Mini 517: Tree Stump Mafia: Game Over
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That sounds like a bullshit argument to me, Quag. If you're not looking at your role, you should play assuming that you are protown, since you have a better probability of getting that role. Therefore, your best play from not knowing your role is quite clearly to stump yourself when the time comes. The fact that you are fighting against it and trying to play it into an established persona and the "I don't give a shit" schtick makes me think that you are scum trying to slide by. I don't buy it.
Unvote, Vote: Quagmire
It's stumping time.
Pooky: I would stump myself.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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@Korlash, Quag only has 4 votes out of 7 to lynch. We're voting with the intent to kill, but it's not like we'd just sit back and let him be quicklynched. I agree that it'sslightlypossible that he actually doesn't know his role. But I don't think it's very likely. Even if he doesn't know, Korlash, he is purposefully choosing to play in an antitown manner so that if he is scum he's helping himself. This hurts the town, so I fail to see why you think it is scummy that we want a blatantly antitown person dead.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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Nice OMGUSQuagmire wrote:
I swear to god I have not looked at my role.Mastermind of Sin wrote:We can never be sure of anything. However, "most likely" is a lot better than we'll do most of the time.
although mos you seem very scummy; i'm glad we're lynching you tomorrow because you're really stupid and bloodthirsty and worthless
but adele is today's target fo'sho'Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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...hello, logic please? When you find scum, you vote to lynch them. It doesn't matter if it's the first fucking page. You don't just sit around and say "hmm, we need another 8 pages before we can lynch this scum we found!" That's not how the game works. Quagmire is acting like scum, so I'm going to vote for him. Just because he slipped up trying to find a way to act blatantly scummy and get away with it on Page 1, does not mean that we can't lynch him.Korlash wrote:
How did you get find scum from what I said? In fact, a 3 page day is in no way helping to find scum.. in fact it is helping to not find scum at all!Mastermind of Sin wrote:
It is never too soon to find scum.Korlash wrote:I'm not against wanting an anti-ton person dead, I'm against wanting anyone dead on page 3.
FoS: MoS...
And I am voting for Korlash because he is very suspicious! He keeps stealing my stuff, the jerk...Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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Quagmire's latest posts are not making me feel any better. It now looks like he's trying to push his "I'll know who I am tomorrow!" statement as a copout to squirm away from being lynched. That is a ridiculous statement. Someone please put down another vote. Quag, this is your last chance to stump before you die.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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See, that's just the thing. If you believed he *had* looked at his role, that means he is scum. Therefore, he should be lynched. By saying that you think it's dumb to lynch someone for not looking at their role, you are saying you believed he had not looked at his role.Korlash wrote:
And where did I say that? I just think lynch someone on the basis of them not looking a their role is kinda dumb.Mastermind of Sin wrote:Korlash, do youreallythink Quag didn't look at his role pm? If so, I have this bridge I'd like to sell you.
I agree with this completely. SP backed off of Quag when the QuagLovers started pressuring him, and it really looked like he was trying to please them to get off his back.mith wrote:To elaborate on my theory regarding SilverPhoenix, since Adele has given me such a nice opportunity to do so:
The first reaction in looking at SilverPhoenix is to list him among the "QuagHaters". But he was a bit hesitant to vote him in the first place (giving him the HoS while speculating that voting him may be a bad idea because of the whole refusal to stump thing), and didn't leave his vote on for long. Then, when Quag was up to 5 (with Adele ready to vote as well), he gave him an IGMEOY (which didn't make a whole lot of sense, as I pointing out in the following post).
If Quag had turned up town, I would've probably passed this off as confused townie flip-flopping. As it is, I get the impression that SP wanted to join the growing bandwagon for distancing, got off in hopes that his scumbuddy could be saved, and then tried distancing again when it was clear Quag was going down. I doesn't likes it.
If Quag had truly not looked at his role pm, he wasn't playing correctly anyways. Someone who had not looked at their role pm shouldn't do any of the following:JDodge wrote:Please, refresh my memory; what was the case for Quag being scum thatcannot be explained by him not reading his role PM?
a) announce they had not looked at their role pm
b) play as if they had equal probability of being either alignment (because statistically, you are more likely to be town and therefore should play as if you are town, since scum want to pretend to be townanyways)...
c) continue to do B after it has been thoroughly explained why they shouldn't
Quag's actions were fairly obviously coming from scum who was trying to find an excuse for not playing as a protown player. I have seen him as scum before; he likes to try tactics to get away with acting like scum. This isn't something new for him.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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Uhh, wow. You suicided on two votes? Wtf? Even *if* you thought it was inevitable, you have now cut off any evidence that could have been gained if you were actually wagoned to L-2. The whole reason this stumping plan is supposed to work is because we gain evidence from everyone that is wagoned to stumping. If we just all stump right away, chances are the scum will win.SilverPhoenix wrote:The town needs to wake up. Seriously.
