Fall of the Matrix: Game Over!
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mozamis wrote:Yosarian, we don't know Voz is a VT. He just claimed that. So we dont have ANY info on him.
He's either a VT or he's not Town. There aren't any other options, so I would suggest you stop thinking there might be.
Anyways,Vote: vezok.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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mozamis wrote:Not with you. Why do we assume that because he has claimed VT, he is either VT or scum. How do we know he is not a cop, serial killer, vig etc etc etc
How do you know there arent any other options?
If he's a Cop, then he's not a Townie. Therefore he's lying. But Town doesn't lie. Therefore, he's not a Cop.
If he's a Serial Killer, then he's not Town. Therefore, he's not Town.
If he's a Vig, then he's not a Townie. Therefore, he's lying. But Town doesn't lie. Therefore, he's not a Vig.
By induction, my thesis holds that he's either a Townie or he's not Town.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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mozamis wrote:SensFan wrote:mozamis wrote:Not with you. Why do we assume that because he has claimed VT, he is either VT or scum. How do we know he is not a cop, serial killer, vig etc etc etc
How do you know there arent any other options?
If he's a Cop, then he's not a Townie. Therefore he's lying. But Town doesn't lie. Therefore, he's not a Cop.
If he's a Serial Killer, then he's not Town. Therefore, he's not Town.
If he's a Vig, then he's not a Townie. Therefore, he's lying. But Town doesn't lie. Therefore, he's not a Vig.
By induction, my thesis holds that he's either a Townie or he's not Town.
I just meant he could be town but a PR. (A cop is a townie etc) Though I grant you, I can't see why he would lie about it.
My point really was that I just think we should be entirely neutral about his claim. I do see what you mean. I just think we should ignore it really.
ps induction is inference from experience -you meant a priori reasoning
To clarify the terminology I used:
Townie - A role with no abilities and a Pro-Town win condition
Town - A role with a Pro-Town win condition
He has claimed to be a Townie. Thus, he is either a Townie, a Town PR, or not Town. If he's a Town PR, then he's not a Townie, then he's a liar. But Town doesn't lie. Thus, he's not a Town PR. Thus, he's either a Townie or not Town.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Surye wrote:Ebwop, dont know what happened:
except he claimed vanilla.
So...him claiming Townie precludes him from being one of {Townie, Scum}?
I'm not following.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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mozamis wrote:I meant, we can't sensibly lynch him for that...
Is that a challenge?(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Yosarian2 wrote:"Let's either lynch Vezok, or the scummiest guy voting for Vezok" makes sense to me, in a way. If Vezok is town, then there's probably some scum voting for him.
I'd be surprised if there aren't Scum both on and off of the wagon. Is there any particular reason why you would think it's best to look on the wagon?(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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"Let's move to another wagon for the sake of information" is pretty much the easiest way to guarantee that the wagon will lead to nothing.
"Let's move to another wagon for information, get them to claim, and then come back to the guy we already know we want to lynch and already claimed Vanilla" is worse.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Surye wrote:SensFan wrote:"Let's move to another wagon for information, get them to claim, and then come back to the guy we already know we want to lynch and already claimed Vanilla" is worse.
Why?
Please tell me you do actually see the problem with that statement. Please.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Albert B. Rampage wrote:Does anybody know MoS's stance on cults? Agent Smith comes to mind in this game...
Here you go.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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I'm not going to agree to a plan that involves a Cop claim on D2 of a Large game. Especially not when it also involves delaying the inevitable lynch of someone who has prematurely claimed Vanilla, and by all accounts is null at best even if he's telling the truth.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Surye wrote:You clearly missed my point. I believe his wagon will be useless regarding information, and I believe him surviving on is dangerous to town. Did I not make that clear, or do you find them mutually exclusive?
Do you think his wagon will suddenly gain information if it happens 3 days from now?(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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mozamis wrote:Porochaz wrote:Im not saying your scum. Im saying your bad for town.
If the guy isn't scum, we dont lynch him.
