Mafia v. Wolves Redux: Finally Over!
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Fascinating. And yet you assumed there were three per team, that the teams were equal, and that 3 scum on a team would be enough of a scum group in a game subject to crosskills. That speaks of prior knowledge to me.Raffles wrote:The numbers of scum? Simple.
(snip)
Vote stands. I'm not feeling the XReyoX bandwagon at all, it looks like scum jumping on the fat kid.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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I'm not saying you didn't have a reason. Even scum haev a reason (and usually a 'public' reason too) for things they do. But trying to analyze a L-6 wagon based on votes in the middle of it the bandwagon is pretty hard work. And it could be applied to your pushing a "wagon (you) didn't believe in" to try to flush out scum; that's just covered in scumminess. Also, you've kept back information about your motivations several times (I don't want to say who I find scummy just yet", "Damnit why'd you have to spoil my trap" which look like aRaffles wrote:
And just may I ask, why are these scummy? It might look scummy if I did it with no reason, but I gave an explanation for each one.Mr. Flay wrote: tried to deflect attention, and then withheld information on who he thought was scummy.
For the first, I've said it myself that this might look scummy, but I needed to mention what I observed. Having assumed that people are more or less finished with interrogating me, I didn't think it would be a problem to speak my observation.
I also think I gave a valid reason for witholding my scum list. I don't see why you would have a problem with it.lone wolfloner trying to play the game their way instead of working with the town.
The more you reveal about your motivations, the more we have to analyze on you to tell if you are town or not. You've been very reticient about providing anything from your perspective, and the L-6 thing is weird enough to look manufactured to me. But you did answer both questions eventually, even though I missed the L-6 answer initially.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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Oh, to be a dayvig - we need to trim some dead weight from this game. This is a Large Theme Game, people, not a Mini - there should be more than 8-10 people posting!
It's curious to me that OTU has sat so close to lynch for so long. Is it because his scumbuddies are avoiding his lynch (when there's no other really viable wagons going), or is it because scum are already on his wagon and can't push it any harder, not knowing if he's actually on the other scum team or not?
FOS: Everyone who came on long enough to say they'd reread, but hasn't actually posetd content. bird, theopor, IH, voidy. MOS and ~N9V~ too, since they haven't even postedat all.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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Remus, mostly, though I'm not really satisfied with XreoX's explanation of the "it's impossible to see scum passing messages", especially since I'vebeenthat scum a couple of times, and had to try to do it without getting caught, and you generally do get spotted. People here are very sharp, usually.
Raffles' explanation of telling people to hold their cards close to their vest is shady too. But I doubt seriously that any other bandwagon is going to gain speed today, so if OTU is not going to offer anything further in his defense, I would like to see more people vote forsomeone, and end this Day to have something to talk about D2.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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And for those who don't know what I mean about the lack of participation, here's what I see as people's last post, and the content therein with respect to moving the game forward:
4/2/2007 remussaidow
4/2/2007 PBuG
4/2/2007 Mr. Flay
4/2/2007 Battle Mage
4/1/2007 Kison
4/1/2007 Akbar
3/31/2007 Raffles
3/30/2007 XReyoX
3/29/2007 theopor_COD
3/28/2007 Mastermind of Sin, negligible
3/26/2007 OverTheUnder
3/26/2007 IH, negligible
3/26/2007 bird1111, negligible
3/25/2007 Zindaras, negligible, after replacing Der Hammer who last posted on 3/17
3/25/2007 Fuldu
3/25/2007 DrippingGoofball, negligible
3/25/2007 al4xz
3/24/2007 Wizardcat, very little
3/24/2007 ~N9V~, very little
3/22/2007 Scarecrow, very little
3/19/2007 spectrumvoid
Shameful.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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Raffles wrote:
Well that kind of depends on whether you agree with what I said or not. Do you really think he's commited enough crimes to be worthy of a lynch? And if so, why isn't he lynched until now?Mr. Flay wrote: Wait, Raffles, why the hell are you unvoting OTU???
And if not, what's the point in keeping a vote on him?
Quoted for truth. Wagons that diminish without a defense are doing so due to external factors; in this case, I believe scum and/or scum buddies are hopping off the wagon. I want to test this hypothesis, given that it's D1 and we don't have anything better to go on yet. Maybe OTU is just inexperienced. I'm willing to bet a D1 lynch that it'll teach us several things about other players, even if we are wrong/being misled here.theopor_COD wrote:Yeh I'd like to hear from OTU. As Raffles say's he seems to have given up. His wagon seems to have diminished without him even posting, how odd.
