In post 2928, GreyICE wrote:Double dog dare you to find a single thing that wasn't opportunistic finger pointing, setup discussion, general philosophy winges, or random "my thoughts about events on the past few pages". What does that say? Is he smart enough to have insights on player's mentalities? Or is he too stupid to have that insight? Or is he just finding it really hard to do actual analysis of a player for some reason?
while I have Thesp's slot as mostly null, I disagree with your reasoning here
for one Thesp has already said he has a bunch of townreads, but isn't elaborating on them. it is possible he's scum using this as a preemptive excuse for not having to elaborate on anything, but as long as his explanation checks out, I don't think this is a good angle to push. do you disagree?
second, if he was looking for an opportunistic lynch, his switch off the Bulge doesn't make sense imo. he unvoted Bulge bc "it doesn't look like Bulge will get lynched today". now that I'm looking at it again, his switch came, iirc, before most of the ppl had unvoted the Bulge.
however, the Bulge wagon reached L-1 at a point. if Bulge is town and Thesp is scum, all he had to do in order to push the wagon through was get someone like Gaiden on there or, hell, ika later in the game had expressed intent to hammer.
I also disagree that pushing lurkers necessarily == opportunistic - GIF and I shared a similar sentiment for most of the game where we thought we could lollynch a lurker and have a greater than average chance of a scumflip. his vote on Bulge was also the 1st vote which, while not impossible, is smth I think would be less likely to come from an opportunistic push.
I'd also like elaboration on your thoughts on Titus while she was in the game (bc I scumread her early on although I have the slot at null now) and your read on Varsoon (I disagree, I wanna know what you're seeing). Bulge read would also be nice but not necessary.
-Rumia