I totally disagree with all that "bad for town"stuff -its normally just a way of saying " I don't like this person". I do not care if he is the worst or best player in the world, if we don't think he is scum, we don't lynch him.
Yes, it would actually be areally really good thingif Vezok is alive in a 3p endgame. We're all just saying we want him dead because we're really mean.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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mozamis wrote:vez wagon is looking like cyber bullying.
Then grow some thicker skin. Seriously, this is a competitive team game. I'm not insulting vezok as a person in any way, but it is entirely relevant to the conversation if I think that his ability as a (hypothetical) Townie would be negligible at best. If I think he's not a very good player, then it absolutely should affect my decision about lynching him, and so it's well within the bounds of the game to bring up.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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It's short for Isolation. It means using the 'Display posts by user:' function to see just that person's posts.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Furcolow wrote:For what reason are you voting me? I have not been active in this game whatsoever, and just promised to dedicate to reading the game.
You claim you've not been active, but that's a lie. You've been purposefully refraining from posting in the thread.Unvote, Vote: Furcolow(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Furcolow wrote:Not true. I've been busy.
Bull. Shit.
There have been 365 posts in this thread. You have 4 of them, one of which is a /confirm. Thus, fair to say your posting has been extremely sparse. And yet, let's look at the timing of your non-/confirm posts.
1. This post comes less than 5 hours and 8 posts after Poro mentioned your name pursuant to replacement.
2. This post comes 2 minutes and immediately after CES voted you.
3. This post comes 4 minutes and 2 posts after I vote you and accuse you of active lurking.
So yes, your claim is bullshit. None of the posts contain any inkling of content, so it wasn't even just suspicious timing that you happened to be posting at the time. I just don't buy that you've posted absolutely no content, but showed up 3 times very soon after being mentioned.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Toon Fighter wrote:I just noticed this new attack on Furcolow, and I'm trying to be impartial, but there are evidence that may support his innocence.
1) As you may notice if you search for posts made by him, he didn't post anything* between May 1 and May 6. He may have been V/LA BUT
1b) He never said he'd be V/LA at any point of this game*, supporting the active lurking theory
2) He did show up just in time to answer a vote on him, and he had only made 3 posts before that one
As I am not getting anything satisfactory out of DeathNote (or any more scummy reads) I shallunvoteandvote: Furcolow. Let's see how you act with a little more pressure on you. I want answers.
* He didn't post in any of the games he is playing in, and there are several, and he never said he'd be V/LA in any of them. Interpret that as you may. And yes, I know discussion of other games is frowned upon, but I just had to mention these facts.
Yes or no answer only to this question:
Do you think it's a coincidence that his only 3 posts are, respectively, 5 hours, 2 minutes and 4 minutes after being mentioned/voted by someone else?(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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In that case, what's the relevance to your point that he wasn't posting, such that it "may support his innocence"?(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Toon Fighter wrote:He may have not posted in the last few days because he was V/LA, and only just came back, saw the attacks at him and posted. I don't believe it is a coincidence, but I can't rule out that explanation
Wait a second. You think it's at all likely that he:
*Showed up for the first time 8 posts and 5 hours after being called out for replacement(possible)AND
*Then left, showing up 2 minutes after being voted, supplying still no content(unlikely)AND
*Stuck around for 10 minutes, still providing absolutely nothing, and made another empty post 4 minutes after being voted(implausible)(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Toon Fighter wrote:SensFan wrote:Toon Fighter wrote:He may have not posted in the last few days because he was V/LA, and only just came back, saw the attacks at him and posted. I don't believe it is a coincidence, but I can't rule out that explanation
Wait a second. You think it's at all likely that he:
*Showed up for the first time 8 posts and 5 hours after being called out for replacement(possible)AND
*Then left, showing up 2 minutes after being voted, supplying still no content(unlikely)AND
*Stuck around for 10 minutes, still providing absolutely nothing, and made another empty post 4 minutes after being voted(implausible)
I never said it was likely. I said it was a possibility that we can't rule out before we hear from the man of the moment, Furcolow
Spoiler Alert!
