Hollow Knight Mafia [game over]
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Alisae lolbalance
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you're really one to talk but-
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Alisae lolbalance
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it's not like any rational response I could give you would make you change your read LOL-
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Alisae lolbalance
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even if they know our actions there's probably not much 1 singular wolf is going to be able to do about it.In post 4049, Black wrote: doesn't that leave too much room for wolf intervention? I guess telling them what we are going to do seems like something we don't need right now.
We occurred such a significant lead that it's just really oppressive to be a wolf in this game right now.
Town will get to shoot someone tonight and they'll likely get to shoot someone Night 5.
Ari is probably just actually a cop if shea flips wolf and if there are any protectives, those protectives will act as a sponge for Ari who will be able to cop and provide results.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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in my eyes a tracker with only 1 wolf alive is a copIn post 4060, Firebringer wrote:
if Ari is just a cop, how does she actually know who Shea visited.In post 4058, Alisae wrote:
even if they know our actions there's probably not much 1 singular wolf is going to be able to do about it.In post 4049, Black wrote: doesn't that leave too much room for wolf intervention? I guess telling them what we are going to do seems like something we don't need right now.
We occurred such a significant lead that it's just really oppressive to be a wolf in this game right now.
Town will get to shoot someone tonight and they'll likely get to shoot someone Night 5.
Ari is probably just actually a cop if shea flips wolf and if there are any protectives, those protectives will act as a sponge for Ari who will be able to cop and provide results.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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In post 4064, Asri Teroka wrote:
The truth.In post 4057, Firebringer wrote:
True, i was deposed by my grandson.In post 4056, Asri Teroka wrote:
Times change.In post 4050, Firebringer wrote:
how can u not trust me. I am the king.In post 4040, Asri Teroka wrote: This one looks at Alisae and Shea but in no way trusts you. This one has no comment on your actions or purported actions.
Such disloyalty smh
Empires fall.
The fact u haven't sworn loyalty to alisae is still very disloyal, who do u serve now?-
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Alisae lolbalance
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extremely easyIn post 4066, Aristeia wrote: mb this is just ez game-
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Alisae lolbalance
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now can we unvote and finish massclaim?-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Ari and Peta should be the ones running things right now tbh-
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Alisae lolbalance
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klick too ig
I feel like I have to be the one doing it though-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Ya those are the people that should be pushing massclaim.In post 4083, Black wrote: Nahhh we should probably leave this to the confirmed villagers right?
Instead I'm the one that's doing it-
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Alisae lolbalance
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but I'm a wolf for pushing for massclaim ig LOL-
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Alisae lolbalance
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it's a completely null pointIn post 4087, Black wrote:
Wouldn't be the first time I've seen itIn post 4086, Alisae wrote: but I'm a wolf for pushing for massclaim ig LOL-
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Alisae lolbalance
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if anything I think massclaim helps village more than it hurts it right now so maybe if I'm a wolf it's not a good idea but also If I'm a wolf Cakez is alive right now and Asri is elimmed d2 because Cakez doesn't get guilted and I don't shoot Peta-
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Alisae lolbalance
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unvoteIn post 4090, Black wrote: If Ari/Peta/Klick all vote mass claim then I am in-
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Alisae lolbalance
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I'm done screaming into a void.
If there is anyone who starts pushing for me to be in the wolfpool who shouldn't be I'll start yelling for that person's head.
Please unvote and continue massclaim as massclaim is +town ev in this gamestate. Not massclaiming today while I have 1 shot remaining of my action is a massive throw.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Goodbye.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Hi ok I have additional thought and then I am going to go.
Please continue massclaim. There's a lot of flexibility with my role and this gamestate. I can say that I for instance will always go on Ari. Furtive has a lot of options here and it's a complete coinflip as to what will actually happen.
Furtive can decide that he wants to shoot someone in the face. Furtive can also decide to protect Ari and we get an extremely safe cop clear.
Obviously the ladder is the better play. Most wolf teams will recognize this and would probably use this opportunity to shoot furtive as he is stupidly op right now due to the fact he has 2 very strong late game abilities (JK is super strong with 1 wolf left as the rb will clear someone if there's a kill. Vig is self-explanatory). Additionally most wolves will probably want to make sure that their kill actually goes through!
It's ultimately wine and how furtive decides to read the wine.
He can make sure Ari sees the next day phase alive or he can make the read that he's dying tonight (edit while writing the post: or gimli, gimli could also die tonight) and go for his gun.
