Mini Normal 2306: Game Over
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Hi wil be catching up after dinner-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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First pass in my catch up and i think norweig is town. They feels just like they were last game after a quick scan of there iso.
Also my gut says one of the millers is prob scum. Town normaly has 4ish pr vs 3 scum. so it would make sense if it was intended to weaken the role like how a neap cant tell the difference between town pr and scum. Although impossible to be sure at this stage for now-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Thats never a efficient way of looking at things as although one can speculate on set up its the best way to narrow things down. As person own reads on player interfere with the belief in their claim. So it becomes not so much who out of millers is more liekly to be scum but which players you already scum read.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Not looked at sheep at all yet but i am currently looking at flav and alisae in my current pass on catch up now. Although as everyone knows scum Flav can be oilly to catch.In post 3164, NorwegianboyEE wrote: How do you read each of the millers individually then?-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Your welcome to say my gut reads arnt efficientIn post 3169, Flavor Leaf wrote:
And you just said basically my gut isn’t efficient while bringing up a gut read of yoursIn post 3166, bob3141 wrote: Thats never a efficient way of looking at things as although one can speculate on set up its the best way to narrow things down. As person own reads on player interfere with the belief in their claim. So it becomes not so much who out of millers is more liekly to be scum but which players you already scum read.
Just pointing out will not be looking at them through their miller claims.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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I always call you oilly. Didnt say you were scum or town. Just from experience when you scum you are very oily to catch. Think trying to catch an eelIn post 3170, Flavor Leaf wrote:
I literally claimed Miller in my first post of this game. This makes me LESS oily because I don’t get to claim to get me out of stuff.In post 3168, bob3141 wrote:
Not looked at sheep at all yet but i am currently looking at flav and alisae in my current pass on catch up now. Although as everyone knows scum Flav can be oilly to catch.In post 3164, NorwegianboyEE wrote: How do you read each of the millers individually then?
I will Never in my life claim Miller as Mill ever again after this game-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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mm ok so fire claimed to have been blocked n1. cant see the advantage if scum unless its a gambit. so if flav flips town then its prob not an elaborate scum gambit. so if flav is town im feeling that implies a town fire. So for now im going class fire as town lean-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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This is pretty much were i am with nurse as well at the moment.In post 3127, Hu Tao wrote: RN is acting very different to last game I was in with him where he was scum. This vibe is 180 so I want to Town read it.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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mm leaning towards Flav being town. Unless scum are informed about something i cant see Scum flav using a miller claim so early. He likes to do gambits but it doesnt look like enough time to actualy come up with a plan if it was a gambit. As he does prefer to be the first scum down so that there is so much oil around his flip that his partners are hard to find. And even hard to actual get executed when a player solves-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Why the bet on norwee rather than fire, flav or nurse who im feeling are townIn post 3179, Alisae wrote:
Would u bet the game on Norwee being town?In post 3163, bob3141 wrote: First pass in my catch up and i think norweig is town. They feels just like they were last game after a quick scan of there iso.
Also my gut says one of the millers is prob scum. Town normaly has 4ish pr vs 3 scum. so it would make sense if it was intended to weaken the role like how a neap cant tell the difference between town pr and scum. Although impossible to be sure at this stage for now-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Ive just played a game with norw not long ago and they ended up being clearly towny and I just get same impression from their posts. And those captions are just so disarming lol
I only bet the game on something like a player rolling scum 4 times in row prior being town in this game. I know its falsy but using a probality to boost hypothesis solving is far easier then starting from blank.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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My current solve is quite interesting with the osuka and tak wagons. As if my current reads are right then the early votes on the wagon and the execution are dominated by town players. So either i have read wrong or i have feeling i can determine info-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Its a foolish question to ask. i repped in lunch time and have only had 30-60 mins to catch up on long thread. How strong do you expect my read to me.In post 3184, Alisae wrote: It’s a question that gauges your Norwee tr strength.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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correction dinner time-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Flav trys to manipulate everything. If he is town and scum aswell trying to look like he is try to manipulate his partner whne is scum.
