wait didn't they claim commuter day 1In post 4846, Dunnstral wrote:GIF was a commuter. TheyIn post 4843, Frozen Angel wrote: popcorn GIF thoughalsoclaimed.
or was that drixx?
wait didn't they claim commuter day 1In post 4846, Dunnstral wrote:GIF was a commuter. TheyIn post 4843, Frozen Angel wrote: popcorn GIF thoughalsoclaimed.
No, they are getting a result that confirms my claim and theirs. I made sure there was no escape from me claiming this role in day 2. I went on explaining how rare the role is how passive it is, how RB has no effect on it, how not important the role is in general, and I used literal words of the claim and explicitly said I claimed it on my first post of day 2 which doesn't have any other crum in it to be used for fake claims, so my claim would still be irrefutableIn post 4849, Dunnstral wrote:If a tracker targets you they are wasting their actionIn post 4838, Frozen Angel wrote: There was no point for an early claim as it doesn't mess with watcher/tracker its just an extra explainable result anyway if those role even exists.
If FB is town and got the role cause black targetted them, I still think the black night kill means scum were worried he would target a scum and they didn't want her to claim action.In post 4855, Klick wrote:This!In post 4779, GuyInFreezer wrote: We kinda also limmed the jailkeeper so that’s one less interference. I think role magically randomly on FB is kinda too coincidental so I think it’s safe to assume FB is town and got the role?
People are talking about FB randing it as someone in the PoE like that's some particularly likely occurrence.
The claim doesn't need to be confirmed with any investigation roles. The roles are being swapped hand to handIn post 4856, Dunnstral wrote: It doesn't confirm your claim because mafia can also be seen targeting the night kill, even if they have that role as their fake claim
as I said its like that for people since its a rare role.In post 4862, Klick wrote:If it were obvious you wouldn't feel the need to slow roll itIn post 4811, Frozen Angel wrote: My claim cant be fixed its litteraly on that post in a pretty obvious manner already so I don't think I need to rush it
In post 4160, Firebringer wrote:Okay 'commuter'In post 4159, GuyInFreezer wrote: Also please don't use Demon Slayer as an example to dissuade mech.
That setup was at waaaaaaaaaay at the end of the spectrum.
We're not playing in a setup where we have 2 poisoners, 2 redirectors, a bus driver, and some sort of deathproof scum that can kill every town members.
In post 4161, GuyInFreezer wrote: Hey I stopped a nightkill, which was far better night actions than what most of the town did.
I didn't say it says anything about my alignment, just that I had been truthful that I would have been visiting the target.In post 4882, Ircher wrote:How does it confirm you? Couldn't hou be scum that performs the kill?In post 4854, Frozen Angel wrote:No, they are getting a result that confirms my claim and theirs. I made sure there was no escape from me claiming this role in day 2. I went on explaining how rare the role is how passive it is, how RB has no effect on it, how not important the role is in general, and I used literal words of the claim and explicitly said I claimed it on my first post of day 2 which doesn't have any other crum in it to be used for fake claims, so my claim would still be irrefutableIn post 4849, Dunnstral wrote:If a tracker targets you they are wasting their actionIn post 4838, Frozen Angel wrote: There was no point for an early claim as it doesn't mess with watcher/tracker its just an extra explainable result anyway if those role even exists.
and some one else must be with the role today anyway so the existance of this role is not a mystery in a setup with roles that swap hands like this - wont stay a mystery forever.
so no the track wouldn't be wasted at all
what does this even mean?In post 4926, GuyInFreezer wrote:Do I want to fall for this?In post 4813, Frozen Angel wrote: so FB got the caterer and the original owner of role died?
My mind is not really in game like the rest of you, but why would scum kill black if they couldn't use that for a gambit/fake clearing themself attempt? Black seems like a very weird choice of kill tbh
I just wanted it loud and clear claimed. so the grave crumb you posted right before I claimed grave digger was confirming you got my claimIn post 5309, Thestatusquo wrote:surprised you're asking this, I didn't think I was being particularly subtle.In post 5302, Frozen Angel wrote: the tracker claim is what was missing from this setup where gravedigger is in.
can someone else confirm gravedigger exists or is it randed to scum/dead on all other phases?
a miller to tracker watcherIn post 5316, GuyInFreezer wrote: What’s a gravedigger
oh yeahIn post 5323, kuribo wrote:If I'm scum then Shea would have to be scum too because he received my visionIn post 5321, Frozen Angel wrote: at this time I think we have some possibilities:
1 - kuribo and richer are town, this means shea is town I guess, the scum is in Drixx, Dunnstral,GuyInFreezer, Pink Ball, Save The Dragons which means a 4/5 from that group
2 - kuribo and richer are scum and for some weird reason they claimed something like a masonry early that no one else confirmed, in this scenario shea can be town or scum I guess cause they got the caterer for real or not but its most likely town unless if scum planned to claim visionary cast like that (?), and then the remaining scum are hidden in rest.
