[OLD] Open Setup Ideas and Discussion

fferyllt · Post Post #6194 (isolation #0) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 3:49 am

I agree.

fferyllt · Post Post #6213 (isolation #1) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 2:36 pm

In post 6212, LlamaFluff wrote:
In post 6208, JasonWazza wrote:It depends on how it's played as to what win chance it has.

7/5

58% chance of lynching town
42% chance of lynching scum.

From there it stays around the same odds.
Actually it changes fast

7/5 = 42/58
6/4 = 40/60
5/3 = 37/63
4/2 = 33/67
3/1 = 25/75

Town wins in lynch patters of
SSS
SSTS
SSTTS
STSS
STSTS
STTSS
TSSS
TSTSS
TSSTS
TTSSS
Town wins at 24% of the time

With that many scum, and with having to sacrifice one of their own at night if town are lynched during the day phase, the associative stuff really piles up.

It would be interesting to see this game played out a few times. I think town will do a lot better than a 24% win rate.