Mini 703 - A Roccisi Autumn - Over
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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I double-checked my work, and I am sure that lynching IP at this time is the correct move for optimal town results.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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the part in bold is interesting.afatchic wrote:
I said his play was extremely terrible, with all the rolefishing and everything... but then i thought about it and came to a logical conclusion why town-BoW would do that. im not asking Adel to explain why he did it.Korts wrote:This paragraph seems particularly wishy-washy, even for you, afatchic. You first state that Adel's predecessor is definitely scummy, then you assume he's town, then you demand an explanation from Adel; and finally you conclude that right now she's probably a townie. I sense a connection; such uncertainty makes me think of a partnership where you can't decide whether to bus, distance or defend.I just think my conclusion will be proven one way or the other in a lylo mass claim. if it goes the way i think it will, their would be no reason to suspect him, if it goes the other, i would be highly suspicious of him.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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afatchic wrote:
Would you like me to clarify?Also i had no indication of ever having a gun...Adel wrote:
the part in bold is interesting.afatchic wrote:
I said his play was extremely terrible, with all the rolefishing and everything... but then i thought about it and came to a logical conclusion why town-BoW would do that. im not asking Adel to explain why he did it.Korts wrote:This paragraph seems particularly wishy-washy, even for you, afatchic. You first state that Adel's predecessor is definitely scummy, then you assume he's town, then you demand an explanation from Adel; and finally you conclude that right now she's probably a townie. I sense a connection; such uncertainty makes me think of a partnership where you can't decide whether to bus, distance or defend.I just think my conclusion will be proven one way or the other in a lylo mass claim. if it goes the way i think it will, their would be no reason to suspect him, if it goes the other, i would be highly suspicious of him.
@afatchic:afatchic wrote:
when would it normally? never actually had to do a mass claim in a game i have played. actually, i have one time, but that was because almost every role was outed, and mass claim kinda broke the setup.Adel wrote:why did you expect massclaim to occur at lylo?
1. what role do you think I have?
2. what was your logical conclusion going to be based off of what I might have claimed?
3. Why did you expect that both of us would still be alive in lylo?
4. Why did you think that holding onto a way to accurately test my alignment until lylo was a good idea?
Answer these questions in a full and detailed manner quickly, or else I will vote for you.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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1. claimed vanillaKorts wrote:Adel, can you give me a quick rundown of why IP is the optimal lynch now?
2. isn't a powerrole
3. ain't going to be killed by the mafia if he is town
4. newbie card has to expire before lylo
5. low risk lynch choice-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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Ectomancer wrote:I don't think the conversation has spun to a halt.
*crickets*-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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unvote
rereading the tubby wagon, does kison's questioning of tubby seem sincere to everyone? It is difficult for me to judge objectively, but it feels to me like he was serving as just an echo chamber for the case I built. What did he add that originated from him?
Keep in mind that I nominated Kison for a scummy last year with this post
I am pretty confident that ThAdmiral was listing Kort's presence on both scum wagon's as a town-tell. Yet Kison is still advancing the notion that my presence on and promotion of the darkdude and tubby wagon's is a scum-tell against me! Getting scum lynched is not a scum-tell. I don't think Kison could honestly be that lost in WIFOM.Adel wrote:Nominate KisonforBest Performance by an Individual (Scum)for his performance in Space Monkey Mafia 2: Pigs in Space!.
In this post he set up everyone on the MikeBurnFire wagon (Lawrencelot, ooba, Erg0, mikeburnfire, armlx, Rogueben) for a later lynch and basically confirming himself as town for the rest of the game. He was never investigated by the tracker, and he never made a kill (until the end game) so the watcher never had a chance of catching him.
armlx and Rogueben were killed by the directed-kill of the town, and all three of the Traitor Pigs survived the game.
If that wasn't enough, he also ran a full game bus of The Fonz (his scum buddy) that was just strong enough for everyone to conclude that they couldn't both be scum. Both of them survived the game.
tl:dr version: There was no way Kison could've lost in this game.
vote:Kison-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't that theEctomancer wrote:Excuse me. Paranoia about a player generated by play in previous games is overrated.basisof his case against me? At the end of the day the fact remains that I didn't blink when darkdude claimed, and I built the wagon on tubby, and I made the call to hammer tubby instead of IP. I've placedworkinto scumhunting in this game. I've shared my process and been quite transparent the entire way. Since I replaced in total game activity is clearly up and players are contributing a much more even amount. We've lynched two scum. I've taken pains to make sure lazy townies won't blindly follow my lead.
