Newbie #706 - Oh Little Town of Damocles (Over!)
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YouRopis wrote:when I saw what looked like a bandwagon forming for someone else I jumped on in the hopes of living to day 2. I didn't start the bandwagon, and I didn't drop the hammer - I figured 3rd vote was a safe place to be.came into the dayhoping to shed suspicion? That's scummy.
Personally, I wasn't on the edge of my seat waiting for the day to start (no offense to anyone, I'm just patient), and I'd honestly be a little surprised if other people were holding it against you.
Admitting that you voted for, basically,whoeverjust to 'live to day 2' is very scummy.
Trying to find the 'safe' way to vote is very scummy.
Vote: Ropis-
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I'm going to try hard to keep this short and readable.
First of allunvote
I have 2 main suspects right now; but first I want to share a couple observations I've made about other players (these seemed the most pertinent, I don't want to MEGAPOST on everyone yet):
About Deuxieme Octopus not voting for Ropis “right away”
When I read 24 and 26 the first time, it didn’t really strike me as odd; it just looked like DO wasn’t quite “up to speed” when he hit the post button.
Later on, though, in 39, DO seems offended that the other players didn’t “reference” his reasoning.
42 has some serious Chest Beating (“It's worth suffering the new attention on myself for what I feel will be an entirely more productive and revealing vote.”) Not really pro-town stuff.
DO connect the dots, lalala
Post 66 DO draws a line from Epitaph to afatchic.
Post 90 draws more lines, but this time in big fat magic marker.
It’s way early to be trying to make conditional connections.
Keep them to yourself so the scum can’t use them against you.
Burning loves questions
I like questions, they get the game going, even if they come from scum. But my question was just bizarre:@Porkens: Why do you think Ropis went from "a little worried" to "seriously concerned" because of afatchic's vote?And some of the others were too. I expect that the questions promised in the future will be more…answerable.
The first half of 88 is weird, at best. A lot of regurgitation of what other said about ropis early in the game.
Back to Ropis
Even in a Newbie game, the Newbie Card is hard to swallow (see 38).
Also, your distinction between “suspicion” and “collecting votes” is, I’m afraid, lost on me.
84-85 blow me away: A vote on Burning Love based on reasoning provided by other people (mostly DO) and then, 3 minutes later, posting a rebuttal to this very argument.
You’re developing a pattern of doing scummy things and then trying to explain why we shouldn't think they are scummy.
Hence,Ropisis number 2 on my list of suspects.
Number 1 is...
afatchic, for playing both sides!
afatchic, so far, wrote:57: Anyway... FOS Burning love, i would vote you, but im almost positive that we already caught our first scum, so no need to change votes.
61: when he flips scum, im going to re-quote this post for you, then vote you.
68: not possitive, but right now he sure seems like it. and nothing he has done has implied anything different.
72: im taking everyone else into account, but ropis is the only one doing much scummy.
(let me refer you back to 57): Anyway... FOS Burning love, i would vote you, but im almost positive that we already caught our first scum, so no need to change votes.
2.5 apology posts by Ropis and a bit of flack from other players later…
92: UNVOTE. im going to give Ropis a chance. i think it will become real clear what he is if he keeps playing this newbishly. so i think we stretch the day out and maybe find a better lynch.
1 new post by Ropis (a scummy connect-the-dots post) gets…
95: HOS ROPIS. there shouldn't be an.... if i turn up town, you should know that you are going to turn up town.notice there is no re-vote hereWas thatTooLong,so youDidn'tRead it? Ok, I will Sum Up!
1. DO strikes me as suspicious, but not scummy, yet.
2. Burning Love does not give me a warm, fuzzy feeling in my tum-tum.
3. Ropis is probably newb scum.
4. Afatchic has been playing both sides of the Ropis issue HARD and is my #1 suspect to be a scum-ball.
vote: afatchic-
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I still like my vote on afatchic.
At a glance, I think the Epitaph case has merit on it's own, as well.
If someoneotherthan afatchic would like me to answer this question, I will, but I think the answers are fairly self-evident in my post 100.
afatchic wrote:can you explain how i am playing both sides of the Ropis issue.-
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Read the setup again and tell me what's wrong with this statement.Epitaph wrote: I'd have to be a fool to leave my vote on a claimed doctor who hasn't been counterclaimed.
Please quote and point out these breadcrumbs (hints).afatchic wrote: nicely done for any of you that didn't realize i was hinting a power role every time i replied to one of your posts.-
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I could be wrong about this (I don't think I am) but neither robust cryptography nor stegasorusography are things that your average player will do.
