In post 2204, Thor665 wrote:
In post 2201, PeregrineV wrote:If there are 2 scumteams, and Thor called it despite evidence to the contrary, Thor is either
1. Lucky town that got the setup right for reasons mortals will never fathom
2. Scum that already knows it
If there is 1 scumteam, and Thor makes a safe assumption there are two, Thor is either
3. Wrong town that made an incorrect assumption
4. Scum that is trying to make town look for more scumteams than there are
Since #4 makes no sense whatsoever, it 1 or 2 or 3. Since I doubt it's 1, and don't care if it's 3, #2 is the one that I need to focus on in determining townThor or scumThor.
Tell me again you still don't get it.
Well, first off, there is no evidence to the contrary.
(
570)
Second, I only brought it up in a discussion here someone claimed their read made sense as long as there was no scum that scum didn't know the alignments of already, which brings into question how it is #2 or #4 in any case.
I guess you give more weight to the context of the discussion than I do. I went by your conclusion/assumption statement (
261)
Third - you said you didn't think I'd slip, which rules out your #2 in any case.
Which is one reason to not pursue it, but there is no reason to ignore it. Plus, I could be wrong.
Fourth, #4 makes just as much sense as #2 especially when you toss in that even by your own understanding it is highly likely to have an SK in the setup. In fact, you're claiming this.
Could also have a vig. This part of the conjecture is not my point, it's yours.
Fifth, coming from someone who claims that there would be a likely SK - how were you planning to distinguish between SK and 2nd scumteam on Day 2 when you noted that I would be suspect on Day 2 if multiple kills happened?
Possibly flavor (kill vs stabbed), possibly croskills, who really cares, since it doesn't matter until and if it happens.
Sixth, I do not believe you did this much analysis of my commentary considering the other comments in a similar vein you missed, especially since one of them you later admitted would be scummy, if it was the biggest issue on me, why wasn't it an issue at all on him?
I need to spend a lot more time and mental effort figuring your alignment out than I do other people. As a result, you will probably be scrutinized more than some other players.
Seventh, with multiple occurrences of 'town could do this' (also known as 50% of your equation) especially since, if we add in SKs, I was actually right - and I showed you early on I was including SKs, why did it even become worth mention in the first place? You might as well have said 'Thor is posting, he might be scum' and would have had just as much validity to the tell - so why do you like this tell and think it is remotely accurate?
At some point, it will become obvious if it's an SK or 2 scumteams or both or neither. At that point, if other reasons have not dictated otherwise, then you would be a more likely scum candidate for your foreknowledge.
I still don't get it.
I know. How about now?