Jack of All Trades Mafia -- OVER!
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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Misquoting/misunderstanding noted. I thought Colonel was scum here, so the vote on the growing wagon was a scum tell to me.the silent speaker wrote:Meanwhile armlx declined to vote for bluemonick because Colonel Kurtz's attempted vote (no reasoning given) "just makes a stronger case for him."Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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Blah, whatever, here's my insight.
Proposition 1: I got role swapped with Mathcam last night, who was previously swapped with Ibaesha, right?
Conclusion: I have Ibaesha's original role.
Proposition 2: If there is a mafia or cult, then alignment swaps would allow the newly town player to out all their old scum partners.
Conclusion 2: Alignments don't swap with role swaps.
Proposition 3: I am now a townie.
Conclusion 3: Ibaesha started with no abilities.
That leaves us with
A. Ibaesha was a townie.
B. Ibaesha was a killer without an ability.
I won't reveal what Mathcam is right now for obvious reasons.
So, the way I see it, there's prolly at most 1/5 people townies, so 5. And a killing group prolly has 2 members w/o abilities if they have 5 members (standard designer logic), and any cult leader or SK would have limited abilities (prolly 1 of 2).
So, the way I see it, its about a 1/4 chance Ibaesha is scum (down due to mod-guessing). Thats good enough for me.Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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If I had a giving a cookie smiley, it woudl go here.Fuldu wrote: That's not what I got out of what he was saying here. He's just arguing against alignment swapping along with the offices. Admittedly, it seems like this has been the consensus for a while now, but I don't think he was saying anything wrong (at least with that part). He was just saying that ibaesha is still the same alignment that she started as. The other part of his argument (which, as Uraj points out, relies on a non-randomized initial setup) is that someone who started out with a powerless office is more likely to be scum.Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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- Posts: 13500
- Joined: February 25, 2005
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