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Post #134 (isolation #15) » Mon Aug 11, 2008 12:34 pm
Postby bird1111 »
GreenLiquid wrote:Think about it: this wagon makes no sense. If I were scum, it would be a far better strategy to post as infrequently as possible, not post tons.
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Post #137 (isolation #16) » Mon Aug 11, 2008 12:37 pm
Postby bird1111 »
GreenLiquid wrote:
bird1111 wrote:
GreenLiquid wrote:Think about it: this wagon makes no sense. If I were scum, it would be a far better strategy to post as infrequently as possible, not post tons.
How does looking /out not help scum?
How does looking /in not help scum?
Because if there is one thing scum love, its being ignored and if they succeed at looking /out, they probably will be?
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Post #144 (isolation #17) » Mon Aug 11, 2008 12:47 pm
Postby bird1111 »
neko2086 wrote:There are, I believe, over 30 people involved in this game now. There are two scum. The scum are not going to be concerned, for the time being, whether townies or outties get lynched. Therefore, steering lynches is probably not a top priority, and therefore, it is much more benefitial to pretend to be an outtie.
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Post #243 (isolation #19) » Tue Aug 12, 2008 9:04 am
Postby bird1111 »
xyzzy wrote:I strongly suspect I'm going to die tonight, if I'm not already dead. Protecting me would probably be beneficial simply because there are many, many people who, if they're /in, will kill me out of spite.
It probably would be beneficial for me to be protected if there's a doc.
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Post #570 (isolation #31) » Wed Aug 27, 2008 12:55 pm
Postby bird1111 »
GreenLiquid wrote:
bird1111 wrote:
GreenLiquid wrote:A bandwagon on someone other than me would be nice now.
Convince me that AA is a better lynch than you, and I'll switch to him.
GreenLiquid wrote:Until then, its staying where it is.
A few reasons:
1) AA was not on every wagon in the game. This suggests that AA would prefer a no-lynch to an actual lynch that, even if incorrect, would give the town extra information.
How does it suggest this?
GreenLiquid wrote:2) He has failed to inform the town on several occasions:
- He didn't tell the town how scummy Litral and Adel were.
- He voted for an /out player.
- He voted for a town player.
- He is clearly misleading the town with his posts.
-When?
-When?
-When?
-How? When?
GreenLiquid wrote:3) He is not posting very much, which is probably an indicator that he is /inscum trying to stay under the radar in order to be thought of as /out.
Or he could be /out who stopped caring.
GreenLiquid wrote:4) He hasn't been nightkilled yet. Scum are the only ones who can nightkill in the game, so that boosts his chances of being scum somewhat.
Horrible argument. This applies to everyone currently alive.
GreenLiquid wrote:5) He wasn't scum in the previous Screw the Players. Thanks to the statistical law of 'Gambler's Fallacy,' this makes it more likely for him to be scum in this game.
Are you serious using a logical fallacy as an argument and admitting it?
GreenLiquid wrote:6) He has failed to post a paean about me in the thread yet.
paean?
GreenLiquid wrote:7) His avatar is pretty wacky.
Not relevant.
Congratulations, you just convinced me that AA is probably /out. Which means I'm staying where I am.
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Post #606 (isolation #34) » Tue Sep 02, 2008 3:51 pm
Postby bird1111 »
PokerFace wrote:
bird1111 wrote:Cass Guilty.
Any particular reason why Max over AA or Cass?
Not really. Partly because of how he got on the wagon is what makes him first. He was last of those four on the GL wagon with the least amount of reasoning. Will vote others if necessary. Are you worried I could be getting your scum buddy lynched?
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Post #671 (isolation #40) » Sun Sep 07, 2008 8:41 am
Postby bird1111 »
PokerFace wrote:
bird1111 wrote:Why didn't the scum kill me? Afraid of a doc, thought I was /out, or was I just not a threat?
Also I like how the night it didn't matter who I investigated was the one night I targetted someone /in. (investigated CPE last night btw).
In the last Screw the players, you were and /out and counterclaimed jdodge who claimed cop. Either mafia remembers that too, or they thought you were /out for just claiming cop.
I really hope the scum hit me on night one. I purposely made slips docs sometimes make, and if they thought I was /in and doc, that would have been awesome to be the night 1 kill.
Huh. I would have thought that acting completely different as cop would have made my claim at least slightly believable.