To put it another way, I don't think doing something like;
Don'tOverestimateCarefulThinkingOrRepublicans. would fall anywhere near into one of those catagories.
Now, I still don't know what kind of "hints" or clues afatchic thinks we all shouldn't have missed.
And yes, there's a 50% chance that there is no doctor, at all, in this game. That's what I meant. Pretty good looking gamble if your scum stuck at L-1 (You might at least get the real doc to come out)
Deciding whether or not the scum will kill afatchic if we don't is up to the scum. There would be value in either play.
The next step here is proof of these "clues".
...?-
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Post-Claim
First of all, some basic reads on the key events;
1. Claiming at L-1 isn't, by itself, scummy.
2. We can't assume what the scum will do, and we shouldn't make such assumptions out-loud.
3. If afatchic is alive tomorrow morning, that by itself tells us nothing new about his alignment.
Now for some of the recent posts;
Afatchic:
1. Your hints were nothing that could convince me to lay off or give me the idea that you were a PR.
2. In 180 you say;"if we do have a cop, i will just be roleblocked, then they can keep me alive. if we don't have a cop i would still expect for them to frame me and take a free kill and let the town try to lynch me tomorrow.”
--How would the scum know if we have a cop at this point?
3.As an IC, how can you not point out set-up d, in which there is a doc but no cop?
4. 207 hahahha that’s some awesome WIFOM, I approve (no, really, I do).
lobstermania:
1. You've gone from wanting him to die, regardless of what happens in night 1, to “not buying it” and wanting him dead now. You just want him dead, I take it, regardless of what else happens.
2. I hate no-lynches, because it gives all the power to the scum.
3. I think all three points at the top of this post could be directed at you, specifically, here. Your recent arguments have been pretty off-target. Intentionally or not, I can’t tell.
DO:
1. About the whole code thing; In general, it’s not a good idea to try to second-guess the mod.
2. You kind of miss the mark with “there’s no reason not to believe his claim," there is reason not to believe his claim, but there's no reason to hang him for his claim.
3. In general, I’ve found you pro-town since the claim.
Ropis:
1. Wow, good post in 175.
2. Interesting theory with the math, but having a *real* doc claim doesn’t tell the scum that there is a cop in play; look at setup d.
3. I agree also with 200.
4. 214; God, who put the logic stick up your butt?
Zaz:
1. Nothing wrong with what you've said recently.
Epitaph:
1. As I said before; 166 is bad logic.
2. 168 doesn’t inspire me with confidence.
3. 172, I don’t think you’re an idiot, so please stop posting like one! 4. 181; “for some reason” isn’t a good reason. Scumtell.
5. 187; “What’s so hard to believe about the claim”? Rly? How, exactly, will weknowif he’s lying tomorrow?
6. You are, or at least are playing like you are,SCUM.
Broncofaninmd:
1. Oh, there you are!
2. You say we lynch him and get this question mark off our hands now.
--Why not scumhunt, and hopefully lynch, theotherscum?
3. In 189 you say “I’m not buying it either.”
--So which is it; Do you want to lynch him because he’s a “question mark” or because you think he’s scum? You don’t really care, because you are…
4.SCUM
5. Attacking everyone.
6. So, by virtue of being at L-1 for a few hours, he MUST be scum? That’s how your acting.
7. 220 im not sure, distancing from epitaph?
So there you go.
1. One of or Both of Epitaph and Broncofaninmd are most likely scumat this point, according to me.
2. afatchic, meh, I’m actually leaning towards believing his claim. MASTERFUL WIFOM with the “I would have claimed cop” bit, if your scum
3. BurningLove doesn’t look like he’s been posting anywhere on the site recently, he may have alts, I don’t know.
Vote: Broncofaninmd
With a strong
FoS: Epitaph
And a slightly weaker one on
FoS: Lobstermania
(P.S. I really had to think about which of Broncofan or Epitaph to vote for. Both of them have been really scummy and/or wrongheaded since the claim, but the “lets lynch him to get him out of the way or because he’s lying or whatever, lets just lynch him” from Bronco put the whole thing over the edge.)-
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Ride the fence? On who?!Porkens:
Prior to this last post she hadn’t really posted to much of her own thoughts and seemed to ride the fence a while. Going down on my list though…
Hadn't posted my own thoughts? What about post 100?
She?
Going on your list? Why?