Wolves have to make a read on what Furtive will actually do here. They can shoot Ari with the chance that their kill won't go through but to force us to be on Ari. Or they can just shoot Furtive.
I'll be honest I have no idea why wolves killed CSF. That kill seems really bad to me. To me it looked like they made that kill to try to get information on the setup but like they're probably anticipating massclaim tomorrow so they're going to get that information anyways and Gimli is a walking problem for wolves. ig wolves just completely bought that Furtive was 1-shot and didn't think to be skeptical of that. I was as it was weaker with my role but it didn't make sense to say anything about it d2 given his play so I just didn't. But like why CSF over Ari at this point in the game unless they think Ari won't track them which I could buy shea thinking that and performing the kill considering as that is most likely what happened. I could also see Shea thinking that he is in the worst position right now as a wolf and deciding to perform the kill based off of this logic.
Wolves also can't ignore Gimli. Because Gimli lives today, he gets to print another gun and is just going to keep printing more guns if he is kept alive. Wolves have to have an answer for him at some point. In fact, typing it out I can see wolves wanting to kill Gimli > Furtive tonight. They could let Gimli live last night but today would probably be too much and I can imagine wolves opting to look there in search of not having to deal with the wine while looking for an optimal move.
Now, if we have more protectives, then Furtive and Ari are actually just both unstoppable and there is actually a clear action here. Both of these players need to be alive to see the next day. I think there aren't any slots that are more important than these ones so it's fine if wolves shoot outside of them. If Gimli is shot at night here I think Village is happy with that. Village is okay with protectives being kill sponges. And obviously I think if wolves shoot someone that isn't {Gimli, other protectives} like Peta, me because they want to kill 2 villagers, Klick, or like anyone who doesn't have any actual power relevancy then we are also okay with that.
"BUT ALI HOW CAN WE BE OKAY WITH VILLAGERS DIEING"
Well wolves shooting Gimli tells the village that he's town.
Protectives with this kind of lead are perfectly okay being bullet sponges as they're doing their job to make sure that the most important players right now stay alive.
and then obviously anyone else that doesn't fit into the above puzzle so far is a great night kill as if they decide to go for those kills then they're blundering as things will just get worse for them.
If we have more investigative I'm pretty sure the game is over as those will also have to be addressed via nightkill.
If we really don't want to massclaim can we explain why instead of "eh we don't need to" or "the guy pushing for massclaim is a wolf kekw"-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Peta's kill equity goes down because his role is useless and there are more threatening roles right now that wolves will have to go after.In post 4102, Gimli wrote: I sent furtive my thing for obvious reasons, but in case it's not clear: there are three people mechanically clear after d1: petapan, aristeia and furtive. peta and aristeia are more likely to be kill targets for scum after d1. I would maybe send it to a strong TR like black or alisae instead but chose the guaranteed townie over the likely one.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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I don't think I should be receiving any guns you print Gimli, I would have yelled at you if you gave me a gun. I probably should have explicitly told you not to give me a gun yesterday.
If I was in your shoes N2 I sending a gun to Peta that seems pretty safe. That or like Klick or MT. Those slots all would seem like safe choices to me if I was in your shoes.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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YES OMG YESIn post 4104, Asri Teroka wrote: Alisae wants to save Shea?
I WANT TO SAVE SHEA BY ASKING PEOPLE TO UNVOTE HIM, JUST SO I CAN FINISH MASSCLAIM AND THEN WE ALL GO BACK TO VOTING SHEA
WHAT IS GOING ON??????????????-
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Alisae lolbalance
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WHAT KIND OF SAVE ATTEMPT IS "HEY CAN WE UNVOTE THE PERSON WHO IS GUILTIED THIS DAY PHASE SO WE CAN MASSCLAIM AND THEN VOTE HIM AFTER"
WHY WOULD I EVEN WANT TO SAVE SHEA?
WHAT HAVE I EVEN DONE THAT INDICATED I WANT TO KEEP SHEA ALIVE?
LIKE WHAT??????????????????-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Your closemindedness literally has no fucking bounds but-
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Alisae lolbalance
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How to play villager 101In post 4112, Gimli wrote:
he is even more sure you're mafia now cause you're being a meanieIn post 4111, Alisae wrote: Your closemindedness literally has no fucking bounds but-
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Alisae lolbalance
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You can rb someone AND Shoot someone?In post 4121, furtiveglance wrote: I can multitask tonight yeah, so I'd assume Mafia could use it and kill on the same night
Lmfao-
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Alisae lolbalance
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I expect to see people going along with massclaim by the time I wake up and some unvotes while that’s happening.
