I normally wouldn't really care, but I have this horrible feeling town will lose if I die.populartajo wrote:You realize you likely need to die, right?Xylthixlm wrote:I don't like waiting when I'm fully recharged. He seemed to be leading the vote count.populartajo wrote:Xyl why did you hurt Seraphim?Xylthixlm wrote:Cool. Heals plz kthxbaiDrippingGoofball wrote:I watched Xyl (may or may not still be watching), whom I've been vocal in supporting, but suspected like mad, he's been a mega IIoA all game. So I hoped that he would feel confident that I wasn't watching him to make a move, and I was certain to catch him.populartajo wrote:Say it.
He is NOT on the last two cycles of scum hurts reported by Flay.
War in Heaven II - Spirit of Vengeance (Over!)
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#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
"Xyl was completely berserk" -dramonic
"Xyl's ruthless policy lynching won the game." -Vi-
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Uh, I'm playing to help the town as best I can. The basic problem is that for some reason I'm having trouble getting good reads. So I was backing off and letting other people push things for a bit, in hope that I would pick up a lead there.populartajo wrote:
Then why the hell are you not playing to prove you are town?Xylthixlm wrote:I really should say "if the next person to die is town".
From my iPhone#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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populartajo wrote:
You are scummy?Xylthixlm wrote:
Why do I have to die before endgame?populartajo wrote:Its probable but I dont think DGB would have given a result like that knowing that Xyl has to die before endgame.*shrug*
I'm curious what you think I should be doing differently.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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I think scum might have decided not to rage me because they don't have 6 rage built up.Seraphim wrote:Check the first post. Every player should start with the same HP unless they are
1. replaced
2. topped off by another player
I think scum may have decided to not rage Xyl because they can make connections and list his potential "scumbuddies" while not actually killing him.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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A wise man once said something like "Never ignore someone doing something scummy right now, no matter how protown they seemed before".roflcopter wrote:xyl, can you do some kind of pbpa on me, or are you just gonna say i've shot all town cred and join the throngs of people calling for my head. you took the time to do one on tenchi after all.
(I don't normally do PBPAs. I made an exception for Tenchi because he has so few posts.)#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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Your timing is too convenient. If you were town you would have been analyzing the deaths yourself, not grilling me over whether I was analyzing them.Tenchi wrote:Again, would rather me to "start playing" later? Why are you questioning me standing up for what I think is right, right now?
I wasn't "angry" with Xyl. I just feel annoyed that nobody is supporting his lynch when he has done quite a number of suspicious things, especially subtle ones.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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That quick series of deaths was obviously the result of a scum plan.
I don't think the scum would plan to kill a bunch of townies, and then have no idea what they'd do afterwards. They'd want to know they had a good endgame before starting the massacre.
Who's the easiest target in this game? Me. I do look scummy, especially since I can't point to any previous town games where I've acted like this. (I'll have one after this game finishes...)