Furcolow is going to deny actively lurking, and instead claim that he really hasn't had time to read/follow the thread. He definitively won't admit to reading along in the thread, but only speaking up when he perceives the need to do damage control.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Furcolow wrote:I have read the entire thread
ToonFighter provided my defense for me. I haven't been on MafiaScum for the beginning of May. I have had issues in real life which I forgot to inform my moderators of which I am sorry for. I also did not have this game subscribed after I confirmed, so I did not check it from April 29th to May 1st. Big deal. I'm caught up now, and I have a much higher percentage of being a town-aligned-PR than Vezokpiraka's 0%.
Bull. Shit.
I refuse to believe that of your 3 posts, 2 of them happen to come within 4 minutes of someone voting you, but that you're not reading the thread without posting. Bull. Shit.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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SensFan wrote:Furcolow wrote:I have read the entire thread
ToonFighter provided my defense for me. I haven't been on MafiaScum for the beginning of May. I have had issues in real life which I forgot to inform my moderators of which I am sorry for. I also did not have this game subscribed after I confirmed, so I did not check it from April 29th to May 1st. Big deal. I'm caught up now, and I have a much higher percentage of being a town-aligned-PR than Vezokpiraka's 0%.
Bull. Shit.
I refuse to believe that of your 3 posts, 2 of them happen to come within 4 minutes of someone voting you, but that you're not reading the thread without posting. Bull. Shit.
Unvote, Vote: Furc
There. Now I should get a response to my post within about 2 minutes.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Zindaras wrote:FoS: Furcolow
I honestly buy the inactivity thing but I think his Vezok vote is scummy. Fur's apparently been inactive throughout the site and I don't see why we shouldn't believe him. I will only consider his inactivity suspicious if this becomes a trend throughout the game.
The inactivity isn't the problem. It's the selective activity.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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MBL, are you arguing that you think both of the wagons are bad, or are you just compiling data to examine IS' point?(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Oh look. Furcolow is now outright playing against the interests of the Town regardless of his alignment.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Zindaras wrote:SensFan wrote:Oh look. Furcolow is now outright playing against the interests of the Town regardless of his alignment.
If he's scum he isn't.
Yes he is.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Yosarian2 wrote:Zindaras wrote:I'm not saying Vezok is confirmed town in my eyes, but he deserves a fair chance at playing the game.
He had a fair chance at playing the game. Then he claimed vanilla. Once you jump out of a plane without a parachute, you probably aren't going to win the competitive skydiver's competition.
Also, Yossy, are you seriously saying that a Vanilla on the chopping block shouldn't claim? I really hope I'm misinterpreting that.
Absolutly. A vanilla at lynch -1 should refuse to claim and just keep defending himself. The last time I claimed vanilla under any circumstances was about 4 years ago, and that was only because someone had claimed tracker and had claimed he saw me go somewhere when I couldn't have done so.
While I agree with your principle, doesn't that set a bad precedent for Scum to exploit if Vanillas don't claim at the point when it's 'Claim or Die'? If there is a decent chance that a Town player would refuse to claim in such a position (namely, VTs), then Scum can also refuse to claim. And from my experience, the vast majority of Mafia players don't actually have the guts to pull the trigger on someone who is stalling instead of claiming.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Yosarian2 wrote:Sensfan: Let me put it this way.
Scenerio A: Both scum and vanilla town refuse to claim when at lynch -1.
Scenerio B: Both scum and vanilla town claim vanilla when at lynch -1.
I think scenerio A is better for the town. Someone claiming vanilla town dosn't actually give the town any real information, but it gives the scum a lot of information.
I'm not so sure. If Scum claim Vanilla, they get rope. If they claim Power of some sort, they either get rope or some plan to test them occurs. If they keep stalling, they at the very least drag on the day for several pages of noise while no one has the balls to hammer.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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AGar wrote:SensFan wrote:Yosarian2 wrote:Sensfan: Let me put it this way.
