SGMEndgame: Deal or No Deal?

logicticus · Post Post #1 (isolation #0) » Thu Aug 23, 2007 11:40 am

i want case 2

logicticus · Post Post #3 (isolation #1) » Thu Aug 23, 2007 11:53 am

open

3
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4
12

logicticus · Post Post #21 (isolation #2) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 4:56 am

please banker, i wont take that garbage

NO DEAL!

logicticus · Post Post #23 (isolation #3) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 5:15 am

5
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1

logicticus · Post Post #29 (isolation #4) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 5:36 am

that was rougher than i wanted

logicticus · Post Post #32 (isolation #5) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 5:45 am

sorry banker, i need to see at least six figures

NO DEAL!

logicticus · Post Post #34 (isolation #6) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 5:48 am

8
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gotta run, be back in a couple hours

logicticus · Post Post #41 (isolation #7) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 8:03 am

can you update the gameboard, i need a clearer picture.

logicticus · Post Post #43 (isolation #8) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 9:03 am

oh man, this is really tough....

i really cant expect to hit like that again, and it is slightly above the EV....

i will continue thinking...

logicticus · Post Post #46 (isolation #9) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 9:35 am

alright roach, what do you say

logicticus · Post Post #49 (isolation #10) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 9:43 am

true and if im doing my probablity correctly (which is unlikely), I only have a 34% chance of NOT hitting one of the big three which would bring my offer down

logicticus · Post Post #50 (isolation #11) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 9:44 am

anyone can offer me advice

you guys can be those guys that hang out on the couch during the show

logicticus · Post Post #56 (isolation #12) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 10:04 am

JordanA24 wrote:I think you can stick it out for one more round, $300,000 is a huge amount, but I don't think it's game deciding, the top 2 certainly are, and you have 9 other cases to aim for apart from those. I think you have a good chance of getting through to the next round without hitting either, and if you do, the next offer will be huge.

While hitting the 300k isnt as bad as the others, it will certainly bring down the offer and cause me to want to go further giving me more odds of hitting something bad.

logicticus · Post Post #59 (isolation #13) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 10:07 am

not as good.

DEAL!!

logicticus · Post Post #60 (isolation #14) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 10:08 am

ShadowLurker wrote:SSF your banker sucks and isn't using anything close to the formula =/

You're not supposed to offer anything even close to the EV until there are about 5 cases left. It makes for bad TV if someone quits early and also means more contestants which means more money given away.

yeah he went from 67% of the EV to 100% of the EV in the next round

logicticus · Post Post #63 (isolation #15) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 10:10 am

6
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i hope i hit the mil

logicticus · Post Post #71 (isolation #16) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 10:15 am

wow, what a ridiculous decline

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logicticus · Post Post #75 (isolation #17) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 10:19 am

logicticus · Post Post #78 (isolation #18) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 10:25 am

bling bling

i cant believe revealing the 300k caused such a huge drop still

logicticus · Post Post #82 (isolation #19) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 10:31 am

when was he gonna offer 700k?

logicticus · Post Post #84 (isolation #20) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 10:33 am

that would have made the decision much easier

logicticus · Post Post #91 (isolation #21) » Fri Aug 24, 2007 10:53 am

Thanks to SSF for all the hard work he put into it.

It ran extremely smoothly which says a lot with how complex it was.

Great job!