The timing of the scum kill burst, followed immediately by a vicious (and weak) attack on me, is not coincidental. Scum are going for the win.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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So you're completely dismissing out of hand the possibility that Tenchi is scum.roflcopter wrote:
the same argument goes for a scum gambit by dgb to false clear herself and you. if we're only a kill or two away from scum winning, now is the time to stop me from finishing youxyl wrote:The timing of the scum kill burst, followed immediately by a vicious (and weak) attack on me, is not coincidental. Scum are going for the win.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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Alive
# Albert B. Rampage - Hurt by: WeyounsLastClone, q21 (2) Healed by: Nuwen,Kinetic(1)
# DrippingGoofball - Hurt by: Hoopla,????? x1,????? x1(3) Healed by: WeyounsLastClone/Cybelle, Seraphim (2)
# Giuseppe - Hurt by: (0) Healed by: (0)
# Firestarter/Drench (-1 HP) - Hurt by: Xylthixlm, Albert B. Rampage, Seraphim, The Fonz (4) Healed by: populartajo (1)
# Nuwen - Hurt by:????? x1(1) Healed by: Albert B. Rampage (1)
# populartajo - Hurt by:????? x2(2) Healed by: Tenchi (1)
# q21 - Hurt by: (0) Healed by: populartajo (1)
# roflcopter - Hurt by: Shinnen_no_Mex2, Hoopla (3) Healed by: DrippingGoofball, populartajo, Hoopla,WaltWishbone(3)
# Seraphim - Hurt by: roflcopter, WeyounsLastClone, Xylthixlm, Albert B. Rampage (4) Healed by: Shinnen_no_Me, populartajo (2)
# Tenchi - Hurt by: populartajo, Juls, Giuseppe (3) Healed by: (0)
# The Fonz - Hurt by:????? x1(1) Healed by: Albert B. Rampage (1)
# Xylthixlm - Hurt by: Juls, zwetschenwasser, WaltWishbonex2, roflcopterx2, roflcopterx2, Tenchi (9) Healed by: Juls,Drench, WeyounsLastClone, Giuseppe (3)
Dead
# Shinnen_no_Me- Hurt by: Albert B. Rampage, The Fonz,Kinetic,DrippingGoofball, Albert B. Rampage, Seraphim, q21,Juls, Xylthixlm, Nuwenx2, The Fonz, roflcopterx2(13) Healed by: Seraphim (1)
# Hoopla- Hurt by: Albert B. Rampage, roflcopterx2,WaltWishbone, Albert B. Rampage,WeyounsLastClone,, Seraphim,JulsJuls,WaltWishbone(9) Healed by: (0)
# WaltWishbone- Hurt by: DrippingGoofball, Xylthixlm, Nuwen, Xylthixlm,WeyounsLastClone, Nuwenx2,zwetschenwasser, q21, Seraphim,vIQleS, Xylthixlm,, Nuwenzwetschenwasserx2(14) Healed by:vIQleS,Kinetic(2)
# Juls- Hurt by: Xylthixlm,zwetschenwasser,vIQleS, DrippingGoofball, Giuseppe,Seraphim, DrippingGoofball, Xylthixlm,zwetschenwasser, Giuseppe,Kinetic(10) Healed by:zwetschenwasser(1)
# Kinetic- Hurt by: roflcopter, roflcopterx2,Juls, roflcopterx2, Albert B. Rampage,????? x3(10) Healed by:Hoopla,DrippingGoofball,DrippingGoofball(1)
# WeyounsLastClone/Cybele(-1 HP) - Hurt by: Xylthixlm, Seraphim, Albert B. Rampage, Firestarter, populartajo, Xylthixlm, Seraphim, Albert B. Rampage, The Fonz,Firestarter(9) Healed by: q21 (1)
# vIQleS- Hurt by: Kinetic, populartajo,????? x6(8) Healed by:WaltWishbone(1)
# zwetschenwasser- Hurt by: q21, Seraphim, q21, q21,????? x3(7) Healed by: (0)
Secret damage as of post 2911:
3 points of secret damage were used to kill Kinetic.
6 points of secret damage were used to kill vIQleS.
3 points of secret damage were used to kill zwetschenwasser.
1 point of secret damage was dealt to Nuwen.
2 points of secret damage were dealt to DrippingGoofball.
1 point of secret damage was dealt to The Fonz.
2 points of secret damage were dealt to populartajo.
Note: Damage counts are based on public information and reasonable assumptions. It's always possible that there are two secret effects cancelling each other out.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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If scum get 1 rage point every time a townie heals another townie (don't ask me how this would work...), it would just about match the amount of rage which has been spent.
Argh, I'm WIFOMing myself.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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^ Uh, there it is?populartajo wrote:Xylthixlm wrote:
Secret damage as of post 2911:
3 points of secret damage were used to kill Kinetic.
6 points of secret damage were used to kill vIQleS.
