Some of these points are weaker/more speculative than I would normally bother with, but I have the luxury of knowing SpyreX/PokerFace is the scum pairing (I'd be dead by now otherwise), and I was inspired this afternoon to "find the scum motivation" and see how Fate's approach works with SpyreX... I could see SpyreX posting some of these things as town, but since I know he's not...
ISO 0 (and following) - Who argued hardest for the Janitor, then put Hoopla at L-1 as the Janitor was used?
ISO 5 - Who said he'd give 2 Trackers and 2 Vigs (the actual setup) or 2 Trackers, 1 Vig, and 1 Hider (just before his scumbuddy fakeclaimgambited Hider)?
ISO 16 - Fate covered this, but soft-defense of DGB ("Hate... but she had a
method
!").
ISO 22 - "Look at these obvious scum over here! I'm going to put Rhinox and Herodotus in pretty colors so they stand out. Oh, btw, vote Hoopla."
ISO 23 - This is a good sequence... calls out the Kmd wagon, with: "I got three responses to the KMD wagon - 2 from people on it, 1 from someone not. The one off of it says its a clear counterwagon and lets it go. The other two go, "Ohh SpyreX there are reaaasons" and give me a little head pat." ...
ISO 24 - "But now I will switch to VV and not explain myself. Even though Rhinox and Herodotus are still obvious scum, and Hoopla hasn't done anything since my vote, I'd rather not be on the lynch wagon when I janitorize her."
ISO 27 - Chances are high that the Janitor will be used? Perhaps because scum had already decided to use it day 1? (WIFOM note: As scum with a Janitor power, I would have urged the Janitor to save the power until scum were about to be lynched - a lot of players struggle with scumhunting until they have a scum flip to work with.)
ISO 31 - Looking back, I'm not sure what persuaded me that this was a valid response, apart from my quest to get DGB deaded. The original apparently incorrect version is worse, but it's still not a particularly town thing to say (and not something he needed to follow through with as scum, knowing a VV flip would be town).
ISO 34 - Curious to mention DGB here; of the six on the list, four are dead and innocent, one is Plum, and the other is DGBscum. Perhaps setting up to hammer on the lurkers later on and getting DGB out of the line of fire (this would especially make sense if the N1 scumkill was tajo, with the goal of confirming tajo to go after those tajo suspected).
ISO 35 - Now he has VV as obvscum (reasons posted so far... VV defending himself with meta?) and Rhinox and zoraster looking scummy...
ISO 36 - ...but goes back to Hoopla with the L-1 so he can Janitor her. That sounds fun.
ISO 41 - Day 2, and after a brief stay on VV (with no reasoning), let's go to Elmo the Vig. "But there's a Tracker result on him, we've got to lynch him!".
ISO 43 - I can imagine the daytalk here... "Uh... SpyreX... we're not going to be able to push a Elmo lynch through, abandon ship." His argument here doesn't make sense, either - he lists Kmd/DGB/VV as "If you'd shot one of them, we'd be cool" has no coherent logic to it. VV would be a "VV is obvscum, obv" sort of thing, but Elmo wasn't suspicious of VV so it doesn't make sense to talk about Elmo shooting him. Kmd is the opposite, with SpyreX giving the 'ole "WTF?" at the Kmd wagon, but Elmo voting him earlier in the day. At least those two had wagons, though; DGB had no wagon on her day 1, wasn't an Elmo suspect, and wasn't on SpyreX's radar at all. Throwing her in makes perfect sense as distancing, though.
ISO 49 - His response to Rhinox's excellent point is to whine about how he's been calling VV scum (but can't show where he has "[led] the charge", because he has posted little reasoning for his VV hate and has instead been bickering with Elmo in a nonsensical fashion).
ISO 51 - I didn't notice the vote count for this one. SpyreX has been on VV all day, and a zoraster lynch looks likely without his help... but then it falls apart because Kmd comes up with a wacky theory about mith. Now VV and zoraster are tied... and SpyreX switches to zoraster? This (and the AdumbroDeus switch) says SpyreX wants to look like he's going after VV, but knows that as soon as VV is actually lynched, he's going to have to explain himself, so when opportunity presents itself he switches to another lynch and shakes his fist at VV getting away yet again.
ISO 56 - Maybe I'm missing something, but I still haven't seen SpyreX go into much detail as to what this consistent scummy behaviour is (aside from VV bringing up meta... which is kinda circular, really).
ISO 60 - Again throws DGB in despite saying
nothing
about her. Gee, I wonder why he might do that...
ISO 66 - Pretty classic distancing scumlist. Scumbuddies not listed right at the top, but close enough that he can claim credit for suspecting them if they are lynched. Then linkages with little information (and VV town = heat death, Rhinox town = nothing changes says "I don't want to rule anything out if either is lynched").
ISO 68 - Prepping to clear MMEbuddy if DGB is lynched? (Hard to say, since it's not clear what his point is when he doesn't explain what he's talking about.)
ISO 69 - Fate clears SpyreX and DGB, so he gets a heart (again, he keeps throwing DGB in randomly to his posts, but otherwise says little about her and agrees when someone suggests she's town). Fate suspects Seraphim, VV, and Saint Kerrigan (= MME/PokerFace)... SpyreX comments on two of those.
ISO 71 - And... off the VV wagon again. For someone certain VV is scum, he sure is easily swayed. Easy to see the scum motivation, though: "Sure, I'll go along with whatever, and if it happens to be on my scumbuddy, great, distancing!"
ISO 73 - Not opposed to Plum? I'm shocked. He's pretty sure there's a scum in ooba/MME (but earlier suggests MME scum clears ooba for no apparent reason - distancing while setting up to defend one if the other goes down?). And of course the quote from DGB which has been mentioned.
ISO 77 - And now the switch to DGB, after having said little to express suspicion of her... His words say "I'd rather lynch ooba", but his eyes say "How is this Plumegranate mislynch not going through?". Not that he can join the entire rest of the scumteam on Plumegranate, there's some distancing to be done.
(An aside, for PokerFace's brilliant
Dur... can I get a vote count? I'm not sure whether to bus or not..)
ISO 81 - The scummiest switch of all. His top suspect for four days is
ahead in the vote count
, and he switches to AdumbroDeus for absolutely no reason other than Fate's say-so. Townies don't do things like this.
ISO 84/85 - "Ok Fate, we lynched your townie, now let's lynch mine."
ISO 87 - "I don't want to lynch my scumbuddy, but I don't want to defend him either... I know, I'll try begging!"
ISO 88 - Soft defense of PokerFace.
ISO 89 - Picturing SpyreX screaming daytalk at ooba trying to get him to post something so he can get HH lynched.
ISO 93 - Surprise... another switch off HH. After the pattern he's put up, he can't very well stay off a wagon just because it's on a scumbuddy, so he'll have to settle for bussing.
ISO 106 - A lot of samey "could they be scum together?" stuff until here, where he soft defends PokerFace
again
and proposes Plumscum of all things (again, knowing he'll never need to mess with that proposed scumgroup, since HH will flip town).
ISO 108 - The "giggles" post. "We should lynch ooba... but for no good reason I'll switch back to the townie mislynch. Maybe that will clear me, since CTD thinks we're scumbuddies."
And we're to the present day. That's an awful lot of scummy, I'd say.