Oh, and:
Bullshit:afatchic wrote: Never said lynch ropis.Yeah my vote just changed to serious on Ropis for putting someone at L-2 about ten posts into the game.Anyway... FOS Burning love, i would vote you, but im almost positive that we already caught our first scum, so no need to change votes.-
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afatchic: Also, what are your thoughts on an Epitaph lynch?
broncofaninmd: Self-voting like you've done is the least pro-town thing to do. You're comment here:
Tells me you're not playing to win if you are town. I'd just as soon you asked for a replacement or were lynched if you're going to be like that. Why not take a deep breath and pull it together, do what you can to help the town or, at least, show us why we should lynch someone else in stead?I wil do you and the mafia a favor.-
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Overall, I get a pretty negative read from lobstermania.
The Scum are Not Robots…well, maybe sometimes:
As a refutation of afatchic’s defense:
Scum do everything. They are not robots. They cannot be predicted.
Sounds like good sound logic to me. But wait…
Right after the claim:Hmm...If we don't lynch you on day one you will be nk-ed on night one. And if we don't lynch you and you aren't nk-ed then you really are scum. Then we will lynch you on day two.
Hypocrisy!
Later…:I think I will stick with my original plan regarding afatchic: if he's not night killed on night one, then I will vote to lynch him on day two. There's no reason why the mafia would pass up killing the doc, unless it's a false claim and afatchic is really scum.
It keeps going. Well, that is until…
ZazieR gently brushes against lobstermania’s case and he starts…:Ultimately I cannot predict what the scum will do during the night.
Backpedalling!
Analysis 1: The scum act like robots only when lobstermania wants them to
I might believe the claim and I might not, but it doesn’t matter I want him lynched…OR DO I?!
Starts off with a strong opinion:I'm having a hard time believing it. A claim on page seven is a very odd move to make, and it's hard to take seriously.
Bad logic, and I don’t agree, but fine, that’s fine.
Later:The only way for us to know if you're telling the truth is for you to die. I think your claim is the only thing keeping you alive right now.
Now, keep in mind this next is from the…
Same post:But after some thought and re-reading, I'm not buying it.
So, lobstermania doesn’t buy the claim; he does not believe the claim. However, he also doesn’t care whether the claim is true or not because theonlyway to find out is to see afatchic die. Therefore;
Analysis 2:He doesn’t care if he’s lynching a townie or not.
But it don’t stop…
After being queried by Z:
/As far as afatchic, I'm really torn. Of course I don't want to lynch a power role.
A complete 180 when pressured.
...Also day 1 no-lynches are scummy.
The Case
1. Hypocrisy!
2. Backpedalling!
3. A complete 180 when pressured.
4. Day-1 no-lynch!
unvote
vote: lobstermania-
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AFC didn't wantbroncofaninmd wrote: I am town, and cause i didnt beleive AFC and wanted him lynched. The wagon formed and I thought i was dead meat. Lobster did the same thing i did and he payed.wholynched?
So the wagon formed and you gave up?
Lobster did not self-vote.
You haven't answered my question.-
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@DO’s death:Personally, I’m glad DO isn’t around today to get picked on for quick-hammering.
@Afatchick and Broncofaninmd:Other thaneach other, Afatchick and Broncofaninmd, who do you think is the scummiest person in the game so far? Think of it as hunting for each others’ partner.
@Everyone:Considering all his posts so far, what are your overall reads on Skillit?
@Afatchic’s scummyness:My gut tells me that Afatchic is telling the truth, but my brain screams scum.
@Lurkers:Also, Zazier needs to post; She hasn’t done so since the day began, and I’m starting to have flashbacks of when she won a game as scum by sitting back and watching the town eat itself.
@Lobster’s Buttery Demise:I’m fine with taking the glory/blame for the lobster case; although afatchic did say many of the same things before I did.-
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@Porkens:
-what do you think of Skillit right now?
I think he's doing an admirable job replacing into a slot tainted by some pretty questionable play. From what he's posted so far, I honestly don't have a very good read on him.
-who are your top three suspects right now, considering one was lynched and showed up town, and the other one im getting a very newbish town read on.
At this moment, from the posts today and yesterday, my pick for the 2-man scumteam is:
broncofaninmd for self-voting and tunnel-vision.
and
ZazieR for A: Staying off the popular wagon but not fighting against it and B: Not posting since the hammer.
All things considered, I'm very satisfied with what we woke up to this morning. We got a lot of conversation early in the game, and I feel like most of the conversation was constructive and revealing. The pages of day 1 will help a lot in the future. Because the case on Lobster was just 'ok, and not great', The lynch was certainly too quick. But, the offending hammer-er is gone, and we can concentrate on the other people who made that hammer possible (and who avoided the wagon alltogether)-Are you satisfied with everything that happened yesterday, and the resulting lynch? why or why not?-
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Remember that's it's a violation of the rules to talk about this game outside the thread.I have a friend that introduced mafia to me, I was talking to him about some advice. I knew this was coming but thought it would be from Ropis.