In general i mostly ignor Flav actual words and just look at what he has actualy done-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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that posts just chit chat
i have 137 pages to catch up on :-p give me a little time. i normaly spend hours on just 10 page stetch so 137 is going to take time-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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One thing to always know i only ever post less than 1/10 of what my actual reads are in any game. Not great at explain soem of them so i stopped long ago and just keep those bit concise-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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But at the moment im leaning town tak.
The wagon doesnt feel like it on scum. Based on time of day and the comp and how easy it broke down once formed doesnt lead me to think it was scum heavy. Could easily be all town.
Scum are less likely to jump on a wagon that is being pushed by allot of eager town players.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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In post 3426, Flavor Leaf wrote:
can you give reasons, other than tone/wagon composition?In post 3425, bob3141 wrote: But at the moment im leaning town tak.
The wagon doesnt feel like it on scum. Based on time of day and the comp and how easy it broke down once formed doesnt lead me to think it was scum heavy. Could easily be all town.
Scum are less likely to jump on a wagon that is being pushed by allot of eager town players.
Nothing to do with tone. more game theory, its how i do my solves.
Why it takes me tiem to catch up as ai have to follow thread through the game to see if it clashes. Which is hint of incorrect assumption-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Nope thats just egoIn post 3432, Flavor Leaf wrote: i'd bet the game on it.
i dont even care repercussions tbh.
full on focusing here cuz i know it's scum
Roden is not town.
Their osuka read was garbo. Their sakura read was garbo, and you letting scum control the game.
Any time I am ever this hard discredited in the game, I am town nearing the right solve.
Just a fact.
Believe it or not, post game I am vindicated
seen you pleanty of times being very wrong as town. And 2 days tiem you might say that about a different solves and flip back to the origianal and then to a 3rd solve all with same wording.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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But thats a matter of averages not your certainty at any given time.In post 3442, Flavor Leaf wrote:
Eh, I'm right more often than not still.In post 3440, bob3141 wrote:
Nope thats just egoIn post 3432, Flavor Leaf wrote: i'd bet the game on it.
i dont even care repercussions tbh.
full on focusing here cuz i know it's scum
Roden is not town.
Their osuka read was garbo. Their sakura read was garbo, and you letting scum control the game.
Any time I am ever this hard discredited in the game, I am town nearing the right solve.
Just a fact.
Believe it or not, post game I am vindicated
seen you pleanty of times being very wrong as town. And 2 days tiem you might say that about a different solves and flip back to the origianal and then to a 3rd solve all with same wording.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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i could believe its dunn. Either im wrong on tak or right i can see it from an interplay point from both directions. Either tak is town and scum saw it being pushed by strong down and sat back or tak is scum and scum didnt feel threatened.In post 3452, Flavor Leaf wrote:
the defense against Takutai is wild. Random, Norwegian, Dunnstral, Bob.In post 3450, Alisae wrote:
this is trivial shit to be engaging fl onIn post 3446, bob3141 wrote: But thats a matter of averages not your certainty at any given time.
do something productive ty
scum is for sure in that too, especially if Takutai ends up being town (I dont think so tbh)
From posting its clearly not norw and random feels different this game but cant be 100% that it inst just becasue we have more active posting. That game i kept feelign scum from them that game but in this one i dont. And obvous im me so i know im town-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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It doesnt matter what you think of the quality of their reads.In post 3471, Flavor Leaf wrote:In post 3466, bob3141 wrote:
i could believe its dunn. Either im wrong on tak or right i can see it from an interplay point from both directions. Either tak is town and scum saw it being pushed by strong down and sat back or tak is scum and scum didnt feel threatened.In post 3452, Flavor Leaf wrote:
the defense against Takutai is wild. Random, Norwegian, Dunnstral, Bob.In post 3450, Alisae wrote:
this is trivial shit to be engaging fl onIn post 3446, bob3141 wrote: But thats a matter of averages not your certainty at any given time.
do something productive ty
scum is for sure in that too, especially if Takutai ends up being town (I dont think so tbh)
From posting its clearly not norw and random feels different this game but cant be 100% that it inst just becasue we have more active posting. That game i kept feelign scum from them that game but in this one i dont. And obvous im me so i know im town
I would like you to explain this further.
what about not norwegian clearly from posting exactly
because i think there posts have been garbo
Tone for tone, Voting paterns and gneral read structure are identicial to the my last completed game with them.