There’s no way massclaim doesnt help us narrow it down. Game is over. Massclaim secures W. It’s too much for 1 wolf player to deal with themselves. Too many clears get made and PoE already is super small.
Goodnight.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Btw I strongly believe that Asri and redff are way too stubborn to be reasoned with. You could print the Bible on how I’m town and they would still go “no sorry lol.” They’re the type of people that click on a YouTube video and instead of watching it, comment within the 5 seconds about how they’re right and you’re wrong.
They cannot be talked to.
Goodnight for real this time.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Asri do not join games I am in-
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Alisae lolbalance
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No actually.In post 4135, redFF wrote:
People are allowed to scumread you lol.In post 4128, Alisae wrote: Btw I strongly believe that Asri and redff are way too stubborn to be reasoned with. You could print the Bible on how I’m town and they would still go “no sorry lol.” They’re the type of people that click on a YouTube video and instead of watching it, comment within the 5 seconds about how they’re right and you’re wrong.
They cannot be talked to.
Goodnight for real this time.
To fos me is to say that I opt to like Cakez get guiltied because ????, I shoot peta because???, and I shoot csf over other high prio kills because I like making suboptimal night actions.
I interpret such a read as a personal insult to my wolf play. It’s basically the same as calling me an incompetent wolf.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Hi did we finish massclaim-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Some people claimed like Klick and fire but redff refuses-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Asri will likely refuse too-
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Alisae lolbalance
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We really should finish massclaim before any kind of elimination-
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Alisae lolbalance
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We won’t get a better opportunity in the game to do it so today is our best massclaim day.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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We really should be enforcing this-
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Alisae lolbalance
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2 wolves dead 1 guilted. Only 1 townie dead and it’s a role that wants to die.
How are we not massclaiming here?-
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Alisae lolbalance
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The argument that 1 wolf is going to use it outplay is just isn’t true, how do they get to endgame with what we claimed so far?
By massclaiming we’re locking the 1 singular wolf in a room and starving it until it loses all of its energy and eventually dies.
Why do we not want to do this?-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Why do you refuse to address my point on this, we are happy with protectives being bullet sponges hereIn post 4334, Aristeia wrote: I don't think we gain anything except maybe telling the wolves whether they have to worry about protectives or not?
you're not going to find the last wolf by looking at a list of claims and saying hmm this one doesn't fit.
like misty claimed poker. does that sound like a scum role? a town role? like who really knows?
if people have something relevant and useful, I'd imagine they'd just claim themselves.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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You keep repeating the samething over and over again without listening to me.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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A night a protective dies is a night that the roles that confirm players don’t die-
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Alisae lolbalance
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1a - Protective did it's job. If you died the following night town gets a vig shot. By this time we would have already cleared 2 players and killed 2 more. We kill kill 2 more players within that's cycle. Already that's 6 players the town is able to sort.
1b - If the protective is forced to claim within PoE then wolves are forced to shoot a player that is in our poe. That is now 7 players that the town is able to sort.
2 is a false premise. Furtive claimed that once 3 wolves die he has 1-shot left and for that 1-shot we're both on top of you.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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village is happy with the gun maker dude dying.In post 4341, Aristeia wrote: Like let's say there's a doctor in the game, why would it make sense to get that doctor to claim when he can just stay hidden and keep protecting either me or the gun maker dude?-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Firebringer - Hider
petapan - JOAT
Aristeia - Tracker
Alisae - 2-shot Strongwiller also PoE
fireisredsir - POE
Gimli - Gun guy we want wolves to kill because otherwise he keeps printing guns.
furtiveglance - JK
Klick - Cryer/messasger thing
Morning Tweet - POE
Mistyx - POE
Black - POE
redFF - POE
Asri Teroka - POE-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Wow is that EXACTLY 6-7 names in PoE????????????????
NO WAY-
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Alisae lolbalance
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oh dayumIn post 4346, furtiveglance wrote:
Nope. I have no ability once 3 Mafia dieIn post 4342, Alisae wrote: 1a - Protective did it's job. If you died the following night town gets a vig shot. By this time we would have already cleared 2 players and killed 2 more. We kill kill 2 more players within that's cycle. Already that's 6 players the town is able to sort.
1b - If the protective is forced to claim within PoE then wolves are forced to shoot a player that is in our poe. That is now 7 players that the town is able to sort.
