Wow, really short work made of MMM there :/
I personally can't get a fix on antifinity atm. Exilon made some good points about how he would have had time before the game to discuss with his partner game strategy and theory, which makes him bringing up those insane questions (sane questions but insane to be asking) maybe not as bad. Though it is mostly WIFOM.
Antifinty is very obviously a newb-scum or a newb-town
I'd be a little more suspicious of people who made it a huge issue. I mean, I realize how strange a lot of his comments are, but to make it a HUGE-SCUMMY issue. I'd have to read back again in the next day or two, but no one was really guilty of that, though Quintastic used MMM's defense of Antifinty against MMM, and voiced his suspicion of a MMM-Antifinity scum link several times. Now that I think about it, with atttention going Antifinity's way for some bad/strange behavior, it would have been a pretty risky move on MMM's part to stick his neck out like that. And it probably would have costed them the game, were they the scum.
Quintastic wrote:
And BTW: I have no problems hammering Triple M at this point since I still subscribe to the possibility of a MMM/Anti scumteam. I can take the heat of a hammer. All I've been waiting on is McGriddle.
So Quintastic thought very ill of Antifinity for his antics, but used it mostly against MMM. Although he was voting for Antifinity if I remember correctly. BUT NOT FOR MMM. While saying he was alright with MMM's hammer. I find that pretty odd since before, when the discussion was revolving around Samp and MMM, he was going around asking for advice about which one of them to vote for. Which I also disliked greatly at the time.
I think samp's points on andrius are quite good.
Quintastic: Do you suggest that we dismiss all of Samp's arguments on the basis that he was wrong one time? Or the time before?
I find that highly suspect of you as well.
Quintastic wrote:
Therefore, when you consider the vote on Triple M, but not just the vote but the tunneling of the vote, the attack on Andrius for the same newbie scum reasons that he defends Antifinity from, and Andrius' case against McGriddle proving that he did not know that McGriddle was going to be targeted, I feel a SAMP/Anti scumteam is far more likely at this point, and SAMP being a far more dangerous threat to the town.
You're an SE so, I'm not gonna go so lightly on you
First off, tunneling isn't a scum tell. And unless I'm horribly mistaken, neither is someone's first target flipping town. A case built (or got built on MMM). Obviously Samp got us started in that direction, and their early tangle is where it began building. But you can't blame the person who started a wagon (especially one which may have been meant to end the RVS- as in good-intentioned) for the lynch anymore than you can blame it ALL on the hammerer.
Secondly, I completely fail to comprehend, considering Samp's last couple posts...in fact considering the entirety of the game, how you are equating Antifinity's play to Andrius' play. I think that's a pretty crazy reach for a defense/attack.
Thirdly, I don't think Andrius' case on McGriddles really proves anything. Meaning I don't think it 'proves that andrius isn't scum.' That might hold some water if he had gone that way or posted that D-1. But even then, if he had "suspected" someone hard, that just makes the NK good in that sense. And there's nothing to say he didn't write that up during night time at the suggestion of his scum partner. Yes?
Shouldn't he go after the other "hammerer", or the replacer who BW'd with him? Those two looked the worse for the quick-pile. And like Andrius says, he knows he's not one of the stoofer's so... A decent strategy then to claim you were going after the other guy who looked bad for the lynch, when you were the other one?
I don't know how you can be so certain that it wasn't a calculated move. If he had come up with it yesterday and had done it all on his own wits his first game, well that's something else. But this easily could have been fabricated with a little help in two days.
For this to prove he's not scum, you'd first have to trust that he honestly spent the time writing up the case on McGriddles, only to be dismayed when he found out he had died. Surely Quintastic, you can see why him saying he did this 'this and that way' is totally unverifiable and doesn't help anyone? It basically equals saying "I'm a townie. See, here's why" ...unless I've missed something, which is possible.