I didn't want this role. I wanted to be a Lumberjack! Leaping from tree to tree!
I don't really care if this is bad play. All I care about is the scum targeting a confused townie.
I don't remember if this was talked about yesterday, but it just occurred to me. Does this L-2 stumping plan account for a reduction in the numbers of the town? For example, when it is 5 or 4 to lynch, do we still want to stump at L-2, or should that be bumped to L-1? We want to have a cushion before someone is lynched, but we also want to make it harder for scum to just push everyone into stumping due to the low numbers needed. I think it would make sense for whoever places the L-1 vote to announce it in bold so that no one makes a "mistake".Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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I agree with this, at the lower numbers. I was more thinking about intermediate lynches, rather than endgame numbers.scotmany12 wrote:I think L-2 is the best MoS. It prevents the scum from quick hammering and gaining a kill. For example, there can be 4 of us left, and we are about to lynch a townie. Assuming the remaining scum is not yet voting, if we put someone at L-1, the scum hammers and they win. If we leave it at L-2, if the scum votes, we lynch them, if the two plays not voting say stump, we basically gain one more lynch. I know that this is probably unlikely, but it can happen.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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korlash, the town has a 60% chance of winning the game on average. With Quag lynched Day 1, we have a much higher chance, and SilverPhoenix's suicide only dents the numbers slightly.
We have 9 people alive, 7 town to 2 scum. If we were to randomly make people stump, that's a 22% chance of hitting scum on any given stumpwagon. That means 1 scum lynched for every 3.5 town we kill. So that's 4.5 people killed every day, worst case scenario. That means our average case scenario would be 1.75 town stumped before we find a scum. Add in one nightkill and Pooky, and that means we have 3.75 town for 2 scum. This leaves us with, on average, 5.25 town alive against our last scum. That means we have approximately 4 mis-stumps on the last day before the scum win. That's a 64% chance of finding scum. Therefore, if we were going to just randomly stump people for the rest of the game, we would have a 64% chance of winning the game. Since we're going to actually use skill to scumhunt, I'd say our chances are better. However, you can't quantify skill into a statistic for mafia. Either way, I think the town's chances in a generic mafia game can be considered "better than random", so I'd be as bold as to say we have a >64% chance of winningPermanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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Adele, what do you think ofAdele wrote:
no, I see what you did there - you treated the "7 townies" as "7 man, 2 scum"; like a newbie (Korlash wrote:Also how many stumps can we have before it turns to LYLO? 3 more? Hmm... 12 players.. minus 3... thats 9... 2 mafia... 7 townies... nope... 3 stumps loses the game... so only two more stumps... huh... Did I count right?sanspower roles). Here's how it is, assuming all townies stump and no scum do. If 5 more townies stump before any more scum die, we lose. Interestingly, we don't get a softer safety net once one scum dies, since that gain is mitigated by an NK. For example, if we stump 3 townies then catch scum, D3 will open with 1 scum and 3 town; usually classic nolynch debate territory but because of the nature of this game, we'll have 2 shots, so at least a 50-50 chance.mystatistics? As far as averages go, at least...Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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I was fine letting DGB's "theory" slide as a possibility until I saw this gem.
First off, I want to check what you meant by "Quagmire's 'case'". If you mean the fact that he was trying to get Adele lynched, I think half the people in this game can confirm that he was telling everyone in scumchat he would lynch Adele and then MoS before role pms were even sent out. So of course his "case" against Adele was completely baseless. If you were referring to the caseDrippingGoofball wrote:
I REPEAT: "Massive Day 1 distancing with Adele, and vice-versa. I bet the farm that Adele is scum #2. Textbook case here." Adele and Quagmire were distancing big time. Especially when you combine the baselessness of Quagmire's "case," and its relentless aggressivity. Adele and Quagmire are buddies. 95% sure, Bayesian calculator in hand (hey, my husband teaches Bayesian statistics to PhD students, so there, I should know, osmotic transfer of knowledge and all).scotmany12 wrote:DBG, why do you think adele is scum? Also there is only 2 scum left. Silver can also not be scum as he is innocent when he stumped.againstQuagmire, then we have other problems, since it was far from baseless.