So yes, I do think he's worth today's lynch. I don't see you proposing an alternative.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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This is the second time OTU is at lynch-2, I want a claim. No more stalling.
I didn't realize we were under a deadline. Raffles, I'm not trying to implicate you in any sort of Machiavellian plot, I just want people to ascribe to SOMETHING so that we have something to go on for D2.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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Three of OTU's last four posts since 3/25 have been "oops, maybe later" stalling tactics. I'm pretty sure he's scum, but even if not, I want him to vote for someone in addition to the claim. I need information, damnit!
I do NOT want him replaced. We'll just have to restart this whole stupid discussion, because several players will give the replacement a pass on OTU's behavior. If we must deadline lynch an inactive to get information and move the game forward, so be it.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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The first "Mafia Vs. Wolves" game modded by Phoebus:
http://www.mafiascum.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=528Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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To reiterate my lost post: I believe ESE is a cult of sadomasochists, and that is all that al4zx's "Uncle", "he could help himself", and the like is about. I don't believe they are the Werewolves or the Mafia, and I believe this is also responsible for the "delay between deadline and dawn".
I'm more curious about why any scum group would target him though; is it possible al4zx targeted scum and that's why he died? If so, that would mean probably two other roleblockers/doctors, which would be a good setup with so many anti-town groups IMO.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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Except that I'd never expect Werewolves to kill by strangulation, you know? Ripping out the windpipe, sure...Zindaras wrote:So he'd be the Werewolves' kill, and the Mafia's probably failed.
I don't see why the idea of a Cult is so difficult for some people. Multiple scum groups actually decreases their effectiveness, because of the high risk of crosskills.
The big question is, who of whatever allegiance had motivation to kill al4?Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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XReyoX: You also missed that I asked him to vote for someone, repeatedly, so we could see who he was suspicious of. And he explicitly posted 3 times without claiming, but stalling/"having difficulty".
Here's a counterpoint to XReyoX's reason count, which is what I was hoping to get out of even a townie lynch of the supremely unhelpful OTU (bold are new voters, struck people are unvoters, obviously):
03/12/07 Fuldu, Mastermind of Sin, Raffles
03/13/07DrippingGoofball, Fuldu, Mastermind of Sin, Raffles
03/15/07Battle Mage, DrippingGoofball, Fuldu, Mastermind of Sin, Raffles
03/16/07 Battle Mage, DrippingGoofball, Fuldu, Mastermind of Sin, Raffles
03/18/07 Battle Mage, DrippingGoofball, Fuldu, Mastermind of Sin, Raffles
03/21/07 Battle Mage, DrippingGoofball, Fuldu, Mastermind of Sin,Mr Flay, remussaidow, Raffles
03/23/07al4xz, Battle Mage, DrippingGoofball, Fuldu, Mastermind of Sin, Mr Flay,PBuG, remussaidow, Raffles
03/25/07 al4xz, Battle Mage, DrippingGoofball, Fuldu, Mastermind of Sin, Mr Flay, PBuG, remussaidow, Raffles
03/26/07al4xz, Battle Mage, DrippingGoofball, Fuldu, Mastermind of Sin, Mr Flay, PBuG, remussaidow, Raffles - just unvoted
03/27/07 Battle Mage, DrippingGoofball, Fuldu,Kison, Mastermind of Sin, Mr Flay, PBuG, remussaidow, Raffles
03/30/07 Battle Mage, DrippingGoofball, Fuldu, Kison, Mastermind of Sin, Mr Flay, PBuG, remussaidow, Raffles
04/02/07 Battle Mage, DrippingGoofball, Fuldu,Kison, Mastermind of Sin, Mr Flay,PBuG, remussaidow, Raffles - both went to the remussaidow wagon
04/03/07 Battle Mage, DrippingGoofball, Fuldu, Mastermind of Sin, Mr Flay,PBuG, remussaidow,Scarecrow,Raffles- just unvoted
04/03/07 Battle Mage, DrippingGoofball, Fuldu, Mastermind of Sin, Mr Flay, PBuG, remussaidow, Scarecrow,al4xz, theopor_COD
04/07/07 Battle Mage, DrippingGoofball, Fuldu, Mastermind of Sin, Mr Flay, PBuG, remussaidow, Scarecrow, al4xz, theopor_COD,- HAMMER!IH
The most suspicious votes to me here are MoS, Raffles, and Scarecrow. MoS somewhat because his second vote just happened to stay throughout the entire Day; Scarecrow because he voted with no commentary/reasons after being prodded, which ensured our deadline lynch could go through. But Raffles' unvote as the deadline loomed is scummy to me in the "oh crap I'm gonna lynch a townie" sense, his reasoning for hopping off is confused, and this gem of a post:
pointed out earlier by Fuldu earlier, is just creepy. "Somebody else please hammer this person I unvoted so they can get blamed for it and not me!"Raffles wrote:OTU has disappeared at most crucial of times...
