Open 83 - Polygamist Mafia (Game over!) before 628
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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Ok, so current thoughts after first 7 pages (tired, don't want to forget stuff).
Chenhsi's claim initiative seems town to me.
Do not like this one bit (page 5, re: gimbo), as well as his vote hop to chelseafan and his original vote on gimbo.knight wrote: even if you end up being a townie, you deserve to die for a stunt like that...
Current listings:
Scum:
Knight
Null:
Those not listed yet
Town:
Chenhsi
Chelseafan
SpyreXAway Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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Lynch set up from Knight.actually, I say we take out spyrex. i personally think there's a good chance he's mafia, and even if he isn't, gimbo surely will be.
FS seems town in this game based on comparison with his completed game as town and ongoing stuffs.
Someone correct me if I am wrong, but pairs are:
Me/Skruffs
adel/Spyre
fl/ShyGuy
Harvey/Zeek
FS/Namless?
Money atm is on Fl/Shyguy/Harvey/Zeek scum, only 11 pages in tho.Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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The Zeek/Harvey argument on 13 is very odd for two people who are supposed to know each other is town.mb/scummy/stretching, esp. since I know Chelseafan had issues and had to
chen's response to being wagoned was dumb, but I can't say I didn't expect it from him regardless of alignment.
I like how Zeek says he suspects Knight/fl then just attacks on his other scum pairing.
Adel's list thing is odd, but expected from her.
I'm going to have to read page 21 at least once more. I think its pretty important to alignments/connections.
570 sounds like a lot of stretching from Shy Guy.
599: Distancing factor... orly? Adel's 600 sums up my feelings on this well.
658: Trying to apply reasoning to replacements is dube replaced in one of my games as well which makes it completely null.
So, my scum listing stands (fl/shy guy/Zeek/Harvey). Most confident ShyGuy/fl is scum, small chance of FS/nameless beign scum IMO, but not large enough I wouldn't be comfortable voting Zeek/Harvey over Fl/ShyGuy to ensure a lynch on one of the 2 "groups".
As for most town, I would have to say Adel/SpyreX by far.Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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fl's play has been neutral at best.It also seems that you have no reason at all to be suspicious of my partner, that you've stated. Is this correct?
I like how you twist my arguments to make them look like me attacking you for being pro-town here.-Knight was frustrated with Gimbo's play.
-Knight thought Spryex and Gimbo were both suspicious and thought that lynching both of them was not a bad idea.
-I tried to make cases day 2 about day 1 actions while many other players either sat back and did nothing or tried to attack cases being made day 2.
I suggest you read the part where he auto-claimed in response to Gimbo pushing the movement.I read over chenhsi and tried to find where he pioneered mass claiming and pushed for it strongly, and couldn't
Skruffs, would you be willing to vote Shy Guy over Adel?Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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Nothing majorly pro-town + flip/flop on Gimbo + odd FoS on Zeek that was not followed up on, which contrasts the one of Nameless (notice how I think Zeek is scum too).What makes you say this? You don't think that there is a single town-tell she's given off all game? Neutral is the best possible evaluation you can make of her?
Or are there some scum tells that balance out town tells? If so, what are they perchance?
1. Being frustrated with someone's actions does not mean you lynch them regardless of alignment as Knight was implying.Well, when I said that, I asked if I was making a significant miscategorization. You haven't responded in the affirmative, just made this snarky little remark.
I don't think I am twisting your arguments, and honestly it sure did look like you were attacking me for being pro-town.
If you were not and there is some logic that I missed, I would like to be enlightened, so I am not misled into thinking you are scum trying to push a crap-logic filled case on me. If I am able to see such logic, I'd be able to reason with you and try and convince you that you are wrong. As it is, though, it seems to me there is nothing I can argue against; again to use your words, it seems you are attacking me for being pro-town.
2. Being suspicious of two people does not mean you say "We lynch x then y".
3. First of all, just because your case was based on D1 actions doesn't mean it is a valid one. You are ascribing lying, a term that often brings about quick lynches, to a scenario where it at best vaguely applies, and saying that because someone didn't vote someone they attacked it is scummy. Your "case" was reaching at best.Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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Scum are always more likely to delay on a claim. Claiming has a tendancy to out scum really fast.Okay. Why does auto-claiming as soon as someone brings it up seem like a town move to you?
The one I'm thinking of is ongoing.I am loathe to meta-game, and certainly will not put the effort forward to read through all of chenhsi's games to clear him of being scum. If you wish to direct me to some specific posts you'd like me to read, I'd be willing to. I am not willing to 'go metagame chenhsi'.Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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I see no posts by knight that make me feel that he thought if Gimbo was town, then SpyreX had to be scum, merely that accusation.It makes more sense if you see their alignments as likely correlated in some way. In this game, such statements have the potential to make a lot of sense. However, again I haven't read Knight so I don't know the context, and I agree that his play was unimpressive. If my reading his play in depth and offer whatever explanation I can give for his actions would be of great use, I'd be willing to do so.