Whyis Kison advancing a case upon me?-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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with deadline ~ 3 days from now, why are you voting for me Kison? Why am I the best lynch for the day?-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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We can see that you are posting in other games. Are you going to magically have internet back as soon as our deadline expires?Ectomancer wrote:Internet out. Ill try to catch up from work.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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unvote, vote: Korts
just in case Ecto wants to post that case on him.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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more like I think that it would've been better to have two competing wagons, so that IP's lynch (if it doesn't win the game for the town) will provide useful information for the next day.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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Ecto, we can still see that you are posting in other games. Why did you post in other games but not this one today?Adel wrote:
We can see that you are posting in other games. Are you going to magically have internet back as soon as our deadline expires?Ectomancer wrote:Internet out. Ill try to catch up from work.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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we are waiting for Ecto to direct a massclaim, right? So why isn't he directing it? I eliminated an obvious possible answer by checking his activity. He is posting on the site.
We have 15 days until deadline. I am starting to suspect Ecto of trying to stall this game.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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I think today should either be a Kison vs. afatchic death match, or it should be a Korts vs. afatchic death match.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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to clarify, I am voting for you, and I am willing to lynch you, but you stand a chance of being able to talk me into voting for either Korts or Kison. I am willing to listen.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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main driving force? no. I didn't let up on him though, even when he claimed a PR.Kison wrote:Right now I have Adel->Fat Chick->Korts->Ectomancer
I'm not voting yet. I want to read over some things later tonight; mainly Day Two. I don't recall Adel being the main driving force behind Darkdude's lynch as Ectomancer seems to be implying(that's what I'd constitute as hyperbussing). If I wind up being wrong on that, it'll change some things.
I considered IP to be the optimal lynch, but I wanted more information out of others, especially afatchic and theadmiral. I support two competing wagons over one, even if I agree that the one is the best lynch.
Considering you said this to me at the end of yesterday:Adel wrote:because I think we should lynch you.
...when my vote was on you, and your vote on me, I could flip this question back to you. Why did you find me to be the optimal lynch at that time yesterday?Adel wrote:with deadline ~ 3 days from now, why are you voting for me Kison? Why am I the best lynch for the day?
You weren't taking enough of a stand on the IP wagon, and I was trying to squeeze just a little bit more information out of that day. I can be talked into voting for you or even lynching you today.But, more importantly, why, if you found me to be the optimal lynch at that time yesterday, are you not voting for me right now?
My scum list: afatchic->Kison->Korts->Ecto-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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@Kison: why do you think there wasn't a scum kill N0 or N2?-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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the scum didn't have their shit together, and the mod enforced strict deadlines. Strict mod deadlines would also help explain the missing guns.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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I can't figure out how pissed I will be when Ecto is revealed to be a godfather.
The tracker, the gun inventor, and the amnesiac cop could all potentially confirm innocents or find scum. I think this would be a tough setup to balance. I don't see a dead scum-aligned roleblocker. If there is one it is Korts. If there isn't one I almost think we have a scum godfather instead.
unvote, vote:Korts
afatchic needs to find his own reasons. These are mine.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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he could confirm innocents and he possibly could trap scum in a massclaim.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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because Korts knows there is another protective or roleblocking role left unclaimed. Heknowsthat there is. So it makes since to me that he is a roleblocker as well... or Doctor, now that he mentions it.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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nice try.Korts wrote:Where did I say I know there is one? I said this:
Note bolded.Korts wrote:Ifthere are pro-town protective or blocking roles alive, please claim now
where is ecto?-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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TDC's setup was reviewed by skitzer back in July of last year
skitzer started a large normal in August:first post of mafia 82 wrote:
Have So Many Holes, They Appear to Be Swiss Cheese (16):
8. DynamoXI,[/color]Swiss Townie, Lynched Day 1
5. Erratus Apathos,Swiss Roleblocker, Cremated and Drowned Night 1
17. Netlava,Swiss Townie, Lynched Day 2
12. Cephrir,Swiss Townie, Poisoned Night 2.
7. Knight of Cydonia,Swiss Townie, Drowned Night 2.
20. Korts,Icelandic Mafia Doctor, Poisoned Night 2.
19. Sineish,Portuguese Mafia Tracker, Dismembered Night 2.,
21. StrangerCougSwiss Townie,Lynched Day 3.
6. armlx,Portuguese Mafia Watcher, Drowned Night 3.