So while I agree that there could have been distancing on Adele's part, I don't believe you can call Quagmire's actions "distancing". And Korlash is right that your "theory" applies to me more than it does to him. I was Quagmire's second random wagon target after Adele, and I also saw through his bullshit. So why is Korlash a better target than me?
I really have no clue what you are saying here. First off, why would you never go after myself or Adele? Secondly, why does that reason only apply to the two of us and no one else? Thirdly, why do you think we are scumpartners and say that you would never go after us?Korlash wrote:@ Adele: I really do not believe that you and MoS are the partners but it seems like the best strategy for the scum to do in this "pro-town" game... I mean you two are the two most likely we never really go after and thus you would make the perfect scum.. just hiding waiting for a couple to stump... Like I said I don't feel the need to push it at all... More confident in my JD and Scot pair...Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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So Korlash, because I knew about Quag's predetermined attack that was decided before the game started but did *not* join the Adele wagon, I must not be connected with it, right?
Look, this goes for both you and DGB. Quag should have been modkilled for what he did. He came into a game having decided outside of the game that he and others would bandwagon Adele and myself afterwards. But he wasn't. It's a shame, but maybe the mod felt that it was ok since it was just Day 1, and modkills *do* tend to screw up games. Regardless, just because something was decided on outside the thread does not mean it has any relevance to the thread itself. If DGB refuses to believe that Quag decided the Adele wagon outside the game, why is she not going after JDodge and scotmany? They already knew about the wagon and were ready to go, so clearly Korlash's theory should hold up in DGB's eyes. Yet she is only focusing on Adele and Korlash. Seems odd to me. Her logic is extremely flawed, because scum do NOT always try to distance. Heck, I have been known on several occasions to tell my scumbuddies to avoid major distancing on Day 1. I can't be the only person who does this, so to assume that every scumgroup is going to go balls-to-the-walls distancing on Day 1 is just ludicrous. The theory that they may have been distancing was decent, but DGB is taking this far into extremities. The case just doesn't hold up, from what I see.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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If we were supposed to talk about ongoing games, I wouldn't have said he was supposed to be modkilled. Although I suppose you could say that he didn't talk about an ongoing game. Technically, the Adele wagon was decided upon before the game had started, so it wasn't "ongoing", per se. But that's beside the point.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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DGB, it's far more compounding the cheating for you to take actions that were based on cheating and analyze them as if they weren't. You're just ruining the game by acting like the actions of cheaters were based on something other than cheating. You're far more guilty of compounding the cheating than anyone else, and I'm not going to stop discussing it until you realize this.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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You're contradicting yourself.DrippingGoofball wrote:
No, I am doing the opposite. I am not taking actions that are based on the cheating of others. Deliberately not taking action based on the cheating of others. I am not analyzing them. The cheating stops here.Mastermind of Sin wrote:DGB, it's far more compounding the cheating for you to take actions that were based on cheating and analyze them as if they weren't. You're just ruining the game by acting like the actions of cheaters were based on something other than cheating. You're far more guilty of compounding the cheating than anyone else, and I'm not going to stop discussing it until you realize this.
This post says that you analyzed the actions of Quagmire and Adele. However, Quagmire's actions were based on a predetermined random bandwagon, aka cheating. Therefore, you are categorically analyzing the cheating of others. However, you instead state "I am not analyzing them.", which completely contradicts your later statement.I replaced into this game and saw Quagmire and Adele went after each other like two super-distancing scumbags on Day 1. That was in-game information, documented, stored on the website server, and an integral part of the game. This, I am obliged to consider. The scumchat garbage, I will ignore.
If everyone had to be a witness to a crime to be able to pass judgement, no one would ever get convicted. You have at least 4 witness who have all been witness to the cheating, so that should be more than enough to pass judgement and realize it was cheating.I repeat. I was not a witness to the cheating. I cannot personally and independently verify the veracity or timing of it, or the information exchanged during its course. I cannot add it to my bag of valid information used to make up my mind. Under no circumstance should I do this. I am here to play Mafia according to the rules of the game. PERIOD.
I'm being stubborn because I refuse to let you make cases off bullshit. You're being stubborn for the sake of being stubborn, as far as I can see. You have no logical basis for not relenting this point. If you think that saying you will be stubborn is going to get me to call of the dogs, think again.I hope that was clear enough.