It was unreasonable to describe her actions as lying, not only given the implications of ascribing lying to a situation, but given Adel's play style as well.Why was my case reaching? Why was it unreasonable to accuse Adel of lying and see her response? Could you describe in more detail the substantive problems of my case?Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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This is not an excuse.think from his play in this game though, it is not unfair to say he is a relatively inexperienced player, who potentially thought that play made sense or didn't think it through.
When someone makes a bogus case, I never buy this excuse.you've also not addressed how in part I was attempting to get a reaction and judge it.
I never said quick lynch, but it definitely works to blow minor issues out of proportion.I think your analysis that calling someone a liar will lead to a quick lynch in lylo is very misguided.
I still think the mafia have more incentive to make the game work in an unpaired fashion.armlx, do you agree with my analysis about early claiming? Why/why not?Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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Foolishness is excusable, scumminess is not.I'm terribly confused as to why it is not an excuse. You agree that he is an inexperienced player, but claim that this is no excuse for some of his actions being foolish?
How are you not setting up a double standard?
I am proving chenshi's response to attacks was a null tell based on meta, not excusing it on a general basis of being inexperienced.
If you could point me to where you analyzed these reactions you found outside of the context of your argument, I'll consider it, but I did not see this reaction-response in your posts and as such disbelieve your motives.Again, I must say, I am terribly confused as to why you never "buy" this "excuse". Just a post or two ago you were saying that we should meta-game Adel. By no means consistently, but sometimes, Adel will make bold statements just to get reactions. In fact, it is not unreasonable to say that the statement I am calling lying and you are trying to say was so far from a lie that in fact I am scummy to call it a lie is just such a statement!
Why is it OK for Adel to make statements to get reactions but not for me to? Or do you not never buy it as an excuse, rather you only buy it as an excuse when there is "meta-evidence" that it has been done before? If so, I can guarantee you I've made bold statements to get reactions in the past. If this isn't the reason that it is OK for Adel to make statements to get reactions but not me, I would love to hear it!
Again, you seem terribly close to consciously setting a double standard. How are you not?
Its a pretty far cry. And I suggest you reread what happened at the end of D1. During that whole time Adel tried to reason a slowing of the Gimbo wagon."Blows minor issues out of proportion" is not a far cry at all from "brings relevant issues under more scrutiny". Why do you think this was a case of the former and not the latter?
Why does this matter?What evidence do you have that I though it was a case of the former and not the latter? I can see how it possibly might be reasonable for you to think it was a minor issue that didn't need examining, but what makes you think I thought it was a minor issue that didn't need examining?
They have both. If they can postpone it till day 2 most of the damage has been done. Also, you are falling into the trap of saying that given the choice, scum will act in a pro-town manner that is only mildly harmful to them. The reason scum hunting works is the scum tend to act too overtly in ways that do not follow their optimal play.Do you think the mafia has an incentive to look more suspicious, or less suspicious? Considering your answer to this question, and the likely inevitability of mass claim, do you think that mafia have incentive to support mass claim, or to oppose it?Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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Where did I say the actions Chenhsi did were not scummy in the abstract? I only said that in the case of Chenhsi, I could show that they were not.And how do you draw the line between chenhsi's actions and Knight's other than that it is convient for you to clear chenhsi? Why, objectively, is chenhsi only foolish and not scummy, but Knight scummy (and not foolish??)?
Its more chenhsi responds in a manner when attacked that doesn't really interact with the attacker's questions. He has a tendency to scramble about saying nothing under pressure.What is the meta of chenhsi pray tell? That he is only concerned with his own survival and willing to divert attention to anyone else besides himself? That "meta" could be figured out from this game as well. Chenhsi's excuse is just as general and no more significant because it comes from meta, and in my opinion less significant.
I do not feel your questions have to do with her reactions to your attack as you are stating now, and are instead a continuation of your logic that was "only to draw reactions".However, I went back and forth with Adel about both cases (the second is really a natural continuation of the first), and am still trying to engage in dialogue with her.
I don't agree. Mafia is a game of analyzing actions. If we are to talk about motives, there are infinite ways for any post to have a motive that goes either way, but examining how an action benefits one side or the other gives a clear answer that can then be combined with probability of being accidental to come to a conclusion. As I see it, your action was one that had large payoffs as scum (a case with no basis that looks genuine) and given the thought put into it is hard to be excusable.
If I thought it was a significant issue, even if it really was just a minor thing, it means I was acting with every intent of finding scum. If I truly believe it was an important issue, regardless of whether it is or isn't, my thinking that it was is of utmost importance.