Were as nurse and dunn arnt. Nurse was scum and dunn town that game-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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I also dont like how dunn hasnt cast any votes at all this game. Which matches my current interpretation of some of the wagon/vote movements.
If he was town this type of activity would actualy be detrimental to town as it drops the effective e-x level by one.
VOTE: Dunn-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Prob a good chance that they are.In post 3487, Random Nurse wrote: The thing that's really starting to annoy me is that people are acting as if all these Miller claims mean they MUST be Town.
Did it ever occur to anyone that Scum could be informed about there being one or more Millers in the game?-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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I have no doubt you would do such a claim as both alignments.In post 3499, Flavor Leaf wrote:In post 3495, Random Nurse wrote:In post 3488, Flavor Leaf wrote:
thats been like the basis of the talk around the millers.In post 3487, Random Nurse wrote: The thing that's really starting to annoy me is that people are acting as if all these Miller claims mean they MUST be Town.
Did it ever occur to anyone that Scum could be informed about there being one or more Millers in the game?
Exactly, and yet the problem persists that players are presuming they must be Town. An informed Scum could easily use it like a shield.
Yeah, but i dont think they did this game.
I was pushing it as Alisae for a while.
Honestly really fucking annoyed I do the correct thing as a Miller, and yet because it's me, it somehow is the mechanically most likely scum
yeah fucking right-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Hi sheep.In post 3545, sheepsaysmeep wrote: I don’t like getting prodded so here I am but I have nothing meaningful to say
Sorry for lack of availability-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Norw its alway best to take flavs claims with pinch of salt after all he so often fake claims even as town. Ive seen him make 6 fake claims in a single day as town-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Flav i hope your not faking claiming again as town simply because your not getting your way on who to execute again. Last time i played with you when you did this they flipped town-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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what do you think based on what roden has said. where tak cant be koba due to beign in game koba reviewedIn post 3606, Flavor Leaf wrote:
Same. That’s 2 meta reads pointing to Takutai scumIn post 3597, Roden wrote:
I would definitely be playing it this way and would be open to getting bussed. But uh not for that kind of scum team. If Taku seriously is Koba then they would also know this due to the SCP game a couple years back.In post 3584, Alisae wrote: If you have informed, it makes sense to want to bus it with what's going on in the game.
Hu Tao is obviously mafia and they want Roden.
Nurse ALSO said if they were kingmaker, they would kill Roden.
Takutai is very confident in Roden being mafia.
If Roden is informed, I think Hu Tao and Nurse would definitely be open to bussing it, and Roden I think would be onboard and playing how they're supposed to be playing. I still think Roden can be town though so I think getting Nurse + Takutai is just better?
Btw if they are Koba then it's literally in their meta to antagonize me as scum. Like maybe that sounds weird but the two (possibly three if I'm right about an alt) times they rolled scum against me they either hard scum read me and/or went out of their way to upset me so I'd play emotionally. Otherwise, as town and out-of-game, they brag that I'm an easy read.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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I would never trust Flav claims as town unless its day 4 or so. Seen him countless times get frustrated as town and fake a guilty of player just to get one of his scum reads through.In post 3657, NorwegianboyEE wrote:
Hmm ok.In post 2680, Flavor Leaf wrote:In post 2678, Alisae wrote:
this is arguably worseIn post 2675, Hu Tao wrote: If town pr has anything they will claim or just soft.
Hu Tao is obv scum. If I die, you’ll know that anyways.
Unless Flavour attempted to set up a future cop claim i suppose i’m leaning towards the claim being real.
Besides they already went hard on being miller so setting up another claim if that failed is a bit too much tinfoil for me to care on day 2.
I’ll trust it.
VOTE: Hu Tao-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Yep agaisn somethign flav would still do if he saw value but even more so what he would do as town. last time he started doing something liek this he triggered a mass claim day 2 which outed me as the gunsmith-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Flav wouldnt care if he thinks he has set up his partners for the win. And town flav would just be certain that hu is scum and risk itIn post 3673, NorwegianboyEE wrote: If they are town they should know we never let them live if Hu Tao doesn’t flip scum.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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In this case scum FL and town HU would mean a town dunn.In post 3669, NorwegianboyEE wrote: Like i said.
