Mini 712 - Capital of the World! - (Game over!)
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Question: What are the odds of rolling doubles with two dice?Porkens wrote:Here's an outside reference, too (4 second google search)
http://wiki.answers.com/Q/What_are_the_ ... h_two_diceIf you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Are you saying they don't get the same result when they both roll 1, 2, or 3?Porkens wrote:3. The chance thatbothof you roll a 4 is 1/16: 1 out of 16 possible combinations:
1 12 1 3 1 4 1
1 22 23 2 4 2
1 3 2 33 34 3
1 4 2 4 3 44 4
4. Just change the 1d4 to a 1d11 situation (like we have) and there you go; 121 possible 2-roll combinations, only1 of those where both of you come up with the same result.If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Another question:
There are 12 players in a game. The first 11 all vote for different people so no one has more than one vote. When the 12th player votes randomly, what are the odds he doesn't vote someone with a vote already?
Last question:
There are 23 people in a room. What are the odds that at least 2 of them have the same birthday?If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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It's 1/x.Porkens wrote:If I knew more maths, I would be able to come up with the formula to find the probability of doubles on any X-sided dice
Whatever the first roll is, the other one has a 1 in x chance of being the same.
You can also think of it as there being x different ways of rolling doubles out of x2 possibilities.
I'm not going to comment on the rest since I think we're on the same page.
As an aside, I wonder if superrandomdude gets more than his fair share of "random" votes in games due to his name.If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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He doesn't seem particularly scummy to me. I think the whole math conversation was pretty pointless.Porkens wrote:whatdoyou think of MafiaPlayer?
The daykill thing was funny, but I haven't played with him to know if that is more likely as town or scum.If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Right, each has an independent probability. The probability of them occurring together is the product of their individual probabilities.kuribo wrote:
I'm talking about the probability for a die to come up 6 is 1/6, right?Sun Tzu wrote:
It doesn't. What are you talking about?kuribo wrote:And how does the result of one die coming up 6 affect the odds of the other die coming up 6?
So the probability of two dice coming up 6 is 1/6 for each die, since they do not influence one another.
Same goes for three, four, or five dice.
Flip a coin ten times, and no matter how many heads in a row you get, each flip has a 50% chance of coming up heads.If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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How is that a paradox?kuribo wrote:Of course there is.
Roll six die, individually.
There is a 1/6 chance on each roll that it will come up 6.
However, odds are that all of them won't come up 6.
That's the paradox.If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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I agree with these points, especially #3.SpyreX wrote:Also, this whole dance really makes me:
1.) Want a game where we dont get a mess of lurkers for once.
2.) Question why Kuribo takes an argumentative stance on everything thats happened yet hasn't said anything about the people playing the game aside from his join post (where he places minimal suspicion on both Porkens AND Mafiaplayer).
3.) Want delicious ham sandwiches.If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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It was a joke vote. I just haven't moved it yet.Porkens wrote:
Why are you voting for me?Sun Tzu wrote:I haven't posted anything lately because I don't have anything to say. I don't see much happening.
The math stuff was pointless and didn't lead anywhere. Now we're arguing about who's playing mafia.
You said you agreed to the case on Mafiaplayer, and you haven't presented one on me, so explain your vote.
I'm going to take a nap and then reread the thread and cast a serious vote.If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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I don't think my wagon is scum-driven. I think you guys just suck at this game.
I'll defend myself when I know what the charges are.
Right now people seem to be saying I need to prove I'm town. That's ridiculous.If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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So the case against me is that I engaged in inane conversations started by other people?roflcopter wrote:hey sun tzu, quitcher bitchin'
roflcopter, one page ago wrote:and sun tzu did literally nothing yesterday but engage in inane side conversations, aka textbook active lurking, and then hop on the mafiaplayer wagon late when it was clear mp was going down in flames, aka textbook bussing
That's a pretty weak reason to lynch a townie.If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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That's not a strawman. It's what you said.roflcopter wrote:
nice strawman and appeal to emotionSun Tzu wrote:So the case against me is that I engaged in inane conversations started by other people?
That's a pretty weak reason to lynch a townie.
It's not an appeal to emotion. Please explain how you can interpert it that way.
If I'm guilty until proven innocent, so is everyone else. I've never played a mafia game were people were expected to prove their innocence, especially on day 2. No one else can prove their innocence either.roflcopter wrote:
nice deflectionSun Tzu wrote:Hey, roflcopter, I haven't seen your proof that you are town.
I'm not stalling or deflecting.roflcopter wrote:
well, apparently that was a lie, because i just highlighted the charges against you, which you blatantly ignored the first time around, and instead of even trying to defend yourself when you had to acknowledge them, you stall and deflect.sun tzu wrote:ote="sun tzu"]I'll defend myself when I know what the charges are.