16. Cream147,Swiss Townie, Dismembered Night 3.
24. hasdgfas,Swiss Townie, Poisoned Night 3.
4. SensFan,Icelandic Mafia Roleblocker, Cremated Night 3.
2. Battle Mage,Swiss Poisoner, Lynched Day 3.
1. raider8169,Swiss Cop, drowned Night 4.
13. Skruffs,Swiss Townie, heavily poisoned Night 4.
23. Surye,Swiss Townie, dismembered Night 4.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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I hate hate hate role abilities with random elements. I hope that is not what happened here. I hadn't seriously considered the possibility,and now I have trouble doing so because I find random mechanics so distasteful.Ectomancer wrote:I dont know that it would have been incompetence. As I said, they may have been concerned about a tracker/watcher being out there and figured if caught out using the gun inventors weapon, no problem. Rather than incompetent, I would say it would be more of a conservative approach. Remember also that it is only my guess that such a weapon would have only a percentage chance of working, but I would be surprised if the mod told the recipient that fact. Now this next part may be incompetence; if they didn't realize that the inventors gun could have a chance of not working, then they probably should have.
I'd like everyone to say which scenario you think the more likely -
1: inventor gun being used in lieu of scum nk and failing
2: Doc/Roleblocker prevented a kill n2 and doesnt want to be forced to claim today
3: Scum was inattentive and didn't send in a kill
I would say that I believe 3 to be the least likely by a wide margin. I'm not certain I believe in 2, but if I did I would believe Korts to be the remaining scum. Option 1 I am not certain who I would hold up as scum. My suspicious mind looks at how Kison ridicules the choice of using the gun instead of a scum kill N2, and actually I feel some truth behind his opinion, but I wonder if the vehemence behind it is because Tubby was Godfather and decided to do it that way over Kison's objections.
I think 2 is the most likely. 2 > 3 > 1 for me then.
Tubby, as a grown man and vet, would not be psychologically disposed to vetoing the opinion of a more experienced player.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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whenever a town player has information that scum do not have, the potential exists to trap scum. The gun inventor would know who he gave guns to, and therefor who shouldn't have guns, and who shouldn't know that extra guns exist.afatchic wrote:
How could he ttap them in a mass claim? its not scummy to claim that you received a gun, so why would they deny it and get caught.Adel wrote:he could confirm innocents and he possibly could trap scum in a massclaim.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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he kinda just went over that. idiotKorts wrote:
This theory is invalid because there was a kill n4.afatchic wrote:would it be a possibility that the mafia can only kill every other night. like n1, n3, n5; and can't kill n0, n2, n4. andmaybe the scum got the gun n0/1 and used that last night instead of their scum kill.
@afatchic: what is your case against Korts?-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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1.Serial Killer
2.Bodyguard
3.Doctor
4.One-Shot Doctor
5.Roleblocker
6.Syringe Inventor
7. "The last mafia member may use both one group ability and his role ability in the same night. Group abilities may or may not be used on themselves in that case"-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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I just read Night Watch where afatchic was town and pivotal for his side winning the game.
unvote, vote:afatchic-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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no, you paid attention and thought a couple of moves ahead. You totally don't suck at mafia, and you've been playing intellectual rope-a-dope with Korts and Kison.afatchic wrote:Adel you fail. lol. i was pivotal for my side winning because i had the most powerful role that game. Adel/korts for scum.
Guess this will be my bah post.
Bah! go town.
You never gave a case for why you think Korts is scum.
Nice try, now please just admit you are scum, I know you've played charades before. You are legitimately lynched. Claim your alignment, please.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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I don't think that would be balanced unless there were two godfathers.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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thanks for covering ABR.
~~~
we have 19 days.
