PYP 4: New Homes, Same Problems (Day 5)

[slowsilver]

Do you think Guderian chose Vanilla just to screw with our heads?

[slowsilver]

1) Yes, I fully understood how the draft system worked by the time I gave my numbers in.
2) I chose my favourite numbers and then took away two. I hoped that others would choose my favourite numbers as their favourite numbers.
3) I would say that they chose unique numbers so as to maximise their chances of getting decent roles.

[slowsilver]

Hmm

VOTE: iamausername

Role-fishing isn't good, role-jesting is fine in my books. You're just trying to pass it off as something else.

Then:

Yes I am directing the fruit vendor.

I don't get this post...

You wanted to be towards the bottom?

UNVOTE:
VOTE: llama

xvart.

He probably just didn't want to be a target which he would be if he was higher up - unless he is scum in which case he is trying to cover up his mistake with LIES and even worse ACCEPTANCE.

[slowsilver]

Oh and quick statistics: Guderian has the largest bandwagon (obvious really), but as far as I can tell two of those votes have only jealously behind them (or just as likely scum trying to get rid of a powerful role).

xvart and Fate are the most active vote-wise - with 2 votes each, which isn't really enough to tell anything yet seeing as we are only just coming out of RVS.

[slowsilver]

I didn't say it was rolefishing, I was actually referring back to my post - which was role-jesting not rolefishing.

As for the other tell/not tell it is only writing from an objective viewpoint at this point - we don't have enough to go on yet. Why bother to write it down then? So that we can refer back to it later at a future date.

[slowsilver]

If you really need my vitally important opinion then Llama isn't scum, I think that it IS a scum tell voting Guderian, and I already said that I had no tell on the last one.

But as I say, there just isn't enough to go on yet.

[slowsilver]

No comments Jack?

[slowsilver]

There is something in the people voting Guderian IMO, but there isn't enough for certainty (although I guess there never is in Mafia)

[slowsilver]

Not Gambler's Fallacy so much as trying to eliminate the opposition

[slowsilver]

Oh i see what you mean, in which case yes it is Gambler's fallacy

[slowsilver]

Okay

Vote: xvart

, here is why:

The moment that there is a whiff of a bandwagon developing xvart is right onto it. In the first instance he voted Guderian - immediately after Fate made his vote on the scummy arrogance of Guderian saying that he was jealous. In the second instance he jumped the Llama wagon, six posts after he made his first. His reasoning was that since Llama got near the bottom and didn't seem to mind it Llama was therefore scum - hmm... Then he jumped onto my bandwagon with the already de-constructed post #95 (credits due to Vollkan for the deconstruction #140.)

[slowsilver]

But I'm learning!!! (Or at least trying to) It isn't instinctive to me

[slowsilver]

I'm not giving steam to any wagon just as the moment - but I can see who is putting steam onto the train.

[slowsilver]

What is your personal theory behind Guderian's scumminess?

[slowsilver]

Ellibereth can you not write properly / are you overly hyperactive? Your style just annoys me!

[slowsilver]

By the way, how big did the wagon on you get to?

I think that it got to 5 players at its height.

Unvote:
Vote: Guderian

While I Think.

HMmmm

Easy there Fate, you're switching wagons like a teamster.

Okay, so here I am at home, sipping my Mocha Cocoa, feet up on the sofa - Rachmaninov playing in my ears - and my laptop on my lap, open with the Excel spreadsheet of all votes so far. Suddenly BOOM, my Mocha Cocoa is out of my mouth and on my white top, my laptop is in the air and my ears feel like my earphones have been ripped THROUGH them. But I don't care because I think that I have spotted a pattern.

In my deliberations I noticed that there have been 3 people on all of the bandwagons most likely to have a lynch out of them: slowsilver wagon, gandalf wagon and Guderian wagon. These three people are xVart (the predominant one?), Jack (active (or not so active) lurker?) and Pomegranate who just sheeps (not an awful thing in itself, but sheeping wagons is unnecessary). In addition, xVart jumps wagons every 50 posts on average whenever he spots one which is already far enough in swing so as to be able to jump without being noticed too much - the only exception to this rule is the Guderian vote which he made during RVS (again, what was that about being noticed?). So I conclude that these three are scum together.

[slowsilver]

Woah, lots of raging, but more importantly lots of capitals gone on in the last few pages. So, tell me guys... is there some deep, hidden anger between Hoopla and Fate which you guys just want to get out in the open? I can definitely sense a tension here.

[slowsilver]

Crap,this post moved on quickly. Anyone want to fill me in VERY briefly? I will be reading back tonight.

[slowsilver]

Unvote

I have become less convinced that xvart is scum - but I still don't know where that puts me. I'm not used to raging on Fate's scale, but I got the gist of the arguments even if it predispositioned me against Fate. So Hoopla looks fairly scummy, although I just don't get why everyone is thinking why his 'Gunsmith come forward' posts are inherently scummy, incorrect maybe - but there are logical reasons for this.

[slowsilver]

Le Cupcake-town
Benmage-scum
slowsilver-very possibly scum
inHimshallibe-town
Andrius-town

Meh, no one cares about you.


Le Cupcake.... Town
Benmage..... Scum
slowsilver - well... if I were allowed... TOWN
inHimshallibe..... Scum
Andrius..... Not enough material

[slowsilver]

Vote: Andrius

because he's lurking.

[slowsilver]

I guess that I don't want a Guderian lynch yet

Unvote

Vote: Benmage

[slowsilver]

wait.... did you ever talk about wanting a Guderian lynch?

No, no I didn't. Which is why I am voting for Benmage, you are more town than Benmage is and you two are the only ones who we are realistically going to lynch,

[slowsilver]

Whoops, looks like I've got my Gs mixed up again. Let's try and repeat that: Gandalf and Benmage are the only ones who are realistically going to lynch today... Gandalf seems less malignant scum and more dumb town to me, Benmage seems like he is pulling strings.

[slowsilver]

Oh and xvart - nah... you ain't worth it

[slowsilver]

Vote: Andrius

Where are you? You've been on the site - why are you forgetting about us? Lynch all lurkers.

[slowsilver]

Fate - quick question totally unrelated to the game, but do you like Terry Pratchett?

[slowsilver]

Again, I'm not very experienced with this game. But from what I can see PranaDevil seems to be only contributing votes and no content. I honestly didn't think that Gandalf was scum, I thought that he just made many errors and that he was going to be mis-lynched, but I was wrong there. BenMage to me was very scummy during the middle of Day 1 (reading back for an example), and that is why I voted him. Why Andrius? He is blatantly lurking.

[slowsilver]

Why did I think that other people would choose my favourite numbers? My favourite numbers are 1 and 6, look what happened there... Most people like those numbers.