So...until further notice
vote: The quintastic one
-For citing other people's reasoning too heavily in making up your mind on MMM.
For being too concerned with people's opinions about it than your own feelings.
-For further distancing yourself from it by never voting for him the entire day while voicing some level of suspicion of him throughout
-And for your attacks on Samp now, which I think there are SEVERAL problems with.
-For being certain that Andrius is a townie for having a case on the NK'd townie. Which really doesn't make any sense to me unless you can explain better why you'd think that.
If Samp is a townie too, that makes your earlier indecisiveness about which to lynch even more suspect.
And yes, if MMM flipped town, I was coming after you first. I already felt pretty good about Samp, so did MMM incidentally although we didn't get to hear too much about why, just his personal read.
So:
Quintastic wrote:
and SAMP's immediate jumping on [Andrius] for Day 2,
And actually I meant to jump on him a bit to. I'm hesitiant to draw a link from my suspicions of you for the defense (cause scum defend townies all the time), but Samps raised several good points imo. There's a second person you're defending with less obviousness. (there was a time I had in my notes where you changed Antifinity's wording a little and rephrased it to make something he said 'legible' and 'pro-town', but I will find it later)
But Andrius, back to Andrius. I totally missed how strange it was for Andrius' "reasoning" to include so much doubt about MMM's alignment and thoughts around him being town. A good catch imo, and absolutley ridiculous when you say in the same breath that you think that person is scum. If he really had that much doubt about him being scum, then why would he want to hammer so bad. He basically says he's withholding his vote to hammer, he ensures that McGriddles vote is correct as to be counted, and then he hammers....full of doubt?
It does look like he knew it was a miss. Just like Quintastic probably knew both Samp and MMM were misses.
Granted many of us were echoing 'it's okay to hammer', and I might have as well if I had been in at that time, but it's pretty crazy how andrius said he wanted to and corrected the vote before his.
Anways, what I didn't miss or what DID strike me when I read andrius' post was the list
titled "reasoning"
and how it didn't quite match up with "reasons to vote MMM". I didn't take note of how much it mentioned MMM=townie -.-
It looks like a newbie-scum error to me. And part of the reason I think his writing up that case in conjunction with a partner is a possiblity. It really looked like he was coached to do that. Told something like 'don't worry about voting or hammering, as long as you give some reasons.' I know that's what I would have told my scum partner. Except, maybe he didn't quite do it right.
It really struck me as strange, a lot like someone suggested this to him, or if I can put it that way, "coached" him to do something like this. Except he talks about MMM as townie and doesn't give too many reasons for why he's voting (hammering).
Which again, aslo makes sense that if he is scum, him and his partner knew/realized he would get in hot water over this, so there's definitely a motive for this whole case-on-McGriddles thing.
I agree with him that McGriddle's analysis was pretty skeletal AND opportunistic (go for the top BW, offer little information, etc) but he's dead and the only reason to bring it up is to clear himself now (which is an okay reason I guess...but in no way a convincing one...Quintastic!)
andrius wrote:
..since Mustilicor said that my fate hangs in the balance of this lynching.
I'm going to have to go back and look at his again. Mustilicor did suggest a MMM=town then Andrius=scum, or more likely scum, causality in her reasoning. I'll have to go back and take a specific look at this. I'm pretty wary of setups in general, or links like that D-1, ESPECIALLY after the other person flips town. The flip in and of itself is going to reflect on some people one way or another, but I want to look at her reasoning about this and see if it's suspicious. If mustilicor is right that andrius has exaggerated it greatly, its yet another thing that looks bad for him. And of course if he's right, it's suspicious for mustilicor to have said that if she doesn't explain why.
I am after Quintastic hard, but I'm a little concerned that D-1 revolved around MMM and Samp, then Antifinity for weird shit, and then back to MMM. A total of 3 good looks at different palyers...in a 9 player game...Blast this infernal deadline!