If you want to discuss until I change my mind about this, you will find that I am as stubborn as you are, so you should consider leaving it at this.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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You have witnesses. Off the top of my head, JDodge, myself, AND scotmany are all witnesses to the fact that Quagmire decided this before the game started. That's more people than there are scum, as mith pointed out. This doesn't even really have anything to do with alignment in the first place, though. I'm not trying to arguing for or against anyone's alignment. I'm just trying to stop you from using someone's cheating actions to justify attacking another player. That has nothing to do with anyone's alignment.DrippingGoofball wrote:I am not contradicting myself. You are completely misunderstanding what I am trying to say. On purpose? I'll let the others decide.
I refuse to consider that the random bandwagon was predetermined. I have no proof of it, or whether it was predetermined, or when the conversation occurred, it was outside of the game, and it should not be allowed into evidence. You say there are witnesses, I don't have witnesses, and I don't give a rat's tutu.MoS wrote:Quagmire's actions were based on a predetermined random bandwagon, aka cheating.
If you are striking it from the record, you need to strike the bandwagon as well, which is what I'm trying to get you to do. We can look at this case in two ways.Like in a courtroom. It ought to be stricken from the record. Period. I am considering only what I see in the game. Nothing outside the game exists.
Case #1: Judging Adele's alignment -
In this case, the bandwagon is evidence. However, this evidence is tainted by out-of-game actions that have no bearing on a person's alignment. Therefore, it should be stricken from the record as being invalid.
Cast #2: Judging whether or not to analyze the bandwagon -
In this case, the bandwagon IS the case, and therefore youMUSTconsider the causes of said bandwagon. You cannot just choose to strike the causes from the bandwagon and make up another cause that you have no proof of. There is proof that directly correlates to the cause of the bandwagon. This cannot be ignored.
Adele was on Quag like butter on bread, and stayed on him the whole day. If you want to say she was bussing her partner, fine. However, you cannot use Quag's action of directing a predetermined bandwagon against her as evidence of a mutual distancing plan. I'm not asking you to drop your case against Adele. I'm asking you to remove from your case the evidence that is cleared corrupted through out-of-game influences and can therefore have no indication of alignment.What I do see are serious attempts at distancing. Doesn't matter whether Quag or Adele later loosened their death grip on each other. You might very well expect them to, if they realized that the distancing backfiring or getting out of hand.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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So you're willing to say that Quag's Adele-randomwagon had no bearing on his alignment or relationship with her, but her attacks on him were still distancing?DrippingGoofball wrote:
BINGO!Mastermind of Sin wrote:However, you cannot use Quag's action of directing a predetermined bandwagon against her as evidence of a mutual distancing plan.
Scum don't go bananas distancing each otheraccording to some plan. They just do it. Spontaneous scum combustion. It just happens, planned or not. More likely than not, totally unplanned. So, by my criteria, Adele is still scum. Regardless of scumchat monkey business.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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I'd just like to take a second to clarify that even if itdoesn'tqualify as cheating, it's still an out-of-game effect that is not dependent on alignment.
And Mith, I know she didn't, but that's not going to stop me. She's playing semantics to pounce on the fact that I used the word "plan". She's avoiding the issue at hand by strawmanning to tangentially related topics now. So I'm focusing on the issue at hand again.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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Actually, I was referring to Adele's post...DrippingGoofball wrote:
No fallacy at all. As I explained. Most likely two scum distancing; next most likely two townies and the scum is laughing. A townie and a scum? Least likely scenario.Mastermind of Sin wrote:I smell a fallacy...
No fallacy.
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DGB is not actually doing much logical reasoning right now, but I'm almost inclined to agree with Mith that it's just a playstyle quirk, so I'll have to debate with myself for now as to whether she's really scummy or if I should just ignore her. >.< Inclined towards the former, though.
I've played with Korlash before, and he seems to be playing up to par from that game, where he was town. Not getting scum vibes from him at all.
JDodge's logic isn't making a lot of sense, especially this:
I'd really like JDodge to explain what makes him think d3sisted is scum, rather than, imo, a relative newbie who clearly has no clue what he's talking about. The push against d3s seems artificial at best, perhaps OMGUS in frustration, even. Not particularly liking JDodge.JDodge wrote:
No. I'm not.mith wrote:...er, are you seriously arguing that it's a *bad* thing for us to lynch scum who refuse to stump?
I'm arguing that he could have - feasibly - been trying to trick scot into stumping.
Mith seems logical to me, and I'm not seeing any agenda behind his posts. Definitely in my protown column at the moment.
Adele I'm also leaning protown on, but that "fangirl" thing keeps haunting me as a possible quick coverup for actual buddying up to mith. Not much, but it's bugging me slightly.
Aimee hasn't posted a lot, but I've agreed with most of what she said. The jury is out on her at the moment.