Scenerio A: Both scum and vanilla town refuse to claim when at lynch -1.
Scenerio B: Both scum and vanilla town claim vanilla when at lynch -1.
I think scenerio A is better for the town. Someone claiming vanilla town dosn't actually give the town any real information, but it gives the scum a lot of information.
I'm not so sure. If Scum claim Vanilla, they get rope. If they claim Power of some sort, they either get rope or some plan to test them occurs. If they keep stalling, they at the very least drag on the day for several pages of noise while no one has the balls to hammer.
Last part doesn't make much sense.
Player is put at L-1.
Non-voting player threatens to hammer, demands claim.
Player at L-1 stalls.
Non-voting player hammers.
Simple. If a player is saying they're not going to claim when at L-1 with a hammer threat, or deflecting/diverting the attention, they are essentially saying "Kill me now."
You're absolutely right, of course. The problem is that in the vast majority of cases, no one off the wagon has the balls to actually hammer someone who is stalling their claim.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Just curious. How do you accuse me both of being scummy for not scumhunting, and then also call me scummy for being the first person on both of the major wagons?(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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HezLucky wrote:SensFan wrote:Just curious. How do you accuse me both of being scummy for not scumhunting, and then also call me scummy for being the first person on both of the major wagons?
Those things are not mutually exclusive. Being on wagons is not scumhunting.
I didn't give you any points for that though.
In the case of Vez, there's no scumhunting required. It's objectively best play to lynch him at this point based on his history and his play in this game.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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LlamaFluff wrote:Albert B. Rampage wrote:Amrun wrote:Zindaras seems to be trying hard to be useful without actually being useful - a common scum tactic.
I agree.
Unvote, vote Zindaras
Please stop voting people who are obviously town. There literally are about 20 better places to put your vote.
The fact that you keep repeating over and over again that certain people are "obviously town" doesn't actually make it so.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Primate wrote:@Sensfan: Who do you think is likely to be scum outside of Furc?
I don't have any strong scumreads besides Furc. I'm not sure it matters a ton at this juncture, since I don't see a scenario where I vote someone other than vezok/Furc today.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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vezokpiraka wrote:Albert B. Rampage wrote:Tomorrow
Tomorrow never comes.
Please tell me this is a really bad joke attempt.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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LlamaFluff wrote:@Sens/BMQ/TF/CPE - Why is Furc scum? If you mention policy lynching, or even insinuate it, I am disqualifying the rest of your response.
Have you seen me use Policy for my Furc-vote at all? vezok, yes (and I'll respond to your vezok points later; I'm on my phone right now).
The bulk of the reasons that Furc is Scum is the blatant active lurking, and the OMGUS that went with it. Until the wagon formed on him, he was completely nonexistent, only bothering to post when someone either voted him or asked for him to be replaced. That was enough for a vote, as I talked about at the time, but THEN he decided to go out and vote himself. Game, Set and Match.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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ML, if you think that the activity-based case on Furc has anything to do with him being inactive, then you should probably try and actually read the relevant portions of the thread. kthx.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Zindaras wrote:In post 357, Cessy starts the Furcolow wagon. I just love the reply in 359. The angry outburst, followed by the "oh, woops, you're not voting me."
Porochaz (365): Vote for timing.
SensFan (366): Calls out Furry for the same reasoning, but doesn't vote.
For the record, I had already voted him for timing at the time of my 366.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Furcolow wrote:SensFan wrote:LlamaFluff wrote:@Sens/BMQ/TF/CPE - Why is Furc scum? If you mention policy lynching, or even insinuate it, I am disqualifying the rest of your response.
Have you seen me use Policy for my Furc-vote at all? vezok, yes (and I'll respond to your vezok points later; I'm on my phone right now).