Mafia is a game of determining motives. Of course determining my motive in bringing up the case would be important!
How does the "getting frustrated" not fit with arguing against her partner to no effective chage?Adel's actions near the end of day one are exactly why I find her suspicious. She came up with the very plausible idea that lynching Chelseafan would be good because if he was town it would clear Gimbo, and that Chelseafan was likely scum. She then, however, only spent all of two days pursuing this notion, and the largest opposition was from her partner. I believe that not even everyone had commented on the idea. She then "got frustrated" and hammered Gimbo even though she claims she thought the Chelseafan lynch would have been much better.
No, I believe that other people in this game were under the impression of number 2 and it was easy for the mafia to agree with them and cause a swing towards no claim.This to me reveals that either you: (1) are just trying to justify your statements and don't believe what you are saying, (2) don't understand how powerful and necessary mass claim day 1 is in this setup, (3) think that the mafia would be able to fool the entire town about how powerful and necessary mass claim day 1 is in this setup.
That said, I am willing to go back and look at those who opposed mass claim D1.Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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Hmm, thats odd. This was part of a completely separate point that somehow got half deleted. Someone (I can't remember who right now), started insinuating CF's replacement was due to being under pressure, and I was saying that is reaching to begin with, especially since I know CF has comp issues and had to replace out of the game I am modding.mb/scummy/stretching, esp. since I know Chelseafan had issues and had toAway Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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Which tell?skruffs and armix are the only couple I have a solid tell against.
How about you just assume they are town as per your trust a person theory for the purposes of one reread?so Shy Guy and FL are my most town-like at this point, which leaves me in a bit of a mess since Shy Guy seems convinced that I am scum, and I'm not able to clear them enough in my mind to really take a crack at the remaining relationship using thier alignment as a "certain town".Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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On meta: I realize Shy Guy, but the similarities seems so shocking to me its obvious.
I'm not seeing that.That's not what he did here -- he diverted attention to anyone else besides himself, quite blatantly.
You tried to use a fair understanding of mafia logic to construct it, which is evident. You obviously intended it to look that way. I'm not sure if "looks genuine" is the right phrase for what I am trying to say, but it gets the general point across.Seeing as how absolutely no one, not even my partner, has bought into it, I don't see how this case "looks genuine", and since I still strongly believe in the tells I found on chenhsi, I don't see how it has no basis.
Belief != truth btw.
Have you ever been in that scenario? Where you are trying to explain why someone is town, no one is listening, and the person is such an idiot regardless you aren't even sure their behavior is anything better then null tells?She reasoned brilliantly that Chelseafan town would prove Gimbo town, and lynched Gimbo anyways.
Why do you disagree with me on my analysis of the mass claim situation?
Where did anyone say that?He is trying to push away from a him-Skruffs pairing with whatever reasoning possible, no matter if it is good or bad, like the "scum wouldn't pair two newbies together" reasoning.
I'm interested how you can say this, despite your own counter argument of your belief in the case mattering.He also is trying to keep saying that I am scummy even though from my perspective I have refuted to a very reasonable benchmark his arguments.Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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I disagree with this being reasoning to just give up on assuming they aren't scum.Adel wrote: Shy Guy is good, and I don't have anything against him that could hang him, and I doubt that if he is scum I'll ever be able to build a case against him in this game that will stick.
While that is a slight overstatement of his post, I've got nothing to counter that point.Shy Guy wrote: The part where he said "if you think me and Chelseafan are scummy, and Gimbo is also scummy, don't lynch me, just lynch Gimbo" (paraphrasing).
I'm simply saying that if your case was clearly completely devoid at attempts at logic, the fact that it is bad logic could possibly be dismissed.Wait, a post ago you were saying that intent doesn't matter/we can only analyze actions. Now you are saying I used mafia logic to construct it... or that rather, I tried to make it look that way. Are we trying to figure out my motives, or not?
Looks superficially logical is a better descriptor here. Does it make sense now?I'm confused/the point isn't getting across. If it looks genuine, why is it suspicious?
But again, belief is impossible to prove.Again though, if I believed it was true, I was trying my best to find scum.
I'm simply trying to see if you understood the scenario, or just had no experience. Trying to defend someone who is only scummy outside of the case of their own stupidity is one of the most frustrating things in mafia.I think so, in the first game I played on here. It was a rather complicated mini game hosted by Mr. Stoofer. I thought one player was town and kept my save-them vote on them until the end. I was wrong, but I got lynched anyway so it didn't matter. Why do my experiences matter here?
Sure, but there was so much resistance to it early D1 that something must have been going on.Because it is so obviously a good idea to do it, and MafiaSSK brought up a link to another game where they did it and town won.