2 is a false premise. Furtive claimed that once 3 wolves die he has 1-shot left and for that 1-shot we're both on top of you.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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we should still go for massclaim just count how many eliminations we have-
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Alisae lolbalance
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I count 3-
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Alisae lolbalance
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I want to guarantee that there is no way wolves can win the game. I feel like massclaiming does thisIn post 4349, Black wrote: I think we could easily win by mass claiming. But we can easily win without mass claiming too. If we don't need to mass claim then we shouldn't-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Potential doctors = PoE. If said doctor claim, it would most likely come from a slot that is PoE. Said claim does not take them out of PoE UNLESS they are shot.In post 4351, Aristeia wrote: if scum have to shoot in the POE to hunt down a protective that's a massive win for us
having the protective outted in a massclaim is not ideal
I feel like you should be able to identify this-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Who are the slots that can win the game and how do they win the game? This seems like you're tunneled on the now but not multiple day phases ahead.In post 4354, Aristeia wrote: assuming we're down to one lone wolf in a large theme rolemadness game - I think mass claim helps map out exactly the ideal kill order for that lone wolf to win.
instead of having decision points about whether to guess on if a protective exists or what kind of things the town can still have hidden, they basically know exactly how to get from point A to point B.
Should be made obvious by what happens in the game! It's easy to identify who is a wolf based on this because we can easily try to predict what each wolf player would want to do to go forward and said wolf player is have to want to go forward on their own. If they don't do this, we should be able to as a village identify this.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Think about who can claim doctor and how happy the village is if that player is shot.In post 4357, Aristeia wrote:
I don't understand your pointIn post 4355, Alisae wrote:
Potential doctors = PoE. If said doctor claim, it would most likely come from a slot that is PoE. Said claim does not take them out of PoE UNLESS they are shot.In post 4351, Aristeia wrote: if scum have to shoot in the POE to hunt down a protective that's a massive win for us
having the protective outted in a massclaim is not ideal
I feel like you should be able to identify this-
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Alisae lolbalance
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wait misty claimed poker I forgot
Firebringer - Hider
petapan - JOAT
Aristeia - Tracker
Alisae - 2-shot Strongwiller also PoE
fireisredsir - POE
Gimli - Gun guy we want wolves to kill because otherwise he keeps printing guns.
furtiveglance - JK
Klick - Cryer/messasger thing
Morning Tweet - POE
Mistyx - Poker
Black - POE
redFF - POE
Asri Teroka - POE-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Asri get shot for being a protective, they like that. Heck I would love that especially. Their play is probably villagery but obvs they have assoicatives with lycan. There is a lot of doubt here.
RedFF I can see there being a lot of doubt but also play is villagery. I think RedFF dieing is something village is okay with.
Black PoE. Slot is townie but they could have also hard defended wolves all game. Guy could have thought of 1 wolf teammate as the other. I also don't like how he backpedalled from D1 and me saying it and him saying "it makes sense" to "no you're wrong." that doesn't really make a whole lot of sense to me. I can see Klick's point on how he could have thought of 1 wolf before the other.
MT PoE apparently people fos this slot.
Fireisredsir PoE. Many players are doubting this slot right now
If there is a doctor, it is within these slots-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Why do we have to eliminate shea today? Furtive can jk you and I can make you unable to be stopped tonight. Even if we don't catch a wolf with the track tonight I bet you can think of an action that helps you solve the game a bit more.In post 4364, Aristeia wrote: what if noone claims doctor? you just let the mafia know they dont have to worry about a doctor and we gained nothing.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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This is not me defending Shea, this is me exploring that route of play thoroughly btw. I want to explore what happens if we opt to keep Furtive as a full JK and try to hunt in the PoE today.
I think Shea should be eliminated today it's quite risky to shoot blind-
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Alisae lolbalance
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You could find something useful if we massclaimedIn post 4381, Aristeia wrote: wouldnt shea just kill again if furtive jks me and you make me unblockable how would i find anything useful
Maybe someone doing what they're supposed to do.-
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Alisae lolbalance
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Furtive has a vig as well eh could just shoot Shea at night-
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Alisae lolbalance
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ig klick is right on ending the day as soon as we can. I'll vote shea if I'm satisfied with the conversation because I want to actually have the conversation about it-
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Alisae lolbalance
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I want black flipped because he's making statements like these btwIn post 4405, Black wrote: I know Klick is like conftown almost but why did that seem coordinated?-
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Alisae lolbalance
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if town that's a good observation if wolf he's trying to create more miselim opportunities where there shouldn't be-
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Alisae lolbalance
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??????????In post 4412, fireisredsir wrote: like legit info pls don't shoot MT-
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Alisae lolbalance
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