The bulk of the reasons that Furc is Scum is the blatant active lurking, and the OMGUS that went with it. Until the wagon formed on him, he was completely nonexistent, only bothering to post when someone either voted him or asked for him to be replaced. That was enough for a vote, as I talked about at the time, but THEN he decided to go out and vote himself. Game, Set and Match.
Willing to make an avatar bet on it mister game, set, and match?
I'd love to, buddy.
Nope. For many reasons.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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As for people on the Surye wagon, do we really want to wagon someone up to a claim at this point, hope he comes online to claim, and then hope that enough people are around after to move on to Furc if Surye's claim saves him? Isn't 2 claims enough for one day?(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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ReaperCharlie wrote:@mod: is there a significance to why Surye flippedgreenand these three flippedblue?
Comments/etc in a while. Having four flips to work with is magically awesome.
I will be V/LA this weekend so I'll try to get a post in before then.
The OP has them all in blue.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Toon, stop being an idiot. If a Cop comes out because of what LF says, then he's not being lied to. You can't combine both that he's rolefishing and that he's talking about something he thinks is a fake.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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ReaperCharlie wrote:Porochaz wrote:ReaperCharlie wrote:Uggghhh falling victim to apathy/busyness/sleepiness.
Tomorrow is when it'll have to be, despite my (empty) promises.
>.<
Your bugging me now. Post properly or replace out. No middle ground.
It'll happen. Eventually. My other game's deadline is much sooner though.
Was the other game's deadline also "much sooner" than this one 3 days ago when you hammered someone less than 12 hours before a deadline and still didn't provide any content?(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Oh, right.
Well, then, just so everyone in this game knows, I've decided to wait until I see ABR's flip (if and when it comes) to talk about my reads after that, since I think it will be good to just read the game after I know if I should just sheep his views. That's the cool thing to do, right?
In the meantime,Unvote; Vote: RC(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Kison wrote:The three vote ReaperCharlie wagon is terrible and an easy lynch. He isn't playing the game. No read there whatsoever.
Are you purposefully ignoring the fact that RC claimed to be too busy/apathetic/lazy to give a single read all of D1 or even read the damn thread, but still chose to hammer someone less than 4 hours after they hit L-1? So not only was he checking the thread regularily, but he was reading enough to know the VC, and chose to quickhammer Surye while claiming he was unable to read the thread and provide a single useful thought.
You may call that "not playing the game" and "no read". I call that "purposefully avoiding posting content", "active lurking" and "scummy".(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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BrianMcQueso wrote:ReaperCharlie wrote:V/LA this weekend.
May be able to post Friday.
ಠ_ಠ
Listen, I'm not looking to lynch a lurker on Day 2. We've got better leads to follow.
Would you rather wait until D10 LyLo to try and figure out if the lurker(s) is/are Scum? Or should we get them to start contributing now, so that we have more contributors going forward, or at worst we can deal with them now if they refuse to help themselves, while we still have some wiggle room?(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Primate wrote:Cult recruiter seems too dramatic a role to get in this fashion for me to treat llamafluffs result that seriously, and earlier in the game mos as mod derided someone for the idea that he might put cults in the game so I don’t really give too much credence to the idea that kison is actually a cult recruiter. It’s probably some kind of scum message sender who overplayed his hand or similar.
Got to be honest I’ve never really liked bandwagon anaysis before a few people turn up dead and you can analyse whether scum were likely to join in groups. I’m increasingly not a fan of “one-of” arguments generally.
@Sens: Why’d you vote Llamafluff?
Vote GummyBear
I’ll review and maybe move that vote tonight, but I don’t vote enough so best try and break out of a bad habit.
On my phone for the weekend, so can't properly explain as I would want to. Will give a more thorough explanation on Monday, but for now I'll just say that it was for his way of going about evaluating cases/wagons on D1.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Medicated Lain wrote:Albert B. Rage wrote:My main suspects are Internet Stranger, Zindaras, Medicated Lain and Gummy.