I admitted to the math talk. It doesn't make me more likely to be scum.
The "bussing" argument is circular. Bussing is scum voting for scum. It's stupid to say I'm scum because I voted for scum. A lot of people did.
In fact, if I were scum, I would have voted him a lot sooner.
Your case looks like a lot of contrived bullshit.roflcopter wrote:need more votes here. looking at you perardua, it should be obvious at this point we're not going to get a real response from him, so your excuse to not be voting looks like a lot of contrived bullshit.
Instead of adressing my points or making logical arguments, you are just throwing terminology around. You haven't given any rational reason to think I am scum.
I could say, "it should be obvious at this point I'm not going to get a real response from roflcopter", but I'm not an asshole and I don't claim to be able to predict the future.
By the way, what does the town learn when I get lynched and come up town?If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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lolroflcopter wrote:
if that happens, we've learned that you don't know the first thing about playing the game of mafia.sun tzu wrote:By the way, what does the town learn when I get lynched and come up town?If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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No, I am obvious town. If you think I seem scummy, it's you who has no clue how to play this game.roflcopter wrote:
i am an asshole, but i'm an asshole who caught scum with his thumb up his asssun tzu wrote:I could say, "it should be obvious at this point I'm not going to get a real response from roflcopter", but I'm not an asshole and I don't claim to be able to predict the future.
I've played with you before though and I know how bad you are. You're a mislynch specialist as any role. Your batting average on finding scum is probably worse than rand().If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Here's an example of a contentless fluff post.roflcopter wrote:spyrex, we should use your kill as a second lynch. you should kill the person most likely to be lynched the following day, to either a) bag a scum or b) save us the mislynch so we can move on to finding more scum
That would probably be a good choice. Roflcopter would be a good alternative.roflcopter wrote:at this point, i think it would be wise to for you to vig: perarduaIf you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Do you really think there is a list of reliable scum tells that scum obediently follow in order for you to catch them with a checklist?roflcopter wrote:read the wiki
The way to read someone is to try to understand why they do what they do and why they say what they say.If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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What are you talking about? What does this have to do with what I said?roflcopter wrote:
what? whaaat? what the fuck do you do on day two then? sit around and play fucking duck duck goose? somebody gets lynched every day.Sun Tzu wrote:If I'm guilty until proven innocent, so is everyone else. I've never played a mafia game were people were expected to prove their innocence, especially on day 2. No one else can prove their innocence either.If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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Sun Tzu Goon
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What is hypocritical about that? Do you know what "hypocritical" means?roflcopter wrote:in this thread sun tzu takes his ball and goes home
you are a hypocrite because:
sun tzu wrote:Don't assume everyone involved in MP's lynch is town.sun tzu wrote:The "bussing" argument is circular. Bussing is scum voting for scum. It's stupid to say I'm scum because I voted for scum. A lot of people did.
The statements are consistent.If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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If you're town, you are the worst townie ever.kuribo wrote:ps-
and i use "if you're town" in the most vastly loose sense of the word, in the sense that monkeys may also fly out of my butt one day
Unlike you, however, I am going to give a reason. You are saying you are certain I am scum when you have no reason to think so.
If you're town and you are surprised when my role is revealed, you should think about the reliability of your "tells". I would have made those same posts (about he math) as any role, so it is a null-tell that says nothing about my role. Your certainty that I am scum, is either fake (i.e. you are scum and just preparing for my role reveal, or evidence of poor mafia skills. There is little reason to think I am more likely to be scum than chance, let alone to think you're certain.
That's a pretty good scum tell, by the way. Look at rofl and Kuribo after I'm gone.
Neither has addressed my points and they both claim to be sure I am scum.
If they are so sure, put their asses on the line.
Kuribo, are you confident enough in your read of me that you are willing to be lynched or vig-killed when I come up town, or are you full of shit?If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.-
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Sun Tzu Goon
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most clear players: spyrex, porkens
Spyrex is practically confirmed as vig. Soveliss makes no sense as a scum kill. It's possible that he is actually sk, but that seems unlikely and that's not worth worrying about unless he doesn't get killed for a while.
Porkens started the case against MP and got him lynched.
CF Riot seems ok so far. I liked his one post.
scummy: kuribo
His tone seems scummy to me and he is saying a lot of stuff that makes no sense. I haven't played with him before so i don't know for sure. I guess he could just be stupid and obnoxious. I'll give him the benefit of the doubt and assume he's scum.
unvote; vote kuribo
TAX seems odd and needs to post more.
I don't like PerArdua's post about my wagon taking off too fast. That seems like the kind of thing scum might say to keep their hands clean from a mislynch. It's extra scummy to vote for me while saying that.
I'm torn on roflcopter. I have played with him before and his scum and town games are similar. In both roles he pushes townies hard for stupid reasons.If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.