Open 251 - Hobbits Medical Mafia (Game Over)

[Exilon]

Question. Assuming this is a bit like Dethy (which seems to be, from my point of view), what are your thoughts on no-lynch?
Personally I don't see a real downside except for the fact that then we might lack on discussion.

[Exilon]

In a game with no guaranteed sanities and powerless mafia, and because there IS NO SANITY REVEAL UPON DEATH, a no-lynch is statistically better for town (Applying to Day 1 principles) and allows the person that wasn't lynched to try his action, giving town more leeway to figure out their sanities, and specially what sanities do not coincide (therefore scum).

I think that's the gist of it, feel free to dissect it. It's just somewthing that came to me a while ago and that I thought could be a good idea with proper discussion.

[Exilon]

I don't really like Vasu's strategy. I feel it is quite unnecessary.

I feel CSL is rushing into conclusions, unless his meta is like this.

Almaster is someone I kinda know so I know he's like this xD Still:

The way things are going right now, I think we can win off dayplay and skip the whole sanity quackage.

We're on Page 2, that is highly volatile. In other words, it's very wishful thinking.

[Exilon]

lol no.

VOTE: Espeonage.
So. F*. OBVIOUS.

Ok, let's try this line of reasoning. Scum most obviously targeted AGM, for obvious reasons. This strongly implies Esp is scum, due to his behaviour Day 1. Therefore FakeGod cannot be a CPR doc. He must have had one of two roles - either Quack or Naive. I wasn't targeted by anyone, therefore I can only also have one of two roles. For now, there are still several combinations which are possible, but it can be safe to assume something along thse lines:

1. Exilon* [CPR doctor/Quack Doctor]
2.

VasudeVa

[????]
3. gandalf5166 [Nurse - now ???? doc]
5. FakeGod* [Quack Doctor/Naive Doctor]
6.

AlmasterGM

[????]
7. bv310 [????]
8. CSL [???? - not weak]
9. Espeonage [SCUM] [or ????]

Either there was a crosskill or a paranoid doc blocked either CPR/Quack/scum. Probabilities (correct me if I'm wrong), and general play suggest there was a crosskill instead of a paranoid block.

With one more night, we should be able to get another confirmed town. Obviously

Espeonage

scum will try to make it look like one of the quack/CPR docs is scum. Obviously, this poses several problems, as there's no guaranteed way to find if someone indeed sent some action, or not.

Still, I won't be targetting anyone tonight, if Esp ends up being town. I suggest Fakegod still targets the next one in line, as it should give us useful information.

[Exilon]

PEOPLE NEED TO POST.

[Exilon]

A CPR doc protects someone if that person was targetted for a kill. If not, the 'protection' actually kills the person.
Why do you say it might be wrong?

[Exilon]

Wait whut

I didn't target anyone tonight, as I said I wouldn't day 2.
Therefore, that leaves this.

1. Exilon*

3. gandalf5166

5. FakeGod*
7. bv310

8. CSL

If I didn't target anyone, that means CSL was targetted by scum. Either thar or he was weak doc. Having that said, Fakegod is obviously town.

BV is scum.
You can logic about it all you want, but that's the gist of it.

VOTE: BV310

[Exilon]

I know that I saved you last night and you're still alive. I also know that Exilon claims to have targetted nobody, but the only person who wasn't protected is dead.

Failed attempt. In his last post, BV talks about how one of us can be the scum left but makes no mention of specific names.

That last sentence is a little fail. How does that make me scum?


Oh wait ninja post.
HUm. I like that no-lynch idea, I guess, but it needs better polishing.

[Exilon]

FakeGod, be careful.
None of us can be weak doctor, and you can be any of quack/CPR.
So, right now, we have:

A doctor who always kills.
A doctor who kills if the target isn't targetted.

Right?
therefore, if we no lynch and one of us kills BV, we win.

Now think a second, Fake. How can you be sure me and him are gonna target each other?
Hum oh I see.
Great then, we win this without need for a vote today.
UNVOTE:

Before I vote no-lynch, is there something I missed?

[Exilon]

Ah, wait.
Fake, so you don't target anyone.

One of us (whoever is not scum) targets the other which is undoubtedly scum.
Scum can only target one of the townies.
1 townie ALWAYS left.
Victory assured.

right?

ENTER THE BASTARD MOD. *dun dun dun* jk -Andy

[Exilon]

Obvious victory, Fakegod.
Good game, BV.

UNVOTE:
VOTE: No Lynch

[Exilon]

I also to /pre-in. Cause I love Mini-themes, as you might have noticed.
Just a quick question: Did scum know the real role of the docs?

Very good game, guys!
And whoohoo, I survived until the endgame =)