regardless there are 2 to 4 scum in Drixx, Dunnstral,GuyInFreezer, Pink Ball, Save The Dragons
am I right with my math?
he got no result with tracker, but that would apply for today when his vig failedIn post 5329, Pink Ball wrote:Day starts: "hey I was roleblocked"In post 5325, Save The Dragons wrote: when was i supposed to say it during d3
cause the tracker was a role that I was looking for with grave digger existing and he had no reason to drop a new claim in board if he was scum.In post 5395, Ircher wrote:Why? This post needs more elaboration for the rest of us to follow.In post 5308, Frozen Angel wrote: I completely trust STD claims
The mech is heavily related to my reads. I have missed almost half the entire game to have single person reads. If game goes to Thursday evening and Friday, I will have time to do some proper analysis but at this time I'm leaning on drixx being the scum between the drixx dun std gif pb list that we know contains at least one scum and likely all 4In post 5421, Ircher wrote:What are your reads? I keep seeing you post a lot of mech so it's hard for me to get where your current stances are.In post 5321, Frozen Angel wrote: at this time I think we have some possibilities:
1 - kuribo and richer are town, this means shea is town I guess, the scum is in Drixx, Dunnstral,GuyInFreezer, Pink Ball, Save The Dragons which means a 4/5 from that group
2 - kuribo and richer are scum and for some weird reason they claimed something like a masonry early that no one else confirmed, in this scenario shea can be town or scum I guess cause they got the caterer for real or not but its most likely town unless if scum planned to claim visionary cast like that (?), and then the remaining scum are hidden in rest.
regardless there are 2 to 4 scum in Drixx, Dunnstral,GuyInFreezer, Pink Ball, Save The Dragons
am I right with my math?
How so? we had 2 dead players who didn't claim their d1 role and we had grave digger and tracker missing right? am I missing another role that was not claimed?In post 5503, GuyInFreezer wrote: I kinda wanna focus on the D1 VT claims actually
Because at least one of them lied.
well it makes it extremely unlikely for shea to be scum unless if PB liesIn post 5524, Save The Dragons wrote: which doesn't clear shea it just means shea was targeted by fb
This is a very good analysis just few stuff though:In post 5516, Pink Ball wrote: But I did find something interesting:
GiF is right, there are 16 roles instead of 15: all the PRs that we already know and 6 VTs. D1 is missing the Vig, the Tracker and the Gravedigger
Gravedigger and Tracker are real: Shea got the gravedigger yesterday and I got the tracker on D3.
Only role that has no confirmation is the vig, which conveniently is on a player who's alive today, but given the 16 roles instead of 15, it could be that one of the VTs is fake and it was actually a scum who fakeclaimed and randed the vig.
Another theory that we talked with Jingle back on D2: there could be 16 roles; that way the lovers get nerfed and make the game a little less townsided. Given how things went the rest of the days, this theory gets more credit now.
But what really caught my attention was this:
Drixx: Commuter, VT, VT
GiF: VT, Commuter, VT
Dunn: VT, VT, Commuter
Commuter is actually a great role for scum in this setup: it gives enough WIFOM about the comfirmable amnesiac roles to the point that some night actions could be disregarded via Commuter claim (Caterer targeted you and you didn't get the role? "Oh I was a commuter"; Visionary and someone else targeted you and you didn't claim receiving a vision? "Oh I commuted last night"; etc). The thing is, Titus started this discussion when Drixx claimed the Commuter, saying that he should've claimed it on D1, and GiF shut down that conversation by claiming the Commuter himself.
So what to do with this connection, knowing that the most likely scenario is that there are four scum members inside {StD,FA,GiF,Drixx,Dunn}?
- The three claimed commuters are scum and 1 scum in {StD,FA}. Why would GiF be going after Dunn in this scenario? While I think the scumteam's strategy is not bussing unless absolutely necessary (because one more night means more chances of town getting conftowned), if StD is the remaining partner it's completely valid to throw Dunn under the bus just to control the rethoric of the game for future days; GiF and co would know that there will be another day to play so making a GiF/Dunn 1v1 makes the other look good the next day. I think the real objective of this scumteam is missliming FA, which GiF started this day saying that was a possibility too.
- Two of three claimed commuters are scum. This one is based on two things: I still townread GiF by play; and the VC at EoD2. I think either GiF or Dunn where caught in the crossfire pushing Titus instead of Klick and I'm inclined to believe that GiF was the one caught there. BUT there's the connection between Drixx and GiF: even if the commuter was a real amnesiac role (confirmed by town!Dunn in this scenario), the way it was claimed on D2 and how GiF followed is concerning. I think that Dunn not claiming it on D3 is actually pro town. The remaining scum would be StD and FA.
And that's it, there are no other scenarios because of the PoE I have. Scenario 1 could discard the idea of voting between {StD,FA} even if everything points out to StD being scum. Scenario 2 discards the idea of voting between {GiF,Dunn}.