It was Skruffs, take it up with him. I don't believe that is necessarily true at all.Um, maybe it was Skruffs who said this but one of you said that C+C was implausible because both of them were new.
My point here was that you are calling me out on a case you feel was poor without considering if I believed it was true, despite wanting me to the same to you. And you say I had double standards.Belief is another thing. Either you can be convinced my case is good, or that at least I believed it was. I think I've argued pretty persuasively that I believed it was good, and I don't see how you've argued against that except to say that we can't analyze motives...
So your accusation of buddying goes back to me replacing in and running it from the first reread?I was under the impression that Spryex had been pushing a case on Zeel/me since before you replaced in...Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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The "I'm just an idiot" excuse could apply. If you had realized your error earlier, the "I don't know what I was thinking" excuse could apply. But as you meant your case and fairly strongly followed up on it, neither of those do.If it was devoid of all attempts, then its lacking could be dismissed? Why?
Belief is rooted in your own assumptions of people's actions, not the visible effects of them.Nothing is possible to prove with absolute certainty. I don't see why belief is any more difficult to prove than other things.
Can you see why someone would though?It was frustrating, but I didn't just give up because it was frustrating.
Fair nuff. Again, I direct you back to my first posts where I basically said the same thing.No just, the way he brought it up, and then you immediately said "yeah I like Spryex's ideas" (paraphrasing) struck me the wrong way.
I agree with Adel's analysis of FS's posting patterns, being in one of the aforementioned games.Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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This is true.I think both Adel & Firestarter overreacted about Firestarter.
I'm interested in FS. His posting pattern says he is scummy (don't try to pass it off as not lurking, I know the relative # of posts even going back further then your reduced posting time is low), but his actual posts I think indicate he is town to some extent.
Still rather lynch Zeek/Harvey/ShyGuy/FLAway Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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WOWIE. Stretch much? I'd expect anyone to go "OMG LOL U SAID 3 I IZ NOT DUMB" like Cyber did.I'm actually fairly pleased with the result. I'd have expected a townie to claim who his lover was, and you didn't.
Cyber's lack of "X is my partner" is irritating however.
Skruffs needs to post that big post.
I don't like how Shy Guy tries to make his last scum group analysis look relevant but its really "Of A, B, C, and D, any of them could be scum".Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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You make it look like you are coming to a conclusion, when your posts says "Of the other 8 players, any of them could be scum". Pairing them out means nothing.armlx, you say I am trying to "make it look" relevant. is it not relevant? why?
Your attack was before the refusal to claim, only in response to the "Nice try brah".how the crap am I stretching, when you say that him not claiming is irritating you as well?Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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And what does that conclusion even mean? Absolutely nothing. You have not said anything that helps anyone figure out who is scum, just made arbitrary pairings amongst everyone that isn't you.?? I did come to a conclusion. It is you and Adel, or the other four.
No, your attack based on his response to your inquiry. His refusal came after that.No... my inquiry came before his refusal. People keep assuming this was an attack...Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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I concur, but I don't think giving him credit for the feasible pairings counteracts the former.All in all, it was useless to the extent of "Everyone but me could be mafia" so worse, but the idea of "These pairs make more sense" is going to be an avenue we will persue.
Waiting on Cyber I think.Do we have everything we need for the list?Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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As much as I think Adel is town, this is pretty scummy.(shy guy: I will return my vote on Skruffs if you don't get aboard the Cyberbob/Nameless wagon, but I feel pretty confident that this is the one that will lynch scum)
As I have seem to have failed to do so long ago,Vote Shy GuyAway Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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Because if Erg0 = scum, and FL isn't, the Erg0/Nameless pair would be the one I'm looking and, and that seems odd to me.I'm confused. Why do you have a problem with FL voting for Erg0?
If FL is scum, what about Erg0 being scum? FL/SG are the 2 scummiest people in the game IMO, and their sudden vote of Erg0 makes me think its too much to be bussing in that case.
Though each group has 1 person voting Erg0, so I dunno what its worth.Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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Which question? When was this asked?since you are basically dodging that question, why are you comfortable with Nameless voting with you? That implies that you feel that Nameless is town. Why do you think Nameless is town?
And that said, I feel the Nameless/FS pair was the 2nd least likely of the others to be scum. Erg0 + SG was the one I was pretty much sure on. Mainly due to the aforementioned scumminess of Shy Guy, and Zeek's documented transgressions.Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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I don't know. My main response is other people are more scummy.Why should I think you are town?
They could be, just SG has been so scummy I can't see otherwise.You have no evidence for why you think that Nameless and Erg0 would not be scum together. You have no evidence for why Namless would be town.Away Wednesday the 24th through the 31st-
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armlx Most JDTay-like
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