3 points of secret damage were used to kill zwetschenwasser.
1 point of secret damage was dealt to Nuwen.
2 points of secret damage were dealt to DrippingGoofball.
1 point of secret damage was dealt to The Fonz.
2 points of secret damage were dealt to populartajo.
Note: Damage counts are based on public information and reasonable assumptions. It's always possible that there are two secret effects cancelling each other out.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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Total healing: 23Seraphim wrote:
Count the amount of rage points the scum have compared to the amount that we have healed people.Xylthixlm wrote:I am nursing the paranoid thought that scum are trying to get us to use healing.
Total rage: 18
... but there's a huge problem. The scum would have no reason to hurt and get us to heal for rage; they'd just be able to use their rage points on the target they want in the first place.
Back to the drawing board.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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We can also post "Attention scum: Please stop rage-killing" but they don't have to do so.Nuwen wrote:
Neat. I didn't know we could tell players to act in one way if they're town, and another if they're scum.populartajo wrote:ROLF, DONT HURT SERAPHIM TONIGHT. HURT NUWEN. WE HAVE TO KNOW WHO OF YOU IS SCUM.
DO THIS ONLY AND ONLY IF YOU ARE TOWN.
Could all scum just start hurting each other right now?
Much obliged,
Nuwen#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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Fail. It's not "between DGB and Xyl", it's "DGB clears Xyl".Tenchi wrote:
That is one of the factors I am reconsidering. But I'm willing to risk lynching Xyl over DGB if it was between the two them.Seraphim wrote:
All players, please. And list reasons. I'm guessing you don't believe that DGB cleared Xyl?Tenchi wrote:
I will repeat it for the umpteenth time:Seraphim wrote:Maybe people don't think you're defense is suitable?
Or, better yet, who do you think is scum? Or, even better, what do you think of all the players in the game still alive? Who is scum and who is town?
TOWN: ROLF, TAJO, FONZ
SCUM: XYL, DGB, SERAPHIM
(Things are changing in this list, but I have to recompose myself)#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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Are you deliberately misunderstanding this?Tenchi wrote:
The issue of that is the fact that I'm not dismissing that there could be scum Ophan, given that Townies have roles too.Xylthixlm wrote:
Fail. It's not "between DGB and Xyl", it's "DGB clears Xyl".That is one of the factors I am reconsidering. But I'm willing to risk lynching Xyl over DGB if it was between the two them.
I won't dispute you for believing DGB.
It's not that DGB can't be scum, it's thatI can't be scum unless DGB is also scum.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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What the heck are you talking about?Tenchi wrote:
But then if both of you are town we lose a power player, DGB.Xylthixlm wrote: It's not that DGB can't be scum, it's thatI can't be scum unless DGB is also scum.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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OK Tenchi. Let's take this reeealllll slow and simple.
DGB claims Ophan, that she was watching me during all those rage kills, and that I did not use rage.
That leaves THREE possible situations:
DGB is town and I am town.
DGB is scum and I am town.
DGB is scum and I am scum.
It eliminates ONE situation:
DGB is town and I am scum.
Now, given those possibilities, why would you possibly want to kill me before DGB?#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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All townies should take a bit of time to read the game.
Tenchi and roflcopter have just totally blown their cover as scum. They must think that they're just one town death away from winning.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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Wait what, I'm back to scum now?roflcopter wrote:wagon built on him too fast. he's being made a scapegoat by all the scumbags. xyl never lurkerhunted him when he was actually lurking.
roflcopter, give us a consistent scumlist. So far you've just been calling whoever you want scum to bolster bullshit cases on other people. You've got enough people you've accused of being scum pairs, give us a set that fits together.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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I'm just so awesome that I can even do a PBPA without backreading! [/sarcasm]roflcopter wrote:
says the guy who REFUSES TO BACKREADXylthixlm wrote:All townies should take a bit of time to read the game.