Drixx is the only confscum in both scenarios.
where did I say I'm going to vote you? I stated few posts back that I hope the game goes to Thursday night friday so I can deep dive in all the pages I missed.In post 5543, Drixx wrote:PB Voted me and then unvoted me and FA said they were going to vote me?In post 5542, Thestatusquo wrote: that seems like a really weird tone to take considering the lim seems to be way more likely to go on std than you right now. Basically no one has mentioned you at all.
I did consider thisIn post 5548, Drixx wrote: I mean ... is nobody but me bothered by the fact that the "lovers" never ended up on anyone else, and that just when we would be likely to start poking in that direction, then all of a sudden there's a "clutch" vision result that "clears" kuribo (and with him, the two people whose posts have cleared him). It's a neat little closed loop, and it stinks.
What is commuter role name?In post 5573, Drixx wrote:"Sassy Cab Driver" is not a proper name in the way that "Romeo" or "Juliet" are names.In post 5570, kuribo wrote:ALL OF THE FUCKING ROLES HAVE NAMESIn post 5569, Drixx wrote:Because it's super unlikely for such a role pairing to have played out the way it has. And because once the game dragged on long enough that people would naturally be getting super suspicious, along comes a "vision" claim.In post 5563, GuyInFreezer wrote: Why are you so fixated on the lover part
It’s not like lover role isn’t the only role Kuribo rolled that was confirmed by others.
I'm also pretty sure that there have been no other "named" roles claimed this game. I've only seen one "scripted" part, and it didn't have a proper name. As far as I'm aware, nobody besides Ircher and Kuribo have claimed to be given a role with a "proper" name.
Literally nobody but you has claimed their scripted role had a proper name.
Rage more. It's feeding me.
grave digger is body double will that help you to move on from this clearly irrelevant argument?In post 5577, Drixx wrote:Are not the same as "Romeo" and "Juliet"In post 5575, Dunnstral wrote: Corrupt Judge; Sassy Cab Driver
Can you spot the difference? One has adjectives and nouns. The other features only a single proper noun.
oh he is trying to say the lovers roles don't exist based on flavor namesIn post 5633, Thestatusquo wrote: Drixx argument is that "Romeo" and "Juliet" are the only roles with proper names i.e. not just descriptive words like "the sassy cab driver"
its practically claiming masons in this setupIn post 5645, GuyInFreezer wrote: Idk why y’all think lovers is a strong role.
Sure it confirms. But it’s also 1+1 nightkill.
we have absolutely no clue about the scum utility in this setup at this time but town power roles cant be removed cause of design and this is extremely town favored + all amnesiac power roles thrown in setup if we believe commuter vig tracker JKIn post 5650, GuyInFreezer wrote:Yeah but lovers are not as strong of a role as mason pair due to nightkill risk. That’s why I’m saying lovers aren’t that strong to warrant 4-men scumteam.In post 5647, Frozen Angel wrote: cause they say they had a neighborhood and scum them wouldn't have them so they are confirmed to each other. they cant be scum unless if both are
drixx std and youIn post 5690, Pink Ball wrote:Drixx, STD and FA?In post 5683, Frozen Angel wrote: That leaves GIF and Dun and I think there is a scum between the two. If both are town we have a 3 scum setup likely.
I explained in my large post. I was leaning on drixx, but I'm having second thoughts with how he reacted. I really need to read the pages i missed in this game regarding these players. and I explained all my other current impressions. I hope game goes to Thursday night or Friday morning so I can sort some stuffIn post 5697, Dunnstral wrote: FA do you have any non-mech thoughts on where mafia can be in the commuter claims?
I am leaning that there is a scum in gif/dun over that but yeah.In post 5701, Pink Ball wrote:LolIn post 5693, Frozen Angel wrote:drixx std and youIn post 5690, Pink Ball wrote:Drixx, STD and FA?In post 5683, Frozen Angel wrote: That leaves GIF and Dun and I think there is a scum between the two. If both are town we have a 3 scum setup likely.
yeah the vig has a modifier it only works if someone else targets the targetIn post 5716, kuribo wrote: Wait
You expected SCUM to target ircher so you targeted him with an ability that KILLS HIM if someone else targets him?
exactly. This is why the target makes absolutely no sense even if you were thinking ircher is scum.In post 5734, Save The Dragons wrote: I didn't say I knew there was a power available or that I expected scum to use this power on ircher
I guess I was thinking doc or rolestopper but that would neutralize the vig anyway so maybe not
why you eliminated the possibility of both being scum to get this conclusion?In post 5736, Pink Ball wrote:Because I think one of you is the remaining town in the PoE and we are not forced to solve that 1v1 now if we can go more nights that could give us more info or even one of you randing a loverIn post 5732, Dunnstral wrote: What I really care about is why not vote GiF today