I Don't Like a Lot of the Guides

[GreyICE]

People are predictable. People believe they are unpredictable, but they are wrong. Even when people believe they are acting unpredictably they are usually acting predictably unpredictably - that is to say they are doing something unusual, but they are doing similar unusual things. You don't need to know a player to know how they're thinking.

There are many tells that are good. There are a few tells that are virtually perfect. Human thinking is flawed in extremely simple matters (the 50/50 fallacy is a common one, for instance)

[GreyICE]

Ah I can see the level of discussion you're looking for.

What, is this just another "I'm butthurt because I was lynched" thread?

[GreyICE]

Yes, we are. That's how predictive analysis works. Target can tell you're pregnant before you know, that's how predictable we are. Humans are so bad at randomness that we can detect fraud based off the 'random' numbers we generate. We can't even think of numbers at random in any way.

How does this work out in competition? You can beat other people at Rock-Paper-Scissors. Reliably.

We are super fucking predictable - http://phys.org/news/2010-02-human-beha ... rcent.html

This is a simple fact.

[GreyICE]