If FL is scum then he crumbed an Hu Tao guilty, kept up the miller claim for a long time. Then claimed the guilty as a fake claim later to… kill Hu Tao and save Dunnstral?
And make themselves conf!scum by day 3?
If Hu is scum then FL is less likely scum as he would be eventually counter claimed. And with one scum left FLav would of pulled such a stunt much later. And with Flav usual fake claims as town he really is only right 50%ish of teh time as he admits his town strength is not his reads but he reevaluates his reads as teh game goes on. But day 2 as town Flavs reads can be very wrong at times. They can be very right like teh game he vigged scum N1 while i was gunsmithing that same players.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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I would still say that the odds that Hu is scum is not bad. As i dont disagree with flavs read on Hu
Although i still dont like how dunn hasnt cast a single vote all game. Dunn if your town just pick someone who you think is scum.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Hard to tell if the reasons Hu Tao is being scum read is simply similar to why players scum read Hu last game.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Basicly i think flav claims should be looked into when he flips as scum always shoot FL at some point as even if scum arnt feeling the heat a town flav will make it hard for any scum to push their narative.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Ok so you think Dunn/roden/FL are 3 possible scum. Since most players day2 are never rigth about teh entire scum team and at this point there is 2 mis-executions before elo. If you found due to flips that you were wrong on 2 of them which would be the next 2 most likely players to eb scum?In post 3727, Takutai wrote:
Of course I'm still in a mood for gifts so here's just one thing I thought on earlier the morn: since my pink post I've come to realize that Roden can just be speaking the truth here. Alisae a slot im still wary offIn post 1019, Roden wrote:
I missed this post somehow and only noticed it because Alisae quoted it.In post 999, Takutai wrote:No you're scummy and I chose to ignore you once already.
I'm doing some herb I'll deconstruct the fire, tal, alisae, jason and other posible votes soon. I did expect this after all, this is a clutter game and in clutter games some town have the tendency to become lazy, desperate, confused or all of them at once.
Luckily the Osuka wagon is still like 95% a town one so plus mine we already have a lot analyze.
I agree that the Osuka wagon was townie but I also think it's weird that his wagon melted and Taku's got piled on instead.
In post 726, Radical Rat wrote:Votecount 1.6
With13alive, it takes7to hammer
Day One ends in (expired on 2023-07-28 05:00:00)
Thing is, I feel like Taku's wagon is really pure too? The only one I'm meh on is Fire andIn post 856, Radical Rat wrote:Votecount 1.7
With13alive, it takes7to hammer
Day One ends in (expired on 2023-07-28 05:00:00)maybeJason, and I heavily doubt that both are scum. I think scum are just staying off of the wagons.
Kinda hate that the Osuka wagon evaporated but no one seems interested there atp.
But
C'mon. Dunnstral/Roden/Flavor Leaf lol.
So coming back to this i fully understand why roden said i don't know what's happening this game because day two start i still fully felt my wagon had dirt on it. Makes the Sakura kill make even more sense.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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So why do you town read Hu and NurseIn post 3308, Takutai wrote:+Alisae ofc.
I don't really think it is.
This is how I see today playing out:
Hu Tao, Dunnstral, Random Nurse, Bob.
I'm not certain that all of them are town but judging by dynamics today these are the kingmakers and the players sharp scum would have pocketed long ago.
Also if your so sure Dunn is scum why even mention him in this post. As if dunn was scum he wouldnt be as you say a king maker-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Are these read scum or null reads. Is it matter that you town read other players more or that you see thing that point to them possibly being sucm. Even if you think others are more likelyIn post 3743, Takutai wrote: I am Jack's ardent engine of belief but let's say Alisae and Sheep lole.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Tak what in duns first posts did you think was scummy. As you said you had a read on him that left you feelign he was informed, what about about his first 3 most made you feel this way?
Also why did you think he was so scum by game post 1000 that you said you would ignor him. A point dunn had only made 8 posts of which 2 were simple posts (no and longer no). How did you already manage to come to a conclusion on his slot that left you feeling that you did not need to sort his slot any more.