I'm not liking scotmany's feud with d3sisted right now.
I don't really see how JDodge is the "easy" lynch, since not many people seem to suspect him overly much. I also want your opinion on why you think d3sisted is scum instead of just a bad newbie.scotmany12 wrote:I'm pretty confident in desisted being scum. I would be voting for him even if jdodge was not.(I was the first to do so before silver stumped himself). He comes right out today and votes for jdodge without even considering anything, then when I vote for him he calls it an omgus. He is just going for the easy lynch. He did that yesterday, and he is trying to do that today with jdodge.
Why do you think he looked like he was bussing over, say, Max/DGB?scotmany12 wrote:Yes, but out of everyone on the wagon, he looks like the one who bussed.
Unsure of scotmany at this point.
I really get the feeling right now that d3sisted is a bad newbie, but I don't have prior experience with him to tell for sure. He's in the middle right now.
So, my scumdar (scummiest to towniest):
DGB
JDodge
scotmany
d3sisted
Adele
Aimee
Mith
Korlash
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Since I listed Mith as likely town, you shouldn't have to ask this question.DrippingGoofball wrote:
Do you think Adele might be buddying up to mith at as a scum buddying up to a townie, or as scum buddying up to her scumbuddy?Mastermind of Sin wrote:Adele I'm also leaning protown on, but that "fangirl" thing keeps haunting me as a possible quick coverup for actual buddying up to mith. Not much, but it's bugging me slightly.
It's just two different ways of quantifying it, DGB. It's bugging me slightly, as in not much, but still a little bit. It's also haunting me, as in it doesn't go away, so it's still there. But justIt keeps "haunting you" yet at the same time it's only bugging you "slightly." Your wording is a little odd, care to explain further? Thanks.slightly. Is that clear enough for you?Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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See, I was thinking the same thing at first. I don't think she was lying about it either way, but it occurred to me that making the fangirl comment would be a convenient coverup for the pressure you were putting on her about buddying up to mith. You certainly haven't talked much about it since then, as I recall it, so it seems to have worked, no?DrippingGoofball wrote:The reason I was asking is that personally, that comment of Adele's does nothing for me, either way. I don't think it's evidence of anything. Admittedly we look for, and see, different signs. But I don't thinkthatwould be considered scummy in any book.
You're misunderstanding the point. I'm not claiming the fangirl comment was her buddying up to mith. I'm claiming that it was a coverup, a convenient out-of-game defense againstIt's almost as if YOU are trying to buddy up to mith - more than Adele, and in a more game-oriented manner, while finding a reason to cast some suspicion on Adele.
Maybe I don't understand. Why are Adele's comments buddying up to mith, but yours aren't? It's probably a subtle difference, I look forward to your explanation.youraccusations that she was buddying up to him. If she felt pressure from your attacks, it's a good diversion, making it seem like her "buddying up" was a result of a fangirl-ish fascination. That's why it's nagging at me.
As for mith, there's not much to say about it. I have agreed with nearly everything he's said so far, with the exception of, say, the Korlash attack. However, I have a protown read on Korlash because I have experience playing with him before. I may be one of the few people in this game with that experience, and I don't think mith is one of them. Therefore, I can't really hold it against him that he initially thought Korlash was scummy. I sure as hell know I did in that first game. Luckily I nailed Streeflo instead (^5 Korlash).
Hmm *checks* Nope, no love here. NO LOVE FOR MITH.mith wrote:Because Adele is in love with me, clearly.
...at least, IhopeMoS isn't in love with me too.
Unvotefor the moment. I am feeling different about Korlash today, and I'm trying to figure out why.
What experience do you have playing with d3sisted that allows you to *know* him?JDodge wrote:Knowing d3sisted, I'm leaning towards scum
No offense intended here, but you *did* give the overall impression of being more intelligent than either of them when you were a newbie.scotmany12 wrote:When I made mistakes as town, I was never viewed as a newbie. It was always thought to be a scumtell. How come when both silver and desisted do something wrong they can be viewed as a "confused townie?" I know I am not a newbie, but how come when I do something wrong I get attacked for it? Also, desisted has been around since august. That is three months. I'm pretty sure he would know what would be good for the town and not.