I'm not there to place the hammer when the deadline comes I'm afraid, someone else needs to do that.
Combine that with his distancing from al4 today, and I say we've got another ESE member.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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Too Townie is the logical fallacy of suspecting someone for acting to much in the town's interest.
I continue to maintain that Raffles is either a terrible player or ESE. I will stake my game-life on it being the latter. There's WAY too many assumptions going down in this game with respect to flavor, night scene, etc. "Retired Cop" isn't a standardized role any more than "Godfather" is.The Wiki is Not God(and when I say that, it means something!).
Tomorrow I believe it will be time to look at some other other 'confused' souls with respect to the al4zx's death. Today, though, Raffles.
::edit while posting::WoT = Wheel of Time, a large theme game from last year.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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This is all very interesting, but I'd like to see more people participating in the discussion. Back-and-forth between a few players does very little to help us find scum later.
Raffles, it's not so much that you weren't sure OTU wasn't scum as that youstill wanted him lynched by somebody(but not you) despite that doubt. I think you're panicking today, which makes me think we're right. This is orthagonal to the ESE/Mafia/Cult discussion, which is highly speculative, except for the part where you've opposed vehemently the possibility until now.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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Some of us aer arguing that Raffles is the ESE Cult Leader. A Cult Leader is a particularly valuable role to his faction, because without his recruiting ability, the Cult has almost no chance of winning (they end up like an anti-town Mason group/SK with no Night Kill). So if Raffles thought his voting for OTU (who he knew was not in his Cult, and on D1 most likely a town mislynch) would draw fire tomorrow, he may have tried to back off.XReyoX wrote:
I was trying to point out that scum do not always know much more than town. Especially in this game. The 2 groups doesn't know each other. They know the other people who are in their team but the rest could be towns, could be scums.Mastermind of Sin wrote:I don't know, I didn't say I agreed with his statement. I was just pointing out that, yes, scum DO know more than protown players, in general.
And Raffles: No worries, I'm only staking my lifein this game, not my entire career *cough*LoudmouthLee*cough*.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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My system of what?Raffles wrote:As for second point, I think I had that confused with Mr. Flay's sytem.
Also, power roles are often (but not always) unrecruitable by cults.
I do agree with DGB on one thing: I think XReyoX is playing a much better game today. The charitable interpretation of this is that he is learn on his second Day on MafiaScum. The suspicious interpretation is that he's been coached at night. For now, I'm content to think the former,especiallyif Raffles turns out scum.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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You're omitting the part of that post that gives it healthy context: Raffles was simultaneously asking for someone else to cast a lynch-ensuring vote while unvoting himself. That's the part that tips it over the edge; that, and as someone else mentioned, there was nothing OTUdidin that time frame to make anyone any less suspicious of him.
I've got no opinion about DGB at this point, except that it's nice to see her posting again. We've still got too many silent partners in this game, and I don't see anything out of the ordinary in MoS's or DGB's behavior at this point.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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It's unbelievable to me that 7 or 8 of us have produced virtually all of the content in the last four pages. Wizardcat hasn't posted sinceMarch 24th. ~N9V~ hasn't posted since Day 2 started! I hope Phoebus is still looking for more replacements... this sort of stuff drives me insane.
IH, Akbar, bird1111, PBuG, a little input here???Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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MoS, WTH? Is that a roundabout accusation of Akbar defending Shanba?
That was a hell of an opening post from Shanba. It throws suspicion right left and center, which makes me thing 'newbie' before 'scum', but he did replace remus, which is worth transferring a little suspicion. Might be a second choice lynch, but I'd still rather resolve the Raffles thing. Raffles has been weird both days, and the logic has been crazy, when evident at all.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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Trust me on this, MoS: Battle Mage can be that annoying in any game situation, it may have nothing to do with a hidden agenda. Ask Stoofer after the game is over.
That said, BM's craplogic doesn't help us today, but I still prefer Raffles for today's lynch. Where is everyone else?Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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Mod, Vote Count? I think Raffles is at 5, BM at 4, and MoS at 3, but I'm not positive.