At that point i would feel any town players would still be reading dunn as null as 6 proper posts is not enough to accurate read at that point. Regardless of what other players had already postsed in those first 2 days.-
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In post 3792, Alisae wrote: Random Nurse (3): Alisae, sheepsaysmeep, Hu Tao
Hu Tao (3): Firebringer, NorwegianboyEE, Random Nurse
Takutai (2): Flavor Leaf, Dunnstral, Roden
Dunnstral (1): bob3141
Roden (1): TakutaiOut of the 3 wagosn i prefer Tak.
Leanign scum there as the wagon comp on that day one wagon just feels like town flash wagon.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Norw dont vote up hu based on Flavs claim. As personaly i m sure he is fake claiming as townIn post 3802, NorwegianboyEE wrote: Actually fuck it, i'm just going to claim.
I am an informed townie.
I am informed that this setup has exactly 1 cop. This is why Flavours claim i think is real. I was wondering if it was Bob who was the cop at first. But now i think it's obvious it must be FLavour and scum are discrediting it.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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VOTE: Takutai-
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what is a hypo claimIn post 3832, Flavor Leaf wrote: @Bob - you’re one of the only people around that didn’t hypo claim.
Do you mind hypo claiming?-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Hu Tao is town Flav so if your fake claiming as town, just stop it.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Yep im the cop. I counter claimed straight away by saying flav scum or town gambitingIn post 3883, NorwegianboyEE wrote: Are you counterclaiming?-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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n1 norw and n2 hu tao-
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didnt like how tak wagon went down but was given a choice between a hu tao execution that was prob town. Nurse who i think is town and tak i was unsure on but the first wagon felt like all town.-
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With this gamestate an inno is more powerful then if i got guilty on you.In post 3891, Roden wrote: That adds up with Jason suddenly town reading Norwe Day 2 after scum reading him Day 1
Idk why you checked Hu Tao instead of me/Dunn/Leaf though
If flav is scum it stops his gambit by having Hu confirmed and if he is town then it stops a town fail.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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millers are anti town power. They weaken the cop to the level of a neap as i can neither confirm or guilty them. IN neap games you often have 3 town pr so in this game instead of me not being able to inno town pr I can not inno the millers. And scum can always hide in the millersIn post 3899, Roden wrote:
I forgot we have an Informed player, who's now conftownIn post 3895, Hu Tao wrote: Also I had a change of heart when sleeping. I think flavor is just scum who is informed if norwee is informed.
Uhhhh yeah 7 town PRs doesn't sound right-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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For fires claim we have to assume A that he was roleblocked or B that strongman was used and that C scum and a bg would also target the same player.
Using occam's razor A is just too unlikely. It would require 3 different actions coinciding. If scum have B then do scum really use it N1 when they know there is good chance there is a Cop.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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I read back and FL was tryign to direct teh cop at Sakura and that night sakura dies.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Yeah i was trying to do psst norw im the cop dont trust FL that day.In post 3948, NorwegianboyEE wrote: I’m kinda annoyed Bob didn’t claim cop earlier so i didn’t falsely clear FL for day 2. but i guess nobody else really was ready to vite FL by then anyways. And we did get more results from Bob.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Why roden
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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Fire with what you know now out of (below) who do you think are the 3 scum
Flavor Leaf, Dunnstral, Roden, Alisae, Random Nurse
Norw clears me and I clear hu and norw and if you were town you would know that you were town
same question to roden-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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flav knowing now that Hu and norw are town whats your solve-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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That i just want to get rid of Flav. If he is town then he is going out of his way to make everyone want to execute himIn post 4026, Hu Tao wrote: Bob what are your thoughts?-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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amount of times you have said things like that as scum. Even if you are town you must admit your making you slot so contentious that you would actual be hindrance in eloIn post 4040, Flavor Leaf wrote: like i have no qualms about that.
but thinking i could be scum is just low level analysis.-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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It wasnt me that was shining a light on me being the cop
If it wasnt for your stunt it wouldnt have been even more obvous to extent that i had to be to obvous to be the actual cop.
Either way if you get elo and your town then you will def end up elo misexecution . So either way we have to get over that gamestate now while we still at e-1. If your scum then great, if your town atleast we dont have you misexecuted in elo-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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If i had hypo claimed as you say, i would have been as dead as doornail if i had hypo cliamed a clear on norw-
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bob3141 Jack of All Trades
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