Tenchi and roflcopter have just totally blown their cover as scum. They must think that they're just one town death away from winning.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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The irony here is that Tenchi is advocating a test lynch on me despite my being cleared by DGB.roflcopter wrote:
no, stop that. see, this is why you are obvscum. you don't kill someone because you "need their flip." you don't kill someone because they're "not the most protown." you kill them because they are SCUM. and you certainly don't do a test lynch on somone when the scum could be one or two mislynches away from WINNING THE FUCKING GAME.populartajo wrote:
would they be too obvious?roflcopter wrote:wagon built on him too fast. he's being made a scapegoat by all the scumbags. xyl never lurkerhunted him when he was actually lurking.
thats why i said that we need his flip. if tenchi comes up town, the scum would be obvious.
but i dont think he will. this player is not precisely the most protown in the game, ya know?
scum make bad excuses to mislynch people. you are making bad excuses to mislynch tenchi. you are scum.
Uh, helloo-oo?#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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After this game is over and you and Tench are both scum, I am policy lynching anyone who ever refuses to provide a scumlist.roflcopter wrote:after this game is over and dgb and tajo are both scum, i am policy lynching anyone who ever calls for a scumlist#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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If there are 3 scum who had 6 rage each, I suppose it's possible.populartajo wrote:
The one where you are not cleared because DGB watched you in the massive rage attack. You could have used rage in the last small attack.Xylthixlm wrote:
Uh, which post? There's too much stuff going by right now.populartajo wrote:Xyl, please answer my post.
I guess we'll wait for DGB to say when her watch ended.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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As long as your town list doesn't include Tenchi or roflcopter.populartajo wrote:
Will you still support that if I told you that you are not in the town list anymore?Xylthixlm wrote:Actually, it would be cool if everyone on your town list had at least 7 HP. I don't want more rage deaths.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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Ok. I did the math, here's the results.
Townies getting in heal/hurt wars with other townies:bad. (Don't need math for this one!)
Townies getting in heal/hurt wars with the scum, if town has the damage advantage:good.
Townies getting in heal/hurt wars with the scum, if scum has the damage advantage:bad.
I know that healing someone hurt by the scum is a heal/hurt war with the scum. I am hoping that town still has the damage advantage (as in, town can do more total damage per week than scum). In that case, healing is mathematically advantageous for the town.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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I'm not sure, but he's more likely to be town than Tenchi or roflcopter.populartajo wrote:
Do you think Seraphim is town?Xylthixlm wrote:
As long as your town list doesn't include Tenchi or roflcopter.populartajo wrote:
Will you still support that if I told you that you are not in the town list anymore?Xylthixlm wrote:Actually, it would be cool if everyone on your town list had at least 7 HP. I don't want more rage deaths.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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Here's the basics of the math:
Let's say (numbers out of thin air) that town does 30 damage per week, while scum does 15 damage + 10 rage damage per week.
If town never heals, then town will deal 30 damage per 25 damage the scum do, for a ratio of 6:5.
If the town heals all the rage damage, then town will deal 20 damage per 15 damage the scum do, for a ratio of 4:3.
This means that the town will do better in the damage race.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
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Xylthixlm !xmafia win
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Xylthixlm !xmafia win
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Xylthixlm !xmafia win
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I'll work it out with high school algebra, just to show how much of a math nerd I am.
t = damage done by town per unit time
s = damage done by scum per unit time
h = number of actions town spends healing scum damage instead of hurting scum
Assumptions: t > s > h > 0
s < t [by assumption]
h * s < h * t [multiply by h, valid because h > 0]
-h * s > -h * t [negate]
t * s - h * s > t * s - h * t [add t * s]
(t - h) * s > t * (s - h) [factor both sides]
(t - h) > t * (s - h) / s [divide by s, valid because s > 0]
(t - h) / (s - h) > t / s [divide by (s-h), valid because s > h]
Q.E.D.