You've given no reasons for voting or suspecting anyone, and two of your main suspects are just OMGUS for voting you. I wasn't that scummy yesterday when you actually placed a vote on me. Now look at what you're doing. You're just yelling at Zindaras for talking about the Surye wagon, and avoiding all other statements being made. This isn't making me think any less about where my vote is right now, I'll say that much.
ABR's Town. Get over your feelings of 'He's not being nice' and 'he's not playing like I do', and you'll see that he's Town.
Now can we go back to lynching the non-contributors?(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Medicated Lain wrote:What makes you so sure? Just "he's town, shut up and move on" is your best comment?
My best comment? Not at all. But I'm on my phone, so I figured I'd keep things brief and to the point.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Yo ABR, should I start ignoring anything that Hez posts because it's all useless IioA PbPA walls; because he keeps repeating over and over that I'm not scumhunting while contradicting himself; or because he literally just called me scummy for making a post that would look bad if a confirmedTown person were instead confirmedScum?
Or should I just go with d) All of the above?(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Don't worry. I'll rip your 'arguments' (read: fluff) to pieces first thing Monday morning.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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HezLucky wrote:Why not do it now? My main argument against you is that you post nothing but fluff, are actively lurking and seem to refuse to engage in any kind of scumhunting whatsoever, combined with your questionable votes.
The only way I could really see you "countering" my argument is by actual scumhunting, in which case I look forward to it.
If you bothered to read my posts at all - which, i know, is asking a lot of you - you'd know I'm on my phone right now.
Then again, if you read my posts, younprobably wouldn't make such baseless claims about me...(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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SensFan wrote:Primate wrote:Cult recruiter seems too dramatic a role to get in this fashion for me to treat llamafluffs result that seriously, and earlier in the game mos as mod derided someone for the idea that he might put cults in the game so I don’t really give too much credence to the idea that kison is actually a cult recruiter. It’s probably some kind of scum message sender who overplayed his hand or similar.
Got to be honest I’ve never really liked bandwagon anaysis before a few people turn up dead and you can analyse whether scum were likely to join in groups. I’m increasingly not a fan of “one-of” arguments generally.
@Sens: Why’d you vote Llamafluff?
Vote GummyBear
I’ll review and maybe move that vote tonight, but I don’t vote enough so best try and break out of a bad habit.
On my phone for the weekend, so can't properly explain as I would want to. Will give a more thorough explanation on Monday, but for now I'll just say that it was for his way of going about evaluating cases/wagons on D1.
Alright, here's the full version. For the tl;dr people among you, just refer to the above quote and pretend I didn't expand on it.
LlamaFluff wrote:That said I really am not loving a Furc lynch, the wagon on him is all sorts of twitchy. I mean its like leaning scum read, leaning scum read, leaning scum read, neutral, scum read, leaning scum... I would be willing to call ONE person on that wagon town right now. No one else is past neutral.LlamaFluff wrote:The wagon on him is just scum read after scum read, would be happy just nuking that entire wagon at this point. I mean you have one sorta town read in AGar, and then the closest anyone else comes is really slight scum read.LlamaFluff wrote:Because everyone on the Surye wagon is a decent strength town read and at worst neutral/lean town to the point where I would bet big that no more than one of those five are scum, and be 50/50 on all town. Based on that alone its reason to look at a person again.LlamaFluff wrote:I mean, I still like who composes the Surye wagon, but I really dont like the basis of it too that much of an extent, yet the Furc one is far worse in living members over/under is at 70% of scum, and the basis is so much worse.
I may have missed another similar such statement of his in my skimming of his iso, but 4 is plenty to make my point. As Yos has alluded to earlier, Scum lynchrate in D1 of games is abysmally bad, since D1 is the point in the game when information is lowest and so Scum manipulation potential is highest. Therefore, it makes absolutely no sense to base your reads of players during D1 on your reads of the players who have a scumread on the player in question. That may be a little confusing, but it's basically saying that doing what LF did for most of D1 is terrible scumhunting; since the reads of each player are pretty bad during D1, it must therefore be even worse to base your read of X off of your reads of A,B,C who each have a scumread on X.
