The Newbie Matrix6 stats thread (complete)

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Do you have the numbers comparing replacement rates to winrates? It's incredibly possible my brain got overloaded on charts and missed it.

[goodmorning]

No, but I should be able to look at doing such once I have the first post here updated. Do you mean "number of replacements in a game vs which faction wins", or "whether a slot is replaced vs whether it won"?

The first one. I've seen it bandied about a lot that "replacements help Scum" but I wonder if that's really true.
It might also be interesting to see whether the alignment of the replaced slot had anything to do with it (do Scum replacements weaken that faction? or strengthen it (perhaps because they're usually more experienced)?) but that seems like it might be a little too much work.

[goodmorning]

(And, of course, if the data supports the conclusion that replacements really are bad for Town then I can say that as an IC and mean it)

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I think there're probably a lot of factors that go into it, like the occasional tendency to lynch replaced newbs as Scum or the improvement of many newb slots by Wisdom.

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Hmmm. Not really enough data for most to make a really accurate general assessment but it does sort of look like the initial proposition has some teeth.

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In the "Replacement vs Winrate" spoiler in the OP, the first graph is by players replaced when I assume it should be by slots replaced. So something's gone weird there.

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It has done twice in a row in Micros I've run.

But that's Micros.

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Well, TBF I think the original spirit was meant as "7v1 at the start of a Day" which has definitely happened in Newbies given the Town 7.4% perfect winrate.

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Dammit, that's going to bother mine.

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That explains a lot.

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I think if any change is made it definitely needs to include no setups with both JK and RB.