Also, I don't know what kind of advice you would have gotten that assured you there was a cop in this game. As you have so often said, there was only a 50% chance that was true. Unless, of course, you are the role-blocker. Finally, why would you expect Ropis to claim cop?
This is a valid questions, I'd also like to have Afatchic answer it.When we lynch the role blocker? How do you know that there is a role blocker in the game?
I'm not going to give you one at this time. Why would you need to know at this point?I would like an explanation why you would claim.-
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Where did I accuse you of being a roleblocker?broncofaninmd wrote: By Porkens accusing me of being a roleblocker can mean one of two things.
1. That he investigated AFC and he came up doc.
2. That he is scum and knows there is no cop by the setup.
Good question.Ropis wrote: Nope! Just a greedy noob anxious to make it day 2! It’s an interesting point though – if you thought I was the cop, then why did you protect Zazie?
Are those the only possibilites?Afatchic" wrote: Because i thought Ropis was cop. So either Porkens has inno on me, which means we save everyone the time or trying to put together a case on me, or porkens caught a scum. im anxious to know which.
So, do you still think Ropis could be the cop? What other situations would leave him feeling "content on making it through the night"?Afatchic wrote:
Whoa. what? why did you claim, and do you have a result from last night?
I was also expecting it from ropis, i figured thats why he was so content on making it through the night.
As I said before; I'm not going to explain my motivations yet.Ropis wrote:Understnding the motivations of your claim would be VERY helpful Porkins. You seemed to be under no pressure - in fact Skillit and I had both declared our assumptions that you were town. We don't seem to be close to a D2 lynch yet, so provoking/avoiding a NK doesn't seem to apply, and I can't assume that you would have waited this long to tell us about a guilty result on a N1 investigation....
So, why claim?-
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So you think I'm going to die because I'm a confirmed cop.
But You don't think I'm going to be confirmed.
And you think I'm trying to pin roleblocker on you
But you can't explain why I would think you are the roleblocker. (other than quoting a question I asked; "how you could knew there was a cop unless you were a roleblocker?)
And youknewthere was going to be a cop claim, but you wont explainhowyou knew.
Does that about sum it up?-
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Outstanding Questions
Porkens wrote:
Are those the only possibilites?Afatchic" wrote: Because i thought Ropis was cop. So either Porkens has inno on me, which means we save everyone the time or trying to put together a case on me, or porkens caught a scum. im anxious to know which.
Why didn't you protect Ropis if you though he was the cop?
So, do you still think Ropis could be the cop?Afatchic wrote:
Whoa. what? why did you claim, and do you have a result from last night?
I was also expecting it from ropis, i figured thats why he was so content on making it through the night.
What other situations would leave him feeling "content on making it through the night"?
So you thought Ropis would claim cop, but not necessarily that he was a cop. Is that right?broncofaninmd wrote:Actually, i said a knew a cop claim was coming. NEVER said i knew there was a cop.
Everyone Else
Do you want to counter-claim my cop claim?
Contribute to the conversation; there is plenty to talk about.
20 hours left.-
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Still conspicuous by their absence:
Epitaph,
Zaz.
Ropis, if you know what I'm trying to accomplish here, it would help the town if you actively supported that.
Skillit; It would also be helpful if you could follow up on this statement as soon as you have some downtime from finals:
Skilit wrote: Ropis i know that i said i had more to say, and believe me it is coming-
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Epitaph:
What advantage could I be looking for?
Why would I want you all to scramble and squabble in anticipation?
Why, if you think I'm doing it for more information, would it bother you?
Do you think I'm lying about being the cop? What advantage would that give the scum?
Are you saying that what I'm doing is suspicious?
...3 hours left.-
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I never said I didn't.afatchic wrote: Porkens- why did you not investigate me last night?
Don't loose your paranoia in this game. The only way I could lead you down a path to ruin is if you let me.broncofaninmd wrote: If your scum and fake claim, you could easily lead us down a one way street with your "info"-
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I'm sorry if it frustrates you but;afatchic wrote:
Actually im gonna pull some of the same crap that has been pulled on me. since you said you got a guilty last night,and since im town, i know you didn't investigate me. so now answer my question.... why didn't you investigate me?
I never said I didn't.
Now, I suggest you give us your list.-
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