Conviniently enough for Llama, though, not only is it poor Town play to play like that, but it also makes for very good Scum play. Since he commented only indirectly on the main wagons, he didn't 'need' to give a read of the wagon'd player to give his support (or lack thereof) to the wagon, and so no matter what happens, he can't be accused of buddying/bussing/framing/defending the lynched player once their role becomes public. It even goes one step further than that: if he gets heat for his stance on any wagon that transpired, it lets him easily deflect it with "But my stance was based on the alignments of A, B, C; we need to lynch them now."
Is it a failproof case? Hardly; in fact I've already removed my vote from him. At the time, though, I considered it a better lead to go off of than anything else I noticed from D1, and I still think it's worth noting.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Ranmaru wrote:HezLucky wrote:Ranmaru wrote:Then what do you think is a better thing to do? (Imaytake it under consideration because i'm only on page 2 ;-; But another thing is I don't like to just start without really commenting on most that has happened)
Ignore him. A PBPA provides an idea of your suspicions, which is more than useful (for us and for you).
Thank you, that helps.
Yeah, no. Mark me down as someone else who won't read a PBPA. It's useless and scummy, all at the same time.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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Ugh. This turned out longer than I had hoped; my apologies. For the tl;dr among you:tl;dr: Hez selectively chooses single isolated posts of mine to accuse me of active lurking while ignoring my other posts, calls me Scum for disagreeing with him, calls me Scum for voting someone based on their active lurking, and then votes me for active lurking.
HezLucky wrote:- SensFan's posts like #85 are doing nothing but clarifying theory, as opposed to trying to actively scumhunt.
Post 85. Yes, clearly it is OH SO SCUMMY to, when someone misunderstands my reasons for voting someone, stop scumhunting for a whole post while I clarify myself.
HezLucky wrote:I follow Yos2's meta line of reasoning in that anyone who shares similar suspects to me is thinking about the game from
the same perspective that I am. He called SensFan, just like I did above upon the reread. Similar to Yos's theory, scumread on McQueso for
questioning the SensFan vote. Not thinking about the game from a townie perspective. So is Zindaras #122 (and putting Llama as town? ugh).
BZZT. "X is Town because he agrees with my reads; Y and Z are Scum because they disagree with me" is so wrong I'm probably wasting my time by bothering to include it here.
HezLucky wrote:- SensFan #294. He's STILL not scumhunting. When does he plan on starting?
Post 294. This is the second time in the same post where you've taken a post of mine building on/clarifying my previous stance(s) (stances you've ignored completely in your IIoA PBPA) and then called me scummy for only clarifying things and not doing anything else.HezLucky wrote:SensFan wrote:Just curious. How do you accuse me both of being scummy for not scumhunting, and then also call me scummy for being the first person on both of the major wagons?
Those things are not mutually exclusive. Being on wagons is not scumhunting.
I didn't give you any points for that though.
I'm pretty sure those thingsaremutually exclusive, actually. I clearly wasn't wagon-jumping, so unless you think I was literally randomly voting both times (as in rolling a die and voting solely based on that), which its pretty clear I wasn't, then I must have been looking at who I think the lynch is that best benefits the Town and voting based on that.
HezLucky wrote:SensFan #655 - still active lurking and pretending like he's scumhunting.
Post 655. 21 posts of mine in between this one and the last one you selectively chose to call me an active lurker for. Don't worry, you didn't miss much in that span. Oh, except for the part where Poro and I both simultaneously completely create the case on Furc and start the wagon on him.
HezLucky wrote:Also a shameless post to avoid prod -- will resume read soon.
Though offhand Toon Fighter's last post looks awful and SensFan looks just as bad for not calling him on it (despite being the very next post)
Is this the part where I say you've done nothing all game but active lurk, based on this post alone? Or do I need to also only quote this post of yours and make it look like it's representative of all of your posts?
Sarcasm aside, here's more of the godawful "X is Scum for disagreeing with me" logic.