In words: The ratio of damage town deals with healing to the damage scum deals with healing, is greater than the ratio of damage town deals without healing to the damage scum deals without healing, assuming that town deals more damage than scum.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
"Xyl was completely berserk" -dramonic
"Xyl's ruthless policy lynching won the game." -Vi-
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Xylthixlm !xmafia win
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Xylthixlm !xmafia win
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Yes, I'm assuming that the rates of damage are roughly constant over time.
For your second point, a stalemate is obviously bad (you can't heal damage that killed someone)... but secret damage is almost certainly from the scum, so healing it is good.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
"Xyl was completely berserk" -dramonic
"Xyl's ruthless policy lynching won the game." -Vi-
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Xylthixlm !xmafia win
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No, there's no way to deadlock. Eventually the scum get enough rage points that they can just kill someone from full health, and boom! You can't heal the dead. Repeat until all townies are gone.
However, the fact that healingalldamage is bad doesn't mean we can't healanydamage. Healing damage that we know was done by rage is good for the town.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
"Xyl was completely berserk" -dramonic
"Xyl's ruthless policy lynching won the game." -Vi-
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Xylthixlm !xmafia win
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Your problem is here:
I am not suggesting a heal-only strategy. I'm not even suggesting a heal-mostly strategy. I am suggesting a strategy ofNuwen wrote:You're correct - at the current rate of rage damage/generation, if the town ceases to damage and retreats to a heal-only strategy, the town's cumulative heal output will be greater than any secret damage. However, that requires all town players to stop hurting. If the town heals, does not hurt, and scum continue to acquire rage points, one of two situations will occur:healing any and all damage that we are certain was done by scum, and only that damage.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
"Xyl was completely berserk" -dramonic
"Xyl's ruthless policy lynching won the game." -Vi-
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Xylthixlm !xmafia win
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For your convenience, the unhealed damage dealt by scum is:
1 point of unhealed secret damage dealt to Nuwen.
1 point of unhealed secret damage dealt to DrippingGoofball.
1 point of unhealed secret damage dealt to The Fonz.
2 points of unhealed secret damage dealt to populartajo.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
"Xyl was completely berserk" -dramonic
"Xyl's ruthless policy lynching won the game." -Vi-
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Xylthixlm !xmafia win
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... and to be completely pedantic, I wasn't suggesting a strategy before, I was just pointing out that healing damage dealt by scum is good.
I seem to recall that populartajo's original ALL CAPS plan included healing.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
"Xyl was completely berserk" -dramonic
"Xyl's ruthless policy lynching won the game." -Vi-
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Xylthixlm !xmafia win
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This would make sense. The scum did a bunch of damage to kill someone, then when they saw it hit Tenchi instead they finished him off.populartajo wrote:Me thinks Tenchi was a bodyguard protecting someone else. His kill makes no sense right now.
Tenchi coming up town means I need a reread of the last dozen or two pages.