I'm liking Akbar/Shanba (formerly remus) for a scum pair right now. That single vote Akbar threw on Shanba for a while that didn't gain any traction, then switching opportunistically tothe kicked puppyBattle Mage, reeks to me. PBuG and IH too, frankly.
DGB's defense of BM is noted, but I think it's just because they're both certifiably insane , not because they're a scumpair. Maybe.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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In fairness, I didn't go back and look at your earlier posts about remus when I posted that; having done so now, your behavior with remus was much less weird in my view, so the connection is weaker. Shanba, you are the less scummy of the pair to me right now, at least as regards the pairing. Individually, you're both somewhere in my middle range.Akbar wrote:@Mr. Flay
I don't think your paying attention to my posts. The question is are you doing it intentionally. Don't you find it ironic that your alleged distancing theory didn't surface till Shanba replaced Remus? Right now I'm suspicious of BM, DGB, and Shanba. But, its not going to do us much good if a majority doesn't agree.
I did state my reasons, to wit, that people are 'beating up' on Battle Mage because he's not very articulate, not a good player, etc. Granted, it's easy for those types of players to play off their scumtells as inexperience, I've just got better targets today. It's a tough part of this game, the difference between Bad Town and Bad Scum. But I don't think Battle Mage is doing anything anti-town, he's just overreacting and annoying people.Akbar wrote:If your so convinced BM is a bad lynch, then state your reasons for thinking he's town. Don't just throw some colorful analogy out there trying to solicit a response from the crowd. And would you mind going back to the "scum jumping on the fat kid" analogy you used for XReyoX's wagon. I don't kick puppies.Retired as of October 2014.- Mr. Flay
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Okay, I've got roles from Phoebus, so here's that lynch scene you've been eagerly awaiting!
6: theopor_COD (Thok, Kison, Akbar, The Greg, The Fonz, Battle Mage)
1: Raffles (theopor_COD)
4: Not Voting (Raffles, PBuG, Lowell, Fuldu)
theopor_COD was lynched by the group, including Battle Mage coming back from his sabbatical to jump up and down on the lever of the gallows until it finally gave way. Good thing, too, since theo's hands were dirty as sin.- Mr. Flay
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As you head to your homes for night, you realize that Kison is stumbling and weaving. Concern sets in - is he drunk? Ill? Fascination mingles with horror, as the crowd stands paralyzed by indecision, watching the spectacle.
Kison's stumbling increased as he wandered down the road toward his house, finally crashing into a post and falling on his back, gasping and rattling his breath. Clawing at his throat, he died without ever saying what was wrong...
Kison - Witch - Dropped Dead - Day 5- Mr. Flay
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Final Vote Count of Day Six:
5: Battle Mage (Thok, Akbar, The Fonz, Tarhalindur, ThAdmiral)
3: Not Voting (Celtic18, The Greg, Battle Mage)
Battle Mage knew that the jig was up. People in the village had never trusted him, since he lived on the edge of town and did the thankless work of grinding the grain. Did he grind up other things there as well? A search turns up nothing but a loner's lifestyle...
Battle Mage - Miller - Banished - Day Six
It is now Night Six; please get all choices in by the end of Tuesday, Oct. 2nd.Last edited by Mr. Flay on Wed Oct 03, 2007 1:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.- Mr. Flay
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Mr. Flay Metatron
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Mr. Flay Metatron
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Final Vote Count of Day Seven:
4: Setael (ThAdmiral, Akbar, Thok)
1: ThAdmiral (Setael)
3: Not Voting (The Fonz, Tarhalindur, Fritzler)
Thok's persuasive argument convinces the town, and they almost immediately lead Setael to the gallows, without even waiting for the broader consensus. In the end, the body of the Master of the Estate swings in the breeze as the sun sets.
Setael - Lucius Lovato - Lynched - Day 7
It is now Night 7; please get your role choices in to me by the end of Tuesday, October 9th.- Mr. Flay
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Mr. Flay Metatron
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Last Vote Count of Day Eight:
4: Tarhalindur (Thok, The Fonz, Fritzler, ThAdmiral)
2: Not Voting (Akbar, Tarhalindur)
Tarhalindur's death brings little light and even less joy to the town's fortunes. It appears that he was naught but a humble blacksmith, and a good citizen of the town.
Tarhalindur - Blacksmith - Lynched - Day 8
It is now Night 8; please get choices to me by the end of Wednesday, Oct. 17th. - Mr. Flay
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