secret hitler round 3 [7/7] (fascists win!)

[Hopkirk]

what'd i miss

[Hopkirk]

i'll start at page 1, give me 10 mins

[Hopkirk]

alternatively i'll read Datisi's iso because that's going to take 20 mins realistically

[Hopkirk]

what'd i miss

Mena me is a mech 1v1, PF Oka is a mech 1v1, Nero claimed hitler thinking he'd been elected chance after halfway.

what type of mech 1v1 are each of them
what are the checks that've been made and what cards have been claimed this round?

[Hopkirk]

oh Nero claimed hitler you say

[Hopkirk]

i read the missions but claimed!Hitler slip verified by enough people means i don't think i need to read more. nice

[Hopkirk]

omg ok so I can't nom mena or bingle right

i can't nom nero and i can't nom hopkirk and i can't nom oka and i can't nom Poker

Fuck.

Yay I honestly not sure who you should pick given there being two 1v1s, nero claimed hitler, and hopkirk just replaced in for a lurker

me and toad are conf.town if 21v1s not involving us + a hitler so why's there an issue with Unwnd lurking?

[Hopkirk]

omg ok so I can't nom mena or bingle right

i can't nom nero and i can't nom hopkirk and i can't nom oka and i can't nom Poker

Fuck.

Yay I honestly not sure who you should pick given there being two 1v1s, nero claimed hitler, and hopkirk just replaced in for a lurker

me and toad are conf.town if 21v1s not involving us + a hitler so why's there an issue with Unwnd lurking?

I don't think anyone actually believes nero is confirmed hitler

that would change things

[Hopkirk]

2Fs

[Hopkirk]

passed the one on the left to give myself at least the illusion of choice

[Hopkirk]

3F so hop got 2F

that being said, i think deckflipping gives us 2/3 odds now at least

what should be left in the deck, 1-2 libs depending on who's bad in one of the conflicts?

[Hopkirk]

what's the conflict over cards left?

[Hopkirk]

we just shuffled
3 left in deck is a shuffle.

no it isn't

[Hopkirk]

Hitler less likely to be involved in a conflict = (Menal/Bingle/Poker) less likely hitlers. Oka doesn't get the benefit because being checked isn't a conflict they can avoid
That would make Nero have decent odds of being Hitler so observing the claim is decent Bayesian evidence

[Hopkirk]

what's your call for the scumteam Toad?

[Hopkirk]

it's better to have me as pres right?

[Hopkirk]

with idk currently

[Hopkirk]

Nero regular F covering for hitler OR we've already lost?

[Hopkirk]

oh the 1v1 over the discard was at 4L on the board so that's not evidence on not!Hitler for either

[Hopkirk]

i could see Nero F, Bingle H, Oka F?

[Hopkirk]

i can only pick within (Bingle/Oka/Poker/Menal)

[Hopkirk]

i think menal is the best pick?

[Hopkirk]

oh lol

[Hopkirk]

How TR were bingle/menal prior to the conflict? limited incentive for menal to start that conflict

[Hopkirk]

which of Poker/Oka would be less likely Hitler?

[Hopkirk]

i'm assuming Nero bad here because otherwise it doesn't matter so no reason to assume otherwise

[Hopkirk]

@Toad - what are your thoughts on Oka as Hitler/not hitler?

[Hopkirk]

how about this

me/oka
if oka isn't hitler then Oka passing a L means we win, and Oka passing a F means that Oka is confirmed bad AND Poker is confirmed good.
i shoot oka
at that point we can alternate between me/toad/poker for the rest of the game

[Hopkirk]

as long as oka isn't hitler that wins it

[Hopkirk]

sure i'll submit that

[Hopkirk]

Oka chanc

[Hopkirk]

idk why i pmed the mod instead of bolding it

[Hopkirk]

i think this is the best option

[Hopkirk]

voting nein = we flip (either 1/3 or 2/3 so averages out at 40 something percent or whatever
if the chance Oka is Hitler is lower than the failure chance there (around 40%) then we take the mission > Flipping on the odds

[Hopkirk]

execute pokerface

[Hopkirk]

the deck was liberal/fas/fas so i discarded the lib because all 3 scum are alive and we have a majority

[Hopkirk]

i approve of this nomination

[Hopkirk]

the bingle one i mean

[Hopkirk]

Nero/Poker were both liberal so Fascists have won

[Hopkirk]

Holy fuck. I really thought it was Nero.

is the vendetta over after this?

[Hopkirk]

good ol' being scum with Oka. it never fails