Though I've generally gotten a good feeling from Samp (another part of the reason I don't like Quintastic using a mistake in a case). I can understand the thing TQO said about not revealing your town reads cause it helps the mafia choose strategies and NK's, and I've heard that before, but I generally disagree with it. A theory discussion for some other place maybe. I also think exilon is solidly town (this can change) for a couple reasons. And mustilicor to a lesser degree.
She has this sort of impassioned/emotional or 'cheeky' style ("my pride is bucking against this") which some players like, though I don't really care for and pricks me a little, but at the same time her posts sound genuine. If she's town, she is playing a great game, and if she's scum she's up for an oscar. Her and Exilon's considerations regarding the MMM lynch both sounded very reasonable too. I doubt either of them could be playing so well and convincingly as scum, or atleast think that's much much less likely for them to be able to do, than if they were townies, which would only take a certain amount of intelligence and attention (not some crazy-innate knack for the game). Too much gut maybe, and will definitely look closer at the parts I had to catch up on. Another mislynch that they (Mustilicor and Samp) have their hands on would shake these reads badly, but for now I feel pretty comfortable listening to them.
And I think Samp's points on Andrius are spot on, and MILES away from attacking him for something Antifinity was also doing....Quintastic!
Oh and there was this:
andrius wrote:
It came down to you and Anti, and you're the bigger threat, ruling out the fact that I could OMGUS for Civil Scum because he doesn't like me. So it came down to voting for you.
I'm not sure where I said I didn't like you...but that's beside the point. It would have only been OMGUS? Couldn't you have any reason for suspecting me? I guess what I'm asking is, could you have a real reason to suspect anyone is scum??? This was about mid-day mind you.
Alright, last thing this post has been atrocious
andrius wrote:
Now, if we take Stoofer's crazy-ass law and apply it here, two of us four are mafia. Naturally, we'll all claim that we're town. Though I'm willing to bet that at least one of us four is a scum. I know that I'm not one, and the only way to prove that I'm innocent is for me to die, or for the Sheriff to investigate me and claim and prove my innocence; which isn't going to happen.
Calling Stoofer's here is also a little crazy to me. I can't say I subscribe to this law, which says that probably BOTH scum were on the wagon. I will say that I've never seen a newbie-game D-1 townie lynch that didn't have ATLEAST 1 scum on the wagon. I think it's ridiculous to presume overarcingly that both scum were. But yes, almost always, one of the scum is/was here. Which, naturally to Andrius, leaves the 3 remaining players that voted.
I have also noticed that Andrius' play seems to have improved consideraby over night...
And Andrius, if you're serious about following that law, or wanting to, then you have to be after me, Mustilicor, and Samp, in a pairing of two of us amongst three.
It also should be noted that the law loses reliability if the scum are playign well, or townies are playing bad. Either case it'd be tough to judge at this point. Though I'd probably hang Quintastic in a second if his answers are as scummy as some of his play has been.
I don't know, for how scummy McGriddles could have been made to look, that seems like a rather odd NK to me. Unless there was a motive or something to be gained. Thoughts anyone?
Consider that an
Fos: Andrius
And I should probably thrrow my two cents in on the false Pr-claim from a townie. It's not really the correct move imo. It can cause WAY bigger problems than your death. Namely that, if you claim cop, and you have a cop, they might claim depending on what day it is. Which would be disastrous if it wasn't a good time for them to come out. You still die if they come out and claim, and then they die.
Also, they don't even have to counter-claim to become exposed. Unless they had a really strong town read on you and thought you were decoying, or lying as a townie, then they are probably going to vote for you, or atleast jump on your case. And if someone hasn't suspected yuo up until then, but then switches to you after you claim cop, well the scum could figure out who to kill that night too. It can be good, in the sense that you;re increasing your random lynch odds for that one day, but it can also end disatrously.
Well, sorry this was such a mess... I don't like falling behind in my games -.- and hopefully it made some sense.