Korlash was not against Quag's death. He was against a quicklynch on page 3 (and the other early pages). Those are two fundamentally different things, but you are confusing them together to be the same view you and JDodge held.Max could have definitely bussed as well, but overall, desisted has done more scummy things, so right now he is ahead of max(now dgb). Now he went after me and jdodge at the start of the day because we were against the lynch against quag. He did not even consider anything. Secondly, I just realized this. Korlash was also against the lynch, and yet desisted forgets to mention him at all and just focused on me and jdodge.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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Found it. Sorry, it was mith who mentioned the buddying up. That actually bumps Adele up a notch for me, because I think she would be more worried about mith suspecting her than you (DBG). If she was trying to buddy up to him, she would want to defuse his suspicion with something like that, I think.
Adele moves up one.Adele wrote: which brings me to:
yeah, I was kinda expecting that.mith wrote:I do actually find Adele slightly suspect - mostly because I've noticed several buddying-up type comments directed my way
OK. I'm embarrased to admit it, but I do have a weisd (small) fangirl thing towards you ("The Mith; The Legend"), and then right when I'm worried Quag's slipping by you came into the game like a bloody Knight and flipped totally from BB's behaviour to getting him dead.
And now I'm all Sandra Bullock-y. It's very annoying, I half expect to spill coffee over you or something.
I'll try to dial it back. If you could say something I strongly disagree with, that'd help .
(by the way, if this is ever mentioned after the game ends lives will be lost )
DGB
JDodge
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d3sisted
Aimee
Mith
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I didn't put 2 and 2 together. I realized in one part of my mind that Aimee and yourself were already voting him, but I didn't combine that knowledge with checking to see if she had enough votes. I guess I was still stuck in Lynch mode, instead of thinking about stumps. Too many games, I suppose.Adele wrote: 9 players living -> 5 to lynch;DGB is at L-2, ie thestump danger zone. No-one else vote for DGB.
MoS: why didn't you say when you voted for DGB that it was L-2?
It wasn't really the defense. It was just the content and way it was presented that made me suspicious. This could very well be the only reason you buddied up to him, but it seemed somewhat suspicious.Also MoS: yes, mith said he suspected me because I was behaving like X, and I wanted to explain why I was behaving like X to dispel his concerns. Defending one's behaviour when someone else's suspicions are raised by that behaviour is not susicious, it's normal mafia play. Unless, of course, you think I was lying - but I hardly think I'm the only person on the forum to think of mith as a VIP or find him charismatic.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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d3sisted, that post makes no sense at all. Townies sometimes vote other townies (implying that the rest of the time they are voting scum), but scum always vote other townies. Unless they're bussing. Didn't you just list all the possibilities for both scum and town? What's the point in saying that they all do that? That's rather obvious, and it doesn't prove anything.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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For those of you not voting DGB, can you please state your position regarding her? She's in stump territory now (as I have been reminded of, thanks to that), so I feel it's important to be clear on everyone's position regarding DGB in order to avoid any ill-informed actions both on her part or others'.
Mith, you've already made your position clear, so no need to repeat. I don't remember who else has even commented on her lately. Korlash/D3s/Scot/JDodge seem to be so absorbed in their argument that I don't remember them commenting on her at all lately. I could be misremembering, though, but I'd rather have the record straight now than later.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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DGB, I'm not ignoring Aimee. I'm waiting for her to say some more substantial things that I could even make comments about. I'm modding a game that she is in, so I know that she hasn't really been around to post lately, because I keep having to prod her. When I know she's here and I see her posting, maybe I'll have something to say. The jury's still out until she gets back into the game.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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I'm wary of DGB because a game like this strikes me as one where insanity (as opposed to stupidity, in the case of Quagmire) could be a highly effective strategy for scum. Since every lynch can swing the numbers highly in the scum's favor, everyone is wary about lynching, and it's a lot easier to force a stump than a lynch. Since scum are obviously not going to actually stump, the town has to get up the guts to actually go through and lynch them. Insanity such as this gives me a headache (I don't know about you, but it does for me), and it's hard to tell apart the sincere from the scummy. As such, I think it's a very effective strategy for a scum player to employ in this setup. On top of that, Max's play Day 1 seemed easily in the "bussing" category.
I'll try to add some more later, after the holidays.
Starting to see your point about Korlash (especially the switch to aimee and buddying up to DGB). Interested in seeing his response. Mith, if you get a chance, check out Newbie 471. Korlash was town there, and that's what I was basing my read off of. The only real difference I see is that Korlash has been willing to concede points in arguments when he's talked to people in this game. That's not something he did in 471, but it's possible that he's adjusted himself since then. Is it something he did in the newbie game where he was scum?Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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DrippingGoofball wrote:It might be worth mentioning that MoS has made it his mission to "policy lynch" me in every game. Therefore, his vote is just an automatic one-vote handicap for me. This kind of poor sportsmanship disappoints me greatly, but hey, c'est la vie. I refuse to engage in any sort of out-of-game feuding with MoS or anyone, and will not respond with tit-for-tat.
