Sorry about that. I was working on this yesterday, but something came up last minute, followed by an intense migraine later that night.
In post 5505, penguin_alien wrote:
We get the first red flip of the game and you opt to dive back into the neighborhoods despite your overwhelming hesitation yesterday? Ignoring any red scum hunting to go for blue? I agree with those saying there's almost certainly a blue scum lurking in the neighborhoods, but whether we had a scum-scum team with Seanald-Desperado, a scum-PV matched with the (very likely) vig-ThAd, or scum-CTD doing a fake panic reaction with Slandaar Day Two, I'm not certain. There are points in favor of all of these. If we can't come up with anything better to lynch, that's all well and good, but given your extreme hesitation to vote anyone but Nero Cain yesterday, I'm skeptical. At this point we don't know for absolute certain that there is blue scum in the neighborhoods (hard to imagine there's not) but unless red scum had two neighborhooded members, it's certainly to their advantage to eliminate as many neighbors as possible at this point.
I believe I stated multiple times that should we lynch scum in the neighborhoods that I'd be trying to root the other one out. This is especially true since finding the last remaining scum in the neighborhoods will also most likely result in getting rid of one of the NKs. Why wouldn't I go for that?
Also, I'm pretty sure on who the last scum is via PoE, which I've outlined multiple times. I have actual reasons for going after CTD rather than another member of the neighborhoods, and I think I'm right on the money. If you don't think so, then please explain why I'm wrong.
In post 5505, penguin_alien wrote:
Although Cephrir points out good reasons why Bulbazak and Seanald didn't post about each other like scum buddies would be expected to. But Seanald makes a point of responding to Bulbazak's question in
#3167 Then his voting for him is always for weak reasons, like misrepping his vote on AA9 in
#4542 Looking at Bulbazak on Seanald, sure, he takes potshots at him. But it wouldn't be hard to pick on a lurking scum buddy for ultimate town cred.
To be fair, Seanald going out of his way to pacify me like that is what sent my scumdar into overdrive and placed him fully into my scum pile. I was even ready to lynch him d3, but got off to allow CTD time to post his final thoughts, which he never delivered. Saying that I was
only
taking potshots at him is, therefore, wrong.
Yes, we have to keep our options open, don't we...
Your
#5523 is much better.
In post 5509, CrashTextDummie wrote:
I can take an educated guess at why you're voting me, but elaborate on some of your other reads. Looking at your list at the beginning of yesterday, you've moved PA from null/scum to scum, HD from null to scum, Ffullisade from Null/Scum to town. I would like all of these explained.
I've had a weak suspicion of PA ever since BS, but I was unsure of the validity of that read, given how many people I was reading as scum. I moved her into the null range until I could get a better read on the game. Given the limited number of scum left and the amount of scumreads I have left, I moved her back into the scum pile, because she's not that null of a read. However, since my read on her as scum is based off of BS and some possible blue tells I saw d2, if I'm right about the amount and location of blue scum left in the game, she'll probably be moved out of the scum pile soon.
Ffullisade is a town read based off of her reaction at the end of d3 and on her interactions d4.
The only reason HD was null yesterday was because I was trying to sort his slot. Based on his play earlier in the game and the way he was acting when I questioned him yesterday, I feel pretty confident that he's scum.
In post 5509, CrashTextDummie wrote:
Seanald flipping scum doctor puts a new light on Bulba's unwillingness to pursue him yesterday. He was stuck on Nero for the whole of yesterday despite repeated prodding from Nacho to move to a consensus choice, for stated reasoning "Nero is the most dangerous of all scum, he must die before anyone else", which he dropped awfully quickly once the tide began to turn against Seanald.
First, Nero was a stronger scum read for me, so of course I was going to pursue him before Seanald. Second, I told Nacho that if he was able to get a Seanald wagon going, that'd I'd join it in a heartbeat. Lastly, I started considering moving my vote onto a compromise wagon during the weekend, since no one wanted to go after Nero. However, the only major major wagon at the time was Rena, and I would have rather kept my vote where it was and have been yesterday's lynch than put my vote there. Closer to deadline I noticed that 3 people had voted for Seanald, so I moved my vote there in order to lynch my other scum read.
The typical scum:town ratio is 1:3, which would suggest 6 scum. If both teams are equal, that means 2 teams of 3. I think it's better to assume the least amount of scum possible, as if you're wrong in that case, it's easier to reevaluate.
In post 5516, Baezu wrote: In post 5496, ffullisade wrote:@ thad
come here honey you are starting to worry me a bit.
also why did baezu sub in if all he is going to do is immediately go on v/la and try to lurk out the rest of the game?
no
HELL NO
y'all don't make me use the shouty font
VOTE: baezu
How am I lurking? I've posted at least daily since getting back from V/la. Also, this is Bacde's slot. If you didn't have him as scum it means I'm not scum.
sorry AM. just trying to apply pressure. You're town - you're not getting lynched
Peregrine jumping on the wagon without explanation though is superscummy.
VOTE: Peregrine
This is just bad. Hiding behind your predecessor. Apologizing for a vote and immediately backpedaling, which is essentially pacifying town. Then you go after someone who is getting a lot of attention. This needs to die soon.
I'll catch up with the rest of the game later tonight.
Fixed first of all.
