[PJ.]

Yeah I just found the flaw to my plan, scum saying they shoot scum. So just lynch then shoot shit. Sounds goood and the odds in my original odds post is the best odds.

[PJ.]

way to go, but we're not doing that..read more. kthnx.

Unvote, vote:sammich

[PJ.]

No, Because scum can jack it up by saying they're gonna kill each other. So i'd much rather everyone shot whoever then we'll figure out who the liars are later.

[PJ.]

We will declare by evens then odds. all the even numbers go then all the odds.

[PJ.]

..no..

[PJ.]

Yup

[PJ.]

I'm still not sure why we're voting anyone who isn't a sammich

[PJ.]

If you think I'm scum in this game, you're a moron. I've been by far the most helpful player, at least when it came to strategy.

[PJ.]

Sammich, sorry but I'm not scum.

[PJ.]

lol Freebird is trash

[PJ.]

lol. I don't like spanky.

[PJ.]

LONGER DAYS ARE GOOD FOR THE TOWN.

When it is productive. plus you know who is scum so lets shoot already.

[PJ.]

Unvote, Vote: Oman

[PJ.]

Fast Women Come From Texas. Fast Cars Come From Japan And Some Are Built In Mexico.

[PJ.]

Cars

[PJ.]

Unvote, Vote:Oman FoS:UA

[PJ.]

Everyone who asked for a claim is a moron by the way.. His claim would have obviously been vigilante.

[PJ.]

I really hate Sammich. And i've been getting along with schism.

[PJ.]

It was irrelevant. It was(i know it's bad) a "i'm here but not really interested" post.

[PJ.]

We need a hammer

[PJ.]

I shot IH, someone overlapped btw. I'm thinking the scum is distad.

[PJ.]

Because there was 8 kills and 8 vigs plus mafia kill making 9 available kills and only 8 deaths.

[PJ.]

Distad, why exactly did you shoot You Give Love A Bad Name.

[PJ.]

I actually no longer think he is scum. Good Logic though. Gorgon why did you make your kill?

[PJ.]

BTW, I'm assuming the overlaps were on Jdog.

[PJ.]

I think we should lynch Schism, Distad and Gorgon Shoot each other and I shoot nobody. I'm positive me and Distad are townies.

[PJ.]

Wow..I forgot we were one-shot.

Vote: No Lynch

[PJ.]

Bah! Go Town!

[PJ.]

The one time I thought Schism was possibly town.