My comments in this game are independent of any vendetta to remove DGB from other games I am in with her. I would not pursue such a plan in a game that not only progressed far enough that we need to get serious, but also has a setup that makes each lynch/stump worth much more than most games.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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Also note that the post in question that DGB is trying to dismiss didn't really make any mention of her playstyle or any sort of vendetta to try and eliminate her from the game. The word "insanity" came fromMith, not myself, when describing her. I merely took the word he used to describe her and explained why I felt it could indicate scum in this game. Not only did I actually make an objective argument about how scum would play in this game, but I did not introduce any of my own feelings about DGB as part of my arguments. The fact that she is trying to dismiss the argument entirely based on something completely different that I've done in other games merely increases my suspicion of her.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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These 3 reasons seem more like 3 reasons TO vote you. #1 is just a threat and seems to indicate to me that you are being backed into a corner. Instead of just responding reasonably to everyone's questions, you're going around with an "I don't care what you say or do, I'm not going to be helpful" attitude. This sort of attitude is not something you exhibited when I last saw you as protown. You were always willing to respond to what people had to say, almost to a fault. Now it seems like you're trying to get people to say "Well, he's not actually going to give us material to go off of, we'd better focus on someone else instead."Korlash wrote:Really? I have like 3 reasons not to vote me. 1) As Adele pointed out I don;t really answer anything. And so voting me won't exactly help. It will however lead to 2) higher chance of a stump. Me stumping is not a bad thing but it is likely to happen whether I, you, or anyone else does or does not want it too. Unless you would rather #) ME being lynched. Quick lynched from the scum? Didn't happen to DGB why would it happen to me right? Unless I did something stupid like not stump and let you lynch me thus giving the scum another NK they would not have had... Interesting...
Reason #2 has already been addressed. Threatening to stump means nothing, because scum can do it, too. Begging someone to let you stump is just a bunch of empty words until you actually do it. It seems that you and DGB both are throwing around a lot of empty words to that effect.
Reason #3 doesn't mean anything either. If you are scum, you're not going to stump. Therefore, we should lynch you. If you are town and don't stump, then you've made a grave error in your own play that we cannot account for. We shouldn't have toworryabout you being lynched, because the only possible way to actually lynch you is if you are scum, since any protown person would stump first.
I think you're bluffing.
Unvote, Vote: Korlash
You'd better start talking.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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First off, whatever happened to "Korlash is Adele's obv scumbuddy"? You completely change your tune because he followed your Aimee vote and threatened to stump prematurely? If it was so obvious he was town, why did you spend most of your time in this game saying he was scum? I'm not buying it. It seems more like you felt he was going to prematurely stump and, knowing he was town, decided to say he was town while he got wagoned so you could say "I told you so" afterwards. I didn't think you were town before, and this response after Korlash's stumping seems contrived.DrippingGoofball wrote:Aw, Korlash, you half-baked Alaska... I came too late. I would have told you not to stump.
I think MoS was pushing YOUprecisely becauseyou're stump happy! And when MoS said "you better start talking" what did that mean? Claim a role??? It's not like you weren't talking. Sure, a lot of it was nonsense, but if I knew your heart was in the right place, how come the others didn't? I'm not psychic. It just was obvious, that's all.
What about Adele? First, she pushes hard on me (sweeeet), but then... she pushes hard on you... taking everything you say SERIOUSLY. How can anyone in their right mind take what you say seriously? Except the part about stumping fantasies.
Do bear with us and delight us with more Korlashery.
Is scot the one that wouldn't stump? Whoever doesn't want to stump gets my vote.