Should the real power role claim now?-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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vanilla, but I can't remember being so tempted to fakeclaim as a vanilla before.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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unless it just referred to flavor text describing the kill.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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kison, does IH get replaced more often as town or scum? Is there a pattern at all?-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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I'd call ~25% (I figured 15% to 35%) normal. I agree that it is not a tell either way, unless you are horribly underreporting data.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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I agree with ThAdmiral. Plus you tried to wifom some uncertainty about Ecto's alignment following your NK of ThAdmiral. I don't know what went wrong with the N2 NK, but I think the fact that you had just replaced in probably didn't help. I also think Korts-scum would have killed me by now. I was totally playing to draw a NK from him, trying to fake him out into thinking that I was a power-role. I think Kison-scum would keep me alive to end-game.ThAdmiral wrote:
No. I was saying he was on both scum wagons, and I was saying this as a reason why he most likely isn't scum.Kison wrote:ThAdmiral wrote:was on both scum wagons.
Is this a question?ThAdmiral wrote:was korts.
These are the three wagons Korts was on at theendof each day:Day One wrote:Puta Puta (7): ThAdmiral, darkdude, Brain of Wombat, Tarballs, Korts, tubby216, EctomancerDay Two wrote:darkdude (6): Ectomancer, Korts, Adel, Rage, darkdude, insanepenguin02
Assuming that what you said wasn't a question, what makes Korts' appearance on these three wagons particularly scummy as opposed to, say, Adel/Brain of Wombat, who was also on the same three?Day Three wrote:tubby216 (5): Kison, Korts, insanepenguin02, afatchic, Adel-
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why should I prefer Korts to you?Kison wrote:I'm pretty sure I'm not.
Why do you prefer to lynch me over Korts?-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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Kison wrote:
Would Kison-scum do that? I don't believe this is the optimal endgame for Kison-scum, and here's why:Adel wrote: I was totally playing to draw a NK from him, trying to fake him out into thinking that I was a power-role. I think Kison-scum would keep me alive to end-game.
1) Ectomancer practically wrote me off earlier in the game.
please explain this. I do not understand what you mean by "practically wrote me off".
why would Korts kill ThAdmiral before Ecto?2) Korts had been Ectomancer's top pick for a long time, and would be an easier player to push into voting Korts, especially...
I accept this point. I am not sure how much I should weigh it yet.3) If you died and wound up turning up a power role, because Ectomancer backed your theory that Korts was a scum roleblocker who was rolefishing.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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I don't think Ecto was as convinced of your alignment as that quote would indicate.
~~~
hey Korts, Kison is in danger of talking me into changing my mind. You probably want to type something in this game.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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lol, Kison just got the "Best Manipulator" scummy and I got "Best performance as Mafia (Individual)" and we are in a 3-person endgame together.
how is your read going Korts?-
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IH = Kison. That is one of my remaining problems with thinking that Kison is scum.. both darkdude and tubby followed my vote onto IH.Korts wrote:
Then there's this post:
I don't see the purpose in jumping off a scumbuddy's wagon just to start another one on the other scumbuddy. Granted, the tubby-wagon didn't seem to gain momentum any time soon, but the game had been stalling for quite a while then. This whole tubby/darkdude thing fits into the profile of supporting competing wagons. If Adel is scum and purposefully did this kind of double bussing I'm nomming her for a scummy.Adel wrote:thanks for asking that question Rage. it forced me to take a second look at everything, and I don't think that darkdude is the right lynch for today.
unvote, vote:tubby
for:- 1. lurking through the game without getting replaced
2. being a possible alt
3. following my vote onto IH
4. only voting for a townie on day 1
That's it for now; it's 1:07 AM here and I'm getting up at six so I'll continue this later.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
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@Korts, why does this endgame (you + me + kison) make sense for being something that kison-scum engineered?-
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- Joined: May 23, 2007
- Location: Central Oregon / High Desert
I was this close " " to voting for you. I know what phases your other games are in and I've tracked your activity level on this site. This is an example of where playing in multiple games is hurting your chances of winning this game. You've lurked and stalled all through this game. My heart will have frozen against you if you take another week. Evidence now, please.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
- Crystalline Logick
- Crystalline Logick
- Posts: 6743
- Joined: May 23, 2007
- Location: Central Oregon / High Desert
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Adel Crystalline Logick
- Crystalline Logick
- Crystalline Logick
- Posts: 6743
- Joined: May 23, 2007
- Location: Central Oregon / High Desert
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Adel Crystalline Logick
- Crystalline Logick
- Crystalline Logick
- Posts: 6743
- Joined: May 23, 2007
- Location: Central Oregon / High Desert
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Adel Crystalline Logick
- Crystalline Logick
- Crystalline Logick
- Posts: 6743
- Joined: May 23, 2007
- Location: Central Oregon / High Desert