HezLucky wrote:Not going to bother anymore with explaining slight differences in points. It will come down to "I like this person's
reads" and "this person isn't even trying" with the +1/-1's, so only going to point out interesting things.
This becomes relevant in a minute.
HezLucky wrote:(FYI SensFan #818 - if Surye flipped scum, this would heavily implicate you)
Post 818. As mentioned before, this is complete garbage. "Even though X has already flipped Town, I'll go out of my way now to mention that it would make you look really bad if X had flipped Scum instead". What the fuck? This is so dumb I don't even want to waste my time pointing out how dumb it is. Oh, and by the way, if vez flipped "HezLucky Cult Recruit", it would heavily implicate you. Just FYI.
HezLucky wrote:As mentioned earlier, SensFan really should've voted for TF's crap #927. He didn't. I'm happy with a lynch on either
one of these two.
More of the "He's Scum for disagreeing with me" logic that we all love so much.
HezLucky wrote:I'm not saying the ReaperCharlie wagon is inherently bad, as he might be scum (I don't know because he WON'T POST
ANYTHING) but the people on that wagon have no busiuenss being on that wagon. SensFan as #2 and Porochaz as #3 reek
of scum. How can you guys not have better targets at this point in the game?
Let's see, I'll start off by pointing out that active lurking is one of the more reliable scumtells, and so it's flawed to imply that it's a weak tell and that I should have something stronger. But I think more important here is that Hez has been calling me Scum all game long (and later put her vote on me) when theONLYtwo points she's ever raised against me are that I'm active lurking and that I disagree with her. Oops.
HezLucky wrote:^^^ Blatant misrepresentation of the point. You did not receive any points for the FYI. It was simply a thought that had crossed my mind.
*points to above "I'm not going to bother explaining what people get points for anymore" quote*
HezLucky wrote:You STILL have not done any scumhunting whatsoever. I would like to see where this contradiction of yours occurs.
Part A) If you bothered to read any of my posts, you'd see the scumhunting for yourself. Part B) As earlier, you called me Scum earlier for both active lurking and being the leading vote on both of the major wagons of the time. That literally does not compute.
HezLucky wrote:Why not do it now? My main argument against you is that you post nothing but fluff, are actively lurking and seem to refuse to engage in any kind of scumhunting whatsoever, combined with your questionable votes.
Again, if you bothered to read my posts, you'd see that in the 12 hours previous to this post, I had twice mentioned my lack of computer for the weekend.
HezLucky wrote:The only way I could really see you "countering" my argument is by actual scumhunting, in which case I look forward to it.
Sorry to not point this out a couple days ago, but you can always just click "Display posts by user: SensFan" to see that.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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SensFan Fortuna Ex Deus
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Medicated Lain wrote:Question for furc folk: So suddenly it's ok to forget all about yesterday? No one even mentions him at all anymore. He had scummy patterns, and I think there's a possibility that he could be scum with ABR. Yet no one on the furc wagon comments on this at all? Something's not right there.
Furc was very likely active lurking, until someone called him on it.
RC has admitted to continued active lurking, even after being called on it.
Thus, for the time being, RC is higher on my priority list.(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record- SensFan
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SensFan Fortuna Ex Deus
- SensFan
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- Fortuna Ex Deus
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- Joined: November 11, 2007
- Location: Hamilton, Ontario
- Contact:
You really need to get your head out of your goddamn ass. You're not God's gift to Mafia, and you definitely can't just assume that anyone disagrees with you is Scum. Sorry to disappoint you.
And for the last fucking time, I can't be both STARTING MULTIPLE WAGONS and not scumhunting. You're giving me those magic fairy points for both, and it makes no sense. (Oh wait, I don't know the Hez Fairy Dudt Code, so I shouldn't misrepresent you by talking about that.) (And crap, disagreeing with you will get me even more of the Pixie Dust Points. I wonder how many points not reading a single post of yours from now on is worth...)(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record - SensFan
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