Vote: DGB
Also, I would think that "you'd better start talking" was a perfectly clear statement. In the same post where I voted him, I talked about how Korlash was being difficult on purpose and not answering the questions people were asking him. Therefore, "you'd better start talking" was clearly a request for him to stop being obstinate and answer the questions posed to him. To which he responded by stumping with no more than 3 people supporting his death. *shakes head*Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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Korlash, the reason I called you most town is because you were acting the same as you did in the Newbie game I played with you. Then you did something that was not only scummy but a very stark contrast from that game where you were town. That made you a prime suspect, because all the reasoning I had for you to be town was made invalid.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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Emphasis mine. Stop skimming, Korlash.Mastermind of Sin wrote: These 3 reasons seem more like 3 reasons TO vote you. #1 is just a threat and seems to indicate to me that you are being backed into a corner. Instead of just responding reasonably to everyone's questions, you're going around with an "I don't care what you say or do, I'm not going to be helpful" attitude.This sort of attitude is not something you exhibited when I last saw you as protown.You were always willing to respond to what people had to say, almost to a fault. Now it seems like you're trying to get people to say "Well, he's not actually going to give us material to go off of, we'd better focus on someone else instead."Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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The fact that my vote came after Adele's is purely because I did not have a chance to post in the thread between the time that Korlash made the post I voted him for and when Adele voted. My vote did not have any relation to hers and I made my own arguments based on a post that came before her vote, so your assertion that there is anything to be taken from the fact that I cast my vote "just after Adele cast her second vote" is completely baseless, DGB.DrippingGoofball wrote:MoS is another matter altogether. He's been cavalier, not scum-hunting, and showed up to slap Korlash with a third vote. At first MoS thought Korlash "most town" but his ship made a 180 degree turn just after Adele cast her second vote.
I don't look for rigid scumtells, for the most part. I disdain relying completely on generic tells that do not apply to individual people. I look for differences in behavior from game to game and contradictions in the player's actions, as well as how they might react as scum. I explained quite clearly how Korlash's behavior went from protown to scummy. You seem to have a problem with the fact that I abandoned my theory that Korlash was protown when the entirety of the argument I made for him being protown was shown to be false. That's not a very rational position to take.Anyone that wanted to crucify Korlash would have no problem doing it, because hey, he was scummy. But I have a problem with that in the sense that they are hiding behind rigid scumtells and perhaps purposefully choosing to remove the art from the scumhunt. And since I think MoS knows better, I find him to be by far the most scummy in the trio of Korlash voters. For that reason, his timing, and the abrupt nature of his turnaround.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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This might be true if it weren't for the fact that you made mention of itDrippingGoofball wrote:
It's not MY assertion; it's mith's: "He might be trying to link himself strongly to Adele" - so my line of questioning was more in the direction of "if that's true, then why does mith say this instead of that?" and I asked Adele's opinion. And since Adele appeared to be confused by my request, I specified that the situation under discussion was not one where she'd leaned on you, but rather, the other way around.Mastermind of Sin wrote:your assertion that there is anything to be taken from the fact that I cast my vote "just after Adele cast her second vote" is completely baseless, DGB.beforemith did. You said "At first MoS thought Korlash "most town" but his ship made a 180 degree turn just after Adele cast her second vote" right before mith's post about my possible linkage to Adele. So don't try to play this one off onto Mith, DGB. That was your assertion, not his.Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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But we're talking aboutDrippingGoofball wrote:
Not quite. I did not interpret this as "leaning on Adele" or "buddying up to Adele" but rather, as an opportunistic vote. She wrote out her case, then you jumped on the chance to put Korlash within stumping range.Mastermind of Sin wrote:This might be true if it weren't for the fact that you made mention of itbeforemith did. You said "At first MoS thought Korlash "most town" but his ship made a 180 degree turn just after Adele cast her second vote" right before mith's post about my possible linkage to Adele. So don't try to play this one off onto Mith, DGB. That was your assertion, not his.
Mith saw this as you linking yourself to her.
Me, I saw it as a good opportunity for you to pile up one more vote on a stump-happy player.
The linkage bit is still very much mith's idea.
I do assert that something can "be taken from the fact" that you cast your vote "just after Adele cast her second vote." But not for the exact same reasons as mith's.
I can't understand why the distinction matters so much anyway. Is it helping find scum???yourassertion, not Mith's. I never mentioned his idea, only yours. So why did you try to brush the matter aside by focusing on Mith's theory?Permanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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Likely/leaning scum:
DGB - should be obvious how I feel by now
JDodge - I still don't like his arguments against d3sisted, his easy support for the DGB wagon, and how earlier he said both Max and d3sisted looked bad on the Quag wagon and then switched to saying that it was mostly d3sisted that was scummy for it instead of both.
scotmany - similar reasons as JDodge (argument with d3sisted), but scotmany looks more sincere when he posts, so he's almost down to neutral
Neutral/Leaning Protown:
Adele - still not satisfied about the "fangirl" incident, but her posting since then hasn't pinged my radar
Aimee - lurked early but was V/LA, and the more recent posts make me feel better about her
d3sisted - off my radar, I need to look at him more. Still seems to just not know what he's talking about, rather than being scum.
Likely Protown:
Mith - seems very sincere in his posting even if I don't always agree, and I'm not seeing a hidden agenda anywhere, eitherPermanent V/LA.- Mastermind of Sin
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