Spyrex wrote:Yes, me being a godfather is clearly more of a Razor than him being a cop who got an innocent on, in fact, an innocent.
You keep invoking Occam’s Razor like it’s an infallible proof of your innocence. Which it isn’t. The fact that statistically you have a greater chance to be a VT instead of Godfather has no bearing on whether you are or not.
Spyrex wrote:Additionally, excellent point to quibble on ignoring the all vigs are millers business too.
Addressing you about your typical behavior does not mean I am ignoring Skeward’s point. Thanks for using more faulty logic to somehow ‘strenghten’ your non-existant case that I am Mafia (which laughably consists of you saying “He’s Mafia’, btw).
Sprex wrote:Nice way to gloss over the whole "Lets not lynch a vig, vote SpyreX" business
Yes, because my not voting for you and wanting to vig you at night with Zang certainly proves your point
But if we are speaking about conveniently ignoring facts, way to ignore that I breadcrumbed my role multiple times. Also way to ignore the fact that your role claim bears little resemblance to Zang and my claims in multiple ways -
1. Zang, Yosarian, and I all have jobs (Vintner, Cobbler, and Tailor) which fit nicely thematically together as normal villagers thrown together into a Mob. Your claim of Dragoon doesn’t fit closely at all.
2. Zang and my role PMS both have comic undertones to our reasons for joining the mob (Zang’ s harpy wife will not let him hide, the town misunderstood my prowess with monsters ala Mickey the Tailor) while yours has no comic undertones at all.
Sprex wrote:Made the argument that all the vigs are millers (25% of the game most likely,
POSSIBLY 33%
of the game)
Emphasis added. The disconnect here is telling for me. Everywhere else you make ZERO allowance that there could be 4 weak vigs. The quote below doesn’t say “Zang/Manga is most likely lying”. When you are attacking me 4 vigs is not possible but in the statement above you give it consideration as a possibility? Isn’t inconsistency on of your big “scum-tells”
Sprex wrote:Cruelty is a normal cop. Yos was a vig AND a miller as these are not pieces of the same role. One of Zang/Manga is lying - and I'd bet heavy money on Manga.
Um, Weak Vig and Miller are not pieces of the same role? Are you saying Yos has more than one role? Logic fail yet again.
CMAR indicated quite clearly that Yos said he did not know he was a Miller. CMAR, as proven town, had no reason to lie about that. So any Weak Vig has the possibility of being a Miller also. And your leap across Snake River Canyon from the first sentance to the second is just plain absurd.
And repeatedly saying Zang or I am lying doesn’t make it true. Face facts -
1. Zang was the first to claim.
2. I breadcrumbed clearly Day 1.
3. You were the last to claim Weak Vig, and with poor flavor IMO.
If anyone is lying it’s you. If you want to argue that either Zang or I have a fake-claim supplied by EB that would just as readily apply to you.
As for ‘betting heavy money’ I’ll wager with you the following since we actually can’t bet money –
When I die or the game ends and if I am not revealed as a Town aligned Weak Vig (not considering Miller) then you can choose any picture you want for my avatar for three months (acceptable under site rules, of course).
Likewise when you die or the game ends and if you are not revealed as a Town aligned Weak Vig I get to choose your Avatar for the same period.
Willing to put your avatar where you mouth is? I am.
Sprex wrote:Additionally, you're saying that instead of just being a vig I'm a godfather which would give ANOTHER poor result for the cop.
Yes, because I think you are scum. The minute you went on the attack when I questioned your behavior in voting for CMAR sealed it for me. Zang and I both drew the same conclusion about the post in question. Yet you, who supposedly has the same role but comes up with tortured logic as to why you didn’t think the same, attack me as Scum with NO support at all. Scummy. The Innocent scan ties nicely with the Godfather role.
Are you arguing in a game with a Cop that it is not unlikely for there to be a Godfather scan resistant Mafia role?
Sprex wrote:You're saying that in your own proposed setup the cop managed to not hit any of the guilties BUT hit the even lower percentile 1/7 shot AND your bro Manga is saying this is the simplest solution.
Funny, you say this as if Cruelty was randomly rolling the dice and scanning. He scanned you because you found something about your play to be suspicious. So regardless of whatever probabilities existed he scanned you for a reason. Your Appeal to Statistics, yet another logical fallacy, is noted.
Cruelty wrote: today i want to lynch one of ooba/skeward/darox. not sure which i like spyrex's points re: skeward but i'm not going to blindly follow. need to think about it.
I agree that one of Darox / ooba / Skeward should be the lynch today.
Cruelty wrote:i read your post, i'm saying there isn't a really believable eureka moment in there.
7 left
1 lynch today
2 kills tonight
puts us at mylo tomorrow
1 lynch today
1 kill tonight (vigis no-kill)
gives us another mislynch before lylo
Back up the logic train for a second here and consider carefully the situation. Assuming we have two remaining scum (and if we have three things are much worse for Town),
A lynch, a Mafia kill and vig kill leaves 4 players. We are only in MYLO if we hit a Mafian with the lynch or vig kill. I’m town so unless we hit a Mafian with the lynch vigging me tonight ends the game in a 2 to 2 manner.
Likewise your no vig-kill only leaves us with an additional mislynch if we lynch Mafia tonight. Otherwise we are still in a LYLO situation at 3 to 2.
So we, as a Town, should be considering whatever moves we make under the assumption that incorrect ones lose the game for Town.
@Skeward – At this point I think you should be looking at either Darox or ooba as the viable lynch tonight, unless you want to lynch yourself.
@ooba and Darox – You need to weigh in with your thoughts on Vigging versus not and who the lynch should be today.
"I am a leaf on the wind ... watch how I soar!"
Pretty much Geriatric game restricted at this point ... unless there are players I REALLY want to play with.