I wanted to post summaries of both players at the same time, but I'm not sure how long it will be before I get Jitsu done so I'll throw Matt's out there now. I hope y'all enjoy reading.
Matt_S
Day 1
2 - Follows Incog and Jitsu in disagreeing with Xyl's "arbitrary" comment
4 - Votes Guardian for pushing my wagon (2nd vote on him), says he wants me to confirm or deny dayvig, shades suspicion of Oman
5 - To Guardian: "Once there's a better vote, I'll unvote you, but for now it stays" - did I mention this at the time? If not, I should have (Ooh, I did. Go me!)
6 - FoSes Oman for wagoning (3rd vote) - later clarifies that he thinks Oman's claim of trying to start discussion was a ruse. Disagrees with wagons to start discussion
11 - shades suspicion of opie for "trying pretty hard", but doesn't think he's voteworthy (opie has 1 vote)
14 - Unvotes Guardian (never really pushed him much), FoSes opie (2 votes), Xyl (0 votes), Oman (2 votes), seems to be most interested in opie. Reasoning here isn't great, very generalised. Xyl criticises him for this post, which leads to an argument between them over Adel's percentages.
17 - says he can't remember any "important" posts by opie, which doesn't seem right
18 - votes Xyl (1st vote), retracts FoSes on opie (3 votes) and Oman (1 vote) for reasons that more or less aplied when he originally made them. Shades new suspicion of Guardian (2 votes) based on Incog's case.
22 - thinks Jitsu is ok
23 - FoS on Adel (0 votes) for one of her "100%" posts
25 - "Adel does seem weird, but other than that he makes good points" - after Patrick and Oman both said they thought Adel was town
26 - Unvotes Xyl (again, no real pressure while his vote was on). "Guess [Guardian and opie] are the only lynches to choose from. Now to wait for opie to claim."
27 - would rather lynch opie, but calls him "fairly helpful" and "less helpful " in the same post. Doesn't seem to think either opie or Guardian is particularly scummy, but is content to lynch one of them.
28 - doesn't want a second claim from Guardian (per his later correction)
31 - votes ChaosOmega (3rd vote, simultaneous with my 2nd vote; opie has 5, Guardian has 4) "since I can't recall him doing anything really useful". 26 hours til deadline. If he's scum then I suspect he didn't think this wagon would go anywhere.
32 - Notes my simulvote (my reason for finding this interesting at the time is somewhat invalidated by CO being scum). Asks Adel why she switched to opie.
38 - mentions for the second time that he wants to hear from CO (close to deadline now). Again, never particularly pushes this wagon.
Day 2
39 - Player summary: Oman, Patrick, Jitsu and me are town; Adel, Xyl and Incog are middling; CO is scummy based on claim.
40+ - there's a whole bunch of posts here that just don't strike as being much of anything. Talks about his changing suspicions, asks a few questions, chastises Adel a little.
47 - summarises others' suspicions, then goes with CO/Oman/Xyl scumteam (change of mind on Oman). Thinks Patrick is town, iffy on Jitsu and Incog (depending on Oman's alignment).
48 - defence against Jitsu, says day 1 suspicions were based mainly on who looked helpful. Doesn't think that Oman will slip away if CO is scum.
50 - questions Adel on G2 as SK theory. Chases Adel for a while after this due to her inconsistencies, and votes her in 56 (first vote on her, shortly after Incog unvoted)
61 - votes Guardian "for the much safer alternative"
62 - backs away from Adel vote, claiming confusion. Something about thinking Adel had a plan, which doesn't really explain the vote. Disagrees with Xyl wanting to lynch Adel.
64 - kind of flip-flopping on Oman here - after retracting the day 1 FoS in 18, he said in 48 that the only FoS he would withdraw was the one on opie. Possible that he picked up on Oman again when he started to look like a good target early on day 2.
66 - appears to jump on board the G2 as SK wagon without a second thought.
67 - says he thinks Adel is town unless G2 is mafia (asked her a lot of probing questions if this is the case). Bit of number-crunching to attempt to justify non-G2 lynch. No more posts after this on day 2.
Day 3
68 - "Okay, there goes one of my top suspects" - is this referring to Adel?
69 - questions Xyl's bringing up day 1 lynch WIFOM
71 - votes Xyl (1st vote on him) for kill speculation (no mention of prior suspicion here)
72 - thinks Xyl is scum with Oman
74 - wishy washy on reasons for lynching Xyl before Oman, but thinks it gives more info
79 - "I can't see a mass claim helping that much, but I don't see it really hurting either at this point."
81 - more attack on Xyl
84 - ok with Patrick vigging Oman if Xyl is scum
Day 4
Go read it yourself.
Summary
I'm not fond of Matt's pattern of play for the first two days, when he moved his vote around a fair bit, sticking to wagons that had support from others and never really pushing any of them particularly hard. Adel and Oman, in particular, were subject to variations in his opinion which coincided somewhat with their chances of being lynched. His interactions with Xyl and CO on days 1 and 2 were somewhat adversarial without being dangerously so. I could see him as potential scum based on my usual scumtells.
The other thing that really caught my eye was his play on day 3. His attack on Xyl for a relatively minor tell (kill WIFOM) was far more strident and confident than anything he'd done to that point in the game, and he seemed to have trouble getting his story straight about why Xyl should be lynched before Oman. I can definitely see the building blocks of a scum plan here - Xyl knew that he would probably be lynched on one of the next two days, and decided to make his buddy look good on the way out. Matt had said in 67 that Adel was "fairly likely" to be G2's buddy if he were mafia, so she needed to be out of the way so that he could go after Xyl full force.
Obviously this is all a little conspiritorial, but I see it as a plausible scenario. With Xyl under heavy suspicion and Matt relatively in the clear, the scum may well have seen a bus as their best chance of getting a win.
I need to finish re-reading Jitsu before I vote, but at this point I'd say that Matt is looking like a very good suspect.