Working up a damage count.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
"Xyl was completely berserk" -dramonic
"Xyl's ruthless policy lynching won the game." -Vi-
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Xylthixlm !xmafia win
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Alive
# Albert B. Rampage - Hurt by: WeyounsLastClone, q21 (2) Healed by: Nuwen,Kinetic(1)
# DrippingGoofball - Hurt by: Hoopla,????? x1,????? x1(3) Healed by: WeyounsLastClone/Cybelle, Seraphim, Xylthixlm (3)
# Giuseppe - Hurt by: (0) Healed by: (0)
# Firestarter/Drench (-1 HP) - Hurt by: Xylthixlm, Albert B. Rampage, Seraphim, The Fonz (4) Healed by: populartajo (1)
# Nuwen - Hurt by:????? x1(1) Healed by: Albert B. Rampage (1)
# populartajo - Hurt by:????? x2(2) Healed by: Tenchi (1)
# q21 - Hurt by: (0) Healed by: populartajo (1)
# roflcopter - Hurt by: Shinnen_no_Mex2, Hoopla (3) Healed by: DrippingGoofball, populartajo, Hoopla,WaltWishbone(3)
# Seraphim - Hurt by: roflcopter, WeyounsLastClone, Xylthixlm, Albert B. Rampage, Firestarter, populartajo,roflcopter x2, q21 (9) Healed by: Shinnen_no_Me, populartajo (2)
# The Fonz - Hurt by:????? x1(1) Healed by: Albert B. Rampage (1)
# Xylthixlm - Hurt by: Juls, zwetschenwasser, WaltWishbonex2, roflcopterx2, roflcopterx2, Tenchi (9) Healed by: Juls,Drench, WeyounsLastClone, Giuseppe (3)
Dead
# Shinnen_no_Me- Hurt by: Albert B. Rampage, The Fonz,Kinetic,DrippingGoofball, Albert B. Rampage, Seraphim, q21,Juls, Xylthixlm, Nuwenx2, The Fonz, roflcopterx2(13) Healed by: Seraphim (1)
# Hoopla- Hurt by: Albert B. Rampage, roflcopterx2,WaltWishbone, Albert B. Rampage,WeyounsLastClone,, Seraphim,JulsJuls,WaltWishbone(9) Healed by: (0)
# WaltWishbone- Hurt by: DrippingGoofball, Xylthixlm, Nuwen, Xylthixlm,WeyounsLastClone, Nuwenx2,zwetschenwasser, q21, Seraphim,vIQleS, Xylthixlm,, Nuwenzwetschenwasserx2(14) Healed by:vIQleS,Kinetic(2)
# Juls- Hurt by: Xylthixlm,zwetschenwasser,vIQleS, DrippingGoofball, Giuseppe,Seraphim, DrippingGoofball, Xylthixlm,zwetschenwasser, Giuseppe,Kinetic(10) Healed by:zwetschenwasser(1)
# Kinetic- Hurt by: roflcopter, roflcopterx2,Juls, roflcopterx2, Albert B. Rampage,????? x3(10) Healed by:Hoopla,DrippingGoofball,DrippingGoofball(1)
# WeyounsLastClone/Cybele(-1 HP) - Hurt by: Xylthixlm, Seraphim, Albert B. Rampage, Firestarter, populartajo, Xylthixlm, Seraphim, Albert B. Rampage, The Fonz,Firestarter(9) Healed by: q21 (1)
# vIQleS- Hurt by: Kinetic, populartajo,????? x6(8) Healed by:WaltWishbone(1)
# zwetschenwasser- Hurt by: q21, Seraphim, q21, q21,????? x3(7) Healed by: (0)
# Tenchi- Hurt by: populartajo,Juls, Giuseppe,????? x6,????? x3(12) Healed by: (0)
Secret damage as of post 3165:
3 points of secret damage were used to kill Kinetic.
6 points of secret damage were used to kill vIQleS.
3 points of secret damage were used to kill zwetschenwasser.
1 point of secret damage was dealt to Nuwen.
2 points of secret damage were dealt to DrippingGoofball.
1 point of secret damage was dealt to The Fonz.
2 points of secret damage were dealt to populartajo.
9 points of secret damage were used to kill Tenchi (first 6, then 3).
Note: Damage counts are based on public information and reasonable assumptions. It's always possible that there are two secret effects cancelling each other out.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
"Xyl was completely berserk" -dramonic
"Xyl's ruthless policy lynching won the game." -Vi-
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Xylthixlm !xmafia win
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So, the first damage dealt to Tenchi was 6 points. There are three logical possibilities:
1. The scum were trying to finish off Firestarter.
2. The scum were trying to finish off me.
3. The scum were trying to finish off DGB (before my heal).
I'm putting my money on #3. Ophans have been dying like flies.#mafia@irc.globalgamers.net
"Xyl was completely berserk" -dramonic
"Xyl's ruthless policy lynching won the game." -Vi-
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Xylthixlm !xmafia win
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