I wonder if I've been unclear:
Fortunately I have time to write a wall today.
Theories on Night 1:
1. Cross Kill A (scum kills regfan, Jasper as Vig kills regfan):
I'm ambivalent about the cross-kill theory. That's maybe why people are reading it both ways. Flavour-wise, the multiple gunshots could (or might not) hint at a cross kill. That one point just eats at me and I was ready to unvote Jasper at some point, but everything else is against him for the most part.
I just don't find Jasper killing Regfan as town very plausible, because
1. Jasper's reason for suspicion are totally flimsy,
He still hasn't said any reason for killing regfan other than OMGUS
.
2. It's night 1, would you use your only kill on night 1?
3. Speed bandwagon on Seven actually works against him.
Which leads to -
2. Cross Kill B (scum kills regfan, Jasper as SK kills regfan):
That works, actually. SK wouldn't need to worry about vig kill because there's less chance of there being one.
3. Blocked kill (Scum kill fails <i.e. they targeted me>, Jasper as Vig kills Regfan)
Buried in a snowman as flavour sounds distinctly anti-town, but I can't say I can rule it out. I haven't received any PMs to the effect of "someone tried to kill you last night", but I don't expect to.
The whole "did you target him?" thing
... was just a bad idea in retrospect. I was annoyed at DTM's whole lying thing and turning out to be town and just wanted to try something random.
I am NOT a tracker, and fakeclaiming a tracker would be epitome of stupidity if I was mafia since I would have to guess who people targeted,
especially
and my kill was blocked last night.
What's more, I already explained it here -
Posted Wed Feb 17, 2010 12:52 am
Wacky wrote:The1fifi wrote:About Wacky... I was curious about the "have you targeted regfan" too..
Wacky, care to explain?»
I was bluffing. I don't think there's any real reason for a pro-town role to have been targeting regfan, so the risk of outing a pro-town power role is low, while scum might actually answer truthfully because I might be a tracker. I dub this Wacky's gambit! It didn't work.
I just wanted to see if I could entrap scum this way. After all, it's a simple yes or no question and I couldn't see why a pro-town player would target regfan except a doc (in which case, he wouldn't be dead)
....then jasper goes and says he killed him. Gah.
... and then it ends up drawing this claim: Double. gah.
Zachrulz as Jailkeeper
I've considered you to be pretty suspicious today because your behaviour just seemed odd, but claiming jailbreaker would be a very daring fakeclaim for scum so that takes you off the list:
I'm guessing since you claimed, you're quite suspicious of me right now. Are you looking for me to claim at this stage?
TL;DR The List:
Scummy:
Jasper (I'm not sure if I buy it after all)
McZombie (...)
jbernier93 (active lurking, tends to go with the flow too much. )
Neutral:
camn Echo (Getting more suspicious now due to role in the Seven wagon if Seven is town, and I'm getting town vibes from Seven)
Nikanor
The1fifi (claimed cop. No counterclaims. Would be very suspicious otherwise)
Towny:
Seven (not getting scummy vibes)
jasonT1981 inverno (obv town?)
Zachrulez Neon_Appliances (claimed doc, no counterclaims)
Links:
Jasper <-> The1fifi (could be scum team together, playing a crazy gambit)
Camn <-> Jasper
Dislinks:
Camn <-> McZombie (post just now)
Camn <-> Seven
Afterword
jbernier93 wrote:Hm. With this new information and Jasper's recent actions... I feel like the right thing to do is to
vote: jasper
.
Basically I feel like the current combination of claims and posts from Wacky, Fifi, Jasper, and Zach makes this the optimal move. I know this sounds like crap, but if I say anymore I worry that I would be helping the scum more than the town.
I'm inclined to agree with you on the information content, except although Jasper is relatively scummy, I can't say for sure Jasper is scum and if he isn't then I can see things ending badly.
But I guess I'll just have to play the odds and hope Jasper is scum.
Confirm Vote: Jasper
@Jasper: ... say something.
@Camn: Please elaborate on Jason as scum, and Nikanor as scum.
Also, with "If Jasper = town, then Wacky-scum's kill was not blocked. " - please elaborate, since Zachrulez has just claimed jailkeeper and blocking me.
@Zachrulez: Are you looking for a claim from me, and since if you're telling the truth (and you probably are) the chance of you dying tonight is high, could you just quickly sum up what you think of everyone?
...whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.