Mini 159 - Medieval Mafia - Game over!

Iammars · Post Post #8 (isolation #0) » Tue Feb 15, 2005 2:40 pm

Shadow! Stop following me!

Random Vote: vikingfan

'cause I don't like the vikings.
More logic to come.

Iammars · Post Post #33 (isolation #1) » Wed Feb 16, 2005 1:07 pm

@ Shadow Yeah. That's right. And there's something like the first person to claim doc is scum... I think...
I believe that we can be mathematically sure that we have 1 killing group (Mafia). Wether(sp?) or not that group is 3 or 4 people we do not know. Anyone who's intrested, check my math.

3-person Mafia

Mafia's Kill

Doc - 1/9
Not Doc -

8/9

Doc's Protect

Victim -

1/11

Not Victim - 10/11
You then need to multiply the bolded fractions together and you get 8/99 or 8%.

4-person Mafia

Mafia's Kill

Doc - 1/8
Not Doc -

7/8

Doc's Protect

Victim -

1/11

Not Victim - 10/11
You then need to multiply the bolded fractions together and you get 7/88 or 8%. (A little bit smaller than 3-person, but still rounding to 8%.)
If you want the ones for 2 killing groups, then ask me.

Iammars · Post Post #34 (isolation #2) » Wed Feb 16, 2005 1:08 pm

Also, Maximus, what's you policy on roleblocking the mafia?

Iammars · Post Post #35 (isolation #3) » Wed Feb 16, 2005 1:18 pm

I hate to trip post, but I forgot to tell you all that I will probably not be able to post Saturday, Sunday or Monday. That may change if ai am able to get internet access at the hotel at which I am staying. I doubt it.

Iammars · Post Post #37 (isolation #4) » Wed Feb 16, 2005 1:21 pm

They show, however, that we are dealing with one mafia group, which is important in strategy.

Iammars · Post Post #40 (isolation #5) » Wed Feb 16, 2005 2:20 pm

Hey! Stop insulting nerds!
*Goes to pick up the pens that fell out of his pocket protector*

Iammars · Post Post #42 (isolation #6) » Wed Feb 16, 2005 2:50 pm

I'm saying this once, and I'm saying it again.

THERE IS ONE KILLING GROUP

. The odds of there being two is 1 out of 9. Right now, play as if there is one, as it is mathematically certain.
*Wipes his huge glasses*

Iammars · Post Post #50 (isolation #7) » Thu Feb 17, 2005 4:54 am

What would be up for bet?

Iammars · Post Post #58 (isolation #8) » Thu Feb 17, 2005 11:08 am

Unvote

'cause it is a random vote.

Iammars · Post Post #75 (isolation #9) » Fri Feb 18, 2005 2:00 am

I agree

Vote: Internet Stranger

Just reiterating that I will not be available Sat., Sun., or Mon. Just sayin' so you don't lurker-lynch me.
Also, Shadow, I will take your bet.

Iammars · Post Post #105 (isolation #10) » Tue Feb 22, 2005 2:19 am

Hahahahaha. Very Funny Astronaut.
Anyway, I am back. I will check my statistical evidence as asked, but I am sure that there is one killing group. What I didn't accpunt for was roleblockers. My suggestion: If there are any role blockers, block who you did last night. If we get another night of no kills, roleblockers claim and name who you blocked the previous two nights, as they are probably scum.
I will post tonight, as I will have then had time to check the statistics on this and get back to you later. If anyone posts the flaws in mine, then i will be humbly defeated in that matter. ( i promise. I will accept defeat. Unlike I do in Math class.)
If things get worse for me throught the dya, I will roleclaim, but you won't like the roleclaim. (then again, I won't it's what got me lynched in an earilier game.)
Oh, and BTW I am back.

Iammars · Post Post #118 (isolation #11) » Wed Feb 23, 2005 2:13 am

No. Actually, what I meant about you won't like it is that my role is an vanilla townie. Not a very convincing role claim, I know, but it's what I am. You should've seen it coming Astronaut. that roleclaim was what got me lynched in the newbie game that we played. There's nothing I can do to convince you. If i get lynched later on today, then oh weel. It's been a good game.
P.S. Sorry about not posting last night. I didn't get any homework, so I couldn't get on the computer.
P.P.S. My statitics don't add up because I got killed in Animafia, but the game hasn't ended yet.

Iammars · Post Post #124 (isolation #12) » Wed Feb 23, 2005 3:31 pm

Isn't any townie dying a step closer the mafia gets to winning? The mafia get more of a chance of hitting a roleblocker, doc or cop with their night kill. However, I realize that I will probably not survive to see tomorrow "realtime" and "mafiatime". If you don't believe me, go right ahead and lynch me. I will have then estabilished a reputation of never survivng through Night 2. Oh well. Good Game everybody, and Go Town!
P.S.

Unvote, Vote:STD

. Not that ut really matters, but he was the first one to say that a lynching a vanilla is a safe vote.
P.P.S.The Shadow, why can you never spell my name right?

Iammars · Post Post #128 (isolation #13) » Thu Feb 24, 2005 12:38 am

I"M STILL ALIVE!

Probably not for muck longer...

Yes, but lynching a townie day 1 is the same thing as letting the mafia kill someone night 1 and then voying no lynch the next day. the last time I checked, that was bad...

Iammars · Post Post #137 (isolation #14) » Thu Feb 24, 2005 3:06 pm

Jst out of curiosity, how did I sound scummy?

Iammars · Post Post #138 (isolation #15) » Thu Feb 24, 2005 3:13 pm

Oh. By the way, I will be out for the weekend again. I might be able to post Sunday Afternoon, but don't count on it.

Iammars · Post Post #144 (isolation #16) » Fri Feb 25, 2005 2:19 am

Thanks for the complement IS.
I still haven't got an answer to my question.

Iammars · Post Post #262 (isolation #17) » Sat Mar 19, 2005 5:08 am

When will you people ever learn that when I roleclaim, I don't lie!

Oh, and Shadow, I completly missed the no kill option, so, you win bragging rights.
Seol, you should know millers. *cough*Az and LJustus*cough*

Iammars · Post Post #264 (isolation #18) » Sat Mar 19, 2005 7:08 am

True, true...
I do think that